Basterd Mini Mafia - Page 20

Rayn is scummy for his unnatural confidence into marv being town.
Followed by him not adapting his opinion to the new information posted about marv and using whatever he can to justify his unjustified townread.

What we have in Rayn is probably a scum seeing a townie claim and immediately taking sides for the townie.
From a scum point of view, claiming townies seem to be in a strong position, especially when they know that their team will not counterclaim the townie.
They will usually try to pick the right side rather than fighting the claim, scum loves to be on the right side.
They feel it's going to earn them trust if they simply take the claim at face value and move on to other stuff, defending the townie against other people's doubts, expecting to look like they were right.

A lot of Rayn's reasoning for marv being town stems from the fact that he assumes that there can't be two millers.
That is fallacious, and a scumslip, Lazermonkey fell for the same mistake, as I will show you (also notice that Lazermonkey pointed out some of Rayn's mistakes but doesn't pursue him as scumread).

1. Rayn quickly thought post-claim that two millers weren't possible.







(stutters says there can be two millers)



What's scummy about this:

• Rayn mentions the chance of a counterclaim.
  
• 5 minutes later he's sure marv is town.
  
• 6 minutes later he says marv would not fakeclaim as scum
  
• 20 minutes later he says there can't be two millers
  

Implication:

→ Rayn did not really expect a counterclaim, as seen in point 2, 3 and 4. Only a fraction of players posted at the time so it was not rational to dismiss a counterclaim that quickly.

He explains his reasoning here:



Let's dissect this:

1. Rayn says only one miller is possible with standard cop (don't even know why he mentioned this as it's unrelated)
2. Rayn says two millers make the game too easy for parity cop coz he can prime his check on one N2 if the other dies N1 (lolz)
3. Rayn says only one miller is possible with no cop. Also no miller is possible.

And he says: THAT'S WHY MARV IS TOWN (cause two millers are unlikely)

This question arises:

It sticks out that in all of this, Rayn never considers that town could have no miller.
Why does Rayn not consider that town has no miller?
Cause he first gave marv full credit (too quickly, knowing that the claim must be true) and now has to justify it.
Cause he knew that marv's claim was true, and hence had trouble imagining things from a perspective where town could have no miller.

Futhermore:





Rayn was well aware of the fact that millers have names. And yet he said that marv would not have claimed miller cause a guy with the same name would have gotten one of them lynched. BUT MARV NEVER CLAIMED HIS NAME, and Rayn never asked him for it.
This shows that Rayn had the intention to defend marv, not that he was figuring out his alignment genuinely.

For us, it means that today we should lynch Rayn imo.

I also mentioned that Lazer made the same mistake in not assuming the genuine perspective, here:



Knowing that marv is town, he didn't assume that there could be no miller.