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Hogwarts Mafia - Page 195

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 24 2013 14:37 GMT
#3881
It's not that hard to guess.
Pandain (Harry) had flipped. Ceph is Hermione, Vayne had basically claimed Ginny. Either me, Stutters or JAT has to be Ron Weasley. He put's "candy" in his post and then you go "hmm.. candies.." in thread.

What there is to guess?

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 24 2013 14:37 GMT
#3882
EBWOP: By you i mean Koshi.

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16342 Posts
October 24 2013 14:39 GMT
#3883
On October 24 2013 23:37 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
It's not that hard to guess.
Pandain (Harry) had flipped. Ceph is Hermione, Vayne had basically claimed Ginny. Either me, Stutters or JAT has to be Ron Weasley. He put's "candy" in his post and then you go "hmm.. candies.." in thread.

What there is to guess?

-rayn

Makes sense.
Still secret voting Stutters over CR with a townread on Stutters is just too much.
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 14:39 GMT
#3884
You and Onegu are most likely Luna Lovegood and Cho Chang.

Ray is most likely Marcus Belby or Micheal Corner.
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 14:41 GMT
#3885
But yes, even if you decide to lynch me today, just lynch these 4 next:

Onegu, skanjab1s, Holyflare, CHRay
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 24 2013 14:42 GMT
#3886
Cephiro.
Can you make a bigger case on Grack why he is town?
Can you make a bigger case on Onegu why he is scum?

I think that will help town a lot next days.
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 14:44 GMT
#3887
So in any case since I am clearly dying tonight, please ask me any questions you may have which you may find useful in the upcoming days for town.

If there is nothing, I will leave, since I have no interest in trying to get myself not lynched at this point, with how stubborn you are it's just not going to happen.

I'll flip blue and you'll be able to lynch scum the next day. Sorry for playing against my win-con, but I think everyone of you can be smart enough to see why I'm not even going to bother trying.
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 14:44 GMT
#3888
On October 24 2013 23:42 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Cephiro.
Can you make a bigger case on Grack why he is town?
Can you make a bigger case on Onegu why he is scum?

I think that will help town a lot next days.


Yes, I'll get on it.
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:06 GMT
#3889
On October 17 2013 18:20 Onegu wrote:
Sorry I am still catching up and when I see something to point out I will do so. I agree with the first part, since it is impossible to know the scum distribution then it is alao possible that scum do not know the members of each house. For this reason I think it is a bad idea to post house lists, moreso in this game than in GoT since it is a qt and not just pms. I am not caught up and the house lists might already be out, and if they are look at the people who gave out house lists first, in GoT the first person who just gave out house lists while argueing for doing so was scum. The second part being lazy isnt much of a scum tell imo.


Fighting against releasing house lists. At this point in the game, there are 3 flipped scum in different houses, which means the only one it benefits is scum. As I proved earlier in the game by statistics, it is also very unlikely (~9%), that scum would not have this information. He was trying to prevent others from gaining information he already has as scum.

Onegu also constantly apologises, which is something some players consider a scumtell. (For me personally, I don't completely agree on that.)

On October 18 2013 18:22 Onegu wrote:
Lol you got me, sorry about that. But for realz you going on about setup speculation and how there are going to be many power roles because it is a themed game is just like you are backpeddleing from a slip and the onlything you have to go on is speculation.


This post on ET. If you check Pandain's filter at start, he was always having a go at ET. It looks to me like it was agreed upon in the scum QT that ET would be someone the majority could buss and gain towncred from.

On October 18 2013 21:01 Onegu wrote:
Im leaning town on mocosta, and he is a terrible lynch day 1. With his claim it lets parity cops check him as town would never fake claim SAM. I think mattchew is scum I will put together a case after dinner.


Wants to make a case on Mattchew, but he never makes one, although he ends up voting for him without proper reasoning.

On October 21 2013 03:26 Onegu wrote:
@ storr

And just to be clear does your check say there is only one scum in your house, or that there is at least one scum?


Could be considered as trying to fish for more information about the check. (Maybe there are two scum in hufflepuff? Although unlikely.)

On October 22 2013 02:13 Onegu wrote:
##UNVOTE

##VOTE BH

Stutters is around and will give CR a chance to post or get modkilled.


This a great post. 3 town targets to easily choose from, pick the afk-medic. (Not saying they knew it at this point, but it is a possibility.)

These are his amazing filter reading skills:
On October 22 2013 18:36 Onegu wrote:
Im going to filter JAT and skan tonight as I dont have a food read on either of them at this point.


into

On October 23 2013 00:53 Onegu wrote:
You guys have any questions for me? I just finished reading JAT I doubt he is scum, going to go over skanjabs now.


Conviniently enough, he never even follows up with a one-liner of his skanjabs opinion. Maybe because they are scumbuddies?

On October 23 2013 01:12 Onegu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2013 01:08 Mocsta wrote:
On October 23 2013 01:05 syllogism wrote:
I just noticed that earlier on Yamato said on the QT that he would have honestly replaced out of this game if he was Mafia. Ouch.

If Yamato is then town; does this make Skanjab look better, worse, or indifferent?



Better but there is another flip that if I saw I would give him a scum read. Talk about it after the resolution period. But unless both thos people flip tonight Im not interested in lynching him now.


He never mentions who this another flip is, or why it would affect his read on skanjab1s. He's just not interested in lynching scum.

On October 23 2013 02:03 Onegu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2013 01:57 Sn0_Man wrote:
Onegu's town due to EchelonTee interactions early if nothing else. Theres also no way he's VT (Considering power-role distributions throughout houses so far and CR claimed VT already).



Check my meta sn0 I like to bus as scum, please dont let this be the only reason you give me a town read. I am going to catch more scum though!!!


Funny yes. That's exactly what he did, he bussed ET.

On October 23 2013 22:44 Onegu wrote:
I took my methadone and laid down all day, and now I cant open my QT again. Ok quick thoughts. I guess we believe the cop checks. I am guessing ceph has shown up as a red check as process of elemination, when checking JAT last night nothing stuck out to me as really scummy. And I have had a strong town read on raym koshi since day one and now there is a green check. I would like to give my thoughts into hufflepuff to be as holyflare has been really defensive latley, and to me overly so, even though I agree with him about BH. Also I dont like grack any more the exchange with rayn seem really odd from a town point of view. But people saying that both Mattchew and storr are both being town because of the modkill are wrong. Its impossible they are both scum but more then possible one was scum trying to manipulate the other without the huffle QT knowing so we should wait to lynch into there until after we see the flips. I agree with stutters post on BH btw, a town BH wouldnt have rng a medic he would have put it on a vet.

Again by POE I think ceph is the most likely to flip scum in griff. So


##VOTE CEPHIRO


More fire on BH, as well as stupid theories for the modkills. It's like he wants to distract attention from the one scum remaining in hufflepuff. (Holyflare?)

On October 24 2013 04:49 Onegu wrote:
Its not dead just not as active as it was when marv was alive, chairman ray doesnt talk at all but I talk to syllo often, althogh sometimes he say he doesnt want to talk and to wait to discuss reads.


^ Can syllo confirm this?

He posts a lot to chime his opinion in, but he's not actively working towards anything. Add that he seems to have a role with powers which he hasn't claimed, I just can't find anything about this guy pushing a pro-town motive. It's more like "I'm quietly here, chiming in my opinion sometimes, keep ignoring me."

Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:07 GMT
#3890
Taking a break before I make a case on Grack. (Making big town cases is blah.)

Anyway the main reasons:

The pandain asking for masonry thing.
The way he defends me when I'm under all pressure. If he's scum, the only reason to do that would be for towncred after I flip. But why on earth would he go as far as finding BREADCRUMBS THAT DIDN'T EVEN EXIST, if he was scum to prove my townness? I just don't see that happening. He has to be town.
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:09 GMT
#3891
Also, ##Vote Onegu

(I do not have secret votes available, that would require one more person dead, as 0.5 voting power does not count afaik.)
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:12 GMT
#3892
My last secret message has been sent. Please read it. Please don't make it public if you will go with it (it'll render it useless.)

Or then just publicize it and let my last wish die in vain.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
October 24 2013 15:13 GMT
#3893
random thought. if scum have an unlynchable ability, are we okay with CR being our secondary?
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
October 24 2013 15:14 GMT
#3894
On October 25 2013 00:12 Cephiro wrote:
My last secret message has been sent. Please read it. Please don't make it public if you will go with it (it'll render it useless.)

Or then just publicize it and let my last wish die in vain.

I await forwarding from hosts.

Its preeeetty likely ur getting disappointed tho. Ideally we don't make a decision on it until flip tho.
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 24 2013 15:15 GMT
#3895
The case on Onegu is really bad.

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:18 GMT
#3896
On October 25 2013 00:15 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
The case on Onegu is really bad.

-rayn


You requested one, I made one. Make a better one yourself if you can. His filter is small which is mostly apologetic posts about how he can't participate, fluffy one-liners, and chiming in his opinion.

I'm not gonna spend the next 4 hours making an essay of behavioral analysis about him when you're probably not even going to take note of it. There's just not that much to go by.

I shortly pointed out what could be seen as scummy and what I saw as scummy. No reason to make a wall-of-text about content that is much less than that.
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:19 GMT
#3897
On October 25 2013 00:14 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 25 2013 00:12 Cephiro wrote:
My last secret message has been sent. Please read it. Please don't make it public if you will go with it (it'll render it useless.)

Or then just publicize it and let my last wish die in vain.

I await forwarding from hosts.

Its preeeetty likely ur getting disappointed tho. Ideally we don't make a decision on it until flip tho.


I understand that. Mocsta may be unavailable for this according to his words though. Once you'll read it though, I'm sure you'll agree with me that it's not an unreasonable request, and that it's pretty much the only pro-town think I can ask you guys for right now.
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
October 24 2013 15:22 GMT
#3898
I'll notify you of reciept when it happens.
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
Cephiro
Profile Joined May 2011
Finland1934 Posts
October 24 2013 15:22 GMT
#3899
Alright, tyvm.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
October 24 2013 15:34 GMT
#3900
On October 25 2013 00:13 Hopeless1der wrote:
random thought. if scum have an unlynchable ability, are we okay with CR being our secondary?

You guys? I assume the silence means thats a yes.
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