Roulette Mini Mafia - Page 57

On June 10 2013 10:42 layabout wrote:
vayne, sent, kita scumteam maybe prplhz

On June 10 2013 10:42 layabout wrote:
vayne, sent, kita scumteam maybe prplhz

On June 10 2013 10:44 WaveofShadow wrote:

Do you have reasons for those reads?

On June 10 2013 10:47 VayneAuthority wrote:


dumb posts like this make me assume town but I don't know if I should. At least he has inno on him. That's about the most unlikely scumteam I can think of. Did you even read any posts after the night post? Why would I potentially save town as scum? Why would sent continually try to get me lynched throughout this entire game? How does kita come into all of this?

Does anyone else see this as a completely asinine post

On June 10 2013 10:53 layabout wrote:

don't call me dumb.

don't ask me to explain stuff Mr "he isn't the mafia power role i swear, reasons? shit! errr.... gutread "

On June 10 2013 11:02 VayneAuthority wrote:


haha if you're still on day 1 buddy you might as well find yourself a replacement, completely useless.

On June 10 2013 10:48 layabout wrote:

Too mad right now.

I am disappointed in all of you.

On June 08 2013 22:49 layabout wrote:

But if we do that then:
If we mislynch today and mafia get cop or Ace get miller then we are boned.

If ace is mafia they can give him a green check (or if he gets godfather) and then we follow the check and flip Oats. In this scenario Oats is going to be green and we are at lylo, we then lynch ace but remain at lylo.

If ace is town they can give him a red check (or if he gets miller) we then lynch Ace who flips town. We are at lylo with a red check on Oats the chance of him being town miller and 3 mafia alive.

Again this assumes no saves but i think a single save would still put us at lylo.

On June 10 2013 11:26 jaybrundage wrote:
I know we have to keep up discussion. But its so hard when we have one lynch on the board that is pretty much guaranteed to go thru. Would anyone be down for voting to shorten the day. It would help keep discussion up and stop lethargy from hitting our town.

On June 08 2013 06:33 mkfuba07 wrote:
@Vivax:
One problem I have with the reasoning in a) is that I don't feel like any scum is ever all too afraid of bussing oats right from the start. He's a hard read D1, and is also (I feel) oftentimes an unlikely lynch D1 because of that very fact. I'd have to take a closer look at how sent was pushing oats, but if it's just "his case on ace is ridic" then it's nothing that I'm sure most of the people here weren't thinking before sent said it himself. Because of this, I don't think scum oats excludes scum sent.

As glad as I am that there's a lot of discussion going on (I have excuses for not participating up to this point, but I'll leave them out unless someone really wants to hear them), I don't see myself voting for someone other than ace or oats today. The likelihood of these two players being town and getting the exact roles that would put us in this situation given their previous interaction is negligible, imo. Therefore, at least one of them is scum. Oats seems most likely to me, given that it would be silly for ace to fakeclaim and expect "guess he was miller" to get him off the hook. I agree that if ace did fakeclaim, it's more significant than a 1-for-1 trade, but it's still a pretty big swap.

##Vote: Oatsmaster

I've been asleep for a pretty long while, and I'm gonna go get food now. I also might have plans in a few hours, so I'll disappear again for a bit. Please tell me if there's anything in particular you want me to think about/look at/consider, since my time will be mostly focusing on oats/ace. In addition to being the most likely place to find scum, I feel that will give us the most to go off of going into D3.

On June 09 2013 08:05 mkfuba07 wrote:
Well... that was quite possibly my least expected flip ever...

On June 10 2013 11:52 WaveofShadow wrote:

I find that hosts rarely agree to artificially shorten the day; in this scenario I feel even more so that your request would be denied.

Jay there is plenty to talk about just because we already have a lynch target for the day. For instance, I actually forgot to look into the post timings for yesterday's lynch into Oats which I said I was going to do, based on the fact that scum are more likely to be around at the time of lynch to be able to react to shenanigans/claims/what have you.
People who posted directly after the lynch (within 1 hour):
prplhz, mkfuba, Sentinel, kita, layabout, vayne.

Prplhz Sentinel and mkfuba posted directly within 15 min of the lynch, though prplhz was around a little bit before as well.
Of these I would like to direct attention to mkfuba.
His post directly previous to the flip:

Not the timestamp. This is a full day before the flip.
Now look at this.


5 MINUTES after the flip.

This does not seem entirely coincidental to me as scum are often extremely active directly around the time of a flip. It would be one thing if he had post on and off throughout the day as some of the others who posted directly after did but mkfuba contributed ABSOLUTELY NOTHING for an entire day and very little before that point; he is simply coasting on his 'confirmed town' status given to him by?

None other than Ace.

Kita I am aware there is a deal of merit considering he would have been the first to push Rayn somewhat on the first day and you gave him a recent townread yourself, but what do you think of this? A possible scenario I envision (and not entirely unlikely if Ace flips red) is that the decision to bus Rayn happened earlier on to give a lot of people towncred, especially considering Rayn may have informed his team that he would be inactive and therefore likely to die. This idea hinges a little more on the idea that Ace is scum however, since it would require massive lategame gambling and the sacrifice of scum's arguably strongest role. If Ace is scum this appears to be more likely since there must be serious planning going on for Ace to sacrifice himself alone.

In any case if the scenario I pointed out appears unlikely then by all means ignore it for now; I'd like to hear what people think of mkfuba atm.

On June 10 2013 12:03 kitaman27 wrote:
I don't think the mafia would bus their strongest role in a setup that town can so clearly benefit once we reach one kp. By busing rayn, they give up the ability to hunt the cop, rber, and medic and put themselves in a position where they are only one scum lynch away from the terrible position. Ace clearly wants to save rayn at the end of day once so they would have to be incredibly unorganized or fuba would be acting on his own. I'd rather look in another direction, such as Vivax.