Sicklucker – HolyFlare – Froggy - The_Templar – KelsierSC – LightningStrike
Mafia is a game where the Town hunts the Mafia and the Mafia hunt for Scapegoats.
My assumptions. 1) Everyone plays optimally. Day[9] advises low level players on this when they ask “But everyone in bronze does such WEIRD stuff? How do you read that??” – just go kill them. 2) It’s about finding motivations and big picture. You can’t find 1 at a time. It’s about relationships and the patterns you can find that shows malicious intent.
Sicklucker is playing a phenomenal game. It’s in fact SUPERB. He’s not noobing anything. He’s got us so confused. I’m sorry GlowingBear you are the Scapegoat. I thought Sicklucker was being protected by GlowingBear. Oh no I was so wrong. Sicklucker is the protector. Why doesn’t anyone want to kill Sick? Well, he’s just noob, he’s no threat. He had ALL of us fooled. I realized this on D2 when he kept coming at me. Obviously nitpicking me, obviously DEFENDING GlowingBear. On page 102 Sicklucker “defends GlowingBear by saying rsoultin is too good rsoultin is obviously mafia. Sicklucker said he “sent” his gift to HolyFlare. Sick is playing PERFECTLY. We all discarded him. He’s ridiculous and no threat. GlowingBear AND rsoultin will flip town. HolyFlare tells Sick to stop with this, stop with that, all the while it reinforces Sickluckers non threat to us. He’s too obvious. But what we didn’t understand is HE IS THE PROTECTOR.
My D1 play was atrocious. Who here can say they listened to ANYTHING I said? D2 I exploded. Who paid attention to me? Templar came at me. HolyFlare tried but I didn’t bite. I didn’t realize at the time he should have been my target and not GlowingBear. It’s a good thing too. I think I would have lost. I had nothing on him really, not until I realized Sick was the protector and then read page 102.
No post of GlowingBear is helpful to town except for his long part 1 post. Why was he the only one to respond to me like that? No one on this kill list has. It’s because GlowingBear didn’t think Sicklucker was a threat. Sicklucker attached himself somewhat subtlety. GlowingBear didn’t think I was a threat either. Not until he was getting run over by HolyFlare and “defended” by Sicklucker. Then he had motivation because there were real teeth on him.
Sicklucker tried to nitpick me and put in more effort to trap me than he has for anyone in the game. I ignored him. Who comes to help him out? Templar. Then I respond and answer the questions. As I notice that more and more people are seeing me, noticing me, and being threatened by me, I knew I was on the right path. I disrupted Mafia. I brought their game to them. Mafia is supposed to disrupt town. Not today. I bet not 1 single town here thought I made any sense. HolyFlare was trying to get me to respond to him so he could engage. But I was focused. I only saw my scum and Alakaslam.
Seriously, all of you thought my posts were too cryptic/annoying/confusing or insulting. Alakaslam noticed I was only talking to him. Did you notice how all of a sudden HolyFlare and others became convinced GlowingBear was mafia? Why was HolyFlare attacking GlowingBear? It’s a safe bet. It’s just like how he killed NinjaBunny. Don’t let him kill GlowingBear.
Back to Templar. He opened the game with RNG that he admits he could do. Lands on Kelsier. The two of them go hunting for a scapegoat. We think this is just pushing the thread and hunting mafia. They find Ninjabunny. Now, if they trap her it’s too obvious but they can lead. Next we have Froggy enter and offer another thread driving play with his plynch non comment. Do you remember this exchange? It’s pages 14-18ish. Ninja gets asked to comment and then suddenly HolyFlare appears and offers up the first legit feeling ##Vote: NinjaBunny. This seals her fate. We all now have a target. Froggy can leave with only 1 post. Did he even come back? HolyFlare watches but mostly lets us hang her, he hunts for a scapegoat. I can see why LeonMeow was so paranoid of your play. You, HolyFlare, are brilliant.
KelsierSC also leaves Ninja be and finds his scapegoat. And now we still have FecalFeast in our sights. They went back and forth all D1, but it’s past ¾ of the way through D2 and nothing from Kel yet?? I call him out, and GO HARD on my listed 4. He knows, mafia KNOWS that if he shows, I will run him over. He was the 3rd scummiest play D1. He would get crushed. Mafia must keep the focus on GlowingBear. Course, GlowingBear gets drunk and basically ensures that he has to die now to confirm his innocence.
Remember Sicklucker’s entrance? BRILLIANT. He comes in with the DUMBEST thing ever. He REPEATS his first line and STILL we don’t give him any attention. Can ANY of you think of a more brilliant play to stay under the radar? He was right in our face. This enabled him to hunt for his Scapegoat, and found GlowingBear.
LightningStrike enters. His D1 contributions were entirely meta reads from random games. D2 there is basically nothing.
I see 3 wagons developing GlowingBear, FecalFeast, and I. When I flip, it confirms my motivation. I think GlowingBear’s flip will tell us more than a FecalFeast. FecalFeast could be replaced with LightningStrike just as easily so isn’t as strong a confirmation as GlowingBears.