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Newbie Student Mafia IX - Page 2

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Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 04 2015 23:08 GMT
#862
I'm kicking myself for not voting 12 hours ago when I first felt like that was the right move. Guess I'll just have to get better at trusting my own reads.

Not sure it woulda made any difference, but now I feel like a fool for being wishy-washy and wasting some time.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 04 2015 23:24 GMT
#877
On May 05 2015 08:14 Half the Sky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 08:13 sicklucker wrote:
Like i dont think a town needs to justify any vote when its 7-3 because your vote literraly is worthless but you sure tried. I think its scummy


This is true. Also I didn't see your response to me regarding Superbia. You made some comments on him and Shining, did you have anything else to add regarding his game play since?


I need to re-read them, especially after EoD, but as I said before I'm not getting anything clear from them. If you just want my current opinions... I don't like how pushy and all over the place Super seems to be. There have been a few decent posts from him but too few and far between. Shining kinda fell off my radar tbh, so I got nothing till I reread.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 04 2015 23:33 GMT
#880
On May 05 2015 08:11 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 08:08 Tictock wrote:
I'm kicking myself for not voting 12 hours ago when I first felt like that was the right move. Guess I'll just have to get better at trusting my own reads.

Not sure it woulda made any difference, but now I feel like a fool for being wishy-washy and wasting some time.


wth was your vote anyway? Not that you acualy did it you had too. But that you acualy tried to justify a useless vote...


Rushed... and not well thought out I suppose.

If you look back in my posts you'll see I had basically the same opinion ~12 hours before EoD. I already explained my thought process as to why I didn't vote then, but now (and even before EoD) I wish I has just gone with gut then.

So my EoD I thought I should explain why I didn't care to join either wagon and go with my only other scum read, even a poor one. I accept that it comes off as scummy, but I'd rather look a little scummy than hop on a wagon I don't believe in.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 05 2015 04:40 GMT
#891
I was supposed to work 7 hours today, ended up doing 12.

I'll be around after I get some sleep, there is no way in hell I'm doing anything remotely like work tomorrow.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 05 2015 21:29 GMT
#1012
On May 06 2015 05:54 prplhz wrote:
i mean i guess ticktock still looks horrible for that vote no matter what alignment he is. he just wasted his vote and then went "oh and by the way i'm not going to do anything until n2".


Huh? Oh look I'm back... well before N2...

I passed out hard after a long day yesterday, just woke up a bit ago and got caught up reading whats happened since.

I'm not surprised you guys don't like me for that vote, I'm disappointing in my EoD as well.

I'll give up guys a post here in a few to walk you through my thinking one last time (also this will answer your question HtS). Then I'm going to start re-reading the thread, and delving into filters. Again, HtS I'll get to your question about Super after I reread his filter.

I'll be around pretty much the rest of the day, so after I get the next post up if anyone still has questions feel free to ask me.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 05 2015 22:04 GMT
#1023
Ok, lets start with HtS's question about this post
On May 04 2015 19:40 Tictock wrote:
I'm having a hard time deciding who I want to vote for as well.

Scott is still the most appealing case, even though I have some doubts.

I'm tempted to make a case against prp but there just isn't enough to go on. I just don't like his dismissive post regarding how he "spams town" normally and says he isn't around. If he is legit too busy to play a town would likely replace, this seems more like a scum excuse to skate by day 1.

Unfortunately that's all I have as prp, as well as several other ppl, just aren't active enough to make real reads on.


As she points out, and I state in an earlier post, at this point I've been having doubts about the scum read on scott. While the votes on him at this point were light, it seemed pretty clear to me that everyone was planning to vote on scott. In my eyes, he was pretty mush for sure to get lynched at this point as there was just no body else under suspicion. So, I wasn't going by vote count, rather the fact that so many people had him scum read and there was no other target. Thus he was already a bandwagon and "too easy" a target even before the votes rolled in.

It was also in this post that I had read everyone's filters and prp's stood out to me. Not only was it SUPER short but there was literally nothing of value in it. The fact that this had slid by everyone else while the focus was on scott seemed wrong to me so I started to focus him and the other inactives.

In hindsight, it would have been better to just throw my vote out on prp here (or soon after), but I was unsure if that would carry much weight as it would basically be a policy vote due to inactivity.

On May 05 2015 07:58 Tictock wrote:
I feel like I'm scrambling so hard against the clock atm. Was supposed to have an extra hour to put some solid thought into this EoD but work had me stay late.

HtS, I know you asked me about an exchange between Super and -c-, but I'm not sure which you are reffering to atm and don't have time to dig and respond to that right now. Sorry.

As I've said, scotts latest posts feel genuine to me. -c- has a pretty solid case but my sense is that -c- joined and jumped on scott's poor play pretty hard. -c- reads as town to me but I think just got tunneled hard on scott. This has left mafia have free reign and has given breathing room to several people who never got pressured into participating due to the focus on scott.

In that regard prp finally comes back and jumps onboard the newly formed HtS wagon. Entire argument is from a meta read and is generally just posting shit.

I'm sticking with my scum read on him.
##Vote: prplhz


So then comes EoD. I got home about 1.5 hours before deadline (again, was planning on being home close to 3 hours to deadline) and tried my best to read everything I had missed and form a better vote. I was able to read everything, including -c-'s full case against scott, but it didn't change my opinion. -c- was still tunneled on the same things, with weak scum reads on his recent posts and scotts own posts continued to read town, though poorly played town (I still wish he hadn't given up to the pressure and tried to defend himself more, but at that point I think he correctly assumed trying to flat out refute the claims against him wasn't going to help and decided to focus on making some reads and playing town).

This left me in pretty much the same boat as where i was before, I no longer believed scott was scum, but HtS was the only other "real" option at the time. I stated in my original post why I didn't agree with that vote either.

So that left prp who I'd been looking at recently anyways. His EoD posts added nothing and I still read scum on him. So I decided to follow my own opinions and vote for prp rather than let my opinions slide and jump on a wagon with everyone else.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 05 2015 22:18 GMT
#1026
Oh I should add before I get lost in reading. I still have prp as my top scum.

He was completely absent all of D1, then appear EoD and suddenly jumps on HtS for some kinda meta read.
On May 05 2015 04:54 prplhz wrote:
okay wtf deadline is tonight

i don't know about scot31337. i got a good feeling about him pointing out that the shining was joking when other people couldn't see it. i also don't feel like lynching into some new guy for hardly any reason, did that way too much in last student mini.

actually i'd much rather lynch hts. hts pointing out last game that it was obvious we were going in the wrong direction when we lynched a new guy for the third day in a row but now she doesn't mind continuing for a fourth day in a row? i don't know the cases on scot31337 don't speak to me at all and one of them is by celestial that i also have a bad feeling about (that people don't share for some reason).

also hts is scum reading me for saying shining's entrance was super odd, but she's not scum reading the people who felt the same thing about it? FF ritoky super felt the same way, why is she picking me out of all players?

##Vote Half The Sky


Basically dismissing the whole scott case because of a joke, and going after HtS of all people due to her going with the scott case.

After EoD he totally drops HtS and does this.
On May 05 2015 23:52 prplhz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 23:33 Superbia wrote:
Stutters, you were obviously around at EoD. You responded to my ninja ping out within seconds. You were lurking. Why the fuck would you lurk at EoD if you were town?

this*1000



On May 05 2015 23:53 prplhz wrote:
i actually think stutters is best lynch tomorrow just for that single thing


Still so quick to jump on anyone. He goes back and forth on me regarding my EoD vote but doesn't really add anything new to that. Honestly of his whole filter I find one post that has any merit.
On May 06 2015 04:10 prplhz wrote:
dunno i think ticktock looks horrible for throwing away his vote like that and stutters for staying around during deadline and not say anything other than some overly aggressive remark at superbia... and i still hts has a major logical dissonanse in how she's scum reading me for something she's not scumreading other people for. it doesn't even make sense so say i'm scum because of a remark i made that like 3 other people agreed with, obviously we're not all scum.

but lol hts is kind of right, i'm just scum reading everybody who is scum reading me. gonna trust my town reads and try to read more into the people who are just hanging out in the middle of everything.


So yea, I'll be carrying my vote from D1 into D2.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 05 2015 22:30 GMT
#1031
On May 06 2015 07:24 Half the Sky wrote:
Tictock, there are 3 scummers in this game. Do you have any insights on who you feel are the other two? (or if you posted/inferred somewhere, can you quote?)


At this point I'm re-reading and waiting to see how N1 turns out. Early D2 I will give everyone my reads, assuming I don't bite it in the night here first ofc.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 01:41 GMT
#1074
Ok this took longer than I thought but here goes...

-Celestial- Clear town read. He saw something scummy about scott and went after it, scott made himself look worse and so -c- tunneled him hard. All his posts are full of detailed thought and analysis. I like him questioning my EoD and vote so hard because it was out of place.

y0su I was weakly town reading him before, but he's starting to look really scummy when I look at his filter. He is asking questions and staying somewhat active, but he is never reaching any conclusions.
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 04 2015 02:41 y0su wrote:
well, that's the problem, look at the biggest back and forth we've had: -c- vs scott.

-c- came in with what I feel was a very bold 1st post (list) that bugged me. why would he pick 3 scum out of the active players and and let others slide just because he didn't have a read (afk/low post count)?

he had some decent points, but was it all to put on pressure or to start swaying people?

without experience, it doesn't feel like something town would do (and this is -c-'s 2nd game afaik)

that followed into the rather aggressive finger pointing with scott.

I had a weird feel from him from the start and non of what -c- said helped him... but again it just feels like "an easy target" to try to get people to bandwagon.

...but all that leaves me is not wanting to vote for either one (yet).

That quote is the closest he gets to really questioning somebody's allignment and he eventually drops it based on what HtS says (not his own analysis he claims to be doing). Also once he drops his questioning of -c- here he votes for scott without ever giving any more reasoning or thought to the game. All of that just stinks of scum to me.

disformation I was reading him town before and still do. He is engaged, making reads, and asking questions. I was interested to see if I saw anything in his filter, especially after scott threw his dying vote on him. Even after a couple of reads on dis' filter I couldn't find anything that read as scum to me, and scott's reasoning upon reflection was shit. I'll add it in here just in case anyone wants to check it, but i think we can throw away gleaning anything from scott's vote on disformation.
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 04 2015 03:53 scott31337 wrote:
disinformation - + Show Spoiler +
On May 03 2015 10:42 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2015 10:33 Superbia wrote:
Z. New player comes into thread with canned post. Asks others what to look for while he has a coach to ask this. Feels like a dumbtell-ish planned post (and therefore scummy). The fact that he admits that this kind of post was sort of planned feels townie.

It's not optimal to ask other players because you are in the game with them. I'm not going to be able to give straight up advice because I am unsure of his alignment.


Thank you very much.
Clarified your stance much better.

Show nested quote +
On May 03 2015 10:33 ritoky wrote:
don't you have town reads on people like shining for being active, pushing, and questioning. explain to me why what superbia is doing is different from shining.


Well, yes.
But this post:

Show nested quote +
On May 03 2015 09:45 Superbia wrote:
Actually I'll let you guys do this one and observe for now. :D


Just raises a red flag for me. As I said earlier I have an idea how this could be town motivated. But I don't really see it.

Show nested quote +
On May 03 2015 10:35 ritoky wrote:
also that post had no smileys -.-


Damn. Forgot. =D
Have some more:

Mentioning he was going to post lots of smileys - then his next post, he has none - and then tried to add some extras in the post afterwards - honestly forgot?



ritoky
I might be leaning a little scum here but he seems neutral to me atm. I don't like his initial jump on towning prp just because they agree on one read, he does rethink it later though when prp is clearly inactive. He made a small poke at me regarding my post when I was unsure how to vote, but he didn't seem to care about my response and even posted a quote of it for HtS while never reacting to it himself. Maybe I gave him a really good answer and he just went with it.

The Shining
I'm not sure what to think on him, he's pretty inactive thus far and never stood out as taking a stance on anybody. I think he got a bit flustered early on (perhaps too easily?) and that's why he hasn't posted much, but that's not an excuse. I also find it interesting that he initially defended scott as town but ended up voting on him anyways. I guess he's actually scum leaning for me, but I'd like more out of him.

Half the Sky A very clear town read for me. Like -c- is very active and engaged, giving lots of reasoning in her posts and doing a great job poking people to get answers and further her reads. The main argument I see in the scum reads against her is that she's not as town as usual? Really guys? Shows why I don't like meta reads, gives people out of game excuses for weird votes and doesn't focus on what is happening THIS game. Sorry to derail my read with that, but she's so town I though I should fill out my read ^.^

Superbia OMG what a complex read on this guy, I've settled on neutral but I see why there are some scum reads on him. First, he is so all over the place. I'm not sure if this is a style of play he has that creates lots of pressure or if it's scum trowing things all over the place to see what sticks. I'm tempted to think it's a style of pressure playing though, and he does follow through with what he does. I see him perusing people on things a lot, a good example is how he spends almost a full page trying to understand FF's read on me. Part of this comes off badly though. Like he's doing things for little or no reason, or just wants to strong arm people into his thinking. + Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 07:41 Superbia wrote:
The whole wagon is pretty fucking scummy while the HtS wagon is pure as fuck.

On May 05 2015 07:55 Superbia wrote:
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS.

Yet, I also see him continue the ruthless pressuring while he does this. + Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 07:49 Superbia wrote:
Why is this the best wagon? Why are you voting for him over others?


Super has the longest filter of anyone here, which is both good and bad. Good because there is a lot to go off of to try and read him. Bad because a lot of his posts come off as spammy one liners. It is hard to follow his train of thought. He did offer this at one point. + Show Spoiler +
On May 04 2015 10:08 Superbia wrote:
All right. Since it's my birthday tomorrow it is likely that I will not be around, not even for EoD, alas. I will try to be, but no promises.

I will post where I'm at at this point in time:

Town:
Ritoky
Fecalfeast

Lean Town:
y0su - Filter feels natural. Really liked the question regarding ritoky's transition from loopiness to serious.

Null(ish):
prplhz: I am conflicted. On the one hand I liked his very early d1 jokey behaviour and his ping on shining. On the other hand, he asks me what I think of celestial, even though I was one of the most outspoken persons when it came to celestial (feels like he isn't paying attention). Also hasn't really done anything.

scott: Meh. I need to really interact with the dude but I haven't done so. He cleared his thought process on the HtS thing, which feels natural. I had him as town before that because he felt like he was relaxed, but I'm not comfortable putting him on the town pile due to a healthy dose of suspicion (e.g. the whole trusting the shining debacle).

Lean Scum:
disinformation - Promises to read filters with no real result (imo). This post looks really weird:
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 03 2015 19:56 disformation wrote:ritoky:
Your two pushes so were were easy pushes on me and y0su, both of which are newbies. Coincidence or looking for easy misslynches?
You also seem to be defensive of superbia. Scum mate of yours?
.
disinformation calls y0su a misslynch, but does not have any opinion on y0su in his filter. TMI.

The Shining - Meh. I've said stuff about him before which kinda holds. His aggressiveness towards me feels kinda townish, as I don't really expect mafia to be aggro towards me (big ego), but they still might. His filter content wise feels very similar to his town filters, but he seems very bitter and sardonic this game, while in his other town games he is decently jokey and relaxed. Bitterness is a mafia tell. I am hesitant because this purely comes from his interactions with me.

Sicklucker - NEEDS TO START DOING SHIT. WHO IS MAFIA AND WHY?

WTF:
Half the Sky - Half assed scum-read on a town (from my perspective), then leaves thread. What?



Rest is null though I may have forgotten some.

I actually like the thoughts he posts here, they have good points and he gives thoughts on people that lean both ways while still reaching a conclusion. In fact there are plenty of examples of Super leading the thread in the right direction, and giving town ideas of what we should do. + Show Spoiler +
On May 04 2015 10:20 Superbia wrote:
Rest of the day, town, this is your plan of approach.

Pressure:
- SL: needs to do shit (i.e. give reads).
- HtS: needs to do shit (i.e. give reads).
- prp: needs to do shit (i.e. give reads).
- The Shining: needs to not be defensive anymore and give reads on essentially everyone.
- disinformation: ask why he thought y0su was a "misslynch". Pressure into giving reads. Watch for TMI.
- Scott: Hard reads on pretty much everyone with a conclusion.

Pointers:
- Celestial: stop tunneling.
- Rest: Post thoughts. Come to hard conclusions. Don't be afraid to be wrong.

On May 04 2015 10:21 Superbia wrote:
Form TWO wagons. Not one.

That is pretty strong town play imo.

So yea, I'm still neutral on Super. There is a lot going on with this guy and I'm not sure I like the way he is doing things. Still I see a lot of town motivation in what he does. Yea I might give him a town lean even.

prplhz I've been reading him scum since late D1, as everyone should know I already made a case here. He's looking a little more active recently, but will need to do a lot of work to change my opinion from his D1.

sicklucker Has really done nothing all game. He got a little worked up about my D1 vote and then went back to casually posting nothing.

Stutters695 He did nothing D1, offered small reason why he agreed scott was town and like me voted right at the EoD. I'd be reading more scum on him but he claimed to be playing in 2 games before (which I'm starting to wonder how you could do and keep things straight) and he has become more active lately. Really it's just the fact that he is showing interest now that is keeping him off a scum read for such a poor D1.

Good god that took forever to post up properly.

I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 02:25 GMT
#1076
While I'm being active here I'll go ahead and do some EoD analysis. So quick reminder of the votes.
On May 05 2015 08:00 cakepie wrote:
FINAL VOTE COUNT:


scott31337 (8) : -Celestial-, sicklucker, disformation, Half the Sky, y0su, FecalFeast, The Shining, Stutters695
Half the Sky (3) : Superbia (X), ritoky, prplhz, Superbia
disformation (1) : scott31337
prplhz (1) : Tictock
-Celestial- (0) : Superbia (X)
sicklucker (0) : The Shining (X), scott31337 (X), Superbia (X)


So I mentioned this in my EoD post/vote but up till now I don't think our Mafia has been active much. Town got focused on scott early on and so mafia stayed back and let scott be our only real target. The HtS wagon right at the end seemed more of a policy wagon (that's a thing right?) to have more than one person being voted for, but that's also kinda flimsy and it's worth noting when and how people voted HtS I think. Scott's votes are a little more throwaway imo, the read and case on him was pretty good and he gave up defending himself far too early so it was an easy vote on him. I'm not ignoring them or anything I just think scott was an easy person for town to vote on and an easy wagon for mafia to hide on. I'm still looking at people who joined that wagon as sheep.

As for the HtS votes, we have ritoky, prplhz, and Superbia were on that wagon.

ritoky had voiced concerns about HtS since she joined in. I'm not sure they are solid or not but I can understand him joining this vote from his reads on HtS as well as wanting to start a 2nd train.

prplhz, joins the discussion after being absent for about 40hours and posts this.
On May 05 2015 04:54 prplhz wrote:
okay wtf deadline is tonight

i don't know about scot31337. i got a good feeling about him pointing out that the shining was joking when other people couldn't see it. i also don't feel like lynching into some new guy for hardly any reason, did that way too much in last student mini.

actually i'd much rather lynch hts. hts pointing out last game that it was obvious we were going in the wrong direction when we lynched a new guy for the third day in a row but now she doesn't mind continuing for a fourth day in a row? i don't know the cases on scot31337 don't speak to me at all and one of them is by celestial that i also have a bad feeling about (that people don't share for some reason).

also hts is scum reading me for saying shining's entrance was super odd, but she's not scum reading the people who felt the same thing about it? FF ritoky super felt the same way, why is she picking me out of all players?

##Vote Half The Sky


Basically says he doesn't care about the scott case and wont listen to it. Makes a read totally based on other games (not even sure if that's meta) and since HtS is scum reading him. Pretty trash, but I will admit the obvious scum play here would be to just vote scott. I'm not impressed enough to consider that a sign of town, but it seems bold to start a new train near EoD as scum.

Superbia never seemed to be on board the case against scott so I'm not surprised he didn't vote for him. Given that he was also one of the people pushing for a second target and even suggested HtS before anyone else (I think, proof?+ Show Spoiler +
On May 04 2015 10:32 Superbia wrote:
The Shining, that's fine. I'm just not comfortable calling you null or town and I feel I need to give town a proper direction at this point in time. If anything try to ignore pressure and just post what you want to post from this point on. Give your thoughts on everyone etc.

As for HtS, I vote for pressure at this point in time. I have no way to back up my vote or pressure tomorrow, so meh. I just hope I'll be around to put down a definitive vote. I probably will be able to.
). His vote on HtS seems pretty consistent with his reads and motivations.

I suppose I'm not convinced the votes really give us too much info right now. But maybe I'm missing something or somebody has a better analysis than I do.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 02:35 GMT
#1077
I'd like to hear from ritoky, what is your read on prp going into D2?

Also The Shining, man you haven't given us much to work with. Care to share your reads going into D2.

Those of you who used excuses to skim by D1 (looking at Stutters, SL, and prp), really need to step it up and give us something real to go on.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 03:12 GMT
#1078
Just realized I left off part of my voting analysis.

The voters for scott: -Celestial-, sicklucker, disformation, Half the Sky, y0su, FecalFeast, The Shining, and Stutters695

-Clestial- made a clear case and was following his reads. Obv vote

sicklucker ugh, I don't like his vote here seems pretty suspect and at best pure sheep. He mentioned not liking scott right after the initial scott voting (where he started to make himself look scum) fiasco, but here is his EoD stuff related to voting. + Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 00:50 sicklucker wrote:
So we def kill scott. Then if he flips scum we def kill super. If not maybe hts? I donno this seems solid tho
On May 05 2015 00:52 sicklucker wrote:
I can honestly bury him but I dont think its needed and you will all just think im bussing. But I really do think scott has been scum since my third post
On May 05 2015 06:53 sicklucker wrote:
Pro tips its easy because hes mafia!

On May 05 2015 06:58 sicklucker wrote:
Acualy scotts last post makes me think he might be town

On May 05 2015 07:51 sicklucker wrote:
i might switch!

On May 05 2015 07:57 sicklucker wrote:
no ones switching anyway. Boring

That's about the shittiest way to vote I can think of.

disformation gives us clear reasons why he votes scott, is not just sheep + Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 07:19 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 07:09 Superbia wrote:
Thoughts. Right now. Why are people voting scott? What are everyone's thoughts on HtS?


Main reason I am on the scott train:

Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 00:43 disformation wrote:
As what I really disliked:

When -c- confronted him about posting misinformation he first is really aggressive:
On May 03 2015 12:16 scott31337 wrote:
So why are you reacting on the HtS vote so much when I did vote for sicklucker? He had his two posts? Is he your scumbuddy and not wanting to draw attention to? But HtS is free reign, eh?


And then after he notices that -c- has a solid point on him he suddenly becomes ultra defensive:

On May 03 2015 12:31 scott31337 wrote:
You are right - I did not check it until afterwards. I did not re-read the pre-game excuses until afterwards. That was my fault. I got better backing when I roll scum anyway - I wouldn't have made such a dumb mistake.

We have plenty of time - we will have convincing arguments for you


a) That switch puts me off really hard.
b) That is a "too scum to be scum, please?" argument, which I am not buying at that point.


+ I read the case from -c- three times and I found it to be rock solid.

HtS:
Leaning town on HtS. So she has probably pocketed me already. =p
But I thought she was trying hard to make up lost time today. Also a lot of the reads prplhz and rikoty towards her are tone or meta reads that may simply do not function given she didn't have enough time. I'd say to give her at least one day, to see if she will really put out some great reads.

Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 05:51 ritoky wrote:
no because you haven't followed through. mind you i don't think he has posted since, but if he came back and posted about other stuff and ignored you; i am not confident you would press him on ignoring you.


Like. I don't even know what this is supposed to be.



Half the Sky actually suprised me with fairly weak voting logic, + Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 07:57 Half the Sky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2015 07:54 Superbia wrote:
HtS why are you voting scott? What did his last post do to your read? What do you think of disformation waffling?

Make it short pls. :D


My reasons for voting scott were from what I presented before - he didn't even have a read on you before voting him when he first voted me.

His claiming VT holds nothing to me. It's NAI - I've seen people do that as both alignments. I questioned him on why he thought disinformation was a better lynch.

Waffling and committing to a read though does not look good at all, it is a scumlike behaviour.
all of this besides the VT claim is old news and reads to me as sheeping -c-'s case.

y0su seemed to be unsure of the case against scott simply because he distrusted -c-, after HtS defended -c- as town y0su dropped the whole thing and sheeped

FF RIP good sir

The Shining sheeped this one imo. It doesn't seem to me like he thinks scott is scum,+ Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 04:24 The Shining wrote:
Still no Scott defense. Yeah, I could vote him, too. I'm sorry, I definitely avoided this game last night. I was a bit cranky and didn't want to let it get any worse. =/

Super's birthday excuse is valid but it really gives me butterflies that it just happened to excuse him for EoD. While he has a "pressure" vote on SL. How much pressure is pressure if you say it's pressure and then proceed to say you likely won't have a way of backing up your pressure or vote? It's wasted pressure, wasted vote and Scott at the time looked like the wagon that would gain traction. And it has.

As for Scott, I agree with the points made against him. And if it were any other player, I'd be worried about no one defending him but if he is in fact scum, it would mean he rolled scum every game he's played here. I could understand the lack of defense, lack of posting, possible lack of motivation as someone who is tired of rolling scum as a newbie.
but never did anything to get better information.

Stutters695 was not very active D1 and was expecting to find him as another sheep, but + Show Spoiler +
On May 05 2015 04:47 Stutters695 wrote:
Anyway, main reason I'm down for a scott lynch is his read on prpl. He has him as scummy then drops it to null when he still hadn't posted. If anything it should make him scummier. Additionally, leaving me off completely is weird when from someone who doesn't know me, I should be in the same boat as the other lurkers.

Not to mention unvoting his scum read and not having anything else in mind before bouncing.
actually offers his own reasoning why scott is scum.

As for the oddball votes. I talked about scott's vote on dis in my dis read a few posts ago. The summary was that it didn't look like it held any weight and was just scott throwing his vote on someone. Why he didn't at least put it on HtS near the end is wierd, but I find nothing to suggest that scott has some kinda deep read on dis.

Lastly was of course my own vote on prp. Which I've already tried to explain in some detail.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 03:21 GMT
#1079
I realize the irony of making my own vote so late and with little backing it up, then giving analysis on everyone else's votes. Hoping to see what people think of it though.

So given what I learned from EoD and the current state of my reads...

##Vote: prplhz
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 04:21 GMT
#1082
Does that mean that your starting to suspect -c- again y0su? Now that scott flipped town and it was largely -c- that lead the case against him.

What sort of reads do you have now that there are 2 fewer people to look at?
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 06 2015 19:21 GMT
#1248
Going to have to stop reading at the end of p58 so I can still post and make it to work.

I'm not sure I 100% follow SL's logic on his play (or idea) here. Guess I will read read the setup rules and his logic later at work and ponder it more. Initially, I don't like that it is ALL that he is pushing here. It might be a good play, but his entire argument and logic can easily be scum driven to avoid suspicion and get people focused on Super.

My read on Super is unchanged, though it looks like I might be missing when he joins in for the day.

I have a few other thoughts, but I'll just leave that for now. I'd like to get caught up before I start rethinking my reads.

I'll be reading as I can during work, but likely wont be posting till I get home.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 07 2015 04:56 GMT
#1397
Home from work, catching up the past few pages I wasn't able to read at work.

Will be around the next few hours.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 07 2015 05:10 GMT
#1398
This bugged me when I first read it, and I'm still not following ritoky's logic here.

On May 07 2015 03:23 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2015 02:50 ritoky wrote:
On May 07 2015 02:39 Half the Sky wrote:
On May 07 2015 02:30 ritoky wrote:
hts you think that 2 of the 4 people who didn't vote on a townie d1 are mafia? and that of those 4, me and disform are the most town?

think about it in that light.


I think I understand you. You're saying that is it possible that 2 scum voted me....but disinformation voted Scott. Wagon was 3 votes on me, you sup and prp.

I'm trying to avoid associations. It is possible that scum can form counterwagon to remove attention from themselves, though Superbia did that when the wagon on Scott was high. He wasn't invested in the Scott lynch at all. So this is a point in favour of him.

D2 I didn't just have a problem with one quote, I have problems with multiple things. If he can explain that, then it's one thing.

prplhz on the other hand looked really bad. I don't recall him being invested in that lynch, but he was trying to push me from the backseat (unlike you and Superbia).

I'm not scumreading disinformation (yet). I picked his brain a little and he's looking okay for now.

On May 07 2015 02:30 ritoky wrote:
also i am pretty sure a literal 0 amount of people have called superbia town this game. maybe 1. so the lynch seems a lot easier to me with multiple people essentially pre-voting.


For what I recall, there are three people that scummed him relatively solidly. That's hardly a majority.

Celestial did D1 but it was associative, and now he's not sure. Stutters and myself had problems with him, and I still do. The newbies - I have no idea where they stand. Shining - no clue if his reads have changed. You I thought townread him.


i think if 2 mafia didn't vote on the lead wagon, which is unlikely because the majority of mafia statistically votes on the lead wagon day 1. then it is likely disform + prp/superb. i doubt they would consolidate on the 3 man counterwagon, the association is too strong. however, statistically speaking there is likely 1 outside of the main wagon and 2 inside of it, from a numbers perspective.

and your read right there on disform is exactly what i am talking about. people keep giving him cheap town reads.


dood...i fucked this up so bad in my spreadsheet. i swapped ticktock and disform. god damnit, my spreadsheet skills are a d+ this game, that's what i get when i take a month off.

EBWOP: disform + prp/superb -> ticktock + prp/superb


I agree with his initial logic, that there is likely 2 mafia in the main wagon and one outside, and that 2 out and 1 in is far less likely. But then his conclusion is that the mafia team is super, prp, and myself? That's totally outside what your whole post was saying since each of us were outside the scott wagon. Care to explain what I'm missing ritoky?


I'm also really tired of seeing you sneak this statement into your posts,
On May 07 2015 07:04 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2015 06:47 The Shining wrote:
On May 07 2015 06:41 ritoky wrote:
on phone so don't have much capabilities of posting quality info.

but i think there's at least 1 between ticktock and prp. and 1 between y0su and shining.


Would love to see you come back when not on mobile and actually explain this. Because I'm in your filter right now and this isn't what I'm seeing.

Do tell.


ticktock and prp, 1 mafia probably voting outside of the main wagon. as of now superbia is null with town indicators. i am confirmed town. this leaves ticktock and prp. prp is role or mafia. ticktock wasted his vote.

y0su's reason for greening me is bad. his reads are too conformy, and i don't buy his remorse and what i said would have changed his vote line all that much. you fighting with him and bit and pushing on eachother doesn't feel like 2 town fighting. 1 of you is mafia. for you being mafia, would take more time and capabilities to explain.


You sir are confirmed nothing, and each time I see you try to make that statement you smell more and more of scum.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 07 2015 05:41 GMT
#1399
I'm rereading SL's argument about lynching super based off his claim he was RB'd. Unfortunately I have to admit, I'm not really following the math on that. It's obviously 50% chance that he's scum or not (we all have those odds against us from a totally uninformed perceptive) I don't see why it being a good Mafia play to claim RB raises those chances 25%. Must be too advanced a play for me to understand atm.

Still I hate that SL is just focusing on this sole argument and claims to be unwavering in it now. Hearing some vetern's say that this is how he has played as town before makes me facepalm. It's not bad to make use of mechanical plays to aid your cause but they should never be your sole factor when voting as it's a pure numbers game. I like y0su's quote regarding this "figures don't lie, but liers do the figuring" it's pretty apt especially in this situation.

At best his whole argument here is NAI but the fact that SL is willing to spend the first half of D2 suggesting this while making no effort to make other reads or participate, especially after his already poor D1, leaves him dripping red in my book.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 07 2015 05:43 GMT
#1400
Anyone else around? I keep feeling like I'm all alone in here when I actually have time to be part of a discussion.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 07 2015 06:27 GMT
#1404
Oh hey! I thought I was alone and went off to play other games.

So in that ~hour, I did exactly what I said I would do. Finished reading/catching up.

Your right, I didn't look at your return to the thread much. Nothing stood out in my initial read through, besides the points I already commented on. I'll be sure to make sure and take a look at what you've done since getting back here, I need to re-read a lot of what happened while I was busy.

As for ritoky, I actually missed you calling him out on using "confirmed town" so you can claim sheep if you want but I was bugged by that all on my own. I'm clearly asking him to clear up the vote logic thing kus as I said it makes no sense to me how he came up with that scum team. I'm also clearly saying he looks scum for the "confirmed town" thing.

You sure your reading my posts?
I can take that responsibility.
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