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Forum Index > TL Mafia
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GhandiEAGLE
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States20754 Posts
October 18 2014 06:16 GMT
#1981
Asmo's my top scum read now, but that's only really because I don't feel like I have a good read on any of the remaining people.

Additionally, Wave, I guess I'm just bristling at you pushing so hard all the time. I'll go more into it later when I wake up.
Oh, my achin' hands, from rakin' in grands, and breakin' in mic stands
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
October 18 2014 06:25 GMT
#1982
I'm the hero this town needs, not the one it deserves.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Alzadar
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada5009 Posts
October 18 2014 06:33 GMT
#1983
On October 18 2014 15:16 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
Asmo's my top scum read now, but that's only really because I don't feel like I have a good read on any of the remaining people.

Additionally, Wave, I guess I'm just bristling at you pushing so hard all the time. I'll go more into it later when I wake up.


Eh, kind of hard to blame him for that, we're over half way through the cycle and we've had what, 2-3 pages? Losing Soniv was a big blow to Town activity, it seems. Cixah's said nothing, Asmo's just dropped the single post a few above me (acceptance of guilt?), and Req hasn't said too much.

Sleep time for me as well.
I am the Town Medic.
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
October 18 2014 06:35 GMT
#1984
Plz. Me studying and not posting 18000 times a cycle is a big blow to town activity
KNOW WHAT ELSE YOU CAN BLOW

+ Show Spoiler +
Sorry getting kinda giddy from the studying
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Requizen
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States33802 Posts
October 18 2014 13:54 GMT
#1985
Sorry guys work was absolutely psycho bonkers crazy yesterday, and today is getting ready for/attending a friend's party.

I've already given my reasons for this vote and for now I feel comfortable placing it.

##vote WaveOfShadow
It's your boy Guzma!
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
October 18 2014 13:57 GMT
#1986
omg something happened

AsmodeusXI (2): Alzadar, WaveofShadow
WaveofShadow (1): Requizen

Not voting (5): dudes

Currently, AsmodeusXI is set to be lynched. Day 3 ends in
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Alzadar
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada5009 Posts
October 18 2014 15:02 GMT
#1987
On October 18 2014 22:54 Requizen wrote:
Sorry guys work was absolutely psycho bonkers crazy yesterday, and today is getting ready for/attending a friend's party.

I've already given my reasons for this vote and for now I feel comfortable placing it.

##vote WaveOfShadow


Does that mean you won't be here at deadline?
I am the Town Medic.
Requizen
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States33802 Posts
October 18 2014 15:09 GMT
#1988
There's a birthday party for a friend, I'll have my phone and will try to pay as much attention as possible but posting powers will be lowered.
It's your boy Guzma!
Alaric
Profile Joined November 2009
France45622 Posts
October 18 2014 16:08 GMT
#1989
0K, got my LoL fixed, now before I get my LoL fix I'll make a pass. If I lose my promos I'll prob be way too salty to think clearly.
(And in hindsight wasting 4 hours on pc issues yesterday was a good thing mafia-wise, because I was tired so shit investigative capabilities.)

I went through ComaDose's filter hoping that I could get info about why he chose owb. Maybe that could have given some hindsight into his reads, or thoughts ke kept to himself (now that we know he was 3P, nothing surprising that he was non-committal).
Turns out Coma actually never went on anyone but Ghandi (and died because he tied himself to it so much) and never even mentioned owb, apart from this post which he didn't explain when I asked him to. I guess he just chose a "lurker" because he didn't want to make waves (no pun).


Wave your filter is 22 fucking pages, how are we supposed to plow through that. x_x Maybe I'll try later.
In the meantime, a few things that popped back in mind, with no posts attached:
+ Show Spoiler [readability] +
- you're very back-and-forth and inconsistent. You hint people as to what they should do but claim you don't want to lead anyone. You played around with Soniv about how you were the key to his vote, and you also spoke several times of your ability to sway people and influence votes; but you repeated that you dislike to be in a leading position and are never sure of yourself. It's like you say you want us to trust you but you keep repeating that you're unreliable, which is a bit confusing, you'll admit.
- plus, as a veteran I'd expect you to be the most confident of us all at this point, actually. ._.
- but at least at this point I think I'm pretty certain there's no way Ghandi and you are scum at the same time, or Req and you.
(fake edit: I found such a post while reading owb's filter, you actually like to suggest stuff but not push actually for it, like the switch to mordek that made owb move to him too.)
(fake edit²: can you explain exactly what you call shenanies? That post confused me. Ae shenanies last second pushes/vote switches because they screw with scum plans and don't leave them with enough time to lead town on a red herring?)
I swear, though, if you end up being scum I'll come to your house and slap you around the head whenever you whine again in OT about how you're bad at Mafia. x)



owb's filter:
he didn't really seem to interact with anyone, except for Wave (who he tended to parrot) and Requizen, when trying to get him to give a read on Soniv, refusing "neutral". That post made me react:
On October 15 2014 01:17 onlywonderboy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2014 01:08 Requizen wrote:
On October 15 2014 01:06 onlywonderboy wrote:
So if he was lynched right now you would be completely indifferent?

Sure. My personal opinion is that there are other people who are more likely to be Mafia, but I've been wrong before.

Who specifically? Looks like your main pushes recently have been on Coma and ketchup. Has Coma's return to the thread made him less of a priority in your eyes?

Also your push on ketchup seems weird. It honestly looks like you're just rage voting him because he's putting pressure on you. That's not good town play. We don't know who is mafia and who is town so just because someone is pushing you doesn't mean they are mafia. It can be frustrating but it's an important part of the game. Also ketchup's general play has seemed town so I'm gonna need more reason to believe he's mafia rather than he's pushing you over Alaric.

That's exactly why he voted Ghandi at first! And he called the same thing shit play from Requizen? What was his goal? And his explanation post on the vote isn't any better.

Urgh... I just reread the whole end-of-day-2 shitfest situation (for real, no wonder my brain was fried at work after I caught up to that). I'm a bit lost and overloaded with information but here's something I noticed:
+ Show Spoiler [readability] +
- at one point, it's 6-5 in favor of Ghandi being lynched. Ghandi points at mordek but it doesn't work out. However, owb switches (shortly) to mordek too before going back to Ghandi (he actually parroted Wave once again rather than Ghandi). At about the same time, I voted for Soniv, putting it at 6-6. Upon reverifying, Ghandi was dead anyway...
- ... because owb held the oldest vote. As he switched, he transfered it to Asmodeus. Which meant "putting pressure to make mordek post" at that point saved Ghandi, and alternatively "pushed" Soniv.
- Soniv had to reveal himself, meaning scum learnt about his role. Not as good as getting him lynched, but still pretty good. Plus, there were discussions of switching to ComaDose (+ Show Spoiler +
I "started" (Wave suggestion, again followed by Mordek and Soniv) and then went to bed, meaning my vote would stick, and Ghandi would vote Coma anyway for self-preservation. The whole "Soniv" wagon had to rellocate, so 6 people, 7 with owb who was originally on Ghandi, so scum had a mislynch secured there.
), who scum knew wasn't one of them. Parity Cop identity + assured mislynch? Yes pls. No wonder owb didn't bother staying longer and went away (he may have had IRL stuff to do, however keep in mind these posts, either he lied, or he said the truth and was confident he'd have time to switch to ComaDose if scum needed his vote to seal the deal).


TL;DR: I think what passed up as random chance at the end of Day 2 was actually deliberate by owb and may give us insight into who the 2 remaining scum are.

There may still have been a bus going on, however it would imply bussing Ghandi. Here how it works out for the current survivors involved:
+ Show Spoiler [readability] +
- Req: nothing.
- Asmodeus: he pushed Soniv very hard, and until the claim he had the 2nd oldest vote, meaning if scum wanted Soniv all owb had to do was switch, Asmo being scum would have secured them the tie because the oldest vote was then "reliable" for them. It would also have allowed Asmodeus to distance himself from Ghandi somewhat. On top of everything we already have.
- mordek: not much. It was only a small nudge so he wasn't ever in danger, and owb switched back super fast so there was never much going on. He jumped super fast on ComaDose the second time but that doesn't mean much. Him being scum wouldn't really improve the plan either, at best it'd allow owb to combine the tie transfer with distancing.
- Ghandi: on paper "the play" keeps Ghandi alive while granting massive distancing from most people involved (Wave and Asmodeus mostly; Req was on Wave and mordek wasn't very assertive anyway). On the other hand without the whole parity cop claim thing Ghandi was like 80% the Day 3 lynch, so that was sacrificing someone just to get Soniv, which sounds like an awful scum play—while setting up Ghandi as obvious lynch at the same time as killing Soniv would have been very good from the way I see it. However, how ballsy/masterminded/risky would it have been to set that up while expecting to keep Ghandi alive? Oo
- Wave: immediatly moved toward mordek after Ghandi started it, lending credibility to the "pressure train" (and giving owb an excuse since parroting the same Ghandi he had his vote against wasn't believable), then later when Soniv claimed he was the first to suggest ComaDose, although he insisted he didn't want to push (trying to hide himself?). While Soniv was easy to kill (eg. pre-claim) he was very confident in his "key" status, by contrast. Also lets him distance himself from owb, but that's because it was parroting and not following each other, which doesn't mean much. Plus if Wave is scum I don't think he needs distancing from anyone at this point.


TL;DR: ironically I think apart from Req Ghandi is the one who comes out of that filter session the "cleanest". Not because he looks less scummy, but because others had so many reasons for using him if they were themselves scummy. Wave's wavering (hue... I'll see myself out) could make sense, but at this point Asmo is consolidated as the most likely candidate.

I don't know if I'll bother reading Requizen's filter. I'm pretty sure I'll come to the same conclusion as I did after Night 2 : if he's scum, that'd mean he's been so good at faking and leading us on, to an extent I don't find myself believing him. That also makes getting a read on him super hard for him because the alternatives are so extreme.
So he's my biggest town read atm.

##vote: Asmodeus
I'm already tired and I haven't fixed my window yet but since I'm on holidays I'll prob be there for the deadline in case of twists and needs to reevaluate.
(I think it took me almost 2 hours making that post...)
Cant take LMS hipsters serious.
Alaric
Profile Joined November 2009
France45622 Posts
October 18 2014 16:09 GMT
#1990
Hey Wave look I put spoiler tags for you this time!
Also headache. x_x
Cant take LMS hipsters serious.
Alaric
Profile Joined November 2009
France45622 Posts
October 18 2014 16:10 GMT
#1991
Wtf I had 11 tabs opened on that thread while reading the filters. End of day 2 is so cancer.
Cant take LMS hipsters serious.
Cixah
Profile Joined July 2010
United States11285 Posts
October 18 2014 16:59 GMT
#1992
##vote: Asmodeus

I'm concerned about the lack of posting of recent, though I suppose that's mostly due to everyone wanting to take a break after the 60 page day 2. I think this is the correct red read, but it's unlikely if the last red is Ghandi, Alaric, Wave, or Alza to me.
Hug The Goat! Hug the Goat! Hug the Goat!
Cixah
Profile Joined July 2010
United States11285 Posts
October 18 2014 17:01 GMT
#1993

##vote: Asmodeus


Because bold matters.
Hug The Goat! Hug the Goat! Hug the Goat!
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
October 18 2014 17:24 GMT
#1994
For the rtecord Alaric, I'm very bad at town, but very VERY good at scum.
You can check my past games winrate, they're in my profile.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
mordek
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States12705 Posts
October 18 2014 17:38 GMT
#1995
I think Asmo's the right call here too, good posts from Wave and Alaric. Going to a wedding.

##Vote Asmo
It is vanity to love what passes quickly and not to look ahead where eternal joy abides. Tiberius77 | Mordek #1881 "I took a mint!"
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
October 18 2014 17:48 GMT
#1996
Nobody commented on my stuff regarding the possibility of mordek's claim being fake, and as well I'd like to discuss req at some point if anyone will be around.

I just find it so completely unbelievable that req is STILL on me at this point. I have NEVER, in all of my games played (30-ish? including newbies) seen a town player stick to a single read all game like this. Alternatively I have seen scum do it (albeit more subtly than this). It just doesn't make any sense from a town POV while from scum it creates consistency (which town seems to love) an excuse for bad play and a way to absolve oneself from the responsibility of talking about or voting teammates, for example (or anyone else).
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Alaric
Profile Joined November 2009
France45622 Posts
October 18 2014 17:57 GMT
#1997
On October 19 2014 02:24 WaveofShadow wrote:
For the rtecord Alaric, I'm very bad at town, but very VERY good at scum.
You can check my past games winrate, they're in my profile.

Uh... am I supposed to take that as "if you don't like my play it means I'm town" or "I'm honest so I'm town"? x) I mean that's even bolder than Req "oh boy you know nothing about how much I could be putting you on strings".
Cant take LMS hipsters serious.
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
October 18 2014 18:00 GMT
#1998
On October 19 2014 02:57 Alaric wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 19 2014 02:24 WaveofShadow wrote:
For the rtecord Alaric, I'm very bad at town, but very VERY good at scum.
You can check my past games winrate, they're in my profile.

Uh... am I supposed to take that as "if you don't like my play it means I'm town" or "I'm honest so I'm town"? x) I mean that's even bolder than Req "oh boy you know nothing about how much I could be putting you on strings".

Nope simply stating facts. I don't really lie particularly often when playing games, even when playing scum unless I absolutely HAVE to.

Alaric would you like to discuss the other post I made rather than something completely irrelevant?
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Alaric
Profile Joined November 2009
France45622 Posts
October 18 2014 18:33 GMT
#1999
I react to stuff as I read it, and just out of a super tense league game, wanted to cool off a bit instead of diving straight away.

Anyway, I actually think you have a point. Or that I did my reads bad.

On October 19 2014 02:48 WaveofShadow wrote:
Nobody commented on my stuff regarding the possibility of mordek's claim being fake, and as well I'd like to discuss req at some point if anyone will be around.

I just find it so completely unbelievable that req is STILL on me at this point. I have NEVER, in all of my games played (30-ish? including newbies) seen a town player stick to a single read all game like this. Alternatively I have seen scum do it (albeit more subtly than this). It just doesn't make any sense from a town POV while from scum it creates consistency (which town seems to love) an excuse for bad play and a way to absolve oneself from the responsibility of talking about or voting teammates, for example (or anyone else).

I thought about something like that while reading the start of the paragraph and the sentence made me go "oh, that's what I forgot!"
+ Show Spoiler +
Thing is, technically Req's posting doesn't do much direct harm to town. He's involved, and he shows he reads most posts, takes the time to formulate thought-out arguments, and can make compelling cases (barring the premise thing I talked about). All stuff that I'd easily attribute to an eager but inexperienced player, and in line with my "pre-opinion" of him in a puzzle/guessing game.
Whenever I look for scum I was mostly trying to find lies, people pushing too hard or for unclear reasons (or even no reason at all), wishy-washy indecisiveness and jumping around too much. Part of why I didn't check lurkers much (haven't read mordek's or Alzadar's filters yet (I'll get to it), and didn't Coma/owb/Asmo at all before recently), I'd rather directly call them out and wait for a contribution to evaluate (what happened with Asmo, which was arguably a mistake with how things turned out).

Req doesn't present any of those things.
He doesn't make slips or mistakes, or presents weird stances, or tries to start trains. In short he doesn't leave ground for errors or getting caught out if he's scum.
On the other hand, how does his behaviour help scum's agenda? Shouldn't they be sowing dissension (either defending against some pushes or throwing oil in the fire when a bandwagon starts), push against people (especially lurkers who made for easy mislynches I assume) or in general try not to make themselves noticed?
At the start I could get that, you were a polarising figure, and the way you talked to people or played such a big part in our direction could make a case for you being suspicious (whereas now I accept that as your posting (didn't Soniv call you a blood hound or something?) but I'm wary or what benefits you can get out of the reactions you incite). If you were town and him scum that could have been a push to lynch the town's leader and disrupt our activity.
But the wagon never took off, and pretty much since the end of Night 1 Requizen's been the only one at odds with you (even people you accused like Soniv treated you as townie). What does Scum!Req gain from that? Since you'd never get lynched like that, if he focuses on you he pretty much removes himself from the game.


Uh... I'm starting to get lenghty, so while I leave that out there I'll try to be more concise:

TL;DR:
Req doesn't bring much to the town, much like Ghandi at the beginning.
However because he won't start a successful bandwagon against you he doesn't bring much to scum either. Isn't it bad for scum if they're inactive?
If Req makes us "ignore" him (we don't pay too much attention to his posts but notice he's active) then it's a good cover because he doesn't help us but he's not drawing attention like the lurkers do.
And he automatically distances from everyone (but you) because he pretty much only talks about you, even when asked about his reads.
So...
I'm having a bit of trouble to reach a conclusion, or where you're getting at. "Req's posting looks like bad scum play, which doesn't matter because remember we're not here to lynch dangerous scum, but every scum", is that a good summary?

I'll admit I tunnel-vision'd hard on stuff that gave me the feeling of actively threatening town, in retrospect.
Cant take LMS hipsters serious.
Alaric
Profile Joined November 2009
France45622 Posts
October 18 2014 18:36 GMT
#2000
0K that TL;DR is a bit long too.
Post TL;DR: "Req is toothless scum hiding in a corner, we don't care if he doesn't try to brainwash us because scum is scum"?

Also is your plan to switch to him? Because I'd rather see what he has to say (and who the other scum is if you're the main one, I agree he actually almost never brought that up in his reads) before lynching him, and he said he's not gonna be able to post much tonight.
Cant take LMS hipsters serious.
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BLAST Bounty Summer Qual
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