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On July 29 2013 04:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 04:28 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 04:26 Stutters695 wrote:On July 29 2013 04:24 FirmTofu wrote: Rayn always accuses me Day 1. This is becoming a thing now. I've been town every game and rayn has been wrong every time.
Exarezee is scum. I'm not sure what else I can say to convince you guys. Everything he has done this game is scummy. His defense is scummy. His attack on me is scummy. His attempt to set up 2 wagons is scummy. My vote stays on exarezee. Reread it, he's so obviously town I find it hard to believe you can't see it. Explain to me how he's town. I already did that. Do you want to lynch Koshi or not? And why? If Koshi and Paperscraps were the two wagons today, I would definitely lynch Koshi. My biggest scum read is pushing Paperscraps, so I'm hesitant to think Paper is scum. Koshi has done absolutely nothing to convince me he's town.
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On July 29 2013 04:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 04:40 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 04:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:On July 29 2013 04:28 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 04:26 Stutters695 wrote:On July 29 2013 04:24 FirmTofu wrote: Rayn always accuses me Day 1. This is becoming a thing now. I've been town every game and rayn has been wrong every time.
Exarezee is scum. I'm not sure what else I can say to convince you guys. Everything he has done this game is scummy. His defense is scummy. His attack on me is scummy. His attempt to set up 2 wagons is scummy. My vote stays on exarezee. Reread it, he's so obviously town I find it hard to believe you can't see it. Explain to me how he's town. I already did that. Do you want to lynch Koshi or not? And why? If Koshi and Paperscraps were the two wagons today, I would definitely lynch Koshi. My biggest scum read is pushing Paperscraps, so I'm hesitant to think Paper is scum. Koshi has done absolutely nothing to convince me he's town. Why does it matter that you biggest scumread is pushing paper? What if you are wrong? Are you ignoring the possibility that Paper is mafia because of pre-flip association? That to me sounds like an excuse to avoid voting for / looking into someone. Not ignoring it, I'm just saying it's less likely. Of course, I could be wrong. In my opinion, the chances of that are very slim. If exarezee is mafia, Paper is unlikely to be mafia. That's a fact. Therefore, if I believe exarezee is mafia, then why in the fuck would I vote for Paper?
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On July 29 2013 05:02 exarezee wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 04:59 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 04:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:On July 29 2013 04:40 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 04:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:On July 29 2013 04:28 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 04:26 Stutters695 wrote:On July 29 2013 04:24 FirmTofu wrote: Rayn always accuses me Day 1. This is becoming a thing now. I've been town every game and rayn has been wrong every time.
Exarezee is scum. I'm not sure what else I can say to convince you guys. Everything he has done this game is scummy. His defense is scummy. His attack on me is scummy. His attempt to set up 2 wagons is scummy. My vote stays on exarezee. Reread it, he's so obviously town I find it hard to believe you can't see it. Explain to me how he's town. I already did that. Do you want to lynch Koshi or not? And why? If Koshi and Paperscraps were the two wagons today, I would definitely lynch Koshi. My biggest scum read is pushing Paperscraps, so I'm hesitant to think Paper is scum. Koshi has done absolutely nothing to convince me he's town. Why does it matter that you biggest scumread is pushing paper? What if you are wrong? Are you ignoring the possibility that Paper is mafia because of pre-flip association? That to me sounds like an excuse to avoid voting for / looking into someone. Not ignoring it, I'm just saying it's less likely. Of course, I could be wrong. In my opinion, the chances of that are very slim. If exarezee is mafia, Paper is unlikely to be mafia. That's a fact. Therefore, if I believe exarezee is mafia, then why in the fuck would I vote for Paper? You could look into paper's posts and form a thought on whether he is town or mafia rather than basing it solely on what you think my alignment is. Okay, give me a few minutes.
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Filter Dive of Paperscraps:
On July 27 2013 15:04 Paperscraps wrote:Show nested quote +On July 27 2013 13:59 Oatsmaster wrote: I dont think any votes so far have been serious Agreed. The day has barely begun. If anyone has a serious FoS, they need to check themselves. Half the town hasn't even posted yet. I was hoping people would want to be a bit more "charismatic" today , but it looks like playing the standard super serious pro-town meta game will be more beneficial to the passengers on this ship. It is just ever so boring, but I can deal with it. TLDR; Besides the first question on my first post, I haven't been serious at all. ##UnvoteMy first real read of this game is that I like where Tofu's head is at so far. I kind of feel bad, that exar wasted his time dissecting my shenanigans, haha, but not too bad . This is the first serious post he makes. Using it as a starting point. I don't think it tells us anything just yet.
On July 28 2013 10:24 Paperscraps wrote:I have finally caught up! I wrote down some reads as I was catching up. First off I need to say some stuff about my play early on. I get why people would find me scummy so far, tone and sarcasm are hard to convey in text. This is why I will play a more standard game from now on. It isn't helping people find scum, if they are looking at me for joking and being sarcastic and not understanding that is all it is. hzflank leaning town - The more and more I read hz, the more I begin to like him. Not afraid to be abrasive and stand his ground. exarezee null - The argument of either Tofu or I having to be scum strikes me as odd. I don't see any interactions between FT and I, that would merit this stance. I would like a more in-depth analysis of this pairing. One thing that bugs me about exarezee is that he has reacted in a "noob" fashion to the two early votes on him. With his 100+ games played on the poker forums, which I have no reason to doubt, I just can't see why he would react so defensively. I am probably over thinking my read on exarezee, but I don't see him flipping scum at the moment, due his push on me which holds no substance and his reaction. Oats leaning town - I am really hoping Oats is town, his reads and post so far have been great. His comprehension of what is going on is probably the best so far. Clarity leaning town - Nothing really to elaborate on Clarity so far, I doubt most of the players would disagree. One great interaction I found so far was this. Show nested quote +On July 27 2013 22:47 hzflank wrote:On July 27 2013 22:25 exarezee wrote: I think paperscraps and firmtofu are a good 1,2 wagon combo for day 1.
I don't think both are scum, but I think its a high chance one of the two are. Really strange initial votes on me by both of them. I don't understand why I had to be voted because I didn't provide a reason for a tone read I made. Paperscrap's vote is even more bewildering because he states he was "joking in all his posts." So, if they were townies making these votes I would have to assume they are trying to see if anybody jumps on my bandwagon and gain some information from it....but then they really quickly unvote. Just really strange town play IMO. Really can't see this being done as a scum/scum combo. It draws a little too much attention. Again, could be town/town, but I think its really likely a scum/town combo here. How is that post in any way more useful to town than to scum? You think that Paper and Tofu should be the two lynch candidates but do not state which of them is most likely to be scum. If they are both town then having them be the primary lynch candidates would be great for scum. If one of them is actually scum then you posting that without saying which one you think is scum is really not useful, as if one of them flips town you are in a position where you should assume that the other is scum, which give you a really easy excuse to vote for them if you are in fact scum. Basically, telling us which single person you want to lynch is good. Telling us that you want the votes to be between two specific people is really bad. Which of them is most likely to be scum? This interaction seems genuine. If either of hzflank or exarezee were scum, I would say the other isn't. CapJackSparrow null - I totally dig his RP gimmick so far and I am biased toward him in a good way. I want to say I lean town on him, but I would hold judgement on his alignment for now. Tofu null - I don't think his push on exarezee is the best. It seems to be grasping. The thing with making cases in general is you can always twist and skew people's filter to whatever you think is right. Initially I leaned town on FT, but after his case I retract that some what. Vayne leaning town - not sure what to think of vayne as of yet, he comes in every so often and drops some knowledge. I think his vote on clarity is pretty bad though. His filter strikes me as town though. Koshi leaning town - Koshi is a odd ball so far. I like that he town reads me, haha. I mostly agree with the lists he has made so far. I am going to read some filters more in-depth and meditate on what I have come up with so far. I don't have a strong scum read at the moment. Also I realize I haven't commented on some people who have posted, the reads above were what stuck out to me most on my initial read through. Obviously, I don't really like his read on exarezee. Null is the last thing I'd expect on someone like exarezee. He's posted a ton and there's a ton of information to dissect his role. By the point in the game that this post was made, everyone should have already been leaning one way or another on exarezee.
His read on Oats is disturbing. I'm not sure what Oats did that constitutes that strong of a stance on him. Most of Ots' posts were one-liners that held little to no substance. Oats could be a possible scumbuddy of Paper, but I feel like that'd be too obvious.
His reads on Koshi and Vayne are pretty awful. I can kind of see why he might think Vayne is town, but Koshi should be null or scum for every town person at that point that Paper made that post.
On July 28 2013 11:12 Paperscraps wrote: @exarezee
If I was in your shoes and looking at my early posts, I would have realized that they were way too over the top to be serious. I voted you and said lets "murder" this guy, haha. Obviously I am trying to get reactions, since you are being so serious right off the bat.
I still don't understand how Tofu and I voting around the same time makes at least one of us confirmed scum. That is a stretch. More realistically, it was too people voting a rather serious player who was posting in a very "pro-town" and "controlled" manner to get him to show some real reads and responses. It is easy to act pro-town and push on people with very little to go off of early off in the game.
You haven't wavered much in your general tone and seem to be stubborn which is good. If you took at step back and got some objectivity, I think it would go along way to help you out. You have been focused on Tofu and I and haven't really paused to look at others, which is always a good thing to do. If you still think I am the best lynch after reading other people's filters, then by all means keep voting me. I don't think that is likely at all though. Bolded relevant. I don't like this at all. Why would tunneling be a good thing to do? Paper is telling exarezee to vote him? What? Why would town do this?
On July 29 2013 03:18 Paperscraps wrote: ##Vote: justanothertownie
JAT is scum. He just sheeped onto the wagon that was on me with out much thought and gave himself an out when I flip town that I am "probably" scum.
Vivax actually posted some content and I don't think would be the best lynch today.
Stutters I would definitely keep my eye on.
hzflank is weird read for me now, I really don't know if he is pushing as town or scum. It was obvious that he wanted to push on Oats and he even admitted to it, which I liked.
I have been very transparent in my posting up to this point. Yes, I had a lot of town reads when I caught up, You act like it is hard to act "town" day 1. I couldn't care less what people perceive me as. If I was scum, I would just be all amicable, maybe start some BS case against some one who made some questionable posts and call it a day. I thought the people playing this game would be able to read past the simple charades of others, but that doesn't seem to be the case.
Good vig shots tonight would be rayn and/or stutters. I think their flips would be more beneficial than the content or rather lack of content they post. This is a decent post. He starts pushing a read and it looks like he is adapting based on new information (his read on hzflank has changed). I'm not entirely sure this post invalidates all of his scummy posting, but I can agree that he has been fairly transparent throughout the thread.
Conclusion: I'm actually a little bit surprised that Paper has been this scummy. If you hadn't made me filter dive, I don't think I would have this read on him. I agree, Paperscraps is quite scummy all things considered. However, his posting does seem genuine. I think that if we give him another day, he'll be able to redeem himself.
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On July 29 2013 05:46 Vivax wrote:Show nested quote + Conclusion: I'm actually a little bit surprised that Paper has been this scummy. If you hadn't made me filter dive, I don't think I would have this read on him. I agree, Paperscraps is quite scummy all things considered. However, his posting does seem genuine. I think that if we give him another day, he'll be able to redeem himself.
It's funny, Tofu, you actually bring some good arguments to the table (the "vote for me if you want" one), except for the reads. Do you automatically assume that wrong=scum? What makes me curious is that you want someone who is scummy to redeem himself? Is he scum or is he not scum? If he's scummy and you think is scummy, why exactly do you want him to redeem himself? No, wrong isn't scum. However, if I can't see why how his reasoning would make sense from a town perspective, I consider that scummy.
Like I said before, I still think exarezee is scum. This makes me think Paper is town. Bad town, but town nonetheless. All the scummy things I pointed out could have been mistakes made by bad town. That's why I would much rather lynch exarezee and give Paper another chance.
However if the lynch comes down to Koshi vs. Paper, I'm not so sure where I would stand. I'm going to filter dive Koshi as well and decide.
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@Koshi Could you explain why you think hzflank is mafia? Maybe make a case on him?
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I'm starting to see some connections between Paper, Malongo, and Koshi. I'm gonna do some research. Be back soon.
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On July 29 2013 06:20 raynpelikoneet wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 06:16 Clarity_nl wrote: Rayne, you would compare Malongo in this game to Malongo in "I swear this is normal Mini Mafia 2" and say they're similar? He is talking strongly about his read, he is engaging people in back and forth questions, and then he martyrs himself by the end of it! (btw his read ended up being right, and you believe hz is town..) I meant he does stupid stuff as town. See our QT, where he says he has no real reads. See also how he shoots mer 1 hour into the game. Also look at Sicilian where he flipped. On D1 he posted nothing but useless stuff. I am not saying he sure is town but i don't see anything scummy from him. Just dumb. Yeah, but if you think he's dumb, wouldn't he be playing dumb as scum too? I'm currently filter diving him and I'm not getting a strong town read from him.
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On July 29 2013 06:22 raynpelikoneet wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 06:21 VayneAuthority wrote: I won't be here for the deadline then. What are my lynch options if I can't get vivax today? FT/Paper/JAT. I'm pretty sure you're the only one voting me. Could we get a vote count please?
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On July 29 2013 06:26 raynpelikoneet wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 06:24 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 06:22 raynpelikoneet wrote:On July 29 2013 06:21 VayneAuthority wrote: I won't be here for the deadline then. What are my lynch options if I can't get vivax today? FT/Paper/JAT. I'm pretty sure you're the only one voting me. Could we get a vote count please? Yeah but there are like 8 players who think you are scummy... Why the fuck should i not push my top scumread? When the fuck did I say you shouldn't push your top scumread? I know I'm town. I know you're wrong. So obviously, I think you should get your ass off of me... You do this every game rayn. Try reading my filter objectively for once.
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On July 29 2013 06:31 raynpelikoneet wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 06:27 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 06:26 raynpelikoneet wrote:On July 29 2013 06:24 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 06:22 raynpelikoneet wrote:On July 29 2013 06:21 VayneAuthority wrote: I won't be here for the deadline then. What are my lynch options if I can't get vivax today? FT/Paper/JAT. I'm pretty sure you're the only one voting me. Could we get a vote count please? Yeah but there are like 8 players who think you are scummy... Why the fuck should i not push my top scumread? When the fuck did I say you shouldn't push your top scumread? I know I'm town. I know you're wrong. So obviously, I think you should get your ass off of me... You do this every game rayn. Try reading my filter objectively for once. You should realize you are one of the top lynch candidates based purely on what people think of you. You still haven't defended you against my case. Why? Afaik you are not voting for anyone atm. Who do you want to lynch? You seem to think many people are scummy but you are not voting. Why? I'm voting exarezee. You have no case. You just said you think I'm scum because exarezee is town to you and my points against him are bad. Now, you can hold that stance. That's fine. However, you can't accuse me of not defending myself from it.
Like I said, I'm looking into a possible Malongo/Koshi/Paper scum team. I'll be back soon. Until then, hold off on your bullshit.
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Alright, I'm starting to warm on the Paperscraps lynch. I have a feeling that Paper/Malongo/Koshi is one possible scum team and exarezee/hzflank is part of another possible scum team. Lynching in one of these two groups of players would give us invaluable information about the other group.
##Unvote ##Vote: Paperscraps
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On July 29 2013 07:08 Malongo wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 06:58 hzflank wrote:On July 29 2013 06:55 Koshi wrote: Why are we ignoring Malongo? Do you want me to fully answer him now? His problem with me stems from philosophical differences regarding lynching lurkers. After that he clutches at straws. He seems to genuinely think that I am scum, though. I never responded to him earlier because until this page he talked about me and not too me, and since I have spent a lot of time replying to people doing that this game there was no town benefit to messing up the thread discussing philosophical differences. Do you want me to fully answer every point that you and Malongo just made? The thing is your case on Paper was conveniently tunneled and wagoned early and nipticked and I found you lying 2 times. A) When you said the guy was not answering you directly. hint: he didB) When you said *how pleople find Paper townie posting. hint: null =/= townieThat and the fact that now we are ending the day with 0 pressure on active lurkers as you wanted with your initial posts. ##Vote hzflank What the fuck are you doing? If you are town, start voting someone who can actually get lynched today. Do I really need to spell this out for you?
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I really starting to think this Koshi/Malongo/Paper thing is the whole scumteam.
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I already explained why I'm voting Paperscraps. The shift shouldn't be a big surprise to you if you read my filter.
I think the scumteam is either Paper/Malongo/Koshi OR exarezee/hzflank/someone else
exarzee is still my top scum read, but no one wants to lynch him. I have to vote someone who is actually going to be lynched. The only people who could even possibly be lynched here are Malongo and Paper. I picked paper because he tells me more about exarezee.
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On July 29 2013 08:15 raynpelikoneet wrote: I am gonna be so fucking mad if you guys don't vote for Koshi today. Creating another wagon at this point will split the vote and could cause a no lynch. I'm fairly certain that if Paper is scum, Koshi probably is too. Do you agree?
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On July 29 2013 08:17 raynpelikoneet wrote: I have a 95% feeling this lynch is gonna be a mislynch. I'll be back in 15min. Now sauna. Wait, what happened in between the last two pages that shifted your read so dramatically? You were pursuing Paper and now suddenly you think Koshi is confirmed scum?
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I had rayn as a town read up until his play in the last few pages. I don't understand this dramatic shift from him.
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On July 29 2013 08:22 Vivax wrote:Show nested quote +On July 29 2013 08:19 FirmTofu wrote:On July 29 2013 08:17 raynpelikoneet wrote: I have a 95% feeling this lynch is gonna be a mislynch. I'll be back in 15min. Now sauna. Wait, what happened in between the last two pages that shifted your read so dramatically? You were pursuing Paper and now suddenly you think Koshi is confirmed scum? Do you think it's even worth considering that Rayn could be scum? What happened to your XRZ scumread actually. PS asked a good question: Why do you think it's so likely that XRZ is bussing PS so early?Cause that's what your current reads foot on. I don't think that at all. Read my posts. I'm nearly 100% sure that xrz and paper are not on the same scumteam.
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Just going to wait for the flip. This speculation is driving me nuts.
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