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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
/in | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
same :\ | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 03 2014 07:36 JonnyLaw wrote: Dunno why balla cares so much anyway. He's confirmed scum. 66% scum rate so far. Stats don't lie. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 06 2014 07:34 chinstrap wrote: Sounds like overeager towncred grabbing scum play to me. ##Vote: Balla24 I think you might be jumping the gun a little bit on this one. Don't get me wrong, Balla plays a scary mafia because he looks town almost the entire game, but in the game he was town he was very active and led the town by making lots and lots of posts. So his MO is always being active regardless of alignment. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
My main goal this game is to be more active and contribute meaningful analysis to the town. This may seem basic, but I've failed at it the last couple games so I'm hoping to actually follow through with it this time. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 06 2014 07:59 chinstrap wrote: I was mid drafting a post very similar to your second paragraph but the NFL playoffs can be distracting. Anti lurking environment is great, randomly policy lynching lurkers is not. However a policy debate is also highly distracting. So lets get past that and concentrate on finding dem sucummers. Ps. I never mess around! Are policy debates generally considered to be distracting? I find analyzing people's opinions on policy and trying to find scum based on that more productive than just lynching lurkers. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 06 2014 11:22 Balla24 wrote: Ok, seems reasonable that i'm overthinking it and it's not an attempt to pocket me but more him actually being disappointed with the IC's play so far. Anyways, him attempting to pocket me isn't really something i see him doing from my experience with him. I'm not familiar with the term pocketing. I didn't realize he was joking so I defended you. We've played with some confrontational players in these last few newb games so I thought he was just being super aggro. I'm not comfortable with a Derrida lynch Day 1 just yet. I think his inexperience is showing more than his scumminess. He was gone for a large portion of the day and was trying to make up for his inactivity by posting a lot of information. Unfortunately it's really easy to sheep when there has already been so much discussion prior to posting. Although now that I refresh the page I see that the discussion has sort of shifted away from Derrida. My main scum reads at the moment are Dragoon and Day_Walker. They seem to be interacting a decent amount, which isn't inherently scummy, but they go out of there way to distance themselves from each other. Dragoon says "For the record, I want to make it clear that I never said I completely trust Day_Walker," Then Day_Walker says: On January 06 2014 21:03 Day_Walker wrote: At the risk of playing into the "Day_Walker and theDragoon are protecting each other because they are both scum" read, what do you make of theDragoon standing up for Asuna? Off the top of my head I can think of only two scenarios where this is consistent with theDragoon scum AND Asuna townie: 1) Scum are protecting some townies to make things harder to read. 2) Scum are trying to make it easier to play the "I'm a newbie" card. I understand wanting to get out ahead of these accusations, but that doesn't mean we should ignore it simply because he pushed Dragoon slightly. These just seem like they are trying to distance themselves early so if either if them go down we don't suspect them as a scum pair. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 07 2014 05:28 Balla24 wrote: That's exactly how i was thinking OWB... however i'm trying to avoid thinking about scum pairs atm, as it IS day 1 and we have no confirmed scum yet. It is good to note though. Yeah, I realize I might be jumping the gun, but I saw a chance to present some new analysis so I took it. That said I'm comfortable voting for Dragoon. ##vote theDragoon | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 07 2014 05:59 Asuna wrote: Huh, I wasn't expecting dragoon to instavote owb after a small timeline messup (since votes are understood to be 100% serious). Not sure what to think about that... I'm assuming dragoon is one, but who's #2? And what's this about o.O confused D: chinstrap called JonnyLaw JonnyLax in a post on the last page. If my theory hold true #2 would be Day_Walker | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 07 2014 06:36 Balla24 wrote: So you don't find it suspicious that he was so enamored with Day_walker and that he came up with a NULL read on you? What about his read on me, you're becoming more suspicious of me so is what he said aligned with your thinking? @OWB: Was Day_walker/Dragoon the only connection you found? Let's hear anything else in regards to connections like that since that was how you seemed to be hunting. I found a few more weak connections, but i'd like you to prove that you were actually hunting and you didn't just find ONE thing to latch onto. I know it's not the answer you want to hear, but that's the only real pair that stood out to me. I didn't start hunting with the goal of finding pairs, that one just sort of happened. I'm glad you think I'm capable of doing good analysis, but nothing else really stood out to me (or at least nothing that hadn't already been said). Don't think I didn't take my time to formulate my analysis on Day_Walker and Dragoon though | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
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On January 07 2014 07:02 theDragoon wrote: What do you think of Derrida giving Day_Walker the green light and have COMPLETE TRUST in him? You label Day_Walker and I as scum because I "seemingly trusted and turned by back on him so we can distance ourselves". I don't think you're reading my posts at all since I have never trusted Day_Walker ONCE. I'll know when you start reading my posts when you remove that vote on me. I still want you to prove the part where I gave my trust in Day_Walker and pinpoint the exact moment where I try to "distance myself" from him. I'm of the mindset that Derrida's initial reads were pretty bad and I'm not reading too much into them. I did something almost exactly the same in my first game where I agreed with people fairly blindly and I didn't really have solid reasons for why I did. It looks scummy but I think it's just be bad town play. He is right though, he doesn't specifically say he trusts Day_Walker. He is distancing himself but it may just be a result of people calling him out for trusting him in the first place. I'm leaving my vote for now but I'm open to the idea of lynching another target if one presents itself. Possibly Day_Walker since he hasn't responded to these accusations, might just be lurking since our focus is on Dragoon. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
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onlywonderboy
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 08 2014 01:02 TheChyz wrote: Everybody has to start to make up their mind. IMO Dragoon himself has not cleared his name, the person that has done that for him is DW. His so called defense after the martyr to me felt like garbage and he has done almost nothing to help scumhunt. The current vote on dnyarri IS in fact useless because apart from the votes onto him, there is no information to be gained whatsoever. However Dragoon has played a terrible game and has done nothing productive to the town, infact all he has done is cause confusion (as well as DW), which in this case is worse than dnyarri. His allignment will also say SO much more than dnyarri's will From the beginning of the game Dragoon and DW have been defending themselves and it has been very suspicious. Personally I just thing DW knows too much and my vote would be on him because regardless if for some reason Dragoon ends up being town, DW will use the "i told you card". He seems very adamant on dnyarri, but it seems to me like he is just hoping that since I voted for him I would be able to help lead the bandwagon on the lurker or somebody else will. To me I find that DW has also barely helped town scum hunt in the fact that he just tries to attack everybody in the game but only a little bit, never with a vote, and has been defensive about Dragoon from the start. Too much defending Dragoon and not enough scum hunting. ##Vote: Day_Walker I agree with a lot of what was brought up here. The more and more I think about it the more I start to doubt the Day_Walker/Dragoon pair. This mostly has to do with how things have played out since Dragoon got a large portion of the votes. I agree that Day_Walker has put forth way more effort into defending Dragoon after his doom seemed inevitable and decided to rally his cause around a lurker that it would be hard to gather support for. If Dragoon flips town DW looks clear, but he seems to have gone out of his way to make it actually look this way. If they were both scum it's unlikely he would be defending him so vehemently. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
##Unvote ##Vote dnyarri | ||
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onlywonderboy
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 08 2014 07:09 chinstrap wrote: I didnt necessarily agree with the dnyarri lynch but theDragonn was 110% town after his final post I'm pretty much in this camp as well. Was putting a lot of faith in Jonny's word but it was the only chance of getting the vote off of Dragoon. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 08 2014 07:14 Balla24 wrote: I'm not in this camp... wtf? Posts right before you get lynched are totally WIFOM... mafia always does that, so does town clearly... the only thing thats different is he listed in order people from scummy to least scummy. But beyond that? Nah cmon... Sorry, poor response to the quote. Dragoon's final post wasn't what cleared him in my mind, but I was leaning away from him based on DW's actions (putting forth the elaborate defense for Dragoon and shifting the focus of the game onto a lurker it would hard to gain support for). I was agreeing with the idea of preferring dnyarri over Dragoon because it was the only even remotely possible lynch to save Dragoon. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 09 2014 00:29 suki wrote: OnlyWonderBoy: I think the tD/DW scumbuddy theory was a bit farfetched, and even theDragoon felt it was pushed too far. As the third person on theDragoon's list of people who pursued that argument, I feel like it's prudent to look into OnlyWonderBoy. On the last minute switch: + Show Spoiler + First thing to note is that he did try to last-minute vote switch with Jonny onto dnyarri. I feel that this makes him a definite town, but thinking further this applies only if dnyarri flips red. If dnyarri flips green it makes no difference to him to switch and it could be a move to grab town cred. Again, you can't argue one way or another without knowing dnyarri's alignment so I won't consider any of this in my analysis. One thing that stands out to me is that OWB has talked about only three people: Derrida, Dragoon and Day_Walker His impression on Derrida seems to be neutral so far, and that he thinks Derrida's early Day 1 play seems influenced more by inexperience than scumminess. He was third to vote for theDragoon which I feel is a point in his favour, although his reasoning is based on the td/DW theory: I think he was the one to first throw out the idea that tD and DW were trying to distance themselves from each other. He doesn't state any other reasons to suspect either tD or DW. Just before the end of the day, he states: He is doubting that tD and DW are a pair. He states "If Dragoon flips town DW looks clear", but he follows that up with "he seems to have gone out of his way to make it actually look this way" which implies that he finds the DW's hard defense of tD suspicious in itself. When he last-minute switches to dnyarri (following Jonny's lead), he says he "wanted DW over Dragoon anyway". Nothing stands out to me in OWB's filter as particularly scummy so I'm going to rate him as neutral at the moment, although I'm not liking the fact that the only analysis he's contributed against tD/DW is on the scum buddy theory. to OnlyWonderBoy: I really want to hear your thoughts on what went down. I also want to see more analysis on why you wanted Day_Walker over theDragoon in Day 1, and what your thoughts on him are after the flip. I want to hear your top scum picks because so far your only suspects have been theDragoon and Day_Walker. I admit I was a bit overzealous with the Dragoon/DW pair. There was a light connection so I don't feel bad about pushing it to start. I've previously stated why I started to shy away from Dragoon and the DW pair (revolving around how DW played after it seemed certain Dragoon was gonna get lynched). It was not Dragoon's impassioned plea that changed my mind about him. I still think there's a chance DW is scum so I at least tried to move the focus towards him. So DW is still one of my top scum picks. In regards to what happened at deadline, I think a lot of players were just putting their faith in Jonny's vote. Like I said, I'm not 100% sure of dnyarri being scum, but I was willing to take the risk knowing that if he could flip town. Personally I was voting more to save Dragoon than to kill dnyarri (who of course, could be scum). Several other players mentioned how they were convinced of Dragoon's innocence due to his final post so that could have made it easier for them to switch last minute. In terms of other possible scum players, I'm of course suspicious of dnyarri like a lot of players now. Really hope he shows up so we get some sort of insight on his play. Don't have any other solid scum reads right now so I guess my main focus is on dnyarri and Day_Walker. Still not sure about Derrida, but I'm still leaning towards bad town rather than scum. Might need to look into him more. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
Gonna be AFK for a bit. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 10 2014 02:12 Balla24 wrote: Yeah, sidesprang was one of my weaker relationships. Sidesprang never mentioned derrida once in his entire time until he died. That indicates there IS a relationship. Derrida was relatively hard on Sidesprang the entire game, BUT it was very easy to fake, especially in his first post where he gives him red... He never really acts on it. Definitely probably not worth writing off. I read that more as Derrida trying to push a case on a semi-lurker that he could justify as a reasonable read when he flipped town. It seemed like he was posturing himself for Day 2 and of course didn't expect to die. I'm still getting a scum vibe from Day_Walker. There are his interactions with Derrida prior to his flip On January 09 2014 02:15 Day_Walker wrote: I don't like Derrida's post, and I'm going to bed. On January 09 2014 02:33 Day_Walker wrote: Also because it is full of statements which are factually incorrect. You have not read the thread carefully. While this is a negative statement against Derrida it's hardly pushing him very hard. Could easily be a weak read to just to build cred if Derrida ever flipped scum (although I doubt the scum team expected it to come so soon) I also don't think his main theory of Asuna/dnyarri/Derrida is super solid. It revolves heavily around the idea of Derrida leaving out Asuana and dnyarri from his initial reads. I just can't imagine a scum player purposely leaving BOTH of his partners off of a list. It's so suspicious and something people could easily find. If that's what actually happened that might be the worst mafia play I've seen in all my newb games. If we are less certain about dnyarri being scum I'm fine with finding a new target, but at this point even if we lynch him we find out a lot of information regardless of how he flips. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 11 2014 02:58 Balla24 wrote: @OWB how do you justify having DW as a scum read yet you continue to vote dnyarri even though DW wanted dnyarri lynched yesterday? I haven't voted yet. I said I was okay with the dnyarri vote but I hadn't committed to it because I wasn't convinced it was completely the right lynch. As I said my suspicion lies on vote: Day_Walker Sadly these accusations come at a bad time as I am at work and don't have the time to come up with a concrete defense. I know Balla will say this is like the last game I was scum and I must say the parallels are quite unfortunate. Sorry that my play was wishy washy, it's just the way a play and I realize it's actually poorly suited for wwinning games. | ||
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
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onlywonderboy
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onlywonderboy
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onlywonderboy
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onlywonderboy
United States23745 Posts
On January 17 2014 08:40 Balla24 wrote: Makes me sad ![]() Have a good one OWB you'll be missed. Don't get me wrong, I had a lot of fun, real life just seemed to always get in the way and impacted my play. Although who knows, maybe I'll get an itch to play and change my mind. I had fun playing with you too Balla, I liked having consistency in players across the newb games. | ||
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