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Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 12:56 GMT
#241
Nah I flatly don't believe him at this point

I can understand I guess why you'd buy his explanation but I think it's just more lies on top of lies now

In any case noted, one for Cavalinho. I want to get the others to weigh in.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Pixalated
Profile Joined March 2014
Singapore38 Posts
March 26 2014 13:00 GMT
#242
Eden which would you prefer? LT I presume?
Pixalated
Profile Joined March 2014
Singapore38 Posts
March 26 2014 13:04 GMT
#243
@LT I dont think you talked about this point that Eden brought up.

The timing. His post setting the "trap" came over 20 minutes after the post containing the "bait," and the "trap" is at the end. Looks like an afterthought. I'm not convinced it's the result of prior planning.


If you can't give a sufficient explanation for this I think I would lynch you instead. If it was preplanned, why wasn't it directly after your first post? Why wait 20 minutes? Why did you have to go read RJ's thoughts on the Cav case before finishing your trap??
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 13:08 GMT
#244
On March 26 2014 22:00 Pixalated wrote:
Eden which would you prefer? LT I presume?

Yes, for now. Cavalinho's play is more easily excused as incompetent. If as I suspect Lord Tolkein has been lying repeatedly, it is impossible to rationally assume anything but malevolence.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
March 26 2014 13:20 GMT
#245
On March 26 2014 22:04 Pixalated wrote:
@LT I dont think you talked about this point that Eden brought up.

Show nested quote +
The timing. His post setting the "trap" came over 20 minutes after the post containing the "bait," and the "trap" is at the end. Looks like an afterthought. I'm not convinced it's the result of prior planning.


If you can't give a sufficient explanation for this I think I would lynch you instead. If it was preplanned, why wasn't it directly after your first post? Why wait 20 minutes? Why did you have to go read RJ's thoughts on the Cav case before finishing your trap??

It took me awhile to realize to what you were referring to.

The reads themselves would've been sufficient. I wanted to see if anyone else would parrot it, not just Cav and sqrt.


The questions tacked on afterwards was done specifically in regards to Cav and sqrt as they solidified themselves in my mind as the scummiest players I'm reading, and mostly to encourage them to post something substantive so I can analyze (which is their main problems this turn). This was not an essential part of the scumbait.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 13:25 GMT
#246
On March 26 2014 22:20 Lord Tolkien wrote:
The reads themselves would've been sufficient. I wanted to see if anyone else would parrot it, not just Cav and sqrt.

The questions tacked on afterwards was done specifically in regards to Cav and sqrt as they solidified themselves in my mind as the scummiest players I'm reading, and mostly to encourage them to post something substantive so I can analyze (which is their main problems this turn). This was not an essential part of the scumbait.

On March 26 2014 20:31 Lord Tolkien wrote:
ZzZ. I knew I should've tried posting that part some other time. Or maybe I should've approached it with more subtlety (see: any subtlety at all).

Was trying to scumbait with it when questioning Cavalinho and sqrt.


can we PLEASE kill this guy already
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 13:31 GMT
#247
oh hey I should probably do my part

##UNVOTE Cavalinho
##VOTE Lord Tolkein
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
March 26 2014 14:28 GMT
#248
Vote Count

sqrtofneg1 (1) - Valenius, Lord Tolkien
OnceKing (1) - sqrtofneg1, Lord Tolkien
IAmRobik (1) - Cavalinho, OnceKing, Eden1892
Cavalinho (2) - Eden1892, RolandJarvis, Pixalated
Eden1892 (1) - Cavalinho
Lord Tolkien(1) - Eden1892

Not Voting (2) - IAmRobik, Lord Tolkien



Currently Cavalinho is set to be lynched!



Day ends at Thursday, Mar 27 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00), .
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
March 26 2014 14:34 GMT
#249
Just finished up with reading up to pg 11. Eden super fucking town. As is Roland Jarvis.

Analysis of RJ vs LT
Both come into the thread after either a long absence or no posts at all. RJ picks people and analyzes them in several posts. These post flow naturally and feel like they follow some sort of logical progression. The same cannot be said for LT who comes in after an absence and makes one "long" posts that was more summary + meta than discussion of what's going on this game.

On the other hand, he does take a stand on a lot of people, and generally his take is that a lot of people are town. This is pretty townie, especially since he makes it a point to call people town that some people don't even have opinions on.

Meh, I don't know if that's natural flow though.

I'll reread and reassess.
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
March 26 2014 14:35 GMT
#250
Just saw the vote counts. We need to make sure that we consolidate wagons by tomorrow morning so that we can have some direction and so that it's not a clusterfuck at the end of the day.
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
March 26 2014 14:37 GMT
#251
On March 26 2014 20:31 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
- Reads on Valenius and Pixalated. ...how? Valenius asked some good questions to develop OnceKing's policy, but that's all. Certainly a good start but not nearly enough to declare him "super town" or "cleared." Especially in light of the fact that he said Pixalated is neutral-to-scummy... I have Pixalated as neutral-to-town if anything, but to be honest they've done virtually the same thing here (not post much, make solid contributions where they did). There's a lack of explanation for either read, which on its own doesn't say much, but...

ZzZ. I knew I should've tried posting that part some other time. Or maybe I should've approached it with more subtlety (see: any subtlety at all).

Was trying to scumbait with it when questioning Cavalinho and sqrt. Was trying to see if they would piggyback off of it. Went back and deleted those sections specifically to try.

My true reads:
Valenius leans town at best. I'm hesitant to call him anything at this stage of the game, when his only post is at best asking for a PAINFULLY obvious clarification on a policy. Or in other words, in line with what everyone else has said.

Pixelated is leaning town. He's had more posts and has given reads on sqrt and Valenius, but the main crux of their points have been similar to what OK and others in the thread have said (not much to be said this early into the game, however). He was however the first to defend OK's post (outside of OK), and rightly so. If we're continuing with the Cavalinho lynch, it is...unlikely for them to simultaneously bandwagon on a possible lynch and defend the person in question.


Show nested quote +
- His position on Cavalinho is inconsistently soft wrt the rest of his list. Notice the "almost" above -- the one big exception is the guy that I personally think is obviously scum. He does some lip service to the idea (e.g. "these things should mark him clear scum"), but then handwaves every point he raises for Cavalinho on a shaky meta argument (e.g. "mark him as clear scum, but... might just be his playstyle). He says Cavalinho is "maybe the most scummiest read he has"*, but then declares sqrt his "probable" lynch target today. There's a lot of waffling on Cavalinho that isn't present with the others. (PREVIEW EDIT: Even concedes the case is strong, but still has sqrt as his top suspect. p l s)

This is again going off of my experience with Cavalinho in LII, though the more you prod, the more I think you may be right about me softballing Cavalinho. I may be trying to discern too much off meta, and am letting how LII Day 1 went color my view of the game and his (pretty scummy) actions too much.

Show nested quote +
- His rationale for sqrt is weak. Of a handful of inactives so far he's singling out one post of sqrt's (the "I've never drawn mafia" post) as the thing that's so disconcerting to him? Already zeroed in on sqrt being a scum lurker and wants to lynch him over aforesaid "maybe most scummiest read"*? That's just strange to me because nothing that sqrt has done has been alignment-indicative yet.

As I EXPLICITLY note, it was posted AFTER the serious posting began, and AFTER IAmRobik's wtf on OK. The timestamp is key: if it were before that, and even OK's post, whatever. idgaf because that was part of the joke phase. That's what I find the most disconcerting of his posting, versus Valenius (whose post at least addressed something serious).

Show nested quote +
- Preview edit point: That last question is such a softball! Ideal to ask your fake scum read and your scum buddy, terrible as town. Why wouldn't he ask about the things Cavalinho and sqrt are doing that makes them suspicious to him?

My main issue with sqrt again is the timing of his post and decision to start lurking at that juncture, which makes me far more leery of him over Valenius. Look at the time stamps: 3.5 hours between OK's post and Valenius's question and his sleep post, 4 minutes between Robik's wtf post and his highlighted post, and 11 minutes between the post I highlighted and his sleep post. Certainly there's time to post...something serious? When we had clearly moved past the jokes votes?

Putting him among my top scum reads is/was a means to pressure him into posting something of value and see if he posts anything that makes me pursue that line of inquiry. Similarly, the main thing which Cavalinho isn't doing is giving anything of substance in his posts. This is also why I was posting a full reads list, to see if there was any piggybacking going on.




The fuck?
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
March 26 2014 14:40 GMT
#252
On March 26 2014 20:33 Pixalated wrote:
What.

If you are scumbaiting why are you revealing your trap before they even have the chance to fall for it?

woah...to clarify, this is what I meant when I wrote "the fuck" regarding LT's post...i responded before I even finished reading the rest of LT's post
OnceKing
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States939 Posts
March 26 2014 15:33 GMT
#253
##UNVOTE

About Cavalinho:
I agree that he's suspicious in that he hasn't contributed a lot of original content. However, I disagree with Eden's statement that "blatantly riffing off of Robik" makes him scum. As seen here:
On March 26 2014 12:16 Cavalinho wrote:
I am also curious about aforementioned shit

This is just an "me too" post which... doesn't really say a lot about his alignment. I'm most bothered by this:
On March 26 2014 15:26 Cavalinho wrote:
No, I am not dealing with this shit a second time.

##Vote Eden1892

One of us is going to be dead by the end of today and it isn't going to be me just because I agreed with someone.

This is an overreaction and he's trying too hard to look like an indignant townie. He did the same thing in a previous game but the context is not the same -- last time he did this by attacking Amiko once Amiko said that he was just agreeing with something other players said before but before this he voices no suspicion of Eden, and in fact this post doesn't really voice suspicion of Eden either! Instead Cavalinho just places down a vote which gets no justification when we're well past so-called RVS.
##VOTE: Cavalinho.

About LT:
Gonna have to disagree with you guys, LT made an honest mistake and got impatient in pulling the trigger.

sqrtofneg1 - What do you think of the interactions between IAmRobik, Eden, Cavalinho and Lord Tolkien?
Cavalinho - Are you saying that if we lynch you today and you flip town we should lynch Eden? And more pressingly, why shouldn't we lynch you? (don't just say "I'm town")
LT - Yes, actually I am getting flashbacks to Cav's mislynch on Day 1 of our last newbie game. But it's been a while and he's aware of his own playstyle. However, here's something interesting. He's brought it down to "me or you". What do you think of this?
"Every man has his follies - and often they are the most interesting thing he has got."
IAmRobik
Profile Joined January 2014
United States5878 Posts
March 26 2014 15:53 GMT
#254
The number of people suspicious of (myself included), and voting for, cavalinho is a bit unnerving. I do agree that he's been the scummiest, but I've yet to see someone defend him (other than maybe LT). IDK. I'm getting the heebie jeebies from this.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 15:54 GMT
#255
No, what I meant by "riffing off of Robik" wasn't that he also thought you were weird -- it was the way he expressed it. Here's the progression of events:

- OnceKing posts his lynch-lurker policy
- Cavalinho checks in, makes no reference to or comment about the post
- Robik says "wtf is this shit?"
- Cavalinho says "I am also curious about aforementioned shit"
- Robik asks Cavalinho about OK, Cavalinho says "OK is...Off. Like, his post is just...weird. I don't really know how to describe it, but it's like he says a thing about policy and it just kinda comes out of nowhere."
- Robik continues to express skepticism/suspicion/etc., drops some curse bombs
- Cavalinho: "Why would you even bother talking about policy lynching when we're barely one step out of RVS? Now that I think about it, I'm gonna go check our last game to see if OK did the same weird shit he's doing right now."
- After I challenge Robik, Robik's stance on OK softens and he feels more townie about OK
- Cavalinho literally in the next post decides that while weird OK is town

Cavalinho doesn't think anything weird about OK's post until after Robik expresses surprise/etc. about it, and then Cavalinho's attitude toward it escalates in hostility as Robik's does, almost lockstep, and then he townreads OK as soon as Robik does. It's really clear that he was just mafia trying to make a mountain out of the molehill of alleged weirdness in OK's opening and that he backed down when Robik stopped worrying so much about it. The tone of his messages on the subject changes exactly like Robik's does.

And then of course his freakout and vote for me was just a really lame effort to mimic the example he raised not the post before where he was townread for OMGUS. Guy hasn't contributed a thing good and has behaved pretty scummy.


I really don't see how LT repeatedly lying is an honest mistake.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Cavalinho
Profile Joined February 2014
United States946 Posts
March 26 2014 15:55 GMT
#256
On March 26 2014 16:24 Eden1892 wrote:
OK town, so Cavalinho is either terrible at reading comprehension or trying to distort what I'm saying. Let's review.

Again it's not that he said OnceKing's start was weird, it's that he didn't do anything to figure out why it was weird or tell us how it was weird. He asked OK why OK made a post about policy lynching lurkers, OK said it was to get the town out of RVS. That's not weird. Cavalinho didn't bother to respond to him and then kept repeating himself about how weird it was. No explanation as to why or how that's weird, no attempt to develop OK's response, nothing.

His questions didn't have any apparent direction or purpose to them. He asked OK why OK made the post, OK gave a good answer aaaand... Cavalinho drops it like a hot potato. No follow up? Nothing? Why are we supposed to be convinced that OK is weird or scum or whatever when you're just asking questions to ask them and not developing any insights from them? He asserts that he was asking questions because he didn't understand what was going on, but you'll notice that he doesn't acknowledge OK's answer at all. Instead he starts playing reactively, answering OK's questions and then dropping the line of discussion. That's not what people do when they're trying to understand what's going on. He vaguely talks around the issue right before I prodded him, saying that he thinks OK's start was still weird, but that he "[doesn't] have any real reason to think [OK] is mafia" because of his "last accusatory post" (what post is this?) and he "seems townie, getting information and generally being one of those obvious town players" (this doesn't actually say anything about why he doesn't think OK is mafia; we know that he wouldn't think that because he thinks OK seems town, why does he?)

I also happen to think his OMGUS vote is him trying to look innocent because he's aware of his meta (not the post beforehand he noted that Robik townread him in a previous game because he OMGUS'd then), but that can go either way. What's telling is that he fails to develop his vote, he just puts it down and insists it'll be me or him today. That's dumb and not what a town player should be doing.

Cavalinho is my best read for mafia right now.


There was no information in the thread besides people goofing off when OK started talking about policy lynching. Why would you need to start talking about policy lynches when the game hasn't even really started yet? That's why his early post feels out of place. Furthermore, why should I press for more information when he has already given a townie answer and then started scumhunting on his own like before? It's like I have to walk you through every single thought that pops into my head.

Also, that point about why I don't think that OK is mafia is really, really dumb. If I think OK is townie, why on earth would I have to give you reasoning as to why he's not mafia? Is it because he can roll both alignments at once?

And the reason I wasn't able to do more scumhunting is because I was sleeping. Unless that's scummy behavior too. And furthermore, if you're going to talk about meta, go ahead and reread my NMM game. I got tunneled out of the game because I sheeped onto a vote. Which is basically the exact same thing that's happening here. Stop trying to create reasoning when there's nothing there. I refuse to get taken out day 1 because someone is trying to make reactions and reasonings where there are none.
Spectaticle
Pixalated
Profile Joined March 2014
Singapore38 Posts
March 26 2014 16:04 GMT
#257
Game hasn't started => player makes post which allows people to start talking about something related to the game (start playing the game) => he is scum because it is out of place and a townie would continue bullshitting around instead of trying to talk about something more useful

???
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 16:05 GMT
#258
You're talking around the points I made -- again -- and making really stretched parallels to another game -- again -- in an attempt to distort what I'm saying -- again.

For the rest of the town, here are the issues with Cavalinho's last post:
- He's distorting my arguments here. Specifically: he's framing my expectation that his questions have some purpose to them to mean that I expect him to walk us through every thought he has on the game; he's misinterpreting a question I posed ("why does he think OK is not mafia?" into "why does he think OK is mafia?") to avoid answering it; and he's introducing things I didn't talk about at all (him sleeping and not scumhunting as a result) in an effort to garner sympathy or otherwise discredit my arguments.
- He's still not explained his vote for me at all. In fact he's claiming to have sheeped onto a vote...? But he's the only one voting for me.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Cavalinho
Profile Joined February 2014
United States946 Posts
March 26 2014 16:05 GMT
#259
On March 27 2014 00:33 OnceKing wrote:
##UNVOTE

About Cavalinho:
I agree that he's suspicious in that he hasn't contributed a lot of original content. However, I disagree with Eden's statement that "blatantly riffing off of Robik" makes him scum. As seen here:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2014 12:16 Cavalinho wrote:
I am also curious about aforementioned shit

This is just an "me too" post which... doesn't really say a lot about his alignment. I'm most bothered by this:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2014 15:26 Cavalinho wrote:
No, I am not dealing with this shit a second time.

##Vote Eden1892

One of us is going to be dead by the end of today and it isn't going to be me just because I agreed with someone.

This is an overreaction and he's trying too hard to look like an indignant townie. He did the same thing in a previous game but the context is not the same -- last time he did this by attacking Amiko once Amiko said that he was just agreeing with something other players said before but before this he voices no suspicion of Eden, and in fact this post doesn't really voice suspicion of Eden either! Instead Cavalinho just places down a vote which gets no justification when we're well past so-called RVS.
##VOTE: Cavalinho.

About LT:
Gonna have to disagree with you guys, LT made an honest mistake and got impatient in pulling the trigger.

sqrtofneg1 - What do you think of the interactions between IAmRobik, Eden, Cavalinho and Lord Tolkien?
Cavalinho - Are you saying that if we lynch you today and you flip town we should lynch Eden? And more pressingly, why shouldn't we lynch you? (don't just say "I'm town")
LT - Yes, actually I am getting flashbacks to Cav's mislynch on Day 1 of our last newbie game. But it's been a while and he's aware of his own playstyle. However, here's something interesting. He's brought it down to "me or you". What do you think of this?


No, I would prefer not to get lynched today period. The reasoning behind lynch me and then lynch him is shoddy at best and detrimental to town at worst.

Also, you shouldn't vote me off because this is the exact same reason I died last game, barring overaggression. It was dumb then and it's dumb now.

The last time I wound up getting lynched was because I ultimately tried to vote off my scumread instead of trying to save myself. I refuse to be voted off day 1 again because I agree with someone and have similar opinions to someone else (which, for the record, he asked me for).
Spectaticle
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
March 26 2014 16:08 GMT
#260
Furthermore, all this "I refuse to be voted off day 1" talk reeks of a lady protesting far too much. Do something to show you're town instead of launching invective at all the people who dare vote for you. You're not a special snowflake, stomping your feet around on the ground demanding that people not vote for you won't convince anyone to relent.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
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