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Aperture Mafia 4: This Time it's Personal

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 22 2015 22:05 GMT
#16
/in
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 26 2015 04:15 GMT
#153
On March 26 2015 12:24 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2015 12:04 VayneAuthority wrote:
we have this conversation every PM game but nothing ever actually comes of it because faking anything or posting any incriminating PMs leads you to a 50/50 scenario 1v1 so it is basically never done.


Fake PM logs with flipped players are fun though!

+ Show Spoiler +
On September 28 2011 07:36 kitaman27 wrote:
Ok so here is the deal.

EVERYONE READ THIS POST

Radfield masoned me on night one. Nobody can counter claim this. I didn't claim it earlier because I wanted to trap mafia. Obviously, they would have known that I was in contact with him so they would be weary of going after me knowing that I had the claim in my back pocket. Tonight, we lynch the serial killer choaser. Tomorrow, we clean up based on today's mess.

Here are my logs. Radfied played it very carefully. He gave me hardly any reads and mainly bussed his own teammates. Its possible I may have missed something however. Everyone should be switching over to chaoser now.

Kurumi
Hey there, what are your thoughts on the game so far?


Sauron
lol hai, who is this?


Kurumi
I think its best if we remained anonymous for now.


Sauron
Err, but you just targetted me as a mason didn't you? So don't you know who I am?


Kurumi
No, my role is different from the one Wiggles flipped as having. My targets are chosen at random.
I think its best if our identites remain hidden. I don't know if I can trust you yet.


Sauron
Heh ok, I'll play along, yet the only person I can imagine would ever mason me is jcarl <3

So are masoned for the rest of the game or do you pick a new target each cycle?


Kurumi
Only for today. What do you think about last night's hits?


Sauron
Wait, so you can pick a target each cycle?

Kurumi
No, like I said, it is randomly chosen for me.


Sauron
Well there seems to be 4kp, which seems like a lot for mafia to have in a 3 player game. There might be a vig or a SK who shot last night.

Sauron
lol nevermind, I'm dumb. The lynch from yesterday was included in the day post -_-

Is there anyone that stands out to you so far?


Kurumi
Radfield and DoctorHelvetica should have been shot last night. They are the far more experienced players compared to the group of players that mafia went after. That alone makes me think we should keep on eye on them.

JeeJee, jackal, kitaman27, and Palmar all should be contributing more at this point.


Sauron
chaoser claimed to have been shot. Do you buy it? I don't see why mafia would risk a role claim as vet after night one, but he has been known to make fake claims in the past.
Also, what do you make of this:

A message has been delivered to all within the realm!

The message reads:

Fdehfq ht Ytxm


Kurumi
chaoser hasn't claimed vet. At this point, I think it's a null tell.

The message is a distraction to town. It should be ignored for now.


Sauron
Does that mean you think it comes from scum?


Kurumi
I don't know, but its pointless to speculate. Who do you plan to push today for the lynch?


Sauron
I might have a couple people in mind, but I'm going to hold off for now. How about you?


Kurumi

DoctorHelvetica's play so far has been extremely inconsistant. I'm really not liking how he has played so far. What do you think?


Sauron
What in particular do you not like from DrH? I agree he probably would be a likely day one night shot if he were town. The way he was responding to people on day one makes me think he might have something to hide.

sadroba as scum can be really tricky. After missing day 1, I'm worried he might continue making minimal contributions. There are also a bunch of lurkers that really need to start posting more. Its hard to get a read on them, when they only have a bunch of one liners. chaos has also been pretty useless thus far. What do you think about kita's analysis?

Sauron
hmm apparently it seems like chaos is quitting. Do you think he is serious or is that just an act to gain town cred?

Sauron
lol guess that answers that -_-

Hopefully DrH flipping will give us something for day two.


Kurumi

Yes, filtering through his posts is a good idea. This post in particular I find strange:

"Greymist straight up asking for the ring day 1 doesn't bode well for him.

##Vote Greymist"

As scum, why is he placing his vote on Greymist for such weak reasons? I'm thinking his goal on day one might have been to distance himself from his scumbuddies.

I might not be around a computer for a while, but I'll try to come up with a few suspects when I'm back. Town really needs to start narrowing down the suspect list.



Sauron
Maybe, DrH is a good enough player to plan something like that ahead of time, but I'm not really sure about that post in particular.

Sauron

Heh iGrok's claim sure did come out of nowhere. What do you think?

The timing of his claim is rather weird, since he wasn't really under much pressure. Even if he is telling the truth, he needs to shoot tonight, or else he can use the kp against town later on.

Sauron

lol a day vig? It looks like he survived, so either syllo is lying about his claim or iGrok was fake claiming.


Sauron

Now I'm completely lost. Why on earth would draz protect iGrok on night one? All he had was a handfull of one liners and basically had no chance of getting hit. What do you think?

Sauron

You're not JeeJee are you? Don't get modkilled on me -_-

Sauron

lol nevermind, he would have flipped blue. >.<


Kurumi

Sorry, I am back.

iGrok's claim makes absoultely no sense as scum. There is no way a mafia would make a claim like that on day two with only three votes on himself. Mafia all have safe claims. No sane scum would claim Barlog, which is clearly not town aligned. I'm thinking we should make him use his shot tonight and use it against the scumteam.

Jackal or maybe supersoft would be much better lynches today. Radfield's analysis on Jackal seems pretty convincing, although I'm not sure how much he can be trusted.

Sauron

Jackal is someone I've also been pretty suspicious of. He is usually the most aggressive player in the game, yet he hasn't really showed that yet. When JeeJee posted a case against him, he completely ignored it, rather than responding or calling it out as a bad argument.

lol I can probably narrow down your identity based on the people who haven't voted iGrok :p


Kurumi

Good luck with that.

I'm out for a while, hopefully I come back to a scum lynch.

Sauron

Oh, are we allowed to still talk after the day ends? As in can we talk during the night before you get a new target?


Kurumi

Yep.

Sauron

err doh.

At least he was a miller, rather than vanilla or blue.

Sauron

Any thoughts on who we should be having iGrok shoot tonight? I wonder if he will agree to shoot himself -_-


Kurumi

He needs to decide who he thinks is most likely scum. We can't claim in the thread because if we tell him to shoot a scum, then the mafia could roleblock him.

Sauron

I suppose, but at least that would mean mafia wouldn't have a role block to use on anybody else.


Kurumi

It's fine if you don't want to, but do you want to role claim to me? You don't have to tell me who you are. I won't share it with anybody else, but it might be useful to be able to form a town circle later on where we can coodinate everyones actions.


Sauron

there aren't pms in the game, besides your random mason. I don't really see how a town circle could be formed at this point.

For now, I think I'll hold off on claiming.


[b]Kurumi

OK that's fine. I won't be back until the day post. Nice chatting with you

Anything else to add?

[b]Sauron

lol, cya.

Maybe you'll get unlucky and get stuck with me again for another cycle ^_^


Didn't you also do fake pms in PTP IV? To which austinmcc then countered with real quotes from the scum qt?

fun times lol
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 27 2015 23:02 GMT
#184
oaipjdsiou cnmc,xuop ljkj fkla;j fwuqwahnlasf fhqwhgads iopquecjo jioapidjpj ijapodsfj oijf aopdifj

I'm so excited I had to type gibberish. This game will be crazy, I'm sure of it.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 27 2015 23:07 GMT
#190
I'm probably just going to vote for the person who wants to lynch someone who I think is scum. I don't think we need to get any more complicated than that. Obviously, people will need to say who they want to lynch so we can do that. So we basically just play mafia.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 27 2015 23:36 GMT
#230
On March 28 2015 08:27 Sepulchre wrote:
Thinking about it, the cleric is probably the most important role of the three.
I'm not very concerned about the rogue, the no-lynch is practically impossible to use without him eating rope the next day.

So I will focus on getting town people on positions 3 and 1. Finding mafia would be a plus, but seems secondary.

We should have town in all 3 because they all get abilities and it goes by number of votes, so it might be difficult to ensure who exactly ends up where depending on the wagons.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 28 2015 01:02 GMT
#271
On March 28 2015 09:56 sicklucker wrote:
Ok so I have veteran powers and im never a nk. So ill just hardclaim so we have a confirmed town as mayor

Like I don't even know what to say to this. Ugh. If you really wanted to make the most of your role and be the best town you could be, then you should have tried to play well so you would get night killed assuming you are telling the truth. This is just so ridiculous...I don't care how bad you think you are. Just try and don't do stuff like this.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 28 2015 01:18 GMT
#277
On March 28 2015 10:09 Koshi wrote:
shiet crossfire is playing in a GreYmist game.

And...?
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 02:56 GMT
#1163
Did I miss anything super important while gone? I skimmed what I missed and the biggest conclusion beyond some town reads is that I think Hapa is scum like other people have already mentioned. He seems to have been around and following the thread, yet did pretty much nothing, which is not like his town game at all. I'm down with voting someone who'd lynch him.

Right now I'd probably vote for one of rsoultin, HF, kita and keir because I think they're town. I'm more confident in my rsoultin and HF reads because they're very active, interacting with everyone, and trying to figure out alignments.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 03:09 GMT
#1196
I'd be down for a lightning lynch too now. After reading his filter I agree with what HF said.

On March 29 2015 12:02 Holyflare wrote:
I am very very wary of Keirathi. He's pretty low down.


I may be wrong. To be fair I pretty much gave him most of his townie points for his read on me, but scum can always town read with very good accuracy lol. I'll have to keep a watch on him them and make sure I don't blindly assume he's town without reassessing.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 03:21 GMT
#1232
On March 29 2015 12:12 LightningStrike wrote:
Also Crossfire check the entire database for all my games played plus XXX Mafia and Jack of all Trades Mafia and tell me how I am scum.

I don't feel like doing that much work nor do I think it will be particularly helpful. I haven't played with a decent number of the players here and I doubt I'd be able to really understand each person's meta. I'm not the greatest at reading meta for people I haven't played with a lot and trying to determine meta from just reading filters is pretty difficult and can lead to erroneous conclusions because I don't understand the context.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 03:31 GMT
#1264
On March 29 2015 12:27 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2015 12:21 justanothertownie wrote:
On March 29 2015 12:20 Koshi wrote:
On March 29 2015 09:19 WaveofShadow wrote:
On March 29 2015 09:17 Half the Sky wrote:
VA tends to not do as much as town but tries hard a bit more as scum from what I understand. I'd say a slight town lean for now.

Night kills might be a way to ferret him out - as scum, he tends to be a fan of a "shit up the thread" strategy, so the deaths of people who aren't doing much could potentially be a red flag. I know he mentioned something of the sort in the past.

That's not so true anymore honestly. VA is consistently inconsistent, though I'm usually ok at reading him. This game I'm inclined to think town.

The only thing he is consistently good at is blue/3P sniping as scum and in a game like this that's probably irrelevant. If scum he'll be the last to go down and easily caught by that time so I'm not pushing him any time soon.

Ok. Let me explain again.

In green WoS says:
VA is hard to read but I can read him well. I think VA is town.

in red WoS says:
VA is easy to read and always the last mafia alive. We shouldn't touch his slot because he will show his true colours.



Why would WoS say the green and the red? You can't think both things. But then read to what he replies. Read what HTS said and then read what WoS replies.

It just doesn't add up. Mafia!WoS saw something about VA and decided to spend a post about his VA meta. It's quite obvious.

All I see here (at least in this post) is hedging. Not everyone confidently throws 100 % read after 100 % read out there.

No. That is not it.

HTS says VA is town. She correctly says VA tends to care less as mafia. She is right about the fact VA does like to keep active people alive if it doesn't hurt his win chances.
Wos his reply starts with "That's not so true anymore honestly." But it totally is. So that is already odd.

But then he goes on about how he can read VA and how VA is town. (which is already the same read as HTS, strange way how WoS formulates his post just to come to the same conclusion on VA)

But then he adds that VA is hard to catch as mafia till the endgame and that we THEREFORE shouldn't lynch him?

WHY?
HTS reads VA as town.
WoS reads VA as town.

NOBODY WANTS TO LYNCH VA.

HTS didn't say that VA cares less as mafia. She said the opposite.

On March 29 2015 09:17 Half the Sky wrote:
VA tends to not do as much as town but tries hard a bit more as scum from what I understand. I'd say a slight town lean for now.

Night kills might be a way to ferret him out - as scum, he tends to be a fan of a "shit up the thread" strategy, so the deaths of people who aren't doing much could potentially be a red flag. I know he mentioned something of the sort in the past.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 03:52 GMT
#1318
On March 29 2015 12:49 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2015 12:48 kitaman27 wrote:
On March 04 2015 07:12 batsnacks wrote:
This thread is completely out of control there's zero chance of me catching up.


On March 06 2015 02:54 batsnacks wrote:
. So glad it's cell day that means I can slack more.


On March 06 2015 11:34 batsnacks wrote:
I don't know that Sandroba is town and I didn't feel like reading SL's filter. So... it's tubes for me.


On March 07 2015 05:27 batsnacks wrote:
they see me rolling

they hating


On March 07 2015 07:31 batsnacks wrote:
SPOOKY SPIRITS

SPOOOOOOOOKY


batsnacks might be mafia. In the JOAT game where he was town, he was completely disconnected from the thread, willingly sharing a "I don't care and you're not going to do anything about it" attitude.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/476732-jack-of-all-trades-mafia?user=batsnacks&view=all

In comparison, this game he is giving reads without being asked about them such as his comments about exo and has that exchange with keirathi that seems like he is putting effort into looking at things. Those few posts alone are probably more effort than his entire town game if you compare the two filters.


Has batsnacks been town and tried before at all? I know nothing about him, but actually trying and participating with thoughts is usually a good sign, no?
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 04:00 GMT
#1335
On March 29 2015 12:54 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2015 12:52 Crossfire99 wrote:
On March 29 2015 12:49 kitaman27 wrote:
On March 29 2015 12:48 kitaman27 wrote:
On March 04 2015 07:12 batsnacks wrote:
This thread is completely out of control there's zero chance of me catching up.


On March 06 2015 02:54 batsnacks wrote:
. So glad it's cell day that means I can slack more.


On March 06 2015 11:34 batsnacks wrote:
I don't know that Sandroba is town and I didn't feel like reading SL's filter. So... it's tubes for me.


On March 07 2015 05:27 batsnacks wrote:
they see me rolling

they hating


On March 07 2015 07:31 batsnacks wrote:
SPOOKY SPIRITS

SPOOOOOOOOKY


batsnacks might be mafia. In the JOAT game where he was town, he was completely disconnected from the thread, willingly sharing a "I don't care and you're not going to do anything about it" attitude.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/476732-jack-of-all-trades-mafia?user=batsnacks&view=all

In comparison, this game he is giving reads without being asked about them such as his comments about exo and has that exchange with keirathi that seems like he is putting effort into looking at things. Those few posts alone are probably more effort than his entire town game if you compare the two filters.


Has batsnacks been town and tried before at all? I know nothing about him, but actually trying and participating with thoughts is usually a good sign, no?


he has: carol

the game is linked in my profile ^^ bat traps lol he caught ritoky with one

I'm ok with leaving him alone for now. I'll reevaluate later. There are more important targets like Hapa or Lightning right now.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 04:15 GMT
#1354
On March 29 2015 13:13 Holyflare wrote:
Ls unfortunately i still need to lynch you unless you can steer me in a better direction that isn't koshi.

Is there a reason you want LS over hapa?
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 04:24 GMT
#1367
On March 29 2015 13:17 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2015 13:15 Crossfire99 wrote:
On March 29 2015 13:13 Holyflare wrote:
Ls unfortunately i still need to lynch you unless you can steer me in a better direction that isn't koshi.

Is there a reason you want LS over hapa?


Well hapa is just flat out afk and i don't play with him at all so don't know if flat out afk is normally scummy for him (well it is scummy in comparison to his town game) or an anomaly but would still probably lynch him regardless. It doesn't give much info compared to ls who is active though and people have stances on.

But it isn't like he is just afk. He hasn't been around much, yes, but when he's been here over the span of a few hours (not necessarily saying he was here the whole time, just around a few times in that time period) he hasn't said and been purposely not trying.

On March 29 2015 06:20 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2015 06:15 Keirathi wrote:
Yea, that post is crap.

Why is BH town? Why is Hapa town? Why is Sepulchre town?

Why are any of those people scum?

Why are you just making a baseless list post that does absolutely nothing for the game? :o


Because I'm town, dummy.


On March 29 2015 10:12 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2015 10:10 WaveofShadow wrote:
Hapa surely you must realize at this point you actually are a very likely candidate for lynch today with the way you've been playing. The fact that you know this and still haven't done anything actually further reinforces those scumpoints people have against you.

I've been patiently waiting for you to blow me away and you haven't.


Thankfully, I'm not. I'm in Ritoky and VE's townlist.

EZ gaem.


On March 29 2015 10:20 Hapahauli wrote:
This posting is boring me. Let me know when the lynching starts, and I'll start playing.

Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 04:52 GMT
#1403
On March 29 2015 13:44 rsoultin wrote:
I HASH A THEORY!

there is a role

dadumdum

whose win condition is to

>>
<<

GET LYNCHED!!

nah seriously i have no other explanation for hapa's behavior ^^;

That's called a jester. If I'm remembering correctly from my previous conversations with GreY, I'm pretty sure he wouldn't put that role in a game (not 100% sure on this). It is kinda of a lame role outside of special situations like that micro 5 person game (forget what it's called) where it serves a useful purpose and makes the game fun.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 21:06 GMT
#2016
Why does it seem like we are getting away from a Hapa lynch?

On March 30 2015 05:30 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2015 05:25 Keirathi wrote:
So Hapa:

Why did you fuck off for the last 44 hours? You obviously were around and varying points and still did absolutely nothing. What gives?


I had a fairly busy two days, so I was actively trying to detach myself from the thread to preserve my sanity. To force myself to "not give a shit" if you will. I really didn't want to be thinking about this mafia game for the last two days.

It certainly worked. Personally anyway. As for the negative effects, I think ~50 hours is plenty of time to get suspicion off of me.


Why didn't you tell us this previously? This just seems like an retroactive explanation for why you actively refused to play. If you were really busy, tell us then instead of making the purposely trolly posts which show you are "following" the thread but are just refusing to play.

On March 30 2015 03:24 Holyflare wrote:
If I don't lynch hapa I am claiming mafia

quote this post

+ Show Spoiler +
pending him doing some miraculous town rainbow shitting in which case my back up lynch will be <insert discussed target here>


HF, hapa hasn't produced any town rainbows, so are you claiming mafia now?
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 21:18 GMT
#2033
rsoultin, why are you voting for ritoky? His lists that included hapa as town for no reason were ridiculous. You even say so yourself.

On March 30 2015 05:24 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2015 05:23 ritoky wrote:
in a shocking twist of events, I have removed SL from the list for VE. he is a claimed vet, he can handle himself.

town:
ritoky
LS
rsoul
batsnacks
yamato
hapa
kita
onegu
koshi
VE

are now the list! (still subject to change)


i'm still waiting on those super townie posts you were talking about that had you put hapa on your list to begin with rit


Why not vote for someone more relevant and in your town circle?

On March 30 2015 03:52 rsoultin wrote:
i've said it before and i'll say it again, as long as the three are from my town circle:

holyflare, koshi, batsnacks, alakslam, onegu, myself

i don't really care. but we still need to nail down the lynch. if someone has a good reason to townread hapa (ritoky this is directed at you here dude) please out with it


I thought I was going to vote for HF or rsoultin, but they both to have seemed to change their minds on hapa, so I'm not sure who I should vote for now.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 21:21 GMT
#2046
On March 30 2015 06:17 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2015 06:06 Crossfire99 wrote:
Why does it seem like we are getting away from a Hapa lynch?

On March 30 2015 05:30 Hapahauli wrote:
On March 30 2015 05:25 Keirathi wrote:
So Hapa:

Why did you fuck off for the last 44 hours? You obviously were around and varying points and still did absolutely nothing. What gives?


I had a fairly busy two days, so I was actively trying to detach myself from the thread to preserve my sanity. To force myself to "not give a shit" if you will. I really didn't want to be thinking about this mafia game for the last two days.

It certainly worked. Personally anyway. As for the negative effects, I think ~50 hours is plenty of time to get suspicion off of me.


Why didn't you tell us this previously? This just seems like an retroactive explanation for why you actively refused to play. If you were really busy, tell us then instead of making the purposely trolly posts which show you are "following" the thread but are just refusing to play.


I've tried stuff like that before. In many games, I post pre-game that "oh, I won't be as active because I'm busy etc etc", and then I end up try-harding anyway because I can't get the game off my mind.

So I tried something different. Woop.

But the main reason that people are moving away from my lynch is that it's generally really fucking obvious to tell if I'm mafia when I'm posting for an extended amount of time. In 48 hours, it should be pretty easy to tell my alignment. And if for whatever reason it isn't, my role allows me to kill myself on Day 3, so I'll save you from lynching me if I don't do my job.

I agree that it is really obvious to tell if you're mafia, but allowing to let you live if you're mafia is allowing you to use your role, allowing a potential mislynch to replace your lynch, so I'm not sold on the wait and see approach.
Crossfire99
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1529 Posts
March 29 2015 21:24 GMT
#2054
On March 30 2015 06:19 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 30 2015 06:18 Crossfire99 wrote:
rsoultin, why are you voting for ritoky? His lists that included hapa as town for no reason were ridiculous. You even say so yourself.

On March 30 2015 05:24 rsoultin wrote:
On March 30 2015 05:23 ritoky wrote:
in a shocking twist of events, I have removed SL from the list for VE. he is a claimed vet, he can handle himself.

town:
ritoky
LS
rsoul
batsnacks
yamato
hapa
kita
onegu
koshi
VE

are now the list! (still subject to change)


i'm still waiting on those super townie posts you were talking about that had you put hapa on your list to begin with rit


Why not vote for someone more relevant and in your town circle?

On March 30 2015 03:52 rsoultin wrote:
i've said it before and i'll say it again, as long as the three are from my town circle:

holyflare, koshi, batsnacks, alakslam, onegu, myself

i don't really care. but we still need to nail down the lynch. if someone has a good reason to townread hapa (ritoky this is directed at you here dude) please out with it


I thought I was going to vote for HF or rsoultin, but they both to have seemed to change their minds on hapa, so I'm not sure who I should vote for now.



are you only voting on lynch targets and not townyness/scummyness?


I mean if there are multiple options for the fighter and one says to lynch someone who I think is town and the other says to lynch someone who I think is scum, I'll go with the latter. Townyness and scummyness do matter, but I want a town person who is likely to lynch someone who I think is scum.
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