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Imperial Mafia - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 05:30 GMT
#1817
why did you vote for vivax? instead of batsnacks? were you not worried about getting lynched?
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 05:46 GMT
#1823
damdred, who is the scummiest person in the game at the moment
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 05:58 GMT
#1829
On January 02 2015 14:50 sicklucker wrote:
Like its kinda sad but their is a world where everyone who voted on bats is town not likely tho. I think robiks late vote makes him 100 % mafia would never put in a useless vote on a town about to get lynched they jus tdont.

The fuck? The only way I'm mafia there late voting on a town is if Geript is my scum partner and I was trying to save his life in case someone came in changed their vote. Get outta here with that shit logic
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 05:59 GMT
#1831
On January 02 2015 14:57 VisceraEyes wrote:
Hi guys. I'm here to lynch one of Palmar/marv tomorrow. Stay tuned to find out which! (Hint: it's the one who lives through the night!)

That's gonna be hard since both will live through the night
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 06:03 GMT
#1835
On January 02 2015 15:00 VisceraEyes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2015 14:59 IAmRobik wrote:
On January 02 2015 14:57 VisceraEyes wrote:
Hi guys. I'm here to lynch one of Palmar/marv tomorrow. Stay tuned to find out which! (Hint: it's the one who lives through the night!)

That's gonna be hard since both will live through the night

Robik is claiming doctor, mafia. Plz take note.

I would be more than happy to take a bullet for you VE...not those two though.

why you gotta work so hard too try to get my night 1'd again
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 06:15 GMT
#1839
It's a shame we didn't lynch Ritoky instead but w/e
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 07:00 GMT
#1859
On January 02 2015 15:58 Eden1892 wrote:
Alright, here's some vote count analysis. First, the count, hidden behind double quotes for readability. Added green for batsnacks' flip.

Show nested quote +
On January 02 2015 13:56 Fecalfeast wrote:
I kount vot


ritoky (1): DoctorHelvetica, sicklucker, marvellosity, Superbia

TheChyz (3): Eden1892, DoctorHelvetica, Vivax, TheChyz, Batsnacks, DoctorHelvetica, Artanis[Xp]

DoctorHelvetica (0): TheChyz, Koshi

geript (4): Koshi, Artanis[Xp], Palmar, Artanis[XP], Lazermonkey, DoctorHelvetica, Marvellosity, justanothertownie, KelsierSC, sicklucker, Eden1892

marvellosity (0): Artanis[Xp]

Lazermonkey (0): TheChyz, Batsnacks

IAmRobik (0): Artanis[XP]

sicklucker (1): ritoky

Vivax (2): Koshi, geript

Batsnacks (6): Justanothertownie, eden1892, doctorhelvetica, artanis[Xp], damdred, sicklucker

Not Voting: folks

Currently batsnacks is set to be lynched.

until deadline.


First thing I want to look at is outliers, because I think they tend to be easier to figure out. The three wagons at end of day were Chyz, geript and batsnacks, so all other voters are defined as outliers here. They are:

Superbia
ritoky
Koshi
geript

Additionally the nonvoting RebirthOfLegend can go here.

Superbia:
Has all of two posts in the game, neither of any substance. Says ritoky claimed mafia with their big reads post without explaining why, votes ritoky and then bails for the rest of the day, not bothering to convince anyone to vote for ritoky. Ignores JAT asking for an explanation, no one else really seems to care either way.

I don't like this. For all I can derive from Superbia's thought process from this vote, this might as well be a dice roll vote. There's nothing here for me to make any sense of. If Superbia is town and believes ritoky is mafia then why not try to convince anyone to kill ritoky? And if Superbia doesn't then why completely abandon the thread and not bother to try to figure out who is mafia?

ritoky:
After the vote (which came between his big reads list post and his next post itt), ritoky only brings up the case on sicklucker once... when sicklucker questions him on it. Spends most of the day being engaged in other discussions and feeling out other players for their direction, but doesn't push the case on sicklucker. And it's not even not pushing it because of a change of heart or anything, as far as I can see. The case is just dropped altogether without any mention, like it never existed. After talking to sicklucker there's only one passing reference to the suspicion at all (responding to GlowingBear and saying they were "on the same page" concerning, among others, sicklucker).

This is really suspicious considering how aggressively ritoky pushed early in the game. Even allowing for a change in posting style due to time constraints resulting from ER work, you figure that if ritoky is still sure about the read on sicklucker that there'd be some effort to push it. And ritoky can't even claim to have had a change of heart, because sometime during ritoky's last burst of activity, (s)he posted an updated vote count including the vote for sicklucker. I feel like if I were a townie here and I had posted that vote count update after suspecting sicklucker, and I had internally changed my mind about sicklucker being mafia, posting that I was voting for sicklucker would be a wakeup call. Like "whoa, wait, I'm still on that guy? I need to move my vote."

Koshi:
Arrived at suspicion of Vivax about an hour before posting a vote, pressed Vivax on a few key questions during that hour, pushed the hell out of a Vivax lynch before going to bed at a time which 100% syncs up with his irl location.

Sorry that was short but this looks clean as can be. Only reason Koshi was on an outlier was because of a lack of time to push the case once it formulated. Koshi is probably town.

geript:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2015 14:24 geript wrote:
Not ideal. I just assumed I was going to be lynched or at worst Chyz. Best option Vivax. I get why Bat was sketch, but why the last second switch?

This is garbage.

Vivax wasn't a viable wagon at all when geript posted and geript had enough time to see that. It was 20 minutes before the lynch. The switch wasn't even last-second, it was last-hour. At the time he voted Chyz was in no danger of being voted off. How do you check in to a voting thread and vote for someone who isn't a viable wagon out of fear that either you or someone else who isn't a viable wagon is going to get killed? And especially if you "get why Bat was sketch," how in the world do you have a hangup about voting for him and instead park on an outlier?

And then there's this gem shortly before:

Show nested quote +
On January 02 2015 12:23 geript wrote:
Vivax is probably an ok lynch but I'm not actually sold that he'll flip mafia.


So now it's checking into a voting thread, voting for someone you're not even sure is mafia who also isn't a viable wagon out of fear that either you or someone else who isn't a viable wagon is going to get killed.

geript has a lot of explaining to do. Doc asks a good question about why mafia!geript does this in light of batsnacks flipping town; I feel like the answer that came to mind for me (not wanting to be a town wagon) isn't a very good one, and it's still the best one I have. But I don't get the townie mindset that leads to ^^^that.


TL;DR
ritoky, Superbia mafia
geript wtf

You shouldn't do such baller analysis -- you might die in the night.

P.S. I came to the same conclusion as your regarding your scum reads. Excellent work
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 07:10 GMT
#1866
On January 02 2015 16:08 Koshi wrote:
Is this real life? I said lynch vivax. I said batsnacks might be town. I wake up. Vivax 2 votes. Batsnacks ded.

Is this real life?

should try not sleeping
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 07:27 GMT
#1875
On January 02 2015 16:24 Eden1892 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 02 2015 16:00 IAmRobik wrote:
On January 02 2015 15:58 Eden1892 wrote:
Alright, here's some vote count analysis. First, the count, hidden behind double quotes for readability. Added green for batsnacks' flip.

On January 02 2015 13:56 Fecalfeast wrote:
I kount vot


ritoky (1): DoctorHelvetica, sicklucker, marvellosity, Superbia

TheChyz (3): Eden1892, DoctorHelvetica, Vivax, TheChyz, Batsnacks, DoctorHelvetica, Artanis[Xp]

DoctorHelvetica (0): TheChyz, Koshi

geript (4): Koshi, Artanis[Xp], Palmar, Artanis[XP], Lazermonkey, DoctorHelvetica, Marvellosity, justanothertownie, KelsierSC, sicklucker, Eden1892

marvellosity (0): Artanis[Xp]

Lazermonkey (0): TheChyz, Batsnacks

IAmRobik (0): Artanis[XP]

sicklucker (1): ritoky

Vivax (2): Koshi, geript

Batsnacks (6): Justanothertownie, eden1892, doctorhelvetica, artanis[Xp], damdred, sicklucker

Not Voting: folks

Currently batsnacks is set to be lynched.

until deadline.


First thing I want to look at is outliers, because I think they tend to be easier to figure out. The three wagons at end of day were Chyz, geript and batsnacks, so all other voters are defined as outliers here. They are:

Superbia
ritoky
Koshi
geript

Additionally the nonvoting RebirthOfLegend can go here.

Superbia:
Has all of two posts in the game, neither of any substance. Says ritoky claimed mafia with their big reads post without explaining why, votes ritoky and then bails for the rest of the day, not bothering to convince anyone to vote for ritoky. Ignores JAT asking for an explanation, no one else really seems to care either way.

I don't like this. For all I can derive from Superbia's thought process from this vote, this might as well be a dice roll vote. There's nothing here for me to make any sense of. If Superbia is town and believes ritoky is mafia then why not try to convince anyone to kill ritoky? And if Superbia doesn't then why completely abandon the thread and not bother to try to figure out who is mafia?

ritoky:
After the vote (which came between his big reads list post and his next post itt), ritoky only brings up the case on sicklucker once... when sicklucker questions him on it. Spends most of the day being engaged in other discussions and feeling out other players for their direction, but doesn't push the case on sicklucker. And it's not even not pushing it because of a change of heart or anything, as far as I can see. The case is just dropped altogether without any mention, like it never existed. After talking to sicklucker there's only one passing reference to the suspicion at all (responding to GlowingBear and saying they were "on the same page" concerning, among others, sicklucker).

This is really suspicious considering how aggressively ritoky pushed early in the game. Even allowing for a change in posting style due to time constraints resulting from ER work, you figure that if ritoky is still sure about the read on sicklucker that there'd be some effort to push it. And ritoky can't even claim to have had a change of heart, because sometime during ritoky's last burst of activity, (s)he posted an updated vote count including the vote for sicklucker. I feel like if I were a townie here and I had posted that vote count update after suspecting sicklucker, and I had internally changed my mind about sicklucker being mafia, posting that I was voting for sicklucker would be a wakeup call. Like "whoa, wait, I'm still on that guy? I need to move my vote."

Koshi:
Arrived at suspicion of Vivax about an hour before posting a vote, pressed Vivax on a few key questions during that hour, pushed the hell out of a Vivax lynch before going to bed at a time which 100% syncs up with his irl location.

Sorry that was short but this looks clean as can be. Only reason Koshi was on an outlier was because of a lack of time to push the case once it formulated. Koshi is probably town.

geript:
On January 02 2015 14:24 geript wrote:
Not ideal. I just assumed I was going to be lynched or at worst Chyz. Best option Vivax. I get why Bat was sketch, but why the last second switch?

This is garbage.

Vivax wasn't a viable wagon at all when geript posted and geript had enough time to see that. It was 20 minutes before the lynch. The switch wasn't even last-second, it was last-hour. At the time he voted Chyz was in no danger of being voted off. How do you check in to a voting thread and vote for someone who isn't a viable wagon out of fear that either you or someone else who isn't a viable wagon is going to get killed? And especially if you "get why Bat was sketch," how in the world do you have a hangup about voting for him and instead park on an outlier?

And then there's this gem shortly before:

On January 02 2015 12:23 geript wrote:
Vivax is probably an ok lynch but I'm not actually sold that he'll flip mafia.


So now it's checking into a voting thread, voting for someone you're not even sure is mafia who also isn't a viable wagon out of fear that either you or someone else who isn't a viable wagon is going to get killed.

geript has a lot of explaining to do. Doc asks a good question about why mafia!geript does this in light of batsnacks flipping town; I feel like the answer that came to mind for me (not wanting to be a town wagon) isn't a very good one, and it's still the best one I have. But I don't get the townie mindset that leads to ^^^that.


TL;DR
ritoky, Superbia mafia
geript wtf

You shouldn't do such baller analysis -- you might die in the night.

P.S. I came to the same conclusion as your regarding your scum reads. Excellent work

Thanks bae. Anything to add?

Not really. I was just randomly clicking on filters and I saw that superbia's was utter garbage and we should lynch him like 90% of the time tomorrow
Then I remembered how much I wanted to lynch Ritoky.

So like I said, you done did great (no that's not an error)
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:04 GMT
#2136
Everyone saying I'm mafia for my vote is dumb. My vote literally didn't matter. Even if I had voted geript, bat would have been lynched. I already explained the only way I'm mafia in that scenario
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:22 GMT
#2153
Artanis, what does your town list look like? I'm wondering f it is similar to minr
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:39 GMT
#2164
On January 03 2015 04:28 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 03 2015 04:22 IAmRobik wrote:
Artanis, what does your town list look like? I'm wondering f it is similar to minr

Dr. H
Koshi
JAT (I feel like how he took up 'leadership' during the night was something he wouldn't do as scum on reconsideration)
Palmar
Kelsier
Eden
I'm also liking VE but it's too early to tell.

Man, my list is really different from yours haha

I agree with DrH and Eden. I disagree on basically everyone else. Maybe koshi is but his "why can't you just just listen to me" felt forced and un-koshi-like.

JAT seemed to spend too much time playing nice with me which bothered me and his explanation wasn't really satisfying. He also quickly turned on me come night phase.

Plammmmar tried really hard in one post and didn't do dick for the rest of the day.

Kelseir is a huge fucking question mark for me. His posts are really weird. Not sure if scum or I just don't understand what he wants to say
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:43 GMT
#2166
On January 03 2015 04:37 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 03 2015 04:32 Damdred wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:28 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:22 IAmRobik wrote:
Artanis, what does your town list look like? I'm wondering f it is similar to minr

Dr. H
Koshi
JAT (I feel like how he took up 'leadership' during the night was something he wouldn't do as scum on reconsideration)
Palmar
Kelsier
Eden
I'm also liking VE but it's too early to tell.


That is the worst reason to town read JAT i've ever seen, there are other reasons to town read him. But if he rolls scum he picks up the leadership just as fast thats why hes the champ.


I don't think so. He had a strong scumread on Geript. He'd only have a reason to switch to Bats if both him and Geript were scum, and if that were the case I don't think a scum JAT with this much influence would've allowed it to get to the wire like this. I find a scum JAT/Geript team very hard to imagine and thus see no reason for a scum JAT to take charge and avert a Geript lynch last second.

So I partially agree and partially disagree with this. I do not think that GERIPT and JAT are scum together. I even stated so towards end of day. That's why I didn't feel so bad sheepish jat onto bats. However I do think that JAT can make a case on bats and switch a lynxh off of geript onto bat for town cred. Basically to get you to clear him for what you're clearing him. "If I was mafia, why would I switch from one town to another town that I've been pushing all game". That's basically what I did on a 2p2 game with Yamato a couple months ago.

He could be town. I'm just saying why this isn't 100% correct
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:44 GMT
#2168
On January 03 2015 04:42 justanothertownie wrote:
Robik, are you really telling me you don't have a read on me besides how I treated you?

I'm saying you are too happy this game with how the game is going.
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:46 GMT
#2172
On January 03 2015 04:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 03 2015 04:39 IAmRobik wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:28 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:22 IAmRobik wrote:
Artanis, what does your town list look like? I'm wondering f it is similar to minr

Dr. H
Koshi
JAT (I feel like how he took up 'leadership' during the night was something he wouldn't do as scum on reconsideration)
Palmar
Kelsier
Eden
I'm also liking VE but it's too early to tell.

Man, my list is really different from yours haha

I agree with DrH and Eden. I disagree on basically everyone else. Maybe koshi is but his "why can't you just just listen to me" felt forced and un-koshi-like.

JAT seemed to spend too much time playing nice with me which bothered me and his explanation wasn't really satisfying. He also quickly turned on me come night phase.

Plammmmar tried really hard in one post and didn't do dick for the rest of the day.

Kelseir is a huge fucking question mark for me. His posts are really weird. Not sure if scum or I just don't understand what he wants to say

I missed the Koshi post you're referring to. Can you quote it?

JAT is probably town, read above.

Plumber's one post secured a town hero spot for me. He hasn't really been here much otherwise so that's the only thing to judge him on. It was full of good stuff though, his read on Geript had solid reasoning and every opinion he had pretty much resonated with me, especially the one on me.

What I like about Kelsier that I remember is how he questioned me and someone else, I think it was sicklucker but I'm not sure for jumping on Chyz' bandwagon. Then when he asked us both a question he found my answer to be townie and re-evaluated, whereas I think he kept his other suspect. It showed a certain thoroughness I expect from town much more than from scum. He's generally been pretty inquisitive and seems to follow up on it which I like.

Is there anyone you townread that wasn't on my list?

It's not a single post-it's the entire outburst regarding not lunching vivax, whose alignment he can't know 100%
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:47 GMT
#2173
On January 03 2015 04:45 justanothertownie wrote:
lol what? Where did you get that read from?

It's just how I read your posts. They don't seem angry or emotion-filled. They just seem bland like everything is ok
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:49 GMT
#2175
@artanis, nope not really. Maybe Dandred. I had to look back at the player list. Everyone has been fairly scummy. Obv I think you're town too Game is hard, only 4 town vs 10 mafia.
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:50 GMT
#2176
On January 03 2015 04:48 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 03 2015 04:47 IAmRobik wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:45 justanothertownie wrote:
lol what? Where did you get that read from?

It's just how I read your posts. They don't seem angry or emotion-filled. They just seem bland like everything is ok

Did you read anything that was posted during the night?

Ya. I've read mostly everything. If you're going to ask me to quote specific posts, I won't be able to. Like I said, it's just how I perceive your emotional state whole writing the posts.
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 19:58 GMT
#2181
On January 03 2015 04:53 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 03 2015 04:50 IAmRobik wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:48 justanothertownie wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:47 IAmRobik wrote:
On January 03 2015 04:45 justanothertownie wrote:
lol what? Where did you get that read from?

It's just how I read your posts. They don't seem angry or emotion-filled. They just seem bland like everything is ok

Did you read anything that was posted during the night?

Ya. I've read mostly everything. If you're going to ask me to quote specific posts, I won't be able to. Like I said, it's just how I perceive your emotional state whole writing the posts.

No idea how you get that read. Absolutely no idea. And even if this was true it wouldn't be alignment indicative. It is very weird that this is all you have to show for your read on me after all that I have done this game.

Well, given my inability to play d1 since the game started on a fucking holiday-my favorite holiday of the year no less- I can only judge based off of eod1 and night phase. I sheeped you onto a town because it appeared my lynxh target wasn't happening, and it seemed like you took charge which was a good sign. It was clear that you were pushing Geripty and I don't see you as maf/maf so I felt comfortable following you. However, we did end up lynching a townie. We also ended up not lynching geript whose alignment is unknown. So if geript is scum, you're town but made a blunder. If he's town, you could be town for leading or scum for trying to get cred for if geript flips town you can say "why would I do that as scum"
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
January 02 2015 20:03 GMT
#2184
On January 03 2015 04:57 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 03 2015 04:49 IAmRobik wrote:
@artanis, nope not really. Maybe Dandred. I had to look back at the player list. Everyone has been fairly scummy. Obv I think you're town too Game is hard, only 4 town vs 10 mafia.

I can get behind Damdred I guess, with some reservations. His suspects are kinda weird but he does seem to be prodding quite nicely and is pretty paranoid.

I just hope you, Marv and Luigi come out to play on D2.

I think that even though my filter size was lacking, I still managed to give decent substantiated reads d1. Basically what you are saying about DrHamd what others are saying about him is something I articulated early on into the game. I don't recall all the reads I gave but I think they've been decently solid. I also think (wifom) that I wouldn't be as self-aware as I am regarding my play. I stated that I was more nervous of people TRing me than scum reading me because I think the people who are scum reading me are probably analyzing and thinking about the game more clearly than those who are TRing me. I am town, but the people giving me town reads are more likely doing it based off of TMI
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