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VII Titanic Mini Mafia: I Have a Cunning Plan... - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 20:58 GMT
#637
I just checked the other Titanic games because apparently I have to do all my own work around here. First time there's been a miller, indeterminate as to whether miller is aware or not.

I think HtS is likely town because I don't think she's a gutsy enough mafia player yet to fakeclaim miller.

I got good vibes from rsoultin's first posting and she passed the writing style test, so she can probably be town too. I need to reread to see if her early posting was actually legit. (Don't hold me to this, I probably won't actually do it anyway.)
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 21:02 GMT
#638
Oh yeah Superbia is still town too because his filter length isn't atrocious. Take note of this in case it becomes atrocious though.

So there's 4 townies accounted for already. This means that BH's RNG lynch is actually up to 5/13 chance of hitting mafia. I dunno about y'all, but 38.5% accuracy on d1 sounds pretty good to me.

##VOTE: VayneAuthority
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 21:10 GMT
#640
Who else is clearly town that I forgot about? Especially if it's Vayne
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 23:16 GMT
#696
On February 15 2015 07:11 ritoky wrote:
how is no one else bothered by rsoultin's excessive use of smiley faces and copious quantities of unnecessary adjectives?

Believe it or not, that's one reason I think she's town. Go pick a random page of her Horn of Africa filter lmao
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 23:19 GMT
#700
I got another townread!!

ritoky is having more fun this game than Imperial (town tell) and I forget who said it but I'm parroting the tier-above thing because it's right.

Man, every town read I get takes me one step closer to accepting Our Lord and Savior, RNGesus Christ
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 23:20 GMT
#701
On February 15 2015 08:19 Superbia wrote:
Puppy how comfortable are you calling me town? Were you in the Imperial Game? Or whichever one you referred to.

no

You can be town though
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 23:20 GMT
#703
2 more town reads that aren't Vayne and Blazinghand's RNG hits 50% accuracy for d1.
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 14 2015 23:21 GMT
#705
On February 15 2015 08:20 Superbia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 08:20 Town Puppy wrote:
On February 15 2015 08:19 Superbia wrote:
Puppy how comfortable are you calling me town? Were you in the Imperial Game? Or whichever one you referred to.

no

You can be town though


Then why are you using that game for reference?

[image loading]
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 00:27 GMT
#732
On February 15 2015 09:25 liancourt wrote:
Yes. We don't lose naything by lynching VA. Same goes for the 3 ppl that will die n1 hahhaha

interessant
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 00:29 GMT
#736
Robik do you have a valentine?
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 00:44 GMT
#744
I'm gonna extrapolate a bit from assuming HTS is town claiming miller, because that's probably what actually happened. I think Kelsier's two big posts are unsatisfying and he's possibly mafia.

His first post has him scumreading Vayne, but with no clear reason for it. He brings up a joke and what he felt was a 'forced' comment, but he doesn't explain how the joke was suspicious and he doesn't even post the comment for me to see what he means, let alone explain how the comment is suspicious. He begins to make a case by commenting on Vayne's activity, but instead of the correct read that Vayne going inactive is null, he finds a reason to think it's alignment-indicative (specifically, mafia-indicative) because it 'feels' like something that happened in a previous game.

He also has lian as top town, for something that... I guess could make him town? But doesn't really make sense, because unless you think HTS is fakeclaiming miller (a matter on which Kelsier gives no opinion), you have to think she's town, which would make her top town given her activity level besides.

In his second post of note he says that HTS shouldn't be townreading him. So? If HTS is town (hint: unless you argue conclusively that she fakeclaimed miller, she is), who cares if her townread on you isn't for the best reasons? If you're town you should be glad she got there quickly and let it sit. It's just a strange objection that reads to me like he wanted to look like he was townie (for arguing someone townreading him). I say it looks like that because he doesn't followup with anything to dig into HTS to learn her alignment - important, because his post clearly is going in the direction of "HTS is mafia," but stops shy of it.

I remember him being a lot more frequent of a poster, and I know Valentine's Day could be messing with that, but his posts seem a lot stiffer and difficult than as in Imperial. He was a lot more freewheeling with his posts, I think.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE: KelsierSC
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 00:46 GMT
#745
Also liancourt is town. Not that I'm RNG lynching or anything + Show Spoiler +
b-baka
but the RNG lynch is looking steadily better with so many people getting themselves out of the "possibly mafia" pool.
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 00:48 GMT
#746
My filter isn't even 3pg long yet. You guys should be so proud of me.
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 01:51 GMT
#763
On February 15 2015 10:28 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 09:46 Town Puppy wrote:
Also liancourt is town. Not that I'm RNG lynching or anything + Show Spoiler +
b-baka
but the RNG lynch is looking steadily better with so many people getting themselves out of the "possibly mafia" pool.


Why are so many of your posts focusing on the percent chance VA is mafia and praising BH, yet you're voting for KSC?

Bogus charge, my most substantial post of the game by far is my case on KelsierSC.

My filter isn't even long, not sure why you're having trouble reading it this game.
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 01:53 GMT
#765
On February 15 2015 10:38 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 10:19 rsoultin wrote:
Also:

##unvote

BH, how does sheeping being a skill translate to sheeping you being a skill?


I'm the natural choice. I've made a solid case and gathered support for it. Nobody else has a read or a case with my level of conviction.

Yeah, but I made up for it with a case that is qualitatively better than "random vote that I push like it isn't one."
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 01:56 GMT
#767
On February 15 2015 10:55 Blazinghand wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 10:53 Town Puppy wrote:
On February 15 2015 10:38 Blazinghand wrote:
On February 15 2015 10:19 rsoultin wrote:
Also:

##unvote

BH, how does sheeping being a skill translate to sheeping you being a skill?


I'm the natural choice. I've made a solid case and gathered support for it. Nobody else has a read or a case with my level of conviction.

Yeah, but I made up for it with a case that is qualitatively better than "random vote that I push like it isn't one."

how many votes you got boyo

Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 10:51 prplhz wrote:
@BlazingHand

If you have the only good case in the thread, isn't it really suspicious that people like raynpelikoneet and Palmar aren't paying much attention to it? What do you make of that?


nope

One so far, but my votes:time ratio is better than yours.
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 02:08 GMT
#774
On February 15 2015 10:59 prplhz wrote:
@Puppy

[image loading]

[excited tail thumping on floor]
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 02:12 GMT
#775
On February 15 2015 10:59 rsoultin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 10:51 Town Puppy wrote:
On February 15 2015 10:28 rsoultin wrote:
On February 15 2015 09:46 Town Puppy wrote:
Also liancourt is town. Not that I'm RNG lynching or anything + Show Spoiler +
b-baka
but the RNG lynch is looking steadily better with so many people getting themselves out of the "possibly mafia" pool.


Why are so many of your posts focusing on the percent chance VA is mafia and praising BH, yet you're voting for KSC?

Bogus charge, my most substantial post of the game by far is my case on KelsierSC.

My filter isn't even long, not sure why you're having trouble reading it this game.


Hardly a bogus charge. You've posted several posts now townreading people, saying that BH's RNG is getting better and better...including directly after that large KSC post. It seems really disconnected to me, even for you xP Also, KSC isn't making my town list, but your arguments for scumreading him were pretty weak when compared to his filter.

I think my case against Kelsier is great. If you're gonna call my reasons "weak compared to his filter" then you better be prepared to say why.

And I keep commenting on BH's RNG lynch because I don't have a good reason yet to think anything of Vayne. I haven't seen anything to make me think he's town or mafia. There's a pretty real chance that Vayne gets lynched today, so I have to decide for myself if I'm okay with this happening or not. In absence of Vayne being clearly town, figuring out a bunch of townies that aren't Vayne makes me feel better about him getting lynched, because for every person who steps up and shows themselves to be town, that's one more incremental step toward Vayne being mafia by POE.

Also, where did I praise BH? I saw you said that in your earlier post as I typed this one. I wouldn't say I've done that.
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 02:14 GMT
#777
On February 15 2015 11:04 liancourt wrote:
Nah he can just die

Vote for him then
Town Puppy
Profile Joined February 2015
United States167 Posts
February 15 2015 02:44 GMT
#783
On February 15 2015 11:26 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2015 11:12 Town Puppy wrote:
I think my case against Kelsier is great. If you're gonna call my reasons "weak compared to his filter" then you better be prepared to say why.



The vast majority of it is "I don't agree with his reads" and predicated on HtS being lock clear town for you. That's great, HtS isn't lock clear town and disagreeing with reads doesn't qualify a case as "great". So yes it is weak.

How is HTS not lock clear town? She claimed miller. There is no cc. No one has posted anything to substantiate that she might be fakeclaiming.

And it's more than "I disagree with his reads." He called lian top town for nothing substantial, called Vayne mafia for nothing substantial. Go read his post and explain to me why he thinks Vayne is mafia. If you can do it, great, I read his post and I couldn't. Maybe you can make it make sense. In the meantime, his reason for thinking Vayne is mafia doesn't make sense, he's not half as active in the thread as he is when he's town, and that's a pretty good reason to kill him.
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