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[T] Nuclear Winter Mafia - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 20:36 GMT
#1255
I just voted ON because the case against him is far better than the one against Dandel and unfortunately, no one is looking at VA seriously.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 20:44 GMT
#1267
On July 09 2013 05:42 TanGeng wrote:
8 v 8 right now?

Yes, I believe we need one more to win the tiebreaker.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:19 GMT
#1311
I don't see how ON's roleclaim is at all alignment indicative. Scum could just as easily have the same role so if his claim changes your opinion of him, I find that very suspicious.

That being said, I am not entirely convinced that ON is scum. I wanted to have a wagon that was at least competitive to the Dandel Ion wagon so that we could get some discussion going.

I can no longer endorse the lynch on ON and I am going back to my best scumread on VA. I tried lynching suboptimally in my last game and it ended up flipping town. I'm not going to make that mistake again.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:24 GMT
#1321
On July 09 2013 06:21 geript wrote:
Ok, so do we just want to default on ON. It's not going to terribly hurt town to remove nukes from the game b/c high town KP is pretty historically bad for town.

You will never get majority on ON. Consider VA if you don't want DI to be the lynch candidate. I'm fairly certain that Alakaslam will not switch back to ON and it looks like Chez has voted Vayne as well.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:27 GMT
#1327
On July 09 2013 06:25 geript wrote:
Not a solid "he's towny read" but much like WoS in TheGame, the claim is almost too bad to make him scum. I'm ok with lynching him on principle, but I'm just not as keen about it. The thing I liked about it was that most everyone who jumped ship I felt were town

This is almost exactly how I feel about an ON lynch.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:31 GMT
#1336
On July 09 2013 06:26 austinmcc wrote:
I'm going to crack up and then be sad if I argue about Liquid City with Z-Boson and then this game becomes Liquid City 2.0.

I agree that I normally wouldn't jump right to claiming, especially in a game where we've had a good number of other claims. It's not...damning, I think I've seen some people rush to that and I have a pretty godawful history with claiming.

Show nested quote +
On July 09 2013 06:20 Nirvana.Gabo wrote:
ON claimed a PR, i don't see hwy that wouldn't change your view of his alignment

'splain please

Show nested quote +
On July 09 2013 06:19 FirmTofu wrote:
I don't see how ON's roleclaim is at all alignment indicative. Scum could just as easily have the same role so if his claim changes your opinion of him, I find that very suspicious.

That being said, I am not entirely convinced that ON is scum. I wanted to have a wagon that was at least competitive to the Dandel Ion wagon so that we could get some discussion going.

I can no longer endorse the lynch on ON and I am going back to my best scumread on VA. I tried lynching suboptimally in my last game and it ended up flipping town. I'm not going to make that mistake again.
Who, in particular, do you find suspicious within the ON voters?

Can you give me a ... twitter length summary of why VA is scummy while I poke through filters?

I said "IF". I don't think anyone has switched their voted based on his claim yet, so I don't think anyone on the ON wagon is suspicious as of yet. I will look through it later, but for now, I would like to focus on why VA would be a better lynch than ON.

On July 09 2013 04:47 FirmTofu wrote:
Can we look at Vayne please? He still has not responded to my accusations.

Link 1
Link 2

I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:34 GMT
#1345
On July 09 2013 06:32 Nirvana.Gabo wrote:
DI's a better lynch

##unvote
##vote Dandel Ion

I hate it when people do this...
Can you please explain why?
ugh...
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:38 GMT
#1350
On July 09 2013 06:33 austinmcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2013 06:31 FirmTofu wrote:
On July 09 2013 06:26 austinmcc wrote:
I'm going to crack up and then be sad if I argue about Liquid City with Z-Boson and then this game becomes Liquid City 2.0.

I agree that I normally wouldn't jump right to claiming, especially in a game where we've had a good number of other claims. It's not...damning, I think I've seen some people rush to that and I have a pretty godawful history with claiming.

On July 09 2013 06:20 Nirvana.Gabo wrote:
ON claimed a PR, i don't see hwy that wouldn't change your view of his alignment

'splain please

On July 09 2013 06:19 FirmTofu wrote:
I don't see how ON's roleclaim is at all alignment indicative. Scum could just as easily have the same role so if his claim changes your opinion of him, I find that very suspicious.

That being said, I am not entirely convinced that ON is scum. I wanted to have a wagon that was at least competitive to the Dandel Ion wagon so that we could get some discussion going.

I can no longer endorse the lynch on ON and I am going back to my best scumread on VA. I tried lynching suboptimally in my last game and it ended up flipping town. I'm not going to make that mistake again.
Who, in particular, do you find suspicious within the ON voters?

Can you give me a ... twitter length summary of why VA is scummy while I poke through filters?

I said "IF". I don't think anyone has switched their voted based on his claim yet, so I don't think anyone on the ON wagon is suspicious as of yet. I will look through it later, but for now, I would like to focus on why VA would be a better lynch than ON.

On July 09 2013 04:47 FirmTofu wrote:
Can we look at Vayne please? He still has not responded to my accusations.

Link 1
Link 2

Why point out that you find something very suspicious if it hasn't happened? Also, can you walk me through how the switching based on the claim would make you suspicious?

Assuming that ON is scum and we have scum on that wagon trying to bus him, scum could be using his roleclaim as a reason to back off. I wanted to anticipate this move and prevent it from happening.

Assuming that ON is town and we have scum on the wagon, scum would be looking for a reason to get off the wagon so that they wouldn't be associated with it when the flip comes around. This could be used an excuse to do so.

At this point, I don't think there are any scum on the ON lynch so my point happens to be a bit irrelevant.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:42 GMT
#1359
On July 09 2013 06:39 geript wrote:
@Tofu You vote is currently being 100% wasted on Vayne righ tnow. TIme to pick a horse in a 2 horse race.

I'd rather stick to my guns this time around. Let's have a discussion and maybe you can convince me in the next 20 minutes.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:45 GMT
#1364
On July 09 2013 06:42 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2013 06:42 FirmTofu wrote:
On July 09 2013 06:39 geript wrote:
@Tofu You vote is currently being 100% wasted on Vayne righ tnow. TIme to pick a horse in a 2 horse race.

I'd rather stick to my guns this time around. Let's have a discussion and maybe you can convince me in the next 20 minutes.


You're essentially voting for DI by doing that. Do you want to lynch DI more than ON?

Check the votes. I'd be voting for ON by doing that, not DI.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:49 GMT
#1372
Adios, Original Name!
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 21:58 GMT
#1388
On July 09 2013 06:56 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2013 06:56 Xatalos wrote:
On July 09 2013 06:53 Chezinu wrote:
Until glory reigns in a blaze of fiery. Winter is near! Let's watch the spectacle. It will be a blast!


[image loading]

4 nukes? is that a scumclaim for something we don't know?

L2Count, there's 5 in that picture.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 22:07 GMT
#1398
That's depressing...
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 08 2013 22:52 GMT
#1413
I don't think scum would vote for someone they know isn't scum when the lynch becomes inevitable. That is just asking to be interrogated and possibly lynched in the following day/night cycle.

I'm probably going to make a post on who I think comes off the worst from this lynch.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 09 2013 20:51 GMT
#1792
Hey guys, I've been following the thread, but haven't had the time to respond. I'm done with class for the day, but I'm going to head over to the gym so ill be available for questioning in about 1.5 hrs.

I think jampidampi is scum right now. I will explain more in detail later. If anyone suspects me or has any quick questions, I will be available for about 10 minutes.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 09 2013 22:44 GMT
#1858
Alright, I'm back and rearing to post. My top 3 scum reads are:
jampidampi
Ace
VayneAuthority

Gonna make a post explaining why in just a bit.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 09 2013 23:47 GMT
#1863
FirmTofu's Suspicion Meter™

FirmTofu's patented suspicion meter is guaranteed to find scum or your money back! Just read carefully and vote accordingly and you will never be disappointed!

Target: jampidampi

On July 07 2013 17:47 jampidampi wrote:
Morning!
I'd like to bring to your attention a scum suspect that seems to be passing by the sidelines. That man is named FirmTofu. Just read his filter, it isn't long. Infact, it has only one post. This one:
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 07:39 FirmTofu wrote:
Reading thread, give me a few minutes.
If you look at the post from a townie perspective you'd expect some kind of followup. There's none. Dudes scum.

Here we have jampidampi's first post. Let's first establish some context. jampidampi's first post is on page 21. A townie at this point should be looking for people who are actively scummy. He should be actively scumhunting. Instead, we see jampidampi trying to quickly establish town cred by accusing a player(me) who hasn't really contributed to the thread. Sure, it isn't scummy to draw attention to me, but it is scummy to believe that I am the best target to lynch. This play falls more in line with the presumption that jampidampi is scum. Scum jampidampi should be trying to "pretend" he's scumhunting by popping in and accusing lurkers while actually barely contributing at all.
Suspicion: +10

jampidampi's filter continues along this same line of thought for quite some time. He continues to avoid causing waves by questioning lurkers who are unlikely to respond to his accusations.
On July 07 2013 18:19 jampidampi wrote:
MajuGarzett is also really suspicious, all he has really done is fling mud onto rayn.

On July 07 2013 22:58 jampidampi wrote:
Stutters, who's scum?

On July 09 2013 01:17 jampidampi wrote:
I can get behind a NG lynch. I'll not repeat anything said about him, but just look these two posts: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=418049&currentpage=45#899
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=418049&currentpage=45#900
He comes back to the thread just to tell that in his opinion, FirmTofu is bad. And not the scummy looking bad, but the not enough skill bad. If he was town wouldn't he have commented on something scummy/townie, not something bad?

Suspicion: +20

He does redeem himself however, by saying that Meapak(confirmed town) should be saved.
On July 09 2013 01:17 jampidampi wrote:
Meapak should be saved if possibel, he is totes town.

We have to remember that this does not exonerate jampidampi by any means. A scum jampidampi would already know Meapak is town and because Meapak is set to be nuked, he would want to let everyone know that he thinks Meapak is town to establish some town cred. It is tough to say one way or the other, so I consider this quote to be a null read.
Suspicion: +0

The Damning Evidence:
On July 09 2013 19:39 jampidampi wrote:
I don't think rayn lauched the nuke.

Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 07:08 raynpelikoneet wrote:
##Nuke: Xatalos
If he had a nuke, why wouldn't it have been launched here? Unless the nuke could be launched only by a PM to the hosts, rays nuke should have been launched at Xata early D1.

Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 08:18 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Anyone who has a nuke available nuke geript. He's scum.
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 09:27 raynpelikoneet wrote:
SOMEONE NUKE CHEZINU ASAP! HE IS NUKING TOWN! ANTI-NUKE! WHATEVER!

plz
Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 09:29 raynpelikoneet wrote:
i do not have a nuke. I tell that now. SOMEONE NUKE CHEZINU!
Anyone who is town and has a nuke, nuke Chezinu-.
Rayn calling for others to be nuked. If he had a nuke why wouldn't he nuke them himself?

Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 18:20 raynpelikoneet wrote:
jampidampi look at MZ and tell me what do you see.
Here he's asking opinions on Meapak 10 min before mods confirmed the launch. If he's trying to get permission to fire the nuke or confirmation for his scumread wouldn't he wait until after the responses to fire the nuke? If he had already set his mind on nuking Meapak, why ask others for their opinion on Meapak?

Show nested quote +
On July 07 2013 19:50 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On July 07 2013 18:31 geript wrote:
@rayn... was that you?

No it was not me.

I think town should claim all their nukes so that we can tell for sure if there is an unclaimed nuke that's from scum. I don't see any downside doing so.

Either way if this nuke to MZ is from town, please claim it whoever shot it. If nobody claims it probably means MZ is town, i was wrong, and mafia is trying to frame me.
Rays first post after the launch. If there is no downside for claiming a silent nuke why wouldn't you claim it right then? The bolded is especially odd. If you launched the nuke, why would it pop in to your mind that scum are trying to frame you by nuking your scumread who is actually town?

We all know that rayn didn't launch the nuke. How could he? He was VT. jampidampi seems to know this. All of his statements indicate that he already knows that rayn didn't launch the nuke and is trying to discredit rayn.

If jampidampi knew that rayn didn't launch the nuke, he must have known who DID.
Therefore, jampidampi could either be the townie that launched the nuke OR he could be on the scumteam that launched the nuke.

Scenario 1: jampidampi=town
If jampidampi was town and he truly believed that rayn lied about launching the nuke, why didn't he pursue rayn as a lynch target? All he did was try and discredit him!

Scenario 2: jampidampi=town
This seems to be the most logical conclusion, assuming that jampidampi already knew that rayn didn't launch the nuke.

Therefore, if you believe that jampidampi knew rayn didn't launch the nuke, the most logical approach would be to assume that jampidampi is scum.
Suspicion: +50

Suspicion Meter Report: 80
Suggested Course of Action: Lynch Target
I believe that jampidampi targeted Meapak with the nuke secretly. Once rayn claimed he had launched the nuke, scum jampidampi decided he could discredit him to get free town cred After all, he knew MZ was town and he knew rayn was lying. He knew that, eventually, rayn would cave in to his pressure and be caught lying, placing rayn in a difficult position.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 09 2013 23:50 GMT
#1864
ebwop: jampidampi=scum
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 09 2013 23:54 GMT
#1866
On July 10 2013 08:50 johnnywup wrote:
for your first point, he never says you're the best person to lynch I believe? The rest is good though and I agree with it.

It is essentially implied.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
FirmTofu
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1956 Posts
July 10 2013 00:19 GMT
#1869
On July 10 2013 09:16 Oatsmaster wrote:
Ace, if dandel is replaced, do you still want to lynch that slot?

Austin looking like scum because rayn's reads are good and cause he asked me about why I used 1 shot yesterday and never drew any conclusions. Fake activity.
##vote Austin

Firmtofu, basically you think jampi scumslipped right?

Not really. I think he is scum based on a play that he made that suggests that he knows more than he is telling us. In probabilistic terms, his actions are more likely to be in line with a scum line of thinking than a town's.

So I wouldn't call it a scumslip exactly.
I lie a lot when I'm town. I never lie when I'm scum.
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