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PYP: League of Legends Mafia - Page 64

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 02 2013 12:56 GMT
#1261
It's not that unlikely a low-ranked mafia would choose whoever the godfather champion is because why not.

With the inventor running around and every role having a 2nd unknown power, it's a pretty safe pick (the person choosing gf would also have a 2nd ability too), as there may be hidden DT roles/items.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
December 02 2013 12:58 GMT
#1262
On December 02 2013 21:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
The thing is with the inventor in the game and all roles that fuck with DT-checks the checks are now 100% legit. :p
Barring the Godfather obviously, but i doubt any scum picked it because it does serve no purpose. If any townie for some reason picked it i think they should claim it asap.

You do realize every role still has a second ability that can fuck with alignments? Chances might be low but possible.
I had a good night of sleep.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:03 GMT
#1263
On December 02 2013 21:58 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2013 21:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
The thing is with the inventor in the game and all roles that fuck with DT-checks the checks are now 100% legit. :p
Barring the Godfather obviously, but i doubt any scum picked it because it does serve no purpose. If any townie for some reason picked it i think they should claim it asap.

You do realize every role still has a second ability that can fuck with alignments? Chances might be low but possible.

I'd say the chances are near 0%. Based on my role i'd say the second abilities are most likely to be close to the first one. Or at least somewhat similar.

The thing is we can assume the list check will be most likely correct. Noone is gonna be able to say "but maybe i got framed" or at least that will be HIGHLY unlike it's true, even with scum of course trying to do something like that.

Main point is all checks are EXTREMELY likely to be100% legit and therefore you as inventor should invent investigative items imo. Because cops are OP anyways, at least when they got totally legit checks.

You know, there is a reason why i wanted to ban the roles i wanted banned. I even crumbed what role i will pick at the start of the game assuming i won't get on top of the list and get inventor. I told VE "i swear i saw a lightning rod in the role list" and with my second power this just became a hella lot better! ^_^
table for two on a tv tray
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 02 2013 13:04 GMT
#1264
My 2nd ability is nothing like my first ability, that's a terrible stretch.

What I/Koshi posted seems essentially correct to me.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:06 GMT
#1265
On December 02 2013 22:04 marvellosity wrote:
My 2nd ability is nothing like my first ability, that's a terrible stretch.

What I/Koshi posted seems essentially correct to me.

Hmm okay. Anyways it does not change the fact that we have reduced the possibilities of fucking with possible checks to pretty low amount.
table for two on a tv tray
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 02 2013 13:08 GMT
#1266
Indeed. Checks will be nice. But my point was that mafia choosing gf isn't really particularly unlikely, especially from a low draft spot.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:09 GMT
#1267
On December 02 2013 22:08 marvellosity wrote:
Indeed. Checks will be nice. But my point was that mafia choosing gf isn't really particularly unlikely, especially from a low draft spot.

I do not think anyone from the upper half of the draft would pick GF based on scum banning all inv-roles.
You might be right about the lower picks, but then again, in case something implies there is a GF we know to which pool of people to look into.
table for two on a tv tray
jcarlsoniv
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States27922 Posts
December 02 2013 13:17 GMT
#1268
Holy damn. Mad posts happening last night. Life in the game getting interesting.

On December 02 2013 15:00 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I think gtrsrs is one of the most transparent players in the game so far. Not gonna vote for him.
Why is VE town for you? How is VE helping the town?


How has gtr really been transparent at all?

Although I agree with you, VE hasn't done anything overwhelming for town thus far (at least, as far as I've read - still catching up from sleeps)
Soniv ||| Soniv#1962 ||| @jcarlsoniv ||| The Big Golem ||| Join the Glorious Evolution. What's your favorite aminal, a bear? ||| Joe "Don't call me Daniel" "Soniv" "Daniel" Carlsberg LXIX ||| Paging Dr. John Shadow
jcarlsoniv
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States27922 Posts
December 02 2013 13:18 GMT
#1269
On December 02 2013 15:00 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2013 14:50 Mocsta wrote:
On December 02 2013 14:18 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Mocsta, can you give me quick reads on the following people (a couple of words will do fine):
supersoft, geript, OdinOfPergo, Storrzerg, sandroba, gtrsrs, Oatsmaster, justanothertownie.

SS - Null.
Most of his posts are setup speculation which is acceptable either alignment at this phase of the game.
I admit I haven't played with a scum SS; but I also havent played with a pleasant one either. It makes me naturally assume something is different. Hes active though which is a good sign too. Yes, null.

Geript - Soft town lean.
Trolling Geript is null. But this Geript appears to be trying to push the thread into a certain direction - using reasoning vs slander. I also like that he is trying to make "look at me statements" to be noticed. He *wants* the attention. For this stage of the game I think thats pretty townie.

OdinOfPergo - Null to soft scum lean
Very setup oriented filter so i dont place a lot value in having activity. Half the stuff hes takling about I have no idea about because I'm not familiar with LoL. Hes also got an early Day0 obsession with Jay which hasn't relented, yet, he seems to be asking the opinion of others rather than talk to Jay to firm up a read?. This is kinda reminding me of how I approached Storrzerg in Mafia LXIII.

Storrzerg - Null
No idea, nothing really to work off

Sandroba - Null
Sandroba is known for good plans as town so its natural for him to easily receive buy-in // propose something conceived pre-game.
Hes also known for lurking as scum. Hes given reasoning for lack of activity, so I think he will become pretty clear over the next 48hrs especially with roles being out.

gtrsrs - Soft town lean
I hate players like this. Troll. Its pretty light hearted, and the joke he made on Sandroba made me laugh, which is probably a good sign - as joviality is hard to fake. Most of the stuff is selfish setup talk which probably indicates town that will be useless to moving the thread forward i.e. the usual TL sign up these days.

Oatsmaster - ??
It looks like hes trying to stir the pot intentionally.
He seriously couldnt think that SS vet idea was good...
I honestly have no idea how to read this guy anymore, he used to have direction in his pushes as town. Tips??

Justanothertownie - Null to Soft scum lean
He is uncharacteristically active/assertive. The games I played with JAT he was pretty timid. Here he is calling people stupid and just in general seems to be on edge. I find he also talks to Rayn as if auto-assuming Rayn is town. White knighting?

Interesting. I think all of those people are town.


shocking... /sarcasm

there are at least 2 people on that list that are at least leaning scum for me - why the hell do you think everyone there is town
Soniv ||| Soniv#1962 ||| @jcarlsoniv ||| The Big Golem ||| Join the Glorious Evolution. What's your favorite aminal, a bear? ||| Joe "Don't call me Daniel" "Soniv" "Daniel" Carlsberg LXIX ||| Paging Dr. John Shadow
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
December 02 2013 13:19 GMT
#1270
stop it Jcarl. Read then talk.
No gg, No skill.
jcarlsoniv
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States27922 Posts
December 02 2013 13:20 GMT
#1271
On December 02 2013 15:01 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
I want opinions from everybody in the thread on gtrsrs and geript.

I'm not doing an analysis of geript right now since people keep calling him town. I'll accept that I might be wrong for now. But I want people to justify these reads instead of just sheeping rayn. If everyone just continue to parrot rayn I'll go do some digging of my own but right now gtrsrs is my primary goal.


Null on gtr for now, but certainly not leaning town.

Wary of geript, but I'm trying to decide if it's because of his completely unreasonable reaction to me, or just OMGUS.

going to catch up and read more before I post again - heading to work
Soniv ||| Soniv#1962 ||| @jcarlsoniv ||| The Big Golem ||| Join the Glorious Evolution. What's your favorite aminal, a bear? ||| Joe "Don't call me Daniel" "Soniv" "Daniel" Carlsberg LXIX ||| Paging Dr. John Shadow
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
December 02 2013 13:21 GMT
#1272
On December 02 2013 22:09 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2013 22:08 marvellosity wrote:
Indeed. Checks will be nice. But my point was that mafia choosing gf isn't really particularly unlikely, especially from a low draft spot.

I do not think anyone from the upper half of the draft would pick GF based on scum banning all inv-roles.
You might be right about the lower picks, but then again, in case something implies there is a GF we know to which pool of people to look into.

Wait. Scum didn't ban Viktor. Then they decide to not pick number 2. Silly gooses. Really strange imho.
I had a good night of sleep.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:21 GMT
#1273
Well that was quite a burst. :p
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:26 GMT
#1274
On December 02 2013 22:21 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 02 2013 22:09 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On December 02 2013 22:08 marvellosity wrote:
Indeed. Checks will be nice. But my point was that mafia choosing gf isn't really particularly unlikely, especially from a low draft spot.

I do not think anyone from the upper half of the draft would pick GF based on scum banning all inv-roles.
You might be right about the lower picks, but then again, in case something implies there is a GF we know to which pool of people to look into.

Wait. Scum didn't ban Viktor. Then they decide to not pick number 2. Silly gooses. Really strange imho.

Assuming you are town maybe they thought they can get rid of you early on.
Basically being on top spots puts you under more pressure in terms of "you have a good role, why are you still alive" and "what did you do with your role". In other words it's easier for scum to fuck up if they are top in picking order, far more likely to be somewhere in the middle because you are naturally under less pressure as you have by assumption "worse role". Best thing for scum is to pick combos that work well together, that does not necessarily mean the most individually strongest roles.
table for two on a tv tray
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
December 02 2013 13:33 GMT
#1275
Ok I am going to make the assumption that scum didn't pick 2 the same numbers. marv recently said I always make great assumptions so I don't see why I shouldn't do it this game. (there might be something untrue in last sentence)

Out of the 7 pickers there will be 2 townies at least.
marvellosity [7][2]
gtrsrs [7][11]
OdinOfPergo [7][16]

Out of the 1 pickers there will be at least 3 townies. With rayn claiming to pick 1,1
Mocsta [1][5]
supersoft [1][30]
Oatsmaster [1][1] Cho'Gath
raynpelikoneet [1][1] Shen

Probably 1 town:
BloddyC0bbler [17][5]
justanothertownie [17][20]

austinmcc [6][3]
Meapak_Ziphh [6][14]

Sandroba Fiora [8][?]
Kenpachi[8][15]

Rean [16][2]
bumatlarge [16][12]


Also bonus assumptions is that there are at least 2 scummers that didn't send in numbers and that hosts changed players so fast because scummers were being whiny bitches in scum QT.
kushm4sta
ticklishmusic
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I had a good night of sleep.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 02 2013 13:39 GMT
#1276
Koshi

Shouldn't the people who already claimed VT clarify who they actually tried to pick? I don't see why they wouldn't once they've claimed VT?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
sandroba
Profile Joined April 2006
Canada4998 Posts
December 02 2013 13:43 GMT
#1277
I really like bum's case. The other cases on gtrs and geript look like trash to me. I also don't like austin and lsb. Don't like that rean fade off since the early game, was around at the deadline but made no comments on plans.
I'll be voting JC and recommend everyone takes a good look on Bum's case which is the best thing we have going so far.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:44 GMT
#1278
I think it's far more beneficial for town to know what roles are in game for sure (vanillas claim what they picked) than to possibly try to catch some scum fakeclaiming something later on. I think vanillas should claim what they tried to pick.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:49 GMT
#1279
Out of the 1 pickers there will be at least 3 townies. With rayn claiming to pick 1,1
Mocsta [1][5]
supersoft [1][30]
Oatsmaster [1][1] Cho'Gath
raynpelikoneet [1][1] Shen

I think at least this group has "justified" their number picks reasonably:
- I claimed i will pick 1,1 ( i know Mocsta said before the game he will do that aswell - but i am stubborn ^^)
- Mocsta claimed he'll pick 1,1 (i don't think him picking 5 as second number means anything alignmentwise), and afaik he was not here for the most of D0.
- Oats was using Oats-logic when he told why he picked 1,1.
- supersoft said he misunderstood how the draft order is assigned and i believe him.

So based on pure number-analysis you can't tell anything about our alignments, other than for those reasons i lean town on supersoft and Oats in their picks. But nothing points towards anyone being scum.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
December 02 2013 13:52 GMT
#1280
Actually Mocsta why did you change your second number to 5 from original 1?
table for two on a tv tray
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