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TL Mafia LXXII: Gaiden 2 - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 29 2015 16:48 GMT
#2442
I like a CC lynch if that's where we're headed. Hopeless seems to be catching up with the game slowly so he can stay as long as he keeps posting and make himself more readable.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 29 2015 16:51 GMT
#2444
On August 30 2015 01:49 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 29 2015 22:49 justanothertownie wrote:
You know what annoys me about Palmar? Not only this pathetic need to stick to his joke about me being confirmed mafia for no reason. There is nothing behind it. He isn't doing jackshit despite constantly complaining about the state of the game. Yesterday he said bf and hope are both town. There is no indication for a change of opinion from him but somehow he is now ok with lynching him. Since when does palmar not care if his townreads get lynched? He has absolutely no scumreads and still didn't even reevaluate about his Trfel stuff in the slightest even though there are very good reasons to do so. Not the slightest bit of thinking or paranoia.

Thi is why you don't get to complain, there is no reason to take you seriously while you think this.


If you are masons you should claim at least tomorrow cause while today we can decide between hopeless and CC mostly, tomorrow it'd be nice to be able to take you from the lynch pool, cause both of you aren't in the clear in this game. Not for me at least.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 29 2015 17:38 GMT
#2449
On August 30 2015 02:24 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 30 2015 01:51 Vivax wrote:
On August 30 2015 01:49 Palmar wrote:
On August 29 2015 22:49 justanothertownie wrote:
You know what annoys me about Palmar? Not only this pathetic need to stick to his joke about me being confirmed mafia for no reason. There is nothing behind it. He isn't doing jackshit despite constantly complaining about the state of the game. Yesterday he said bf and hope are both town. There is no indication for a change of opinion from him but somehow he is now ok with lynching him. Since when does palmar not care if his townreads get lynched? He has absolutely no scumreads and still didn't even reevaluate about his Trfel stuff in the slightest even though there are very good reasons to do so. Not the slightest bit of thinking or paranoia.

Thi is why you don't get to complain, there is no reason to take you seriously while you think this.


If you are masons you should claim at least tomorrow cause while today we can decide between hopeless and CC mostly, tomorrow it'd be nice to be able to take you from the lynch pool, cause both of you aren't in the clear in this game. Not for me at least.
Please tell me why you do not consider me confirmed town.


Unless you claimed something we can verify I see no reason to. Rso was killed after scumreading you and CC. But I already talked about that.

The point still stands that at the beginning of D1, you missed the sarcasm from a flipped townie, and CC being mafia with you would explain his behaviour in regards to you and Palmar. He was unsure on you but wouldn't really want to scumread a hypothetical town palmar that was defending you and ignoring him.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 29 2015 17:41 GMT
#2450
On August 30 2015 02:03 Palmar wrote:
Vivax lacks a lot of his natural sass this game, I can't tell if it makes him mafia.


I'm actually sickly atm, my neck lymph nodes are quite massively swollen, if it isn't better tomorrow I'll see the doc. That should explain why I'm not in the mood for going all out on everything today.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 12:47 GMT
#2516
On August 30 2015 04:28 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 30 2015 04:21 VisceraEyes wrote:
Okay so if marv's claim is true (I have no reason to doubt it unless there's some sort of other claim, and even then...) then that just basically makes the game a little easier FMP. I was doubting decon late yesterday, especially coming in and calling me town super late yesterday for making posts he agreed with without really saying which ones. With him clear I'm looking at lynching outside of:

VE
marv...\
decon./
JAT
Moosy

I promised I'd make an effort to reevaluate Palmar and Trfel, so I'm going to add them to the no-lynch list today as well as I accommodate that. Leaving us lynching into this pool (again, from my perspective):

Vivax
KelsierSC
Mr. Cheesecake
Hopeless1der

In spite of me reevaluating Palmar/Trfel, Vivax seems to have been having many of the same thoughts as me over the course of the game, or at the very least coming to some of the same conclusions, so I'll state up front that I want to lynch him the least.

Cheesecake is an anomoly. I really badly want to townread Cheesecake, but my guts tell me that's a bad thing. Well, my guts, my personal experience with him and marv twittering in my ear stating the same thing. Generally speaking it would make me a little suspicious, marv using this heuristic, but given that it's Cheese and given that marv has claimed cop, I have to at least factor in that I think that AS TOWN, marv thinks Cheese is suspicious for sounding townie. Further, Cheese seems to KNOW I'm town in his posting, from how he "understands why VE would find" him suspicious to how his formatting seems to mimic JAT, someone VE has hard townread, it all feels like a direct appeal to someone who is familiar with his meta. Or maybe that's just my ego. At any rate, Cheese is one I'd be interested in lynching today.

Kelsier is hard for me to read in general. I'm pretty sure I've always had a hard time reading him, and that trend continues this game. But again, he seems to share my thought process on some important reads, and he seems to openly disagree with others, so for now I'm throwing him in the town pile.

As I said earlier, Hopeless felt scummy yesterday to me, more so than boxerfred. I would have preferred a Hopeless lynch yesterday, and here we are today, Hopeless still alive and barely posting. The only thing that gives me pause is how many people seem to be just fine with a Hopeless lynch. But honestly the votes don't actually reflect that so maybe I'm just imagining things. I'm still fine with a Hopeless lynch today.

With that I'm going to go ahead and throw my weight behind the Cheesecake lynch but I'm conflicted because, a) because I like marv and JAT but b) the people openly stating they're okay with a Hopeless lynch are the ones piddle-dicking around and not voting, which makes me think that vote is better in general. I'd like to hear marv and JAT's thoughts on the matter in particular, but everyone is welcome to give input.

tbh, both kels and vivax are too hard to read this early which is why lynching into them is too risky. i would do it if there was harder evidence but there isn't. :/ unfortunately, wat marv says leaves us with hopeless/mr. cc.


I'm not really hard to read. How do you get to this conclusion? Isn't this the first time we play together? Cause as far as I know it is and I don't know how you got to make this statement.

What stands out to me with more relevance to the current wagon now is that Palmar got suddenly scumread by CC but I don't know why except that he says he's playing abysmally when in previous posts he kept repeating that he couldn't tell if he was bad town or mafia. So I would like to know what got him confident on his Palmar being scum theory, it feels like he only changed his opinion cause I accused him of not doing it.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 13:43 GMT
#2519
Yea I asked you something. Would also help if you point out which questions you are referring to.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 14:48 GMT
#2522
Moosy? Why do you ask if anyone's around and then you just don't talk?

The post from VE that hopeless brought up needs an answer from Trfel, I can't find any looking through his filter.

And what WoS mentioned isn't entirely correct, but partially. Kelsier posted a case of his own of which the part about WoS reasons to go after JAT coincided with what CC said in his own case, but the points about WoS way of handling moosy are only mentioned by Kelsier as far as I see.

+ Show Spoiler +

On August 27 2015 04:53 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 27 2015 00:55 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 27 2015 00:11 WaveofShadow wrote:
Catching up.
Frigging euro dominated game

##unvote
Should have just said marv/Palmar dominated game.
Which is fine I suppose since they're both extremely likely to be town at this point.

Let's see.
Welcome back CC.
First thoughts are that he's town because I remember him posting similarly to this in a couple of towngames we played together, that being said there is ONE old-as-hell scumgame of his I want to look back at (where he ragequit eventually 'cause his team was shitty or something?) because what someone (marv?) said about him being more coherent as scum could be true but I truly don't remember. 2-year-old meta meh anyway but I have re-embraced the use of meta recently to decent effect so we'll see. Tentative townread for the moment.

Rsoul extremely likely to be town from interactions.

Scummiest people stand out to me as JAT because the last time I remember Palmar going like this on anyone, it was on me when I was scum when nobody else ever catches me.
Moosy because pocketing efforts when I am the only one in this game he knows to be 'good.'
I say 'good' because I have been SUPER on point in the last whole bunch of games I've played (as both alignments for once) and Moosy correctly realizes that I could be a threat based on that.

Which brings me to
On August 26 2015 23:14 marvellosity wrote:
On August 26 2015 23:13 Palmar wrote:
Wave is a shitty has-been player anyway

can't be a has-been if you're a never-was

^ wow, what a bitch

Fucking brutal guys.
Is all of that really necessary?

I actually have gained some confidence in my play for once and I refuse to let it be crushed by the likes of you. Unfortunately the fact that I'm not here means if either of the aforementioned are scum I won't have contributed at all to their lynches which is super bleh.

##vote: JAT


This post makes Wave scum. Specifically, the text in bold. Wave comes back to the thread to see the popular scum-candidate JAT sitting on a wagon driven by Palmar. His read takes no consideration for JAT's actions this game. In fact, he says he respects Palmar's play enough on day 1 to sheep him without regard.

Wave claims that he has gained some confidence in his play. If wave truly has gained confidence in his play (I.E. reads), then why is he letting Palmar, who may very well be mafia or just plain wrong about JAT, decide the lynch for him? Wave is blindly assuming that Palmar is town and correct without A) Assessing the lynch candidates motivations / actions and B) Looking at Palmar's push in and of itself. He doesn't even quote a post by Palmar and agree with the reasons.

##Vote: Wave

Show nested quote +
On August 27 2015 01:03 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 27 2015 01:01 justanothertownie wrote:
Ok, Wave is voting me because Palmar caught HIM as mafia in the past. Makes a huge post and talks about everything but me except for this statement. This might be the first mafia joining the push.

You're sweet.
I'm way better at scum than to blindly sheep.

I've only ever been officially caught ONCE as scum and it was by Palmar, therefore I afford him a measure of respect on his D1 bullshit, enough to sheep him on what appears to be a fairly decent read.


JAT hits the nail on the head here. Wave's defense against this is basically "I'm better than this", which I find lazy. Regardless, Wave still fails to situate why he thinks Palmar's case is good.

Show nested quote +
On August 27 2015 01:28 WaveofShadow wrote:
I don't really have much to say about that specifically.
Palmar and marv have a super special bromance together that I can't explain accurately in any real detail. The way it seems to me is that Palmar tosses out reads super early just 'cause, some of which may be accurate and some of which might not be but he sticks with them and forces them if necessary, and re-evaluates in secret. In the scumgame where he caught me even though he forced his read on me all game he was actually constantly re-evaluating based on what was going on in game as was evidenced by his posting.

For a read on marv if I had to guess it's easier to assume he's town (even based on very little/nothing) and take it back later on if he just so happens to be wrong, but all of the posting they have done has in all likelihood shown that he is right.

As for how this relates to Trfel/rsoul.....dunno.


When Wave extrapolates upon how Palmar plays, he admits that Palmar's early reads are 'just 'cause' and may/may not be accurate.

How can Wave seriously think JAT is his top scumread / top vote for the day if he: 1) Has not evaluated JAT's actions, or explained why Palmar's case is good 2) Knows that Palmar's early reads are often 'just cause' 3) Is not sure of Palmar's alignment? It makes no sense to me. Palmar may have caught Wave as scum day 1 in another game and he respects him, but this course of action is scummy regardless of how you package it. It's incredibly convenient if JAT flips town, and then Wave can take no responsibility for the lynch.

All I want you to answer @WaveofShadow:

Why is Palmar's case good. Not Rsoultin's, or anyone else's, but Palmar's case. What does Palmar say that is convincing and makes the case against JAT generate a "fairly decent read"?


On August 27 2015 21:20 KelsierSC wrote:
Scum

Wave - This comes down to a few points. One is his reentry to the thread saying oh yeh
JAT is mafia but I can't get a further read because palmar is pushing him, it feels like
trying to absolve himself of rseponsibility if the lynch is bad.

The second point is how he tries to point out that moosy is pocketing him.

Show nested quote +
Moosy because pocketing efforts when I am the only one in this game he knows to be 'good.'
I say 'good' because I have been SUPER on point in the last whole bunch of games I've played (as both alignments for once) and Moosy correctly realizes that I could be a threat based on that.


he then wants to get moosy's thoughts and responds thusly.

Show nested quote +
On August 27 2015 01:18 WaveofShadow wrote:
I am interested in Moosy's thoughts now that I have arrived.


Show nested quote +
On August 27 2015 02:12 WaveofShadow wrote:
Like MAYBE I can see Moosy giving lynch wagon credit to rsoul.
Maybe.
But me?

And since I've come back Moosy has asked me a few random questions that just seem really disjointed---like i don't get the feeling of why he needed me to come back in the first place so urgently.


ok what did he make of all of moosy's actions?

Show nested quote +
On August 27 2015 07:46 WaveofShadow wrote:
On August 27 2015 07:43 KelsierSC wrote:
wave what did you get from moosy, you said you wanted thoughts from him.

I'll give proper thoughts later but as I recall he hasn't done that much since I asked, has he?


which is not true at all, Moosy had posted like a whole other page of stuff including changing his vote and giving a list
of reads, feel like wave should be more invested than that.

overall it just feels like he is happy to lynch JAT without commital whilst throwing suspicion at moosy.


Right now I'm at a CC/Trfel/Kelsier/Palmar scum team based on their actions, the NKs and PoE. The NKs mostly make sense with a CC/Trfel/Kels scum team, but Palmar can also be mafia and the recent change of opinion on him by CC is explainable if they're a team, that's why I need an answer on that. Either that or CC changed opinion cause his read on Palmar not fleshing out before is part of the accusations. These are the people I'd lynch today with exception of Palmar, I actually hope he's town.

VE and marv I'm mostly keeping on ice since I hope they likely will be proven to be mafia by not being killed in the future.Right now it's 8 to 3 so we got (tomorrow 6-3, the day after 4-3) 2 mislynches left until it's lylo.

Moosy is also in my blind corner for now. I'll bother diving him later, derpy plays and strange behaviour yeah, but not sure if that makes him mafia.

JAT gets a tentative townread for filter size but will have to re-evaluate if he stays alive. One thing that makes me paranoid here is that earlier in the game he tended to say I'm scum for his own reasons and now he mostly relies on what rsoultin said after Trfel asked him. So I'm curious to see how he would act if I ever were up for lynch, that justification sort of read like an excuse to not bother even though he should have an opinion.

Hopeless and decon....meh. Hopeless is actually playing the game and even bringing up interesting things, ima go with a "let's see what happens" and a tentative town read. For decon I'll have to trust marv's check for the time being. If he's a GF we might lose the game, so I'll certainly try to judge him by his play if he stays alive for too long or we don't get to lynch a GF until then.

That's where my head is at atm.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 14:51 GMT
#2523
Although on second thought I'm not sure if it makes sense for Kelsier and CC to be scum together, the way they attacked WoS together and today's turnaround. Like, Kelsier is one of the few who for some reason doesn't wanna lynch CC and CC calls him out on it. That's not exactly the way for scumbuddies to go unnoticed.

I think I'm wrong on someone here.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 15:03 GMT
#2525
On August 31 2015 00:02 MoosyDoosy wrote:
tbh I don't think Kels is Mafia. He has been very aggressive, but I don't know if you've been able to read it because it hasn't been directed at you. I'll have to take a look at this recent scum games and see exactly in which game he's "stepped it up" but I have a pretty solid townie tone read on him.


Can you tell me where you got from that I'm hard to read? I'm actually pretty easy to read.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 15:13 GMT
#2528
So your scumreads since your post full of nulls are hopeless/CC and? There's three mafia left and on top of it you don't seem terribly interested into what hopeless posted on the last page. Would like you to be more active if you don't mind.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:02 GMT
#2532
Is Palmar's inactivity the reason you went from unsure to mafia?

Cause being inactive on weekends is perfectly normal for him. Not sure if he mentioned this, but in case you didn't know, I told you.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:08 GMT
#2535
I also have a hard time seeing you agree with Trfel's logic based on wagon analysis and at the same time accepting that this implicates deconduo as being disinterested, or me. I've been pushing for your lynch as well and while I'm interested and Kelsier is disinterested, you assumed us both to be mafia AND found Trfel's logic compelling when it went against your reads.

Everyone besides I think Trfel, Kelsier and decon has shown interest into lynching you so if you agree with Trfel's logic, shouldn't you also be agreeing on these people being likely mafia?

If you are town it also is a generally stupid assumption to make that mafia isn't interested in lynching you.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:09 GMT
#2536
Trfel you know I'm lynching you first if CC flips mafia?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:16 GMT
#2541
On August 31 2015 01:10 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Vivax why did you drop your suspicion on Trfel earlier?


You mean on EoD 1? Cause BF ninjavoted and moved up the priority list. I was also entertaining the thought that Trfel and Palmar might be masons cause of their strange reads on each other (Palmar calling trfel town hero and 95 % town when it didn't make sense to me), but only asked about it on D2 for obvious reasons.

Now that Palmar said that they aren't, I'm not believing him if he says something else. Enough time has passed and if they're indeed both mafia then you can roll with the assumption that it can be a fakeclaim if he starts saying the opposite, even if risky, and Palmar doesn't mind risky plays (read guardians of the galaxy).
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:18 GMT
#2542
Trfel why are you still so sure that Palmar is town, your townread CC thinks the opposite.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:29 GMT
#2545
On August 31 2015 01:23 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Vivax, do you think Palmar is town?


I've already said that I don't.

CC you will have to explain to me why you vote for me right after Trfel offers you a lifebelt in form of a case on me and a defense of you but when I'm around you start pushing suspicion on Palmar and Kelsier and even say that you think Kelsier is more likely scum when I'm entertaining that notion myself. Seems kinda contradictory to your intentions.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 16:38 GMT
#2554
I confused that then, anyway will be back in an hour
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 21:04 GMT
#2575
Shenannies time?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 21:09 GMT
#2576
It's tempting to let CC live for his last big post but his Trfel read rubs me the wrong way after JAT and I made similar points about how it doesn't make much sense for CC to agree with Trfel's wagon analysis.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22310 Posts
August 30 2015 21:16 GMT
#2577
Only jat palmar moosy me and cc around at EoD. Not cool.

Moosy:

On August 31 2015 00:25 MoosyDoosy wrote:
I think that there is mafia between trfel/hopeless/cc


Why shenanny on Palmar over hopeless when given the chance now? Was his post enough to replace your entire scumread on hopeless?
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