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Forum Index > TL Mafia
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hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
August 02 2013 20:15 GMT
#3641
On August 03 2013 05:12 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
Are we playing with the assumption that there are no more town power roles alive right now?

Explain how it is even remotely possible that there are other powerroles alive?


Well we have had 3 cop claims so far. Why not make it 4?
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
August 02 2013 20:16 GMT
#3642
On August 03 2013 05:13 hzflank wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
Are we playing with the assumption that there are no more town power roles alive right now?

Other than the claimed ones, that is.


Yes, absolutely. If we have another power role then some things change. Not everything changes, though.

One last question. If there is a blue out there, not revealing his role, would it be in town's best interest to have him reveal?

Consider all the possibilities. Hidden Doc/Cop/Vig/Vet
Obviously, vig and vet are unlikely to be hidden, but I think a hidden doc or even a cop is still a possibility.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
August 02 2013 20:18 GMT
#3643
On August 03 2013 05:16 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:13 hzflank wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
Are we playing with the assumption that there are no more town power roles alive right now?

Other than the claimed ones, that is.


Yes, absolutely. If we have another power role then some things change. Not everything changes, though.

One last question. If there is a blue out there, not revealing his role, would it be in town's best interest to have him reveal?

Consider all the possibilities. Hidden Doc/Cop/Vig/Vet
Obviously, vig and vet are unlikely to be hidden, but I think a hidden doc or even a cop is still a possibility.


It could only be a doctor.

If it were a cop he would of claimed by now considering we have had 3 other cop claims. A vig would of shot by now and I am Vet.

We cannot be 100% certain that there is no doctor, but we might as well play as if there is no doctor. If they need to claim then they will.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
August 02 2013 20:21 GMT
#3644
Doh, Rayn I just ensured your N3 death ;(

Tbh it was going to happen anyway.
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 02 2013 20:21 GMT
#3645
On August 03 2013 05:05 hzflank wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:01 Stutters695 wrote:
It seems pretty obvious scum only has 1kp so you have to remember the game is balanced around that as well. In a normal 12/4 after n2 you're looking at 8/4 or 9/3 and scum might have another night of 2kp depending on the host(if kp rounds up or down).


But this was a 10/4, not a 12/4, and therefore balanced around 1 KP from the start.

Right but if I were scum and everything was balanced along the lines of the usual 4/1 ratio or given the option to do 10/4 w/ 1kp I'd take the 12/4 every game. The power gained from taking an extra night kill is significantly more useful for scum for disrupting town than starting with two less town. As such I'd expect the power role ratio to be off from a normal game.
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
August 02 2013 20:22 GMT
#3646
On August 03 2013 05:11 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2013 11:02 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On August 02 2013 10:59 Oatsmaster wrote:
ok so for XRZ to be scum, means that scum has no RB and clarity is scum too.
I dont think that scum has no rb.
Therefore Rayn must be scum. And for some reason didnt kill xrz. Possibly to push his lynch.

Oats. I really am a cop.

XRZ, Clarity, FT. look at what post Clarity calls me out for. :DDDDDD


Why is Clarity scum?

Guys, why is Clarity scum in this trio? What post was it?
I had a good night of sleep.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
August 02 2013 20:23 GMT
#3647
On August 03 2013 05:18 hzflank wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:16 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:13 hzflank wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
Are we playing with the assumption that there are no more town power roles alive right now?

Other than the claimed ones, that is.


Yes, absolutely. If we have another power role then some things change. Not everything changes, though.

One last question. If there is a blue out there, not revealing his role, would it be in town's best interest to have him reveal?

Consider all the possibilities. Hidden Doc/Cop/Vig/Vet
Obviously, vig and vet are unlikely to be hidden, but I think a hidden doc or even a cop is still a possibility.


It could only be a doctor.

If it were a cop he would of claimed by now considering we have had 3 other cop claims. A vig would of shot by now and I am Vet.

We cannot be 100% certain that there is no doctor, but we might as well play as if there is no doctor. If they need to claim then they will.

I am satisfied with that answer.

As for XRZ, I can see where you are coming from. I am willing to lynch him on the grounds that his Day 1 was terrible, but I think rayn's case on XRZ hinges too much on setup speculation.

Consider this. Mafia have 3 goons and a RBer. Couldn't we have 0 cops, 1 vet, 1 doc, rest VT. Wouldn't it still be balanced?

I tried speculating setup in NWM and it worked out very poorly for me. I'm not going to make that mistake again. If we are lynching XRZ today, I will vote him because of a bad Day 1 and for information. Nothing more, nothing less.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
August 02 2013 20:24 GMT
#3648
On August 03 2013 05:22 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:11 Koshi wrote:
On August 02 2013 11:02 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On August 02 2013 10:59 Oatsmaster wrote:
ok so for XRZ to be scum, means that scum has no RB and clarity is scum too.
I dont think that scum has no rb.
Therefore Rayn must be scum. And for some reason didnt kill xrz. Possibly to push his lynch.

Oats. I really am a cop.

XRZ, Clarity, FT. look at what post Clarity calls me out for. :DDDDDD


Why is Clarity scum?

Guys, why is Clarity scum in this trio? What post was it?


Clarity is only scum if there is no roleblocker. So we find the other two scum first, if neither of them flip roleblocker and if we still have a mislynch left we should probably just lynch Clarity (sorry!).

Oats was wrong in his scenario because he forgot that scum could of used the N2 roleblock on their own team (or not used it at all).
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
August 02 2013 20:25 GMT
#3649
XRZ his day 2 was horrible if he didn't have a red check on Malongo. He did nothing...
I had a good night of sleep.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
August 02 2013 20:26 GMT
#3650
On August 03 2013 05:23 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:18 hzflank wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:16 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:13 hzflank wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
Are we playing with the assumption that there are no more town power roles alive right now?

Other than the claimed ones, that is.


Yes, absolutely. If we have another power role then some things change. Not everything changes, though.

One last question. If there is a blue out there, not revealing his role, would it be in town's best interest to have him reveal?

Consider all the possibilities. Hidden Doc/Cop/Vig/Vet
Obviously, vig and vet are unlikely to be hidden, but I think a hidden doc or even a cop is still a possibility.


It could only be a doctor.

If it were a cop he would of claimed by now considering we have had 3 other cop claims. A vig would of shot by now and I am Vet.

We cannot be 100% certain that there is no doctor, but we might as well play as if there is no doctor. If they need to claim then they will.

I am satisfied with that answer.

As for XRZ, I can see where you are coming from. I am willing to lynch him on the grounds that his Day 1 was terrible, but I think rayn's case on XRZ hinges too much on setup speculation.

Consider this. Mafia have 3 goons and a RBer. Couldn't we have 0 cops, 1 vet, 1 doc, rest VT. Wouldn't it still be balanced?

I tried speculating setup in NWM and it worked out very poorly for me. I'm not going to make that mistake again. If we are lynching XRZ today, I will vote him because of a bad Day 1 and for information. Nothing more, nothing less.


It's possible, but it is unlikely. Also, answer me this:

VT-Exar gives out a guilty check on Malongo 30 mins before the deadline. What happens if Malongo flips green?
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
August 02 2013 20:27 GMT
#3651
On August 03 2013 05:25 Koshi wrote:
XRZ his day 2 was horrible if he didn't have a red check on Malongo. He did nothing...

I think his early Day 2 was good. In fact, it was mostly night 1 and early Day 2 that cleared him in my eyes. Then, when he made the cop claim, I didn't understand his behavior at all. The Malongo flip made me warm up to him again.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
August 02 2013 20:27 GMT
#3652
There is no doctor. They would have protected Vivax on N1. Period.
Also any power role alive should have claimed on N2 when there was already 2 cop claims and 1 vet claim. 4 town PR´s is not possible.

We do not have any other power roles other than me/hz. Period.
table for two on a tv tray
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
August 02 2013 20:30 GMT
#3653
On August 03 2013 05:26 hzflank wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2013 05:23 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:18 hzflank wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:16 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:13 hzflank wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
On August 03 2013 05:11 FirmTofu wrote:
Are we playing with the assumption that there are no more town power roles alive right now?

Other than the claimed ones, that is.


Yes, absolutely. If we have another power role then some things change. Not everything changes, though.

One last question. If there is a blue out there, not revealing his role, would it be in town's best interest to have him reveal?

Consider all the possibilities. Hidden Doc/Cop/Vig/Vet
Obviously, vig and vet are unlikely to be hidden, but I think a hidden doc or even a cop is still a possibility.


It could only be a doctor.

If it were a cop he would of claimed by now considering we have had 3 other cop claims. A vig would of shot by now and I am Vet.

We cannot be 100% certain that there is no doctor, but we might as well play as if there is no doctor. If they need to claim then they will.

I am satisfied with that answer.

As for XRZ, I can see where you are coming from. I am willing to lynch him on the grounds that his Day 1 was terrible, but I think rayn's case on XRZ hinges too much on setup speculation.

Consider this. Mafia have 3 goons and a RBer. Couldn't we have 0 cops, 1 vet, 1 doc, rest VT. Wouldn't it still be balanced?

I tried speculating setup in NWM and it worked out very poorly for me. I'm not going to make that mistake again. If we are lynching XRZ today, I will vote him because of a bad Day 1 and for information. Nothing more, nothing less.


It's possible, but it is unlikely. Also, answer me this:

VT-Exar gives out a guilty check on Malongo 30 mins before the deadline. What happens if Malongo flips green?

We lynch XRZ. Ah, I see your point. Why would non-cop XRZ claim and kill someone if he wasn't 100% sure about the flip? In order for him to have known, he had to have been scum or cop. If he fakeclaimed, the only possibility is scum.

Alright, I can see why XRZ is scum.
##Unvote
##Vote:exarezee
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
August 02 2013 20:36 GMT
#3654
Quick question to all of you out there.

If XRZ flips scum, why would that make me scum? If anything, XRZ's claim saved Cora from a lynch, not me. I only had 2-3 votes on me when the claim took place.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
August 02 2013 20:37 GMT
#3655
Yeah, i missed that earlier FT. It does not make you scum.
table for two on a tv tray
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 02 2013 20:38 GMT
#3656
Everything else does though lol.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
August 02 2013 20:39 GMT
#3657
Going to the gym, be back in about 2 hours.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
hzflank
Profile Joined August 2011
United Kingdom2991 Posts
August 02 2013 20:42 GMT
#3658
Alright, I need to spend a couple of hours trying to work out how/why Exat is Town. I realize it is likely a pointless exercise but I really think we should go over it anyway. Filter grinding time
Stutters695
Profile Joined July 2012
2610 Posts
August 02 2013 20:46 GMT
#3659
Rayn quick question for you now that everything is out there. Haven't you claimed a PR before as VT? If so what was your mindset in doing it and why isn't it something XRZ would consider. I'm a little concerned that he would fess up to fake claiming after just getting a scum lynch if he was scum since he's almost confirmed cop if he plays it out, spoon feeds town reads through checks knowingwho is town.

If it wasn't you who fake claimed disregard that part but can you reason with me on why this is a good play for scum XRZ to make?
Koshi
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Belgium38799 Posts
August 02 2013 20:49 GMT
#3660
I still don't understand everything fully.

1) XRZ is scum
2) Scumteam knows that rayn is telling the truth, why not roleblock rayn? if they want to kill Vayne
a) There is no roleblock and need to hide this. But why would clarity say that D2...
b) it cannot be knows that XRZ is not a real cop, as seen in rayns case, no sane townie would do such a move if not 100% certain malongo is scum. But if this is the case. Why not RB rayn still and then make XRZ give a fake red? Like a red on me? Everybody and their mothers would have believed this...

..
..
..
I don't get it.
I had a good night of sleep.
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