"##" Mafia
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Pandain
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On October 28 2013 06:15 raynpelikoneet wrote: ##Incinerate: Koshi lol i just had to do it. :D Did this actually do anything? If so 20 scum points for Rayn. | ||
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No reason to think it's fake considering you apologized for it in the same post. | ||
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Using powers so fast, Mafia post to cast bad thoughts on someone without any want to pursue him. Buddying Marv. Not that he's for certain scum as I'm certain the majority of scum have not posted yet, but if I was going to guess one person it would be him or WoS. | ||
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Candyman has done fine. He's not shocking anyone and could be scum, but I don't see it now for reasons I'll keep to myself so as to not influence his playstyle. Meanwhile look at WoS's single introduction post. On October 28 2013 06:51 WaveofShadow wrote: Hai guise. I miss being mafia (or even 3P). ![]() My power is boring and semi-useless. I'll use it on somebody later in the day I thinks. It's super pro-town. Be back in a couple hours-ish. My reasoning for why he might be scum are way weaker. So you are the most scummy out of the inactive posters, but mafia don't just want to let town post amongst themselves. So there are going to be some mafia who want to make a presence without real shit. One it's an introduction that feels like something I would make as mafia, having just played mafia 4x in a row. Weird trying to introduce yourself, some content that is content but not actually useful. Of course not definitive and nothing to lynch him on yet, that's why I'm more suspicious on you. I think Koshi is town, first of all. That's unrelated though. Hotcandyman made two posts about Koshi but that's not really the buddying feeling. One it's hard to buddy as a smurf for obvious reasons so null there. Since it's hard to buddy as a smurf, and it's a poor very poor buddying, why do it when bring suspicion? | ||
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And why. | ||
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Now I don't know what it is, but if it's even reasonably good and can be used on a daily basis, why reveal it to someone who you're not sure about their alignment? That shows non-fear of scum hits | ||
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It was played with an intention to never be seen by anyone | ||
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http://www.omgus.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=135&t=1204&p=51808#p51808 | ||
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I'm obviously not going to be self-contradictory even if I'm mafia as I think out my posts. When it reaches one liners, then it detracts from the thread and becomes impossible to read later on. To answer you since I'm already making a post, it's the way in which people post instead of what they post. It's like 1 hour in, nobody has really said anything. Instead I'm noting tendencies of scum which I'm noting people such as you and WoS. I have already gone over those tendencies. When other people come in I will post again. | ||
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On October 28 2013 08:36 raynpelikoneet wrote: There is a reason why i used my power and as i said i fucked up somehow (you do not need to know how). Pandain is making assumptions that are based on absolutely nothing because he has no idea what my power is and he has no idea why i used my power on who i used it on. Why would you use your power, however. I don't care about you fucking up. Why reveal it to Marv, or at least its effects, when you don't know his alignment? | ||
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On October 28 2013 06:44 raynpelikoneet wrote: ##Delegate marvellosity Because i am the fucking Baws! On October 28 2013 07:21 raynpelikoneet wrote: marv did you get the PM already? | ||
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I'll clarify my case. I agree my case on Rayn isn't that convincg. It's based on a whole bunch of small tells. However, given the information we have now he is objectively the most scummy of everyone. WoS you think I might be scum because my reasons are crap, but okay then I guess I'm crap. Let me know why revealing a role to a person who's alignment isn't certain is town or comes from a blue role. I don't think my arguments are weak, they're non-conclusive at best but it's ultimately a matter of debate. I also think you don't like me for some reason, so I hope we can get that behind me. Or if you think I'm bad just address the arguments rather then the person. Sentinel, it's not set in stone but its at least semi-serious. | ||
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However my time schedule is always messed up and I will post at different times of the day. | ||
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Honestly I was a bit upset that you guys are overcharacterizing my push when it was my best read at an early time and I was simply sharing it which was more then you guys were doing with circlejerk power-upping. I like Rayn's later play and found justifications for his play which I won't talk about, but I may have misread him early on. Still, ignoring that I think I would have a good read for this time. | ||
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On October 28 2013 13:23 raynpelikoneet wrote: I powered marv purely because of his "actually i am not sure if you should power me yet" comment. Which for future reference is a bad move to power up someone on a single scum/town tell. Furthermore you should know that Marv or any player should be ideally good enough as scum to not outright advocate power-upping themselves. | ||
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What was I supposed to do? | ||
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On October 28 2013 13:29 raynpelikoneet wrote: Pandain since you are here, you have yet to explain the WoS read. I already explained it. I said as an addendum that I was also slightly suspicious of WoS and I explained why. You then seem to not understand that I may have reasons for suspecting someone which are different then yours. On October 28 2013 13:30 Promethelax wrote: And why did you choose to not power the other three? I the resting sues, I can't say I agree with you but I like you. Thoughts on Marv. Pandain, talk to me about Rayn, why is your vote on him? What were you hoping to accomplish by announcing your return to the thread and if you had to pick one of the people who claims to need to be powered up which would you power up! I saw a post which said "I'll talk to Pan when he's here" so figure I won't just randomly lurk. My vote is on him originally because he did a whole bunch of scum tells which are indicative of scum. It's not certain or definitive, but it's a read that I had. It got further bolstered by later posts until I had a realization about why he may have revealed his power to Marv, which means I couldn't make my original assumption of limited facts. I don't want to power up anyone because it's like the first three hours of day one. I don't mind other people doing it that much because I think it's retarded, because ultimately I don't think scum would be that bold trying to get themselves powered up at first(so first two are safe); although of course that's not definitive. If I had to power up anyone it would be Koshi because he's posting like a town Koshi for me. + Show Spoiler + On October 28 2013 13:42 raynpelikoneet wrote: Okay so here is it in full. marv came up in thread with this: Then he says this: And this: rayn thought process: "marv needs people to power him up. There are other people who also needs powering up. Let's power marv up, especially when he suddenly doesn't want people to power him up, maybe... This is what most likely happens: (1) marv is town, he does good stuff with his powers (2) if he does bad stuff with his powers, or suddenly does not have a power-up power at all, he is probably scum (3) something else, we gain info" Now i do not trust Koshi's (or anyone's else's) ability to do good stuff on D1 or N1 with their power in this game other than you, myself, and marv (no offense to anyone). I also powered up Sentinel because his power would be incredibly easy to fake as scum. "Hey guys, i only need 14 "votes" on me and then i can do good". I really want to know what he does, at worst, he is scum and something bad happens, but it's one time use (as he claimed - if he is lying, we lynch him) and i wanted to confirm that he is not lying and make him burn his power asap because he apparently thinks it's best to use now as he didn't oppose the powering. It gives me a much better read on him based on what the power is. That being said: ##yolo Promethelax Oh god this is awful reasoning I like Oats so far On October 28 2013 13:54 raynpelikoneet wrote: wow wow wow buddy. I don't understand the "Pandain might be trying to trap you", could you elaborate what you mean? I was totally not buddying marv, in fact it was the opposite as i just explained rofl. Now, how is that "clear for everyone that i used a power on marv"? Why can't i just type like ##kill Seuss , did i use a power on you now? Pandain somehow seems to know that i used a power on him, what's wrong with the question? Because if Pandain is scum he would know i am town and townies usually do not lie about using powers. Either you totally bullshitted and bullshitted for three posts which I couldn't know you were lying or it's super obvious that you used a power on Marv. On October 28 2013 13:56 raynpelikoneet wrote: And tbh Pandain should know i am the most likely person in this game to lie about using a power in the first place regardless of my alignment.. That's why the point he brings on me is extremely ridicuous. What? I agree with WoS Prom is suspicious. If anything don't defend me for try-hardyness. If I make a poor case, even if i seem to try hard, and keep going on it, and people in that situation if I made a bad case would easily refute me (wich dey didn't btw), then I shouldn't keep with it. Poor reason to defend a townie who seems suspicious (but really shouldn't be cuz if you look deeper he's town). See: All my games where I buddy a supicious townie r u On October 28 2013 14:21 raynpelikoneet wrote: Did it ever occur to you that i am not bad enough to use "deadly power" on someone based on 1 post? We see your play differently then. To clarify again for everyone early suspicions on Prom aren't substantial, yet. Just indications. Nothing will be solidified until probably after I wake up in 12 hours. | ||
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Because that's what was happening | ||
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On October 28 2013 14:37 Oatsmaster wrote: You like me Pandain but you dont care that I think you are scum? Plenty of people always think I'm scum. | ||
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This is why I don't post usually in the early game because I need time to focus. This game isn't looking well for me | ||
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On October 28 2013 14:43 raynpelikoneet wrote: Pandain why are you using this as a reasoning to why i am scum when it's clear that you voted for me because of my earlier "power use" that should have been an obvious joke for you? That's why I originally voted you not while my vote on you stayed. | ||
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On October 28 2013 14:45 Promethelax wrote: He didn't want to give out the game because it was personally embarrassing. But when pressed he went ahead with it without putting up any real fight. That seems to me to be the action of a scum trying to be seen as working hard for a better town environment (the classic "please post your filter from that game" scum tactic where one tries to appear involved) without actually adding anything to the town. Were I a townie embarrassed of a past game I'd refuse to post it, he didn't really fight it. Also the most recent post on me being scummy is, well, scummy. If he wanted to call me scum he could have made a case. Instead he quote padded his post to talk at you and added his attack on me in one line and concluded that I was scummy while leaving himself an out. I'd take pandain is likely red with koshi. What? I posted it to avoid suspicion or what he would probably inevitably do and make a dumb argument about how it was a scum slip and this was therefore my fourth mafia game. Also I have to own up to my signs eventually | ||
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On October 28 2013 14:51 raynpelikoneet wrote: Pandain why are you saying you look bad yourself? If you are town you are supposed to be right and your posting now does not imply you yourself think you are right.. ##Vote: Pandain It's more emotion posting in me late at night. Even as town you're supposed to appear town, it doesn't matter really what you know you are. And I've posted, I don't think bad, but too early and people jumped on it and I don't like being under suspicion especially late at night when I'm emotional. Going to go afk and sleep, I'll be back tomorrow. | ||
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On October 29 2013 00:31 Oatsmaster wrote: It doesnt matter that he drops it now. Its that he didnt drop it when it became very very clear that Rayn was joking. Yet problem is I found other reasons which were good to me and still were until he upped his game. First half Rayn was real poor play overall | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + He has also already posted 6 pages worth of shit, and they're all good. Indicative of town He really thought hard about Prom and I love what he said about Prom being way too cocky, I actually had a null read on him but now I think I have a moderate town read on him, probably not as "sure" in it as Marv. + Show Spoiler + he also wasn't a dick to me Originally I disagreed with Seuss being scummy but now I agree, with some addendums. Here is Marv's post: On October 28 2013 18:21 marvellosity wrote: The bolded sentence looks like fairly baseless and unwarranted criticism. Given I, and presumably others, actually literally require people to type specific things in the thread to use our powers, how else should we have gone about it, in your opinion? I can't keep the entirety of my role a secret, because then I don't have a role. To the underlined, we've already had one vanilla town claim; are you calling that player a liar? Are you disagreeing with at least one other player (that I forget) who suggested it's unlikely we all have powers? To the red, interesting that your mindset is to try to workout what powers these blues/powers have. Why would you even speculate on that right now if you're town? Much more of a mafia mindset. I don't like your whole post basically. However I disagree with this slight suspicion of Seuss. Now if Seuss had written out his post during the course of 5 hours and thought very clearly and wanted to be 100% consistant, it would be suspicious (though still not scummy). His bolded statement mirrored my thoughts and is a defendable statement even if it isn't 100% justifiable since yes some people need others for their powers. The underlined is clearly just poor reading and doesn't indicate scum. The red statement is interesting however and important to think about. There are better reasons to be suspicious of Seuss On October 28 2013 23:29 Seuss wrote: Yay stamp of approval. Now that I'm not distracted by marv here are my current thoughts. Promethelax: Probably town. When I, an unknown entity, entered the thread his first response was to solicit my opinion in a neutral way, and keep drawing more information from me regarding my mindset. This was good, pro-town play, as it lets him and everyone else get the chance to form a read on me. In general I'd call him inquisitive, he likes poking where there's gaps in information. He's been a bit more confrontational with some of the other posters, but confrontational isn't inherently anti-town. Without him we'd probably know a lot less right now. I can get why people would find his "I can't meta Pandain" and apparent lack of scum reads concerning, but on the whole I think he's clearly town. strongandbig: No idea, but unless he starts posting a crapton before the voting deadline I think we're better off pursuing someone else. We stand to learn absolutely nothing by lynching him, though applying pressure might help loosen his tongue. Oatsmaster: Maybe scum. There's still a lot of "if so-and-so is Y, so-and-so #2 is X" without an explanation of the logic. I don't think it makes sense for him to give marv a pass for not talking about who he doesn't want to talk about, but not give Promethelax a similar pass for not following up where he doesn't want to follow up. He says he's made a strong case but you have to go back through about 30 posts and pick it up in bits and pieces, which is time consuming and not all that convincing. I realize this may just be his posting style and "meta" or whatever, but I find it obfuscates information more than I'd like. You guys move faster than I can analyze and parse. Waugh. Very poor post, list format instead of comprehensive. Also what is the middle paragraph which is a basic "I don't know." Also his other posts are really wishy-washy and constantly changing. I do think he's worth looking out for though shouldn't be a lynch target today. I do agree Clarity is suspicious, made a poor post which only focused on one person. It is so incredibly assumption based and wouldn't be what I expect Clarity to be suspicious of. He says Oats is suspicious because he didn't add to what someone else said. On October 28 2013 22:47 Clarity_nl wrote: So, it's cool that you both thought yuck at the same time apparently, but then don't just ignore me and talk to eachother, explain. I don't know why but this post bothers me Then Marv calls him out and he immediately back tracks I also think Koshi is suspicious. Where is carefree Koshi? He's so defensive. He also isn't attempting to buddy Rayn which I have seen in all my past games which I'm pretty sure they've both been in them all. | ||
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However if it's anything else there's no real justification for it as it reveals your role, unless, I forgot, the purpose of the role itself is to reveal it! You also upped your game and are being town. I forgot another thing, this: On October 29 2013 03:29 raynpelikoneet wrote: Okay marv this looks much better. First things first. You will not get the PM until the deadline, i asked about it from the hosts. This is important. As that is the case, consider my twerk null. Another interesting thing. Your Promethelax "townslip" thingy, or what makes you think he is town. I find that reasonable, although i am not sure if i agree with that. I know i could, as scum, do what you are giving Prome a townread for. What is really interesting about it is WoS' reaction to the post. He doesn't seem to be agreeing with what you said as his vote yet remains on Prome. That's not what's weird in it however, what is weird is that he does not address the post in any way, he just let's it be like it didn't happen. If he thinks that does not make Prome town, why not say "i disagree" or something, as, by default, he should disagree with the post in case he still has a scumread on Prome. WaveofShadow why did you not say at any point, that you disagree with marv's reasoning about Prome being town and how does that not make sense? Why you just skip over the post and not address it in any way? I agree what's been said about Clarity, his case on Oats makes no sense given Oats' play this game and their history. If anything, Oats could be scum for making more sense than usual, but the reasons Clarity brings up are definitely bullshit. ^^ Another thing that bothers me is Seuss. When he last left the building, we had an argument going on. He never answered me after he got back. So hey Seuss, i think we got something going on between us and i think it's your turn to say something. Prome, what do you think of marv's reasoning on you being town? Do you think he is right in what he says? I also agree with what's been said about Koshi. He's really "quiet" and doesn't seem to be trying to do anything... On an unrelated note (and i just post this because this is what has been bothering me in mafia sonce forever): + Show Spoiler + On October 28 2013 20:30 marvellosity wrote: This is the attempt I'm going to make to reach out to you. I'm doing so under the assumption that you're a new(er) player. Firstly, and it's been mentioned already, there is absolutely no reason to shut down discussion like you have here. If you're town, then being open and frank about your thought process is an exceedingly good way to prove your alignment, which is obviously a pretty damn important thing. Secondly, you have absolutely no reason to condescend to someone like you've done here. It might be vaguely understandable if you were a known excellent player who had the clout to condescend, but you aren't (as far as I'm aware). There is literally no benefit to belittle rayn like this while he is trying to question you. My problem with you, and it's a large one, is this. On one hand you are doing: 1) telling people how they will have conversations with you, arrogantly condescending to you and on the other hand you are doing this: 2) going "oh gosh, i want to vote for this player, how do I do it hehehehe?" (my sexy paraphrasing) This is a pretty unfortunate mix of arrogance and playing the newbie card. If you're town, shape up. Goddamn marv, i envy you. Purely because these kinda posts are the reason that makes me understand why you are listened in these games and i am not. This post is so town in a number of ways. Comprehensive, shows interest in getting opinion out. Good points, so either I'm bad or we're on same scum trail And the last post really strikes me as such a town thing to do. It's really hard to fake those kinds of posts. Rayn is obviously trying to prove himself in this game since there are so many other good players and he has recently wanted to try to up his game to the next level. It's dangerous to buddy Marv because that encourages doctors to save him or at least promotes him staying alive and a town marv is such a huge boon for town. Or they're both mafia which is way more unlikely. | ||
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I don't actually mean buddying I mean being friendly to | ||
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Also early buddying which I guess I use the term incorrectly refers to you activating his power and then using your role on him. You basically focused on marv early on in an unjustiable matter because his alignment wasn't clear. It was actually really suspicious | ||
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From my standpoint you were not trying to find out his alignment, you were trying to create a friendship to help you. And that friendship to be formed wouldn't have been justifiable if your town because you don't know his alignment. I just forgot masons | ||
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On October 29 2013 06:02 raynpelikoneet wrote: Anything else? When does your power kick in? Have you read the thread? I think you fundamentally just don't understand where I'm coming from which makes sense since your biased with your own information | ||
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Koshi sheeps you so vote Clarity | ||
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The points are good but the timing is weird to me because I don't know what it did | ||
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Not sure that town could successfully be on the track of two scums, however. | ||
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On October 29 2013 09:47 Seuss wrote: There's a notable difference between OOCHILD and Clarity_nl, effort. It takes effort to make an argument, even a bad one. It takes zero effort to do nothing and/or post utter shit. But who is more likely to put in effort, scum or town. And I don't mean a great deal of effort, I mean a moderate amount of effort. Your argument goes both ways. | ||
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It's more his play afterwards On October 29 2013 11:02 [UoN]Sentinel wrote: I'll post some reads in the morning. My vote on OOHCHILD isn't just because he's a lurker, but because he was actually really active until the day started. I wouldn't have a hard time believing he's a new mafia who doesn't know what to do. If he were a blue I'd feel he'd be more floaty-in-the-background, like Chairman Ray in Noir. IIRC he was shot in Thug Life for being too not-passive and he flipped cop. Maybe he's trying to compromise somehow? Not a fully evidenced townread, but nothing out of the ordinary in my eyes. The hosts have told me that everything is going as planned and that my power has been accounted for. I have said everything I need to say about the power. Patience, my son. Sleepytime Almost every point in here is really really weak, and his previous posts were all like one liners after he was able to reach countdown zero. We'll see what he does later on though to get a better grasp. It was a bad idea of course to activate his power but what can you do. If Clarity turns out to be scum I'll twerk for Marv, but I'm holding out until then. And it's only policy that would make me want to lynch Vayne. | ||
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Very townie =/= Town | ||
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Only town reads I have are Prom, Marv, Oats, you. | ||
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Recap please? | ||
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Mine doesn't 'get rid of someone's vote, it lessens it by one. | ||
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I can use it daily. | ||
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On October 30 2013 02:08 marvellosity wrote: Does this basically mean that by Day 4 you can have removed 4 players votes entirely? If I used them every day but I'm not going to use it unless I'm sure someone is scum so that's probably not going to happen | ||
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Because I believe that lynching someone based only on metagame speculation is pretty bad and not how we should really approach the game anyway | ||
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On October 30 2013 02:20 raynpelikoneet wrote: Oh god Pandain, have you even been reading the thread? No I said I didn't, I have a test upcoming and am studying for it now and can simply not have the time to read the 25 new pages that have arised (wtf happened). | ||
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If someone would quote a case I would appreciate it | ||
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Still him voting for himself is way too scummy, no reason to do it as town especially when you're up for the lynch what . | ||
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On October 30 2013 02:28 HotCottonCandy wrote: It's not based on what he is doing but rather what the thread is doing. Go through and count how many times he has been mentioned randomly for pretty much no reason when there isn't even a discussion on him! There is so much light suspicion on him but nobody is pushing him or doing anything about it, it's just oh yea he's scummy maybe idk. This is usually scum when this happens because they are just skating by in thread and their buddies try to make him look bad but not too bad so he blends in. even though he is not playing to his scum meta here I think he has a good chance of flipping scum for other reasons in a nutshell. This is awful assumption-based reasoning. Perhaps it's that I'm town? You think I'm scum based on how others are reacting to me. | ||
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If you're going to try and save your scummate when he's being lynched overwhelmingly, you do more then that. | ||
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Wish me luck on my test, found out I have a B- when I thought I was failing so pretty excited. I have a exam tomorrow in one of my other classes so ideally I will be studying all day today though I might be back. If not I'll be back during night phase. Good luck guys | ||
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I would be happy lynching SnB however. On October 30 2013 00:56 strongandbig wrote: also something I didn't see from clarity - is he going to start playing more later in the game or is this all we're getting out of him? cause if he's not going to commit to ever playing differently then he really needs to replace out or get lynched tomorrow, we just can't allow someone who's playing like that to live to LYLO. but i'm okay with not lynching him today. Bad post, doesn't say anything, says "lynch him tomorrow" when that never happens. On October 30 2013 00:54 strongandbig wrote: should i update koshi? we've collectively powered up everyone else who claimed an in-game power and my faith in TL towns is low enough that I think town probably gets a better deal from powering up everyone than from powering up everyone but one person. Yet doesn't do it. There's more but the other points, you can look at his filter, basically I don't get the feeling he actually cares about this game. He's doing a lot of posting yet not trying to change the mindset of anyone. | ||
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He's also consistant with the mindset I'm getting from him, not sure how to describe it but sad-ish. Like not confident, still somewhat trying, etc.... And a bad case in itself isn't worthy of scum when other people are more suspicious. | ||
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This time he's actually posting shit without being cocky but I don't know what to make of it. I don't think he's scummy, while I think SnB is doing the same thing in a more scummy way. Why not SnB? | ||
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On October 30 2013 05:30 WaveofShadow wrote: SnB is a good example of someone fucking off while this shit is going down, and not adding anything particularly relevant. Again not sure and I don't think I ahve enough time to look into his filter. I will start looking after this post. Pandain I am having a lot of trouble with because as I have commented on MULTIPLE times in this game (and yet people seem to forget it's in my filter) he is very VERY different from the way he has acted in all of the other games I have played wiht him. On its own without knowing anything about meta I would have called him scum wayyyy earlier because of his indecisiveness and meek attitude, but this could very well be a town Pandain I have never seen considering I know as scum he is incredibly confident and in-your-face. The bolded is my mine reason. He did the same thing in Thug Life too. Like objectively if anyone were to flip scum, I think it would be him. | ||
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They usually aren't retarded, think through their posts, and still don't try to help town atmosphere. All the things a scum would do on day one I see in SnB | ||
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On October 29 2013 20:20 marvellosity wrote: OOHChild actually makes a decent point against him in his case. Accuses rayn of "buddying marv" Pandain proceeds to buddy the fuck out of marv. But then won't power me up despite declaring me king of all townies. It's all quite dodgy really. Rayn "buddied"(or rather acted friendly towards) you when there were no signs of your alignment yet. I purposely avoided giving you a read because I know you can play well as either side. However with several extremely good points you have convinced me that you're probably town, but that still doesn't mean I'm going to activate a power on you because that is permanent and my read on you can change. | ||
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On October 30 2013 05:39 marvellosity wrote: I dunno about s&b. This post is pretty bad because Sentinel has talked about his power so many times, I don't see the point in bringing it up again. Then again it looks like s&b actually made genuine effort to go and look at Pandain's games earlier when he talked about his big posts Problem is SnB also made a genuine effort to point out why Palmar was scum in Thug life. SnB can go hard to explain a read he's confident in when it benefits you. The problem is even if he did, was that in the approach to help town or to explain himself. If it's to help town, why share it when really I wasn't under any suspicion. If it's to explain himself, it makes sense to defend me as I'm town and that will be revealed later/he's ultimately right. I don't think SnB is giving an effort to help town, I think his effort ultimately only shows that he's interested in appearing town by posting reads. Has he really attempted to change this lynch or help drive a lynch? | ||
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On October 30 2013 05:42 marvellosity wrote: Incorrect, I need charging up for every night I use a power. Oh. Still not certain, though. | ||
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On October 30 2013 05:42 Pandain wrote: Problem is SnB also made a genuine effort to point out why Palmar was scum in Thug life. SnB can go hard to explain a read he's confident in when it benefits you. The problem is even if he did, was that in the approach to help town or to explain himself. If it's to help town, why share it when really I wasn't under any suspicion. If it's to explain himself, it makes sense to defend me as I'm town and that will be revealed later/he's ultimately right. I don't think SnB is giving an effort to help town, I think his effort ultimately only shows that he's interested in appearing town by posting reads. Has he really attempted to change this lynch or help drive a lynch? To explain this, Marv, scum are never going to try and show scum tells. They will always try and contribute. The thing we want to look for is who is trying to contribute without being truly genuine. | ||
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I will use my power on SnB, notice he voted for WoS of course, and urge people to vote him but I will now follow on my phone. ##Upbraid Strongandbig | ||
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On October 30 2013 06:32 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: ONE MORE NUCLEAR MISSILE! ![]() Holy crap, a nuclear missile is on its way to Pandain! What | ||
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On October 30 2013 06:35 Koshi wrote: I want another nuke. I want to say things to you that would get me modkilled | ||
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Wait for more information. | ||
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On October 30 2013 09:00 strongandbig wrote: It's like a shitload of lynches without scum getting to nk in between. It's super pro town. No it's extremely anti town because townies as a whole are retarded. We don't have enough information when information is the best town tool, it creates a mess after the nuke day. | ||
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Why would they be fake | ||
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It's a themes game it could happen | ||
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Even if some are fake, what would be more retarded then having everyone have nukes is having no one have a real nuke and thus making Sentinels role completely useless. | ||
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On October 30 2013 09:56 HotCottonCandy wrote: As a sidenote I feel better about sentinel wanting everybody to have nukes day 1. Even though he still hasn't really done anything so maybe im wrong but meh. Seems pro-town. It seems anti-town he didn't tell us what his power was until it was already activated | ||
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If so who and if so why not wait and lynch them through genuine town consensus when we have more information. Why are you so obsessed with condoning nuking | ||
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Please tell me why I am scum, I am going to love to throw it down. | ||
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You promoted a whole bunch of deaths which probably won't hit scum because ; We're not doing what you said we should do and discussing about who to nuke, instead it's individual thought | ||
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On October 30 2013 10:45 strongandbig wrote: I will nuke someone in half an hour. Currently on the list: VA for pigheadedness Sentinel for reasons mentioned above Rayn for teh lulz Phrases like this and saying you want to have nukes for fun give an oral impression that you don't really care about winning the game. But the long posts and anaysis you did indicaets you do care about the outcome of this game. What you're doing isn't making sense. | ||
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If that's so, step your game up because that won't stand. | ||
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##Nuke strongandbig | ||
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I don't mean because you're bad but because you're fundamentally fucking up what mafia is, how to do it, basic logic, and a core caring about the game. For someone who has lost 7 games in a row I would expect you to try to break it | ||
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On October 30 2013 12:02 Seuss wrote: If you assume all the nukes are real, which (correct me if I'm wrong) seems to be your working assumption, you just wasted your nuke. It was my working assumption, but Marv convinced me that not all nukes are real because that would be real bad play by the hosts. Even if they are all real, I wouldn't be comfortable nuking anyone else. I heavily encourage you and everyone to nuke Snb | ||
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Everyone should nuke SnB Good chance of being scum, and ensures that we don't have a nuclear armageddon. Seuss why not nuke SnB? | ||
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I don't think all of them are fake, but now I don't think all of them are real. What's the problem? | ||
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It isn't going to be alignment indicative unless a townie nukes a scum. | ||
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Only more information through deaths, but that also means we're closer to lylo and normally we would have that amount of deaths with MORE INFORMATION ON A LATER DAY | ||
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But that doesn't mean he's scum. | ||
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If I die to Koshi, what will you make of it? I think SnB is scum and so did you two, but we'd have already killed him and like I said would be the only real results. And would help certify we are town. But that's really the only way. SnB nuking you is more suspicious because he fundamentally is showing a disregard of concern, but I wasn't fully fully convinced he was scum; it's the policy nuke that pushed me over the edge and what I am so angry about. I understand, in the end, we will get information. I just think it's better to consolidate on SnB rather then potentially nuke townies for information. | ||
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On October 30 2013 23:30 Promethelax wrote: I don't know. Not helpful I know. I find myself fluctuating on him a lot, like dude was being smart and on point early on but his presence fell of and he kinda seemed to coast through the thread during the giant piles of shit flinging that occurred in the middle of the day. He is in that somewhat large group of players who I'd be happy to see flip but wouldn't be my first target. Has kush's meta changed? Because if it hasn't he is 100% scum. Anyone remember that whole kush likes to be right as scum and defends townies for no fucking reason thing? Clarity should never have been defended and was being defended on stupid shit by kush. Idk I gave pretty good point that was ignored | ||
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I am not however certain although I am watching him that he is scum | ||
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On October 30 2013 05:30 Pandain wrote: Actually Clarity brings too much suspicion to himself for my taste. Like he's like "yeah, I know I'm scummy, but w/e can't help it". Scum would justify themselves and say "No dude i have homework to do" or another excuse, but at least adress it and not give up. He's also consistant with the mindset I'm getting from him, not sure how to describe it but sad-ish. Like not confident, still somewhat trying, etc.... And a bad case in itself isn't worthy of scum when other people are more suspicious. | ||
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On October 30 2013 23:40 Koshi wrote: Clarity was a policy lynch. Koshi not to be mean but you are playing so poorly this game in particular It's really the only reason I think you're town | ||
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I'll think about it more since I still think SnB is objectively scummy for several reasons. | ||
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Marv is def town, oats is town. Prom is likely town but I won't say he can't be scum or 3p Koshi probably isn't 3rd party, neither is oats. Koshi doesn't post enough real shit and oats posts too assertive/ much in terms of clear opinions | ||
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On October 31 2013 05:02 raynpelikoneet wrote: Pandain read me, read me! I think your town but if I were to die I wouldn't say trust that you are town | ||
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Like if your already being voted and then scum WoS votes himself to try to bluff and appear useless/dumb to hope someone else recognizes it and leads a change? I don't think scum WoS makes that claim I think he play safer and rely on himself | ||
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On October 31 2013 05:09 raynpelikoneet wrote: Weird Pandain, explain? I already explained it. You may disagree post psychology works but I was right on Clarity while you guys were gone. If I explained it here it would be a weaker explanation of the point and I'm on my phone | ||
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On October 29 2013 05:15 Pandain wrote: I'll be blunt Rayn the reason why I took my suspicion off of you was because you could be a mason role and therefore it would make sense to PM Marv. However if it's anything else there's no real justification for it as it reveals your role, unless, I forgot, the purpose of the role itself is to reveal it! You also upped your game and are being town. I forgot another thing, this: This post is so town in a number of ways. Comprehensive, shows interest in getting opinion out. Good points, so either I'm bad or we're on same scum trail And the last post really strikes me as such a town thing to do. It's really hard to fake those kinds of posts. Rayn is obviously trying to prove himself in this game since there are so many other good players and he has recently wanted to try to up his game to the next level. It's dangerous to buddy Marv because that encourages doctors to save him or at least promotes him staying alive and a town marv is such a huge boon for town. Or they're both mafia which is way more unlikely. | ||
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How? Yeah I haven't made real long posts, but I've been posting. And they've actually been good contrary to what you guys believe, even early on my posts were good for the time being. I'm pretty confident in my town reads and pretty sure there's at least one scum in SnB-Seuss; I warned against Clarity(although admittedly wasn't completely sure, just wouldn't have lynched him) If you're looking for extreme confidence I won't have it; I'm not scum and I don't know the definitive answer. But what do you mean I don't have oomph | ||
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On October 31 2013 05:55 marvellosity wrote: This is the type of bullshit you said in Noir, you just kept calling your posts good and yourself town. To be fair, Marv, I'm not the one who lynched Clarity for pretty poor reasoning. | ||
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On October 31 2013 06:00 raynpelikoneet wrote: This is actually a good point on Pandabearguy. Don't see how I'm playing bad as of now. IF I'm totally wrong on scum, then sure, but as of now I'm 1/1 | ||
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Hey I'm 2/2 btw | ||
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Also those are all horrible lynches Marv, what? Maybe I shouldn't have twerked you. I'll vote SnB; WoS supported me on SnB too so there. | ||
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I think he's just mad because I happened to be right on two people and he probably thinks I can't be good enough to identify town and apparently I don't contribute despite identifying town and nuking someone (before another confirmed town agreed with me) I thought was scum. | ||
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On October 31 2013 06:08 marvellosity wrote: lol @ the people I'm calling scum calling my lynches bad. Your lynches are awful. We know Kush is a strange man so we should wait until later to analyze him when we have more hardcore facts rather then "kush couldn't be THIS dumb or say THIS" because that doesn't work on him. Rayn is very very eh when there are far more people that are objectively suspicious then what you accuse them of doing blatant mafia tactics like fake-typing a role name. Maybe 3p but not scum. And there's still no good reasoning other then I'm celebrating the fact my reads have been right. | ||
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What does that even mean I've clearly actually been involved in thread even over studying when I was supposed to. | ||
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Well my play has been right on two accounts, and both of them were up to lynch and I defended both of them. | ||
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I guess I'll stop posting about this because you get what I mean and I'm probably coming off as arrogant even though I don't mean to be | ||
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Why not you or Prom? | ||
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On October 31 2013 06:15 Promethelax wrote: only if you assume he knew what he was doing. Which I don't assume. He had zero time devoted to the game and spent a lot of his time trying to not be deaded. But he was clearly shot for a reason. He was suspicious to people, so they weren't shooting confirmed townies and they weren't shooting vets or they would've prob gone for Prom/Marv unless they were being super safe. At the least, his reads are important to look into | ||
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On October 31 2013 06:17 marvellosity wrote: Pandain - WoS's last read on s&b was "I'm downgrading you to null" Then maybe it's not SnB it's someone else. Point is his reads are important to look into as he would not have gotten shot if he wasn't right about at least something. | ||
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On October 31 2013 06:23 Promethelax wrote: As scum I have shot people for tonnes of reasons, good reads is one but so is being a universal town read. The death implicating someone I want to get lynched. Eliminating a power role. I also just realized how scummy me saying all this is since I was WoS's major scum read at least for a while. But whatever. I don't think wos was shot for beig right. He didn't have power i this town to lead to a correct lynch even if he was right about scum. Unfortunately WoS was not a town read by the majority of town, especially since he had just been up for lynch. What do you think he was shot for, and it's probably not to cast suspicion on others who didn't get shot. I cannot fathom how you think he was randomly shot for being a town read or for any other reason then the simple fact he must have been on to something because he got shot while he was suspicious to town | ||
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On October 30 2013 02:28 HotCottonCandy wrote: It's not based on what he is doing but rather what the thread is doing. Go through and count how many times he has been mentioned randomly for pretty much no reason when there isn't even a discussion on him! There is so much light suspicion on him but nobody is pushing him or doing anything about it, it's just oh yea he's scummy maybe idk. This is usually scum when this happens because they are just skating by in thread and their buddies try to make him look bad but not too bad so he blends in. even though he is not playing to his scum meta here I think he has a good chance of flipping scum for other reasons in a nutshell. I like this post,this is a good town post while an awful mafia post. Why use such assumption-based reasoning? The rests of his posts are fine too, if not very assertive or Vayne-like. I could see this as him appearing to be town, but I see little reason to assume that unless we have no proof. Also would you guys rather lynch Seuss instead? They're interchangable to me and you guys don't seem to believe me yet about SnB | ||
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On October 31 2013 08:42 marvellosity wrote: The long and short of it rayn is that a) I'm not sure I believe that you "accidentally" fucked up using your powers on me. It's very convenient. b) I'm not sure I believe your non-excuse for disappearing around lynch time and not being proactive about WoS. Again, it's very convenient. In my own view I think there are better ways to analyze people then deciding whether or not an "excuse" they make can be valid or not. You can connect it to an overall analysis, but we should be looking at the behavior of people why they are here. I personally think analysis based on what people do not post is pretty weak as it's like assigning an x possibility when that person has one of abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz possibilities. | ||
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So I'll do that tomorrow probably. | ||
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On October 31 2013 08:47 marvellosity wrote: Not "oh my dear god" For you to be town I have to accept you randomly went somewhere you can't remember to buy cigarettes with lynch coming up immediately, and you somehow managed to fuck up your power and fucked up one of the strongest players' in the game power because "woops". I hate having to assume stupid shit. Do you think this is even likely as scum? One, he would easily make up a story about where he got cigerrates as scum. The fact he didn't and still doesn't shows some unnecessary guilt and therefore authenticity. It being around lynch time is okay, but not everyone has to be here at lynch, and you're assuming priorities of people which shouldn't be our priority for analysis. Also, again, would he have gone after you if he was scum? Purposely mess up? It's wifom but it's a scary thing to do within the first (10?) hours of the game. | ||
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What he's doing doesn't make sense from a scum or 3p mindset, esp. with the actions surrounding Marv. | ||
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On October 31 2013 09:48 marvellosity wrote: Given you were interested in Wave's reads as he died, Pandain, it's curious that you didn't pick that up or mention that yet I only skimmed but yeah his reads aren't aligning with mine. I doubt he was all right. He was curious about Rayn which still puts a thought in my mind he's scum, but without that I would say he's town. I just know he's not scum. Yeah he does defend Seuss. Hmm | ||
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Makes sense from scum mindset not really town. | ||
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On October 31 2013 09:55 marvellosity wrote: Neither - I'm doing it because you stated it could be important and then failed to do it yourself when bringing up a lynch candidate, especially a lynch candidate that Wave has a particular connection with. I think basically you want me to research a person in depth before giving any thoughts. | ||
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I mean I haven't fully decided yet but as of now I want those two lynched. Later I may change it | ||
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VA, Kush, Sentinel, and Koshi are possibilities | ||
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It's not about that though its more I think he doesn't care yet is seeming to. Like a more subtle version of SnB | ||
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On October 31 2013 09:56 Pandain wrote: Seuss basically is definition of skirting by with important caveat he's putting huge effort into things which don't really affect the game. Makes sense from scum mindset not really town. I mean this is what I originally said | ||
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On October 31 2013 10:03 marvellosity wrote: Apologies if it's in your filter recently, but what are your general Oats-thoughts, Pandain? I gave a town read on him early on because he was so aggressive to me the townie. Also genuinely wanted me to adress the points when I ignored him. Plus I meant to check this but doesn't oats usually bus? | ||
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Also why do my nukes disappear but not yours? | ||
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I thought that meant day | ||
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On October 31 2013 11:09 strongandbig wrote: Pandain I'll ask you again, why do you think I'm scum? Last time I asked you didn't answer, but wos did and after I explained stuff he changed his mind. I really feel like you're just continuing to say I'm scum because you're comfortable with having a scum read on me. You mention me like a hundred times as one of your preferred lynches but you haven't done anything substantive to explain that or persuade anyone why I'm likely scum. I don't like it. Alright I'll make a post afterwards in like 20 hours because sleep. I'll approach it with an open mind | ||
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On October 28 2013 23:49 strongandbig wrote: Hey guys I like promethelax and oatsmaster Nothing as meta as Marv had (tho I don't disagree) but prome makes sense and his thread presence seems to be working towards a scumhunting-positive environment Oats has way better SNR than I think he does as scum Don't want to power up Marv yet and probably not at all today unless we decide to just power everybody, not bc I think he's scum but bc I can't trust a town read on him this early in the game unless he does something unintentionally telling, which he hasn't yet Best case so far in the thread has been oatsmaster's case on pandaman, so weird. I'm a belieber ##yolo Promethelax ##Refudiate Oatsmaster What is SNR in this context? | ||
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First post coming soon. | ||
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Now what are the characteristics we can identify for a town play? Town's greatly vary in their motivations, but here are the very basics
That's really it. My first reasoning as to why SnB begins with a look at his first post, a very interesting one. On October 17 2013 23:10 strongandbig wrote: /in Need mah mafia fix Whichever team I'm on beware, I've got a five- or six-game losing streak and it shows no sign of letting up! I hope I'm on a team with sentinel so I can get my revenge for his shameless mod-fuckery! Notice how he is currently on a huge losing streak. We can assume some things from this. One that he is going to try, and two he is probably going to be upset if he starts playing poor or is upset with himself. This'll come into play later, but keep this is mind as what he wants out of this game and what you think he wants out of this game. On October 28 2013 23:56 strongandbig wrote: @marv the key point on pandain isn't that his play doesn't make sense, it's that he voted rayne for reasons which were disproven (the #kill thing) but then when that was found out, pandain made up very tenuous reasons to justify his suspicion staying on rayn rather than unvote, look for other reads, reconsider, etc. (saying that attacking bad reasoning is scummy, attackign rayn for "buddying" you when he really doesn't appear to be - bot of which are tenuous reasons in the first place and are doubly so when you're talking about rayn who yells at everyone for what he sees as bad reasoning and who loves to short-term buddy people to do his in-thread buddy cop thing). The thing I don't like about this is that he's making an assumptions-based argument. This means that he's assuming I responded a way I did (making up tenuous reasons) when there is no way to prove that was my intention. I think it's harder for town to make these arguments as they know the state of uncertainty town is in, but scum have to be trying to find scum so they focus on these assumption based arguments because they're the only ones they really have. On October 29 2013 00:19 strongandbig wrote: well, i guess i just dont agree. i dont see that as bad, i see it as scummy. the difference is "bad/weird" are things that are bad or dont make sense for town but dont for scum either. if something is bad or doesn't make sense for town but there's a clear link between it and a scum mindset or scum motivation then it's not bad/weird its scummy. obviously he could be mafia or town based on his play so far. but oat's case is the best one i saw when i was reading through the thread, and i think by reducing it to "bad/weird play" you're well understating it. Contradiction between first two paragraphs and last one. Justifies(hopefully genuinely) that he think's I'm scum; it's an early push he gave and this is his third post on the subject. He then leaves a path out - "Obviously [Note: What? As an aside I think people who say obviously are scum ] he could be mafia or town based on his play so far, but Oats case [ Note: Defines it as Oats case and not something he believes in ] is the best one". On October 30 2013 00:40 strongandbig wrote: weird question. i think i was scum with oats in a game where he kept asking people to read him. am i remembering correctly? does he do this as town as well? idk, but suspicious. still leaning town on him though also ##Twerk you should've said something. ##Yolo Promethelax you should've said something but w/e catching up with the thread atm, on page 50, rather lynch clarity than oohchild atm, still kind of think pandain is scum but i'll filter him once i catch up, could oohchild be OO? doesn't matter but would be punny. This is the third time that he did the ##Yolo Promethelax. So he's had three times to think about it. Before he had said in this post that he wouldn't power up Marv because he can't trust a town read on him. But he's that confident in Prom? I mean, he could do this as town but it's still weird and disconcerting to me. I think the fact he just twerked Marv is a town point for him because mafia wouldn't want to directly contradict themselves earlier, however, but the Prom thing is weird. On October 30 2013 00:54 strongandbig wrote: should i update koshi? we've collectively powered up everyone else who claimed an in-game power and my faith in TL towns is low enough that I think town probably gets a better deal from powering up everyone than from powering up everyone but one person. We've seen in previous and later posts that SnB is far more then okay to deliver his own opinions on matters. However, for this matter, he defers to town. Why? For town SnB, it doesn't really make sense. He should be able to share an opinion, and then people can reflect. For scum SnB it makes perfect sense, whether or not Koshi is scum(though it's clearer if he is), it may be suspicious for SnB to power up everyone. Not that I would think it really is, but he might. | ||
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On October 30 2013 01:43 strongandbig wrote: here's the thing i notice about wos's filter. there's a lot of talking about other people talking about himself. + Show Spoiler + On October 28 2013 14:01 WaveofShadow wrote: Just popped in to say ##Paranoia I don't like your play this game either Prom. Your first post yelling at everybody not to be powering everybody up....I completely agree with. I just wouldn't have expected it to come from you. You take it a step further though---you say not only is powering other people up dumb, but you say it's policy lynchable. Have you pursued this course of action in your questioning of all of the people who have done so thus far? And THEN, not 4 posts later, you explain to everybody how to power you up. This reminds me of the very first ever game I played with you Prom, LX, in which you created some horseshit RNG talk early 'just to get discussion started' and you were promptly lynched for it---and flipped red. So Prome, your reads list at the start of the game. All I remember is you saying you'd lynch me based on my entry to the thread. I don't see you pursuing your policy lynches, your apparent scumreads or your 'discussion.' Funny part is' you never actually call me scum, you just say you'd lynch me based on me entering the thread and leaving, and even THEN you don't pursue it, and have not mentioned me even once since then. Your activity is pretty fantastic and all, and I get that you think Pandain tryharding is also pretty fantastic, but that don't mean shit imo. It's funny though, you say you'd rather base your read of Pandain off of what you get from him this game only and ignore his past meta, but you're ok to base your weak early read of me on meta even though you haven't played a game with me in ages? You are incredibly inconsistent just from your first few posts and I don't like it. I don't like it one bit sir. Care to discuss? ##Vote: Promethelax On October 28 2013 14:24 WaveofShadow wrote: And just like Palmar in Thug Life I will point out: you are basing a meta read of me on something that is months old and you are missing out on half my mafia career with that read. That seems like a terrible meta read Prome. Are you terrible? Palmar wasn't terrible when I called him out for that. He was scum. On October 28 2013 14:28 WaveofShadow wrote: Do you think as scum I would be likely to attack a town Prom as my primary mislynch target? Prom is there a reason you don't feel like talking to me and instead feel the need to graze over my questions with Oats instead? Am I bothering you? On October 28 2013 22:57 WaveofShadow wrote: Your case to me seems based on basically nothing. Oats clearly posted his thing directly after my post not as a reply to it, and as far as correcting what he viewed as inconsistencies, that could theoretically be seen as towny since poking holes in a case on your scumread will either dismantle it or make it stronger---becoming something you can use. I don't personally believe it is alignment indicative but whatever. I didn't get a scumvibe from Oats for not specifically taking the points I used and running with them because he was working on his own stuff and looked like he was actually trying to figure out what was useful or not from my case. On October 28 2013 23:10 WaveofShadow wrote: So despite me harping on you for your meta read of me, you just realized this? Marv I actually had a townread on someone else this game for something very similar but that was very late last night and I can't remember who it was exactly. Not the arrogance but the quizzing and confidence that people 'see him as town and here's why.' I'll try to look back and figure out where it was I came up with that. Essentially your read to me makes sense, and I'm glad it is for reasons that didn't occur to me/are not related to my case since that gives me more to think about. I'm always a little bit wary of giving experienced players townreads based on mafia not being so upfront and arrogant though because there are definitely people very capable of that kind of play (ie Pandain). I guess in Prome's case it's mroe the mindset behind that type of play and his posting? I'll have a closer look. On October 28 2013 08:28 WaveofShadow wrote: I find the fact that Pandain even gets a slight scumread from my opening post hilarious. He's played games with me and should know almost every single opening post of mine is along the lines of what I rolled and I often whine about something, often what I rolled. ![]() To me Pandain it looks more like YOU are the one who is trying to contribute something to look good---I don't find anything you picked out regarding me OR Rayn scum-indicative in any way, and as such I find your posting incredibly weak thus far. Oh and I suppose I should have mentioned this before the game started but considering my not-so-great play and the embarrassing length of my filter in Thug, I plan on keeping things way more concise than usual. I do not plan to be in the top few posters lengthwise this game. Make of that what you will. Anyway I'm tempted to fuck off until whatever Sentinel did resolves but I suppose that wouldn't be very helpful. Guess we'll see. generally i don't like this, not one bit. it's like, scum are much more likely to do that kind of thing than town, because they care much more about deflecting small amounts of suspicion from them. note that none of these early things that wos is responding to amount to any serious pressure, any serious chance of him getting lynched, but he still attacks the people who attack him. Prome, as for your case - (1) his soft claim - well, i guess it's getting towards 'later in the day' when he said he would use his post. but if we're talking about claims i think sent's is way worse than his. (2) not being here post - meh. i've done that as town, no reason why someone else cant. (3) 9 minutes. a little suspicious? but i could easily see him having gotten three or four of your filters from the database, scrolled through looking for big cases, and coming up empty in that amount of time. also if he actually knew it was bs, why say that as scum? (4) the 3p thing. yeah it's weird. is it scummy? Only if scum know there's a third party in the game that town doesn't know about, and we have no evidence that that's the case. i actually like rayn's case a lot better than yours, it's similar to the argument i made above about wave being self-focused, plus rayn's pretty right that town wave just has more backbone than in this game. overall i think wave is probably a good lynch choice today but i don't really agree with your case's reasoning for that. I think this is a very weak post. The analysis of WoS is that "he defended himself too much against early pressure" and he concludes with "Wave is probably a good lynch choice today". I don't think the case is good, it seems like an attempt to put suspicion on a townie while still appearing contributive and he's giving generic case reasons which can point to someone being scum. AKA it's a common argument to be used for WoS and therefore really SnB is safe in making this post. But the post is weak. On October 30 2013 01:56 strongandbig wrote: yeah i got you confused with kushmasta, who i was scum with in sicilian. i filtered pandain because i said i would filter him when i posted while catching up to the thread. also how is it odd that i went back and filtered the guy who was previously my top scum read. how is that odd. love the connection case with no flips btw. then your last point lol seriously though do you disagree with me? regardless of clarity's alignment i don't want him alive at lylo unless he starts playing differently. Really weird justifications for filtering me. He's filtering me because he said he would do it? That's the reasoning? And then he says "yo i was suspicious of him of course I would filter him." Which is what I think he would just say outright, and not use it as an addendum. The post just seems weird and more scum phrased then town phrased. Note: At this point I am noticing he is delivering several big posts. See, here:this, this,this. The posts are long but they have all been weak. I'm also noting that in TL NOIR, he posted different. And even though he was a replacement, he replaced day one after Darthpunk went crazy. He had math homework to do, but still. His play feels more like mafia Thug Life in his posts layout. Kush just said SnB doesn't post like he does with analysis as scum, but that's directly wrong as shown in Town Noir and Scum Thug Life . If he is town after this I'll have to up my opinion of him, not that he's bad but he seems more confident and delivery-based as scum then he does as town, which makes sense since scum have the information. On October 30 2013 05:41 strongandbig wrote: im not defending you the attitude that if i agree with someone's conclusions i have to agree with all of their logic is one of the many silly tropes in mafia also i guess i didnt vote yet ##vote: waveofshadow Finally votes WoS, now confirmed town. Others voted him too but this doesn't help him, especially when he had poor reasoning. I'm also interested why despite him repeatedly saying before that clarity should die or be lynched if he plays like this , he instead chose to vote WoS. Like Clarity was way up for the lynch. On October 30 2013 05:46 strongandbig wrote: which of these things are not also things a townie without much time would do? i guess the thread atmosphere thing, but how am i hurting thread atmosphere? dude you were on my team, you KNOW that wasn't a genuine effort because I knew palmar was scum because he was ON A TEAM WITH THE TWO OF US also did even that case didn't involve any actual research into palmar's past games also i forgot that sentinel claimed he doesn't know what his power does. but why is saying that scum motivated. last thing, why would i have attempted to change the lynch when i like it Way super defensive. Also it seems like he has thought plenty of reasons why he's not scum in the form of how a scum would response. As scum, remember you're trying not to get lynched. So you always think of reasons why you're not scum instead of why you're town . SnB's reasons are that he's not scum, instead of that he's town. Townies defend themselves based on their actions, scum defend themselves based on that they're actions weren't scummy. I will note that SnB later posted this: On October 30 2013 05:56 strongandbig wrote: yeah if people are telling the truths about their powers then clarity gets lynched i think I forget where this came about, what was the reasoning for clarity having to be scum based on powers. It was that town couldn't have all three powers, right? No? Like WoS/Me/Clarity. But I thought he was suspicious of WoS? | ||
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scum-esque style of posting. On October 30 2013 06:15 strongandbig wrote: why dont we just like nuke everyone except marv? Another "how about this guys", makes sense from mafia perspective instead of giving definitive opinion as town. On October 30 2013 09:00 strongandbig wrote: It's like a shitload of lynches without scum getting to nk in between. It's super pro town. No Contradiction with his nuke Notice how SnB was supporting town discussion and his opinion on who to nuke + Show Spoiler + On October 30 2013 08:47 strongandbig wrote: Currently considering nuking sent cause I'm not sure I believe his story about his power and I don't like the contradiction with how he acted towards koshi's asking for powerups; rayn because of the Marv power thing and also for the lulz; and koshi cause of the whole "x number of people with powers that need to be charged up" thing and also cause I don't trust him (after he won that one game as SK I feel like his ability to look town as scum far outweighs his ability to find scum as town). Actually we should probably nuke both koshi and sent to resolve that for good. Comments? On October 30 2013 06:15 strongandbig wrote: why dont we just like nuke everyone except marv? On October 30 2013 08:57 strongandbig wrote: Okay wait I realized the problem with nuking almost everyone. If we miss one scum then the scum team can just nk everyone we don't nuke who is town, we have to leave at least enough people alive to have a lynch after nukes plus NKs. I think we should leave at least five people unnuked. On October 30 2013 10:45 strongandbig wrote: I will nuke someone in half an hour. Currently on the list: VA for pigheadedness Sentinel for reasons mentioned above Rayn for teh lulz Then he does this: On October 30 2013 11:37 strongandbig wrote: Okay ##Nuke HotCottonCandy Oh wait I spelled it wrong Which contradicts what he was talking about before. Town discussion about nuking since SnB wanted to treat all nukes as real. It contradicts who he wanted to lynch about. He nuked someone without any discussion and that, while it does draw suspicion to him(town), is extremely anti-town. I just cannot see a town SnB blindly nuking HCC who never had suspicion on him before. On October 31 2013 02:26 strongandbig wrote: 1. Like I said, once I decided I didn't want to kill pandain, I decided that you were a good choice to lynch and better than the other options people were voting for (if there were any, I don't remember). I'm pretty sure I posted something about that where i said i disagreed with promethelax's case but i still thought you were scum. and my filter is pretty short, you must've read that right? 2. "Trying to find a way to justify" vs "explaining my reasons for". If I was scum and wanted to yolo lynch someone, I would've made up reasons for nuking rayn or Marv or someone good instead of vayne right? Or I would have just kept my nuke, but I see no scenario in which nuking vayne isn't worth my life as scum. Especially when I can be pretty sure a revenge nuke is coming (since this is VA we're talking about). Instead, suppose I'm a townie, I've decided to use my nuke before going to sleep, I look around at the players who haven't been nuked yet, and I choose vayne. How does my post in this scenario differ from what I actually posted? (Protip: it doesn't) Also I strongly disagree that other players who had not yet been nuked had done all the things I talked about vayne doing. He was definitely more hypocritical and more suspect than the other people who were still alive and unnuked. 3. The only reason I was unsure was that Marv and prome seemed persuaded by your outpouring of emotion and rage. I think they're both good players so the fact that they appeared to think you were genuine made me hesitant. 4. I don't care who you are scum with. I don't look at potential teams until someone flips. I look for the people most likely to be scum and try to make all of them die. Good town post. His later play from page four onwards is fine. | ||
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1. SnB's play is more like his play in Thug Life then TL Noir 2. SnB has been posting like a scum and not like a town. He is appearing town by posting analysis, but failing to try to catch and find scum by failing to engage in town discourse or really push his reads. He gave poor reasons for lynching WoS and I don't like how he just ignored Clarity. 3. I simply don't like his abrupt nuke on HCC 4. I don't get the feeling he genuinely cares about this game. He is on a 6 game streak and is playing not just poor but like somewhat uninterested despite all his posting. Larger Context Here is my current reads: Promethelax WaveofShadow Pandain [UoN]Sentinel Oatsmaster Koshi strongandbig OOHCHILD marvellosity Seuss Onegu Clarity_nl HotCottonCandy raynpelikoneet I believe the Mafia to be in Sentinel, Koshi, SnB, OOHchild, Seuss/Onegu, and HCC. Let's say three scum since there are 13 people. I'd be willing to switch from SnB to any of these people except Sentinel, but this is why I believe SnB to be scum. | ||
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On November 01 2013 07:46 raynpelikoneet wrote: marv i am still nuking Oats. Someone else can do Seuss. There are other nukes right, Prome? Stop. What? On November 01 2013 07:50 raynpelikoneet wrote: post by post analysis are so bad and don't serve the purpose.. I didn't do every post, I did posts which I felt could show he's scum. You can decide whether or not all of them are valid. If you don't have time to read it, then don't play this game because this is analysis at its core and a thorough analysis, not just an analysis. On November 01 2013 07:52 OOHCHILD wrote: Not true? but pandain i actually read your entire case for real and it didn't convince me. Okay, that's fine for me honestly. On November 01 2013 07:56 OOHCHILD wrote: @pandain i just read some of his filter from thug life and I think his analysis this game is much deeper. Basically the only smart stuff he said in thug life was picking apart other people's cases on town. I find no strong points he has made. On November 01 2013 07:57 raynpelikoneet wrote: yes true. Even the worst mafia players do not slip in every post of theirs. I can tell from Pandain's case, even when i havn't read it, and even if SnB is scum, that at least 50% of his points are invalid. If you do a case like that the main point gets buried somewhere between there and it's alot easier for scum to defend as if they defend 90% of the case it looks good even if it's the 10% that actually makes them scum, just because they defended pretty much everything -> case is bad. This is probably why you never find scum. | ||
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On November 01 2013 08:14 strongandbig wrote: Hahahahaha pandain If you're gonna do a meta analysis you should try reading a town game where I was trying Instead of one where I basically didnt play Which game should I look at? | ||
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Also were you waiting for Clarity to just respond "Yes I don't plan to play" to your question? On October 30 2013 00:56 strongandbig wrote: also something I didn't see from clarity - is he going to start playing more later in the game or is this all we're getting out of him? cause if he's not going to commit to ever playing differently then he really needs to replace out or get lynched tomorrow, we just can't allow someone who's playing like that to live to LYLO. but i'm okay with not lynching him today. | ||
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Don't think you should be focusing on him Oats | ||
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I'm pretty chill right now although apparently no one agrees with me about SnB which I don't know how to feel. I just think you have better use of your 32 hours then to even inititial vote Rayn | ||
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He nuked immediately which is probably town in my eyes. He nuked a suspicious person, why do that and eliminate a suspicious player for the town | ||
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Hmmm. | ||
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I could lynch Seuss, think Oohchild is the best lynch even though he's being nuked, and could lynch Vayne. Where he at? | ||
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And I guess whenever Rayn disagrees with me I think he's a dick lol | ||
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On October 29 2013 05:15 Pandain wrote: I'll be blunt Rayn the reason why I took my suspicion off of you was because you could be a mason role and therefore it would make sense to PM Marv. However if it's anything else there's no real justification for it as it reveals your role, unless, I forgot, the purpose of the role itself is to reveal it! You also upped your game and are being town. I forgot another thing, this: This post is so town in a number of ways. Comprehensive, shows interest in getting opinion out. Good points, so either I'm bad or we're on same scum trail And the last post really strikes me as such a town thing to do. It's really hard to fake those kinds of posts. Rayn is obviously trying to prove himself in this game since there are so many other good players and he has recently wanted to try to up his game to the next level. It's dangerous to buddy Marv because that encourages doctors to save him or at least promotes him staying alive and a town marv is such a huge boon for town. Or they're both mafia which is way more unlikely. | ||
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On November 01 2013 10:38 Oatsmaster wrote: Pandain please. Why do you want to lynch a replacement without allowing him the chance to contribute and I assume that you have changed your mind about Rayn being a dick because you havent showed anything, SO WHAT MAKES YOU THINK HE IS TOWN? Why would I not lynch someone who was scummy before. | ||
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As for Rayne, the thing is that that post showed clear interest in figuring out what's happening. Him even using a power on Marv takes huge balls and would be scary for scum to do. Him very poorly tunneling you is something a town Rayn would do, and he even nuked you to backed it up so it's not really fake. | ||
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And don't know you town Rayn is really bad 80% of the time as town. | ||
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Promethelax WaveofShadow Pandain [UoN]Sentinel Oatsmaster Koshi strongandbig OOHCHILD marvellosity Seuss Onegu Clarity_nl HotCottonCandy raynpelikoneet So ideally, there you have it. Assuming 3 scum and an SK, that's it. | ||
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+10000 for anyone who gets the reference | ||
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On October 30 2013 02:58 HotCottonCandy wrote: Seuss is trying way too hard for me to vote him, changed my mind on that. Really doubt a newer player could be so quick on his feet as scum. So are we just lynching WoS? I dont know about this really. I think pandain or sentinel is better honestly. They are both in that twilight zone of low level town read but everyone refuses to vote for him for whatever reason. You said this. What made you change, and what were you referring to? Also why is Koshi town, despite his post level I find his contributions pretty lackluster even considering what Koshi normally spams. Do you also have a post why Oats is scum? | ||
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On November 01 2013 14:46 HotCottonCandy wrote: and yea pandain I got targeted by a minor scum role. just got rid of my ability to do anything with ## in front of it except vote, not that big of a deal really. I think it's quite important. I very very heavily doubt SK has that sort of ability as it wouldn't fit. So assuming town doesn't claim about that, it proves you're town. | ||
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But he can't have just claimed, right? | ||
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Hogwarts was an exception, but it doesn't help your case. | ||
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Anyone else who's played in several theme games have a response on this matter? | ||
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On November 01 2013 14:54 HotCottonCandy wrote: I was referring to when we were rapid firing questions at seuss (believe it was me and marv, dont recall the specifics) and he was answering them in very quick order. So didn't seem like bullshit. Koshi I don't really see a reason for him to be scum. Looks more like his town game where he kinda is just there and doin' stuff occasionally. as scum I feel like he has more thread presence. I don't have a post on why Oats is scum, it's more of a process of elimination and his recent weird play. Could be wrong but I feel like it's a solid gut read. If he is scum though then I'm wrong about rayn so idk all my reads are messed up. In games where I have been with Koshi, he usually has a bigger town presence. Like he's never leading lynches but he has his opinion known. He wouldn't lurk as scum, of course. But I disagree he's more active as scum because especially for someone like Koshi who isn't a hard hitting analyzer that's scary as shit to do. Even I have problems with it and I'm usually somewhat confident in my reads. | ||
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Even though I really want to see how SnB flips | ||
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On November 01 2013 14:59 Pandain wrote: Kush why did you reveal who you were? Not role, but your real alias | ||
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On November 01 2013 15:01 HotCottonCandy wrote: What is the motive behind scum kush for getting rid of hashtag powers from a VT? Why wouldn't he block like one of the vote changers or rayn or something? I don't get it. It lines up more with his town play where he thought I was a scum at that time and therefore blocked me so I could not use powers if I had them. My response would be that he thought you were lying, but yeah that's a good point. Ok so it's just the role name that bothers me, and that he revealed himself when that seems like good for scum kush yet irrelevant for town kush. | ||
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Maybe that type of analysis is too old-school | ||
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##Unvote strongandbig ##Vote OOHCHILD | ||
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Marv has posted way too much to be scum. Like that's so super serious effort and he would hate himself if scum . Really at that point it's not even worth it, too much effort for reward. | ||
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On November 01 2013 15:12 HotCottonCandy wrote: I just don't like that style where you take posts and write about them then take another post and write about it. I find myself doing that as scum sometimes since it's a cop out for doing real analysis since you can just go through a filter and rummage for scummy stuff. That's how everyone used to do analysis at least a year ago. dunno how u guys fucked up, but spam has become way too common in TL mafia. | ||
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This is day two and he has 26 pages of filter. | ||
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I need someone like Marv to help me with this. I definitely feel like I have misread someone out of Prom/Rayn | ||
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But the role name, and him claiming when he did strikes me as scum. | ||
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It also seems really dumb to have a basic role locked being in scum or towns Hands be up to chance. Lynch kush plz | ||
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On November 01 2013 16:24 raynpelikoneet wrote: It's wrong because marv was suspicious of me too. But marv was probably going to be protected that's why we didn't shoot him in thug or noir or whatever. | ||
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On November 01 2013 16:29 raynpelikoneet wrote: Do you understand this doesn't change the fact that he was suspicious of me? You just said WoS was the only person suspicious of me.. Whatever he was suspicious of you I don't know thread in and out | ||
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On November 01 2013 16:40 OOHCHILD wrote: @pandain there is not a flavor around pro and anti twitter.. who else would be anti twitter? I think my role was specifically meant to town, probably. I don't see anything contradictory about that. @rayne well i'm not really up on all of WoS's suspicions before he died, so barring any reason having to do with that I don't konw. Who knows | ||
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On October 28 2013 06:11 Crossfire99 wrote: ##Day 1 ..........##....##..................##....##........... .... .....##....##..................##....##........... ############ ....############ ..........##....##..................##....##.. ........ ############.....############ ..........##....##..... ............##....##........... ..........##....##............. ....##....##........... Enter, Host, on a large stage. In the background are two giant hashtags, pictures of smartphones, and the Twitter logo. On either flank of the stage, random tweets are constantly updating on 60-inch screens. Players 1, 2, and 3 sit in the audience below amongst thirteen in total. Host: Welcome to ## Mafia! In this game, there are a few rules which. . . Player 1: (shouting) ##Yoloswag Host: Ahem, as I was saying, there are. . . Player 2: (shouting) ##Aintnobodygottimeforthat Host: Excuse me, I'm trying to get this game started! Could you have a little patience? Player 1: ##Lol ##Umad Host: Okay, now that those shenanigans are over, allow me to reintroduce the game. Welcome to ## Mafia! Twitter has engulfed the mainstream media and is now one of the only ways to communicate. Some just follow, others seek attention, fame, and glory through copious amounts of ##'s. There are those that wish to use twitter in a normal, good-for-everyone sort of way, but some want to use it for evil! Player 3: Evil, you say? Host: Why yes! Some of you in this very audience may wish to use Twitter for your own nefarious ends. One of you has already died. We found him in the back room, not very pretty if you ask me. Player 3: Oh, how horrible! Host: Oh, dear Player 3, you worry for naught! We have a method in place of weeding out these evil players. *The Audience shuffles, as to close in on the stage* Host:You have 48 hours, in which time you will tweet @ each other. At the end of the day, we will HANG SOMEBODY WITH A ROPE! How cool is that? Totally civilized. To vote for somebody, just type ##Vote: Player Name. It's that simple! Player 2: Sounds easy to me! I'm not evil guys, don't hang me by the way. Host: Oh, by the way, the evil people might shoot some of you during the night. GOOD LUCK, AND HAVE FUN! Player 3: Getting shot!? What have I signed up for!? Host exits, the players pull out their phones and begin tweeting at each other. Curtain closes. Solemn music plays in the background. ##LoneMeow, the ##Twitter Follower, was found covered in bloody hashtags! The ##Corrupted Tweeters are on the loose! It is now ##Day 1. The ##lynch will happen in ## at ##21:00 GMT (+00:00). Also note day one post clearly indicates that the town people are the people who tweet | ||
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On November 01 2013 16:44 OOHCHILD wrote: Also pandain: if i were scum and the anti twitter scumteam was true, I would know about that and I woulnd't tell you some fake claim instead. I definitely think you would've! | ||
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what does it do? | ||
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Pandain
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I don't know how and when it shows up in voting count. I'm downgrading Rayn to null but not scum. So possible SK. I still think Prom is pretty town to be honest, him not being here for one cycle really isn't that much of a scum-tell. | ||
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Third could be one of Vayne, Sentinel, or Seuss. ##Upbraid strongandbig | ||
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And I don't really want to talk more about snb | ||
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On November 02 2013 02:35 marvellosity wrote: Hmm. That's actually a better explanation than I expected o.o To be frank I don't think it's that strong, I think it's just one of many points | ||
Pandain
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I think Oats is town because he is being way too agressive. Now that slowed down but he also has another game to play into. I don't see any bussing which he usually does. He's done dumb shit but that doesn't mean he's scum. I think Koshi is town because he has been carefree and has 18 pages of filter. He had a decent case on Seuss and helped get him lynched. I think HCC is town because his points have been good and he's been consistent. While he could be faking, and could be scum, there's no reason to expect that right now. I have a tentative town read on Sentinel. Being the first to nuke someone is really risky, as well as being first to ask for power-up. Seems more townish than scum. I have a town read on Prom because he heavily helped town with posting day one, and while he could be scum again there's no reason to expect that right now. His non-activity is null-tell. | ||
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That's what he said, other then that he said he was null. That's suspicious to me to just include it in there if SnB is town. "Guys let's get away from this suspicious townie" | ||
Pandain
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+ Show Spoiler + Last important point, I could totally see President of the USA be third party in this scenario and don't think it confirms him in the slightest. In hogwarts I was going to use me being Harry Potter to justify any scummy thing I did, so it seems like he's approaching in the same way. He also didn't amp his game up after. And even though others I think agree with him, him bullying me and calling my cases dumb were really off-putting to me. Just the way in which he approached it. He also never definitively said whether I was town or scum, it could very well be and seems like to me he's leaving a way out to possibly lynch me in the future. WoS died and he was suspicious of Rayn, makes sense if SK shot him. Marv was prob going to be protected so makes sense to avoid marv. | ||
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He's suspicious but he's also pushing people, which is why I think he's third party. | ||
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In my view lynching Rayne tomorrow will probably be the best bet honestly. Where was he for this lynch, anyway? | ||
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Sentinel for the very early nuke seems town. Along with not actually seeming scum. Vayne I have no reasons to expect to me scum. | ||
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On November 01 2013 10:38 Oatsmaster wrote: Pandain please. Why do you want to lynch a replacement without allowing him the chance to contribute and I assume that you have changed your mind about Rayn being a dick because you havent showed anything, SO WHAT MAKES YOU THINK HE IS TOWN? On November 01 2013 10:42 Oatsmaster wrote: lol rayn is not even playing close to his best. really pandain? You really think Rayn cant post that as scum? Pandain, you misunderstand me. Lets say Seuss had replaced and syllo came in, Would you still be in favor of lynching Seuss/Syllo? On November 02 2013 01:48 Oatsmaster wrote: I could post like a 2 paragraph post about how I am really wishy washy about Rayn/Onegu/Koshi but do you really want to know that? On November 02 2013 01:52 Oatsmaster wrote: chill the fuck out and ask me questions then. Do you want me to pull shit out of my ass or to play the game like how I see it? On November 02 2013 02:19 Oatsmaster wrote: yeah whatever, I think onegu is gonna flip scum but what next?? ? | ||
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I'm willing to push SnB off until later; Kush, Rayn, and Oats are more immediately suspicious. Kush for his role, Rayn for his suspiciousness, and Oats for his involvement with Seuss. | ||
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Like I thought they were small together but together pretty conclusive. mmm | ||
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Ultimately, Oats/SnB relies on assumption logic, that scum reacted a certain way, that Oats would try to defend Seuss, that Seuss would put blame on Oats[he was pretty adamant on Oats up until he left]. It's all inference. But I think it's ultimately less inference that WoS got shot for one of his reads. I don't think it's a far reach at all to say that he wouldn't have been shot for being town and just town, he had to have been right on something. Even if Ver was playing, if he was wrong about everything you could even keep him alive. And he was suspicious of Rayne, so that's something. Rayn was gone during this lynch for a nap. (where's the rayn that is leading town! that loves mafia!) Rayn has a role which has several inherent powers. See Seuss's role. Also makes perfect sense for third party. Rayn has claimed to mis-read his role like 3 times. Rayn claimed a seemingly very important role, which shows a lack of fear of getting shot. Or if he was SK, then he wouldn't really need to be afraid. All the town roles we know (Miley Cyrus; (Koshi what's yours?), President, Total Biscuit, Oprah) are all twitter celebrities. So far the scum we see, and the day post indicates, are people who have something against twitter. Anthony weiner and an old man who hates twitter makes perfect sense . I also ultimately agree that having a role which does have PM-abilities to activate his power is pretty suspicious when contrasted with the rest of us. | ||
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He's like trying to find reasons Prom is scum | ||
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good work analyzers | ||
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T_T Happy I made the right choice by the end to just follow Marv's reads, even though I had different opinions. Weird decision to make but by end I'll guess I'll be able to identify mafia better instead of identifying who I think is suspicious Actually no if that's my resort then simply put I was completely wrong. oh well will improve | ||
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