EPTMafia in the Himalayas - Page 231
| Forum Index > TL Mafia |
|
Fidei86
United Kingdom2116 Posts
| ||
|
NydusHerMain
Canada492 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:22 Fidei86 wrote: We could get five, because scum HF likely sheeps town if we can get four townies together. We literally need it to be unanimous because if LS is town and onegu is town, we lost already. Unvote ##Vote: Shockey | ||
|
NydusHerMain
Canada492 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:23 Fidei86 wrote: Also, for the post-game cred, I'm going to go for the scum team of HF, Damdred and Shockkey. Rsoult had Ruxx rather than Damdred as the fourth scum, but I'm seeing a Damdred deflect of HF combined with his generally shoddy play this game (in contrast to last game, where he was really strong). This is my post-game cred for today if we don't lose (yes I know I called HF town). Watch LS + HF be mafia. | ||
|
ruXxar
Norway5668 Posts
Seems like that's not going to happen with current thread sentiment. I'm going out a little bit. I'll be back in a couple hours. If onegu hasn't showed up by then and people still want to lynch shockey I'll join in. | ||
|
Fidei86
United Kingdom2116 Posts
| ||
|
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:27 NydusHerMain wrote: This is my post-game cred for today if we don't lose (yes I know I called HF town). Watch LS + HF be mafia. I wont flip scum I promise you that. | ||
|
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:17 ruXxar wrote: And maybe he's using this tactic again to make you think he's town? I mean, if you are mafia, what are the first thing you will try to do? You will try to play the same was as you did when you were town. So people will think, oh he played this way when he was town, now he's playing the same way == he must be town!. This is like the most basic way and easiest trick for mafia to look like town, and is why I don't like using meta for things like this. You can't just say "Oh he played terrible in this other game, it's fine that he's playing terrible here too!". NO It's not fine to play terrible here even if you played terrible as town in another game. You need to step up and do your best. If you're not trying to help town win then I don't care about how towny your meta makes you look. You're playing anti-town and you're not helping us win! Again I don't think he's exactly town but he a pretty capable scum player though so(Shrugs). | ||
|
Fidei86
United Kingdom2116 Posts
| ||
|
NydusHerMain
Canada492 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:29 Fidei86 wrote: BTW if Shockey flips town and HF flips scum, you are all going to feel sooooo stupid that you let him argue you out of a red check. yeah......... but I'd feel even worse if HF is town because he's trying soooooooooooo hard. | ||
|
NydusHerMain
Canada492 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:23 Fidei86 wrote: Also, for the post-game cred, I'm going to go for the scum team of HF, Damdred and Shockkey. Rsoult had Ruxx rather than Damdred as the fourth scum, but I'm seeing a Damdred deflect of HF combined with his generally shoddy play this game (in contrast to last game, where he was really strong). Near EoD, can you give a final lynch list? Assuming that list may or may not change. | ||
|
Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
i'm still not mafia and you can yell about the red check all you want but it doesn't change a single fact about how i have played this game and you are just wrong, i have literally no idea why you're all gloaty saying things "oh post game cred!" when you are literally playing abysmally because ALL you are doing is focusing on the red check, you will get 0 credit for me flipping town and instead get a massive MASSIVE wall of text lecture about how you should read the player for yourself instead of basing it on statistics and wifom and a red check | ||
|
Fidei86
United Kingdom2116 Posts
Town: Ruxx LS Me Scum: HF Shock Meh: Damdred Onegu I'm going with Damdred over Onegu because Onegu is useless in every game, whereas Damdred was specifically very helpful in his last game, and has been rubbish in this game. | ||
|
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:29 Fidei86 wrote: BTW if Shockey flips town and HF flips scum, you are all going to feel sooooo stupid that you let him argue you out of a red check. If Shockeyy flips scum we can still possibly lynch him later but not today. | ||
|
NydusHerMain
Canada492 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:32 Fidei86 wrote: So basically I'm at: Town: Ruxx LS Me Scum: HF Shock Meh: Damdred Onegu I'm going with Damdred over Onegu because Onegu is useless in every game, whereas Damdred was specifically very helpful in his last game, and has been rubbish in this game. *cough* T.T *cries* | ||
|
Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
| ||
|
LightningStrike
United States14276 Posts
He just pretty much said you don't exist lol. | ||
|
ShoCkeyy
7815 Posts
| ||
|
Fidei86
United Kingdom2116 Posts
So all I have to rely on is this - with 13 town at the start the odds of you being picked out as the miller are 1/13. Even now, and assuming there is a miller, they are still 1/4. Furthermore, the odds of there both being a framer, and they having framed you on that night, are surely much lower. than 1/4. Therefore, to my mind, the statistics say that you're mafia. Given that I don't really have any good reads on anybody, I see no reason to colour the raw statistics with my own personal bias. You don't have to like it, but there are my reasons. I won't be saying them again, as clearly there is no point in reasoning with you either way. | ||
|
Fidei86
United Kingdom2116 Posts
Haha. I got the numbers wrong *facepalm* I think NHM is town, because of the early game. Totally different to HG. Worthy of a win if it turns out you're actually scum. | ||
|
Holyflare
United Kingdom30774 Posts
On July 01 2015 02:37 Fidei86 wrote: @HF - You say I've played badly this game. I agree. I was not prepared for the massive difference in volume of posts between a 13 player and a 17 player game. So all I have to rely on is this - with 13 town at the start the odds of you being picked out as the miller are 1/13. Even now, and assuming there is a miller, they are still 1/4. Furthermore, the odds of there both being a framer, and they having framed you on that night, are surely much lower. than 1/4. Therefore, to my mind, the statistics say that you're mafia. Given that I don't really have any good reads on anybody, I see no reason to colour the raw statistics with my own personal bias. You don't have to like it, but there are my reasons. I won't be saying them again, as clearly there is no point in reasoning with you either way. q3 tewjhgkewpoiheuiowghueiwa2htq23a0y5 ub-932q 579-23bq 5-023 5-32 rewaitgfewa STOP FUCKING USING STATISTICS JESUS FUCK EVEN THEN A 1/4 CHANCE OF ME BEING MILLER IS HUGE HUGE HUGE HUGE HUGEEEEE 25% is insanely likely in mafia??????????????? if there's a 25% chance i'm miller and i'm playing so super towny and the other 3 people you think are scummy, why the fuck would you rely on the statistics!?!?!??!?!?!? IT DOESN'T MAKE ANY SENSE AT ALL SO STOP DOING IT read my filter read the game read day 2 don't throw the game because you rely on shit statistics because you don't know better | ||
| ||
