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Noir Mini Mafia: Chapter 3 - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 22:44 GMT
#587
BH deserves to be lynched for not posting the British Empire Mafia post-game analysis anyway.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 22:48 GMT
#591
@Arsoul Yeah, I'm aware of that. If he felt any of his reasons weren't good though, I'd imagine he'd have said something along the lines of "I didn't think of that" but your arguments weren't really bringing anything new to the table. I can't imagine that with the strength in the words he was saying he'd be swayed by what you said.

Also, as for your meta read on Trfel... You claimed to have a strong meta read for LS too, then you proceeded to misread him twice when he rolled scum twice. I'm sorry, but I don't hold too much faith in that.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 22:49 GMT
#592
On April 23 2015 07:45 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2015 07:44 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
BH deserves to be lynched for not posting the British Empire Mafia post-game analysis anyway.

So you consent to the BH lynch, Artanis?

or...?

I don't oppose it. I honestly have no idea what he'll flip but a bunch of people look townier and I don't think I'll ever be confident in reading him as town so him going today is fine.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 22:52 GMT
#595
On April 23 2015 07:51 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2015 07:48 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
@Arsoul Yeah, I'm aware of that. If he felt any of his reasons weren't good though, I'd imagine he'd have said something along the lines of "I didn't think of that" but your arguments weren't really bringing anything new to the table. I can't imagine that with the strength in the words he was saying he'd be swayed by what you said.

Also, as for your meta read on Trfel... You claimed to have a strong meta read for LS too, then you proceeded to misread him twice when he rolled scum twice. I'm sorry, but I don't hold too much faith in that.


lol the fucking difference here artanis is i've actually caught truffle as scum and as 3rd party, so you can be high-and-mighty about the fact that i've been wrong on people before if you want...and i probably will be again, and probably on truffle, too...but that doesn't undermine the accuracy at reading him that i've shown up to this point

Didn't you catch LS as mafia in his first game too?

I'm not getting high-and-mighty at all. I'm simply pointing out that you've been wrong plenty of times before, so saying "I'm telling you he isn't scum" is not very convincing to me. I need reasons.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:00 GMT
#599
On April 23 2015 07:53 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2015 07:52 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 23 2015 07:51 rsoultin wrote:
On April 23 2015 07:48 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
@Arsoul Yeah, I'm aware of that. If he felt any of his reasons weren't good though, I'd imagine he'd have said something along the lines of "I didn't think of that" but your arguments weren't really bringing anything new to the table. I can't imagine that with the strength in the words he was saying he'd be swayed by what you said.

Also, as for your meta read on Trfel... You claimed to have a strong meta read for LS too, then you proceeded to misread him twice when he rolled scum twice. I'm sorry, but I don't hold too much faith in that.


lol the fucking difference here artanis is i've actually caught truffle as scum and as 3rd party, so you can be high-and-mighty about the fact that i've been wrong on people before if you want...and i probably will be again, and probably on truffle, too...but that doesn't undermine the accuracy at reading him that i've shown up to this point

Didn't you catch LS as mafia in his first game too?

I'm not getting high-and-mighty at all. I'm simply pointing out that you've been wrong plenty of times before, so saying "I'm telling you he isn't scum" is not very convincing to me. I need reasons.


i've given reasons several times. if you're ignoring them, that's on you

Several times? This is the only one I can find ctrl-f'ing truffle in your filter.

On April 23 2015 06:25 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 23 2015 06:17 WaveofShadow wrote:
On April 23 2015 06:15 rsoultin wrote:
On April 23 2015 06:10 WaveofShadow wrote:
He scum read Trfel.
And actually as I recall that read is mostly based on meta and contrary to your read soniv kind of interested to see how that plays out.

Also don't quite get that yamato read Trfel.


well, that's easy, wave lol >< i'm right

the really question is whether or not it's reasonable for artie to be wrong about truffle and still town

(truffle is a super easy read imo)

meh guess i should actually read artanis' filter :/

I dunno I guess maybe i should appreciate your 100 percent correct t rate on Trfel but it's a pretty nebulous read/concept for me to have to accept in a game based in cases/evidence.


if you don't like meta and you don't like tone i'm kinda wasting my time detailing it anyway, with the added issue of perhaps alerting truffle to what the red flags in his play are when he's scum/3rd party...

i don't mind going more in depth, but if you just look at his play here you see the effort he's been putting in (sporadically, but still) coupled with an almost carelessness about how others read his actions...the voting gooberliness, mainly

plus i think it's actually quite townie for someone to go...hey guys i'm writing a case on x...oh nevermind there's really not anything there that definitively makes x scum

Which I guess I can work with. He's only played one scumgame according to the DB so far though (Student) where he got copchecked as scum on D2. Not much to work with, especially since I coached him that game and gave him a bunch of tips I'd expect him to incorporate into his play.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:04 GMT
#601
Meh, as 3rd party you don't really have a team. I'd consider that different.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:29 GMT
#612
On April 23 2015 08:13 rsoultin wrote:
meh ><

i kinda hate this cause people asking me about tone/meta reads is not something i'm good at explaining. i kept yelling at people to lynch rayn in guardians but my explanation wasn't good enough for anyone xP naturally he was scum

nnnnnn

so when i think of town truffle i think of a truffle who is not afraid of how he looks

- silly votes on artie and unvoting to become the hammer vote on bh

when i think of town truffle, i think of a truffle whose reads tend to change a lot until he starts tunneling

- the read progressions on you and yamato that you both found "odd"...example of tunneling would be tere ><

when i think of town truffle, i think of a sarcastic twit lol ><

- this is where i started townreading him:

Show nested quote +
On April 22 2015 05:48 Trfel wrote:
On April 22 2015 05:46 rsoultin wrote:
On April 22 2015 05:41 Trfel wrote:
On April 22 2015 05:37 rsoultin wrote:
On April 22 2015 05:30 WaveofShadow wrote:
Yeah jsut fucking do it already.
Every single game. Literally EVERY game I start i contribute in every possible way I can and people call me scum for it. It's so goddamn silly.

Like...fucking meta but show me one game where i don't complain.
ANY GAME.


when i call you scum, wave, you'll know it -flicks- talk to me about the truffle post. you're the one who wanted to talk about things
I'll talk to you about the truffle post if you want!

I thought that it was a really well-constructed post. Especially the part about why WaveofShadow is town,


lol ><

the part about he'd know if he was looking at his scum QT and he definitely would check his scum QT and his scum partner definitely wouldn't be inactive? xP

oh yes, it was amazing, truffle

-golf claps-
Oh, why thank you! I always knew I was amazing, but now I know why!

In all seriousness, what do you make of Blazinghand so far?


when i think of a town truffle, i think of a devil's advocate, much like breshke

- there are several instances where he argued the opposite point of view as a possibility, if not necessarily what he himself believed

^ that is what makes up my read on a town truffle, and i don't know how to make that helpful to the rest of the thread. i've been very successful with it

Need to think this over, but since the only choice is between no lynching and lynching BH for today that can wait for a sec.

There's this sequence of posts of BH where he complains about people calling his case a narrative, then follows it up by asking what a "narrative" is. He does put it under quotations suggesting he meant the way we use the word, but I still find it odd he refers to it as something where he knows what it is first, then suddenly doesn't know.
+ Show Spoiler [posts] +
On April 23 2015 00:07 Blazinghand wrote:
Complain about context or narratives all you want, Damdred has never shown a shred of town motivation or logic yo his read progression. If my truth is too much for you then lynch me and behold the spectacle of your incompetence. I suppose the time when one could only be available for five hours per day have passed, even though I have possibly written and thought about this game more than everyone else. I will not bow to your disgusting threats. I will not be coerced into becoming something worse for your twisted ideals.

If I'm alive when I get home I'll save us all. Otherwise, should I die for your ignorance, I will view the departure with as much relief as disgust.

On April 23 2015 00:27 Blazinghand wrote:
what's a "narrative"

wtf

it's a post by post analysis, of course it's "narrative", I'm literally narrating what the dude did, how is that even an objection to it. that's like saying "it's a case" therefore it's bad
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:32 GMT
#614
On April 23 2015 08:29 Palmar wrote:
Breshke is my #1 town

He 's been my #1 town since before it was cool.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:35 GMT
#616
He was my #1 town before the game even began.
On April 20 2015 21:00 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2015 20:41 WaveofShadow wrote:
Be careful what you wish for Artanis :D

I actually like playing with Breshke though, found him quite reasonable in the last game we played.
Show nested quote +
On April 20 2015 20:56 marvellosity wrote:
that's Palmar's strat sorted then

Now you're making me sad.

Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:51 GMT
#625
I'm probably not going to die regardless so eh.
I'm actually kinda happy that tomorrow will be silent since I have work on thursday this week.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 22 2015 23:56 GMT
#628
Wave, could you explain why you completely trust me?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 24 2015 13:54 GMT
#705
I definitely don't want to lynch Yamato today or probably any day. His mafia game is much worse than what he's shown so far and he cares too much.

Damdred's Trfel case is bad. Doubt is a town trait for Trfel. What I'm more worried about is that he artifically inserted doubt when I pointed out how his read on me was too strong for his normal towngame, and thus became more doubtful in general.

What's stopping me from going full yolo on a Trfel lynch is that he feels very reasonable. He keeps re-evaluating me (even though I don't understand at all how he comes to his conclusions, on me at least) and seems to be very fluid in his reads, which is something that's very difficult as scum.

I think I want to lynch Palmar today. Trfel said he's been trolling, but I feel like Palmar hasn't really trolled as much as not giving a shit. He's pushed Wave mostly without much reasoning and has just not given a lot of shits about anything else. He made this one terrible list post that didn't have any reasons which Marv once told me is a hallmark of his scumgame (and he hasn't posted any reads lists as town since Imperial whilst he has as scum). His 'town meta' of not doing anything is easily replicable as scum. He's been townread for it before, I see no reason why he wouldn't attempt to replicate it as town.

There's no reason to read Palmar as town, his unsubstantiated reads list is scummy and he hasn't truly trolled in a way that causes people to rise up against him. It's been calculated play.
##Vote Palmar
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 24 2015 16:49 GMT
#718
On April 25 2015 01:42 Damdred wrote:
I'll reread there interactions but I don't think it looks mafiaxmafia.
I thought Yamato looked good early decent activity ok content, waves picked up later

What is this? Why are you instantly trying to look at them as a scumteam instead of looking at if they're scum individually? What's this unflipped association thing?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 24 2015 16:52 GMT
#719
Also, Palmar, are you just going to stop evaluating other people because you think you've found the two scum? Are you that certain in your reads?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 24 2015 17:02 GMT
#722
On April 25 2015 01:58 Damdred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 25 2015 01:49 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On April 25 2015 01:42 Damdred wrote:
I'll reread there interactions but I don't think it looks mafiaxmafia.
I thought Yamato looked good early decent activity ok content, waves picked up later

What is this? Why are you instantly trying to look at them as a scumteam instead of looking at if they're scum individually? What's this unflipped association thing?


palmar asked a specific question and I answered it

He asked you why you think they're town. He didn't ask if you think they're mafia together.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 24 2015 23:20 GMT
#730
On April 25 2015 07:32 Trfel wrote:
Sorry, I'm not going to be around for the deadline.

I'm fairly confident that at least one of my townreads is mafia, I'll take another look at them soon.

What makes you say this?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 25 2015 10:41 GMT
#738
##Unvote
Palmar reacted pretty much exactly how I'd expect Town!Palmar to reply. Uncompromising and in your face whilst still doing stuff.
Need to think about Yamato.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 25 2015 18:09 GMT
#765
Meta is great though. Especially when you apply it incorrectly and presume that since Marv once told you that Yamato is absolutely terrible at scum, you figure he can't have 4 pages so far and have pushed some things.

Actually a problem I see in his filter is that he's droning on about the same things over and over again. First WoS, then the thing with me on waiting for Palmar/BH to contribute, and then on BH. He doesn't really re-evaluate anything nor does he share many thoughts on other things than whatever he's chasing at the time.

Could prob lynch/10.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 25 2015 18:15 GMT
#766
On April 26 2015 03:00 Damdred wrote:
I'm totally ignoring you today Rsoultin on any list post just so you know, you are my top town and i'd never lynch you ever. Well maybe just dpeneds on how angry I am on you, i'll keep my options open just in case you flip scum so i can go see see i knew it.

Besides that the town list goes something like this
Damdred
Breshke
Wave
Palmar
Yamato
Trfel
Artanis

From least scummy to most scummy, I could potentially see wave and Palmar swipping slots his case on yamato wasn't really that bad, and his insistence coupleled with the push looks pretty good and his ability to troll early has me having some decent feelings about him I think.

Yamato has probably dropped off the most over the past cycle for me, it is really worrying that hes quit playing right now right when people are starting to talk about him instead of fighting against it. Its a scum trait of his that I've seen in the past so hes dropping pretty fast.

Trfel...trfel.... I thought he was town early with his postings looked pretty decent. Now idk, it looks kind of rough to me. And granted I might just be looking at something badly here, but I still think him trying to invalidate his own read and then not responding to a longer post that I made unless i missed it still has me worrying.

Art even though hes claiming earlier that hes trying not to be so posty hasn't really influenced the game I think, and honestly looks super disinterested in pushing discussion or anything related to game solving. Which is a really broad statement I know, but its just how i feel about him currently.

If we're talking about expectations, I could prob lynch you for this post, and in general. So unrefined, something I'm not used to seeing from you. You usually bring out lots of analysis, deep and refined thoughts at some point in the game. We're like 6 days in and I haven't seen any VCA or detailed reasoning on really anyone. You cased Trfel, nothing happened and now suddenly I'm your main scumread. Why? "He hasn't really influenced the game". As for pushing discussion, I haven't had strong suspects in this game as I haven't really found anything yet. If I were scum (I can already hear the cries for WIFOM) I'd probably be pushing something since it doesn't matter what you push, as pushing itself looks good. The fact that I HAVEN'T pushed anything strongly is because of my uncertainty.

Meanwhile, I see a Damdred unwilling to think critically at this juncture in the game, has made a jokey list post and hasn't pushed his main scumread all game except for a vote which he later claimed was just policy to get me to do something.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
April 25 2015 18:18 GMT
#768
Time Damdred voted Trfel:
On April 24 2015 22:20 Damdred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2015 13:58 Trfel wrote:
On April 24 2015 13:38 Damdred wrote:
I'm not sure what else you want me to explain,

Art really isn't helping town

Trfel at this point is being pretty wordy while showing the thread that her suspicions while leaving doubt in there for a backtack for example

Though I'm not very good at meta reads, and I don't have much experience playing with yamato77.


For someone who was sure of this read enough o dig up old games, much doubt is put into it and distance is put inbetween in case yamato flips town.
Would you rather I be confident in my play to a degree far higher than my skill at mafia warrants?

One surefire way to find town players is to look at my scumreads. Here's what I'm thinking, and yamato77 is a scumread of mine. But I see ways that this read could be wrong, so I'm asking and sharing my thoughts. I could keep holding my thoughts to myself, and analyzing him myself, or I could leave it open to the rest of the thread, where everyone is better than me and can analyze this better than I can. It's a matter of honest, not a matter of alignment.

I mean, if you want me to push my reads to the end of time, I can do that. If you want me to throw the game for town, I can do that as well. Up to you.


1) Underplaying yourself is one of the scummy things that I believe exists

2) The main issue is that you come out of the gate really strong on Yamato. Heres why I think hes scum, and you line up all these reasons but then at the very read you dismiss yourself and make it seem like you aren't strong on him at all.

3) How do you know its throwing the game if you push your Yamato read forever? If you think hes scum legitimately you wouldn't think you would be throwing the game, if you are scum you know that it will lose the game for town. Hence why you just said "If you want me to throw the game for town" you said for town because you aren't town.

##Vote Trfel


Posts Trfel made since:
On April 25 2015 01:48 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 25 2015 01:43 Palmar wrote:
On April 25 2015 01:42 Damdred wrote:
I'll reread there interactions but I don't think it looks mafiaxmafia.
I thought Yamato looked good early decent activity ok content, waves picked up later

Half of what Yamato did early was argue with wos only to never follow it up
But he didn't really follow up with his other pushes either.

That or he just likes to feign complete confidence in his reads without actually being that confident in them.

On April 25 2015 01:53 Trfel wrote:
I'm not sure if Palmar has started playing the game seriously yet or not? Can someone please enlighten me?

On April 25 2015 07:32 Trfel wrote:
Sorry, I'm not going to be around for the deadline.

I'm fairly confident that at least one of my townreads is mafia, I'll take another look at them soon.


Unless one of these or something else changed your mind on Trfel, why did you make a case on your second biggest scumread instead of your biggest, Damdred?
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