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Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-06-10 16:26:58
June 10 2013 14:09 GMT
#1141
Votecount:

Ace (6): prplhz, kitaman27, [UoN]Sentinel, jaybrundage, WaveofShadow, Sutters695

Not Voting (5): Ace, Vivax, VayneAuthority, layabout, mkfuba07

Ace is set to be lynched!

33 hours left in the day.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31494 Posts
June 10 2013 16:25 GMT
#1142
I could lynch Vivax on D4, kita.
There is plenty of time before that, however, especially if Vivax comes back once the 'cop business' is done and we get another night of good blue role usage.

Activity today is unacceptable, ladies and gentlemen. Remember that this is exactly what scum wants, a dead thread. By playing follow the cop whether Ace flips red or green we are playing directly into their hands so we have to pick up our collective game.

Kita since you have been actively answering my questions, do you think Sentinel is likely to be scum? That is, if Ace flips red do you believe the cop claim was done to save Sentinel's life?
Also do you believe the green check on layabout?
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 16:32 GMT
#1143
##Vote: Ace

I confirm that prplhz roleblocked me. I'm not scum though and this means that Vayne is most likely town barring any scum powerplay.

There's the possiblity that prplhz is scum and that they doublestacked JJD and roleblocked me to try to incriminate me, that would be pretty smart usage of a roleblock by scum, although it would cost them KP.

Seems improbable though, it would be more worth of consideration, had an active townie died tonight.
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31494 Posts
June 10 2013 16:40 GMT
#1144
On June 11 2013 01:32 Vivax wrote:
##Vote: Ace

I confirm that prplhz roleblocked me. I'm not scum though and this means that Vayne is most likely town barring any scum powerplay.

There's the possiblity that prplhz is scum and that they doublestacked JJD and roleblocked me to try to incriminate me, that would be pretty smart usage of a roleblock by scum, although it would cost them KP.

Seems improbable though, it would be more worth of consideration, had an active townie died tonight.

I was waiting for someone to bring this up as I was thinking of this possibility myself.
At what point do we draw the line in agreeing that something scum would do ACTUALLY is really unlikely?
It's unlikely at first that Ace is scum and sacrificed himself for this play, yet here we are.
It's unlikely that they bussed Rayn real early because they lost their power role, yet something along those lines must have happened.

Personally my line is going to be drawn here: it makes zero sense to me to artificially lower your KP as scum if you're on the cusp of losing the extra one anyway, especially since if they're gambling for the lategame with the Ace play, it would take them LONGER to get to lategame with one less KP.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 16:51 GMT
#1145
On June 11 2013 01:40 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 11 2013 01:32 Vivax wrote:
##Vote: Ace

I confirm that prplhz roleblocked me. I'm not scum though and this means that Vayne is most likely town barring any scum powerplay.

There's the possiblity that prplhz is scum and that they doublestacked JJD and roleblocked me to try to incriminate me, that would be pretty smart usage of a roleblock by scum, although it would cost them KP.

Seems improbable though, it would be more worth of consideration, had an active townie died tonight.

I was waiting for someone to bring this up as I was thinking of this possibility myself.
At what point do we draw the line in agreeing that something scum would do ACTUALLY is really unlikely?
It's unlikely at first that Ace is scum and sacrificed himself for this play, yet here we are.
It's unlikely that they bussed Rayn real early because they lost their power role, yet something along those lines must have happened.

Personally my line is going to be drawn here: it makes zero sense to me to artificially lower your KP as scum if you're on the cusp of losing the extra one anyway, especially since if they're gambling for the lategame with the Ace play, it would take them LONGER to get to lategame with one less KP.


Idk man, after that play by ace I think nothing's gonna surprise me anymore.
Vayne was my scumread, but he has probably saved you so he's pseudo-confirmed.
That leaves prplhz as my choice for the D4 lynch for his actions during the Rayn lynch, it should actually be pretty obvious:

He found him suspicious, said he liked your case, and when Rayn came back to the thread he started defending him with the same arguments ace used, and cause he believed that Rayn was busy.

The problem with the latter point is that prplhz found Rayn scummy for his defense of Vayne earlier, and that was unrelated to Rayn's activity, but Rayn's activity is what prplhz used to back off from his scumread, and that's why he is probably scum.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 17:15 GMT
#1146
On June 11 2013 01:51 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 11 2013 01:40 WaveofShadow wrote:
On June 11 2013 01:32 Vivax wrote:
##Vote: Ace

I confirm that prplhz roleblocked me. I'm not scum though and this means that Vayne is most likely town barring any scum powerplay.

There's the possiblity that prplhz is scum and that they doublestacked JJD and roleblocked me to try to incriminate me, that would be pretty smart usage of a roleblock by scum, although it would cost them KP.

Seems improbable though, it would be more worth of consideration, had an active townie died tonight.

I was waiting for someone to bring this up as I was thinking of this possibility myself.
At what point do we draw the line in agreeing that something scum would do ACTUALLY is really unlikely?
It's unlikely at first that Ace is scum and sacrificed himself for this play, yet here we are.
It's unlikely that they bussed Rayn real early because they lost their power role, yet something along those lines must have happened.

Personally my line is going to be drawn here: it makes zero sense to me to artificially lower your KP as scum if you're on the cusp of losing the extra one anyway, especially since if they're gambling for the lategame with the Ace play, it would take them LONGER to get to lategame with one less KP.


Idk man, after that play by ace I think nothing's gonna surprise me anymore.
Vayne was my scumread, but he has probably saved you so he's pseudo-confirmed.
That leaves prplhz as my choice for the D4 lynch for his actions during the Rayn lynch, it should actually be pretty obvious:

He found him suspicious, said he liked your case, and when Rayn came back to the thread he started defending him with the same arguments ace used, and cause he believed that Rayn was busy.

The problem with the latter point is that prplhz found Rayn scummy for his defense of Vayne earlier, and that was unrelated to Rayn's activity, but Rayn's activity is what prplhz used to back off from his scumread, and that's why he is probably scum.


You mentioned you had a town read on Sent. Assuming you also have town reads on Vayne and WoS, who are you looking at as the 4th scum?
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 17:23 GMT
#1147
Additionally, if the case against prplhz is "pretty obvious", why did it take him roleblocking you to bring it up?
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 17:25 GMT
#1148
My next scumspect would be kita. I suspect that he knew about ace's plan and already started bussing him, then took the other side to make sure that Oats gets mislynched. Closer to deadline he started spamming questions to ace and frequently voicing his suspicion to milk cred for after the revelation.

I'd also like to address the points he's trying to use against me:


This interaction with Ace was prompted by a question from Oats. Vivax isn't going into the thread to say that he has a problem with Ace's Wave vote, he is only stating it as a response. Vivax never comments on the flip flop by Ace at the end of day one.


1) I didn't need to ask him to see it was a pressure vote,
2) His flip-flop, as you called it, looked like a genuine analysis of the wagon to me, and ace not ending up on the scumwagon he initially voted for (IIRC) actually made me think he was town.

Vivax never contributed fresh ideas to the Rayn lynch. Again, he only confirms a statement from layabout after he is prompted for a read.


Correct, but it doesn't make me scum.


Vivax seems much more interested in defending players than scum hunting. If I look through his filter, I struggle to find a player he wants to lynch after Ace.


1) I posted analysis on Sentinel being likely town (although I'm growing doubts lately), cause I thought he was town. I don't share the idea of keeping townreads to yourself if you can justify them properly. They're equally important to lead town to victory, since you can only solve certain scenarios by exclusion, especially when scum blends in well.

2) Didn't have time to read through many filters lately (still don't have actually, but I realize I have to do something more at this point), but you and prplhz have shown pretty suspicious behavior regarding the ace vs Oats situation and the Rayn lynch (in the case of prplhz)
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 17:29 GMT
#1149
On June 11 2013 02:23 kitaman27 wrote:
Additionally, if the case against prplhz is "pretty obvious", why did it take him roleblocking you to bring it up?


Finding the time to look through filters.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 17:30 GMT
#1150
Under the assumption that I'm town, who would your 4th scum member be then?
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 17:34 GMT
#1151
Something to consider is the possibility of Ace shooting himself to remove the veteran from the role pool, but that's something we can confirm based on whether or not the role is still around tonight.
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
VayneAuthority
Profile Joined October 2012
United States8983 Posts
June 10 2013 17:43 GMT
#1152
##vote:ace

busy right now but willadd thoughts later
I come in for the scraps
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 17:49 GMT
#1153
Question, kita: You say I'm scummy for not adding any reasons along with my Rayn vote, but you don't mention anyone else doing the same.

On June 06 2013 02:58 Stutters695 wrote:
##vote: raynpelikoneet


On June 06 2013 05:04 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Whether or not I sheep rayne my vote will look scummy.

Going with my gut I guess.

##unvote
##vote: raynpelikoneet


Can you give me an opinion on these two dudes?
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 17:51 GMT
#1154
I already did. Have you not been reading the filter of your scum read?
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 17:54 GMT
#1155
Although to be fair, I haven't looked into stutters much beyond a generic town read. I'll look through his filter more closely when I have a chance.
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 18:10 GMT
#1156
On June 11 2013 02:51 kitaman27 wrote:
I already did. Have you not been reading the filter of your scum read?


Townie-null for stutters, but I haven't actually spent any time looking at him.


Cute
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 18:12 GMT
#1157
Btw I'd currently lynch no one besides you, prplhz and maybe Sentinel if he keeps up that play.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 18:20 GMT
#1158
Is there a reason you pointed the cop towards Sent (your town read) rather than prpl or myself?
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21978 Posts
June 10 2013 19:13 GMT
#1159
On June 11 2013 03:20 kitaman27 wrote:
Is there a reason you pointed the cop towards Sent (your town read) rather than prpl or myself?


Before I answer to that I want to hear your interpretation, or what your thoughts on that are.
kitaman27 *
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States9245 Posts
June 10 2013 19:18 GMT
#1160
On June 11 2013 04:13 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 11 2013 03:20 kitaman27 wrote:
Is there a reason you pointed the cop towards Sent (your town read) rather than prpl or myself?


Before I answer to that I want to hear your interpretation, or what your thoughts on that are.


Because you didn't have a scum read on anyone?
I'm better than dirt. Well, most kinds of dirt. I mean not that fancy store bought dirt. That stuffs loaded with nutrients. I... I can't compete with that stuff.
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