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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 14:11 GMT
#1784
The evidence against Oats was overwhelming and i think marv would have noticed it too. Palmar did a great job on D3 requesting a re-look on WoS/scib wagons and what happened at that time.

I think scum made some mistakes, not that they did play bad. I found it very fishy that Axle did not vote for WoS earlier when there was same amount of evidence against him than when he did vote. Tunkeg's approach to N2 basically gave him out. Oats played pretty well, had he done something productive on D3 and not waited for people to show up (why would you want to wait as the lynch candidates were in thread?) it would have been harder to catch him.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 14:16 GMT
#1787
I also wanted to comment on this:

On April 11 2013 13:05 AxleGreaser wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 11 2013 05:25 XXX wrote:
I don't really know what to make of it:
- Oats questioned a lot of other people than WoS at that time.
- I was not around until last moments. I was suspicious of WoS earlier though.
- prpl voted for WoS cos busy and marv/Palmar voting for him, later said he only then understood Tunkeg's case fully.
- Axle/Tunkeg were MIA.


AKA Axle asleep in a different TZ.

On April 11 2013 08:23 XXX wrote:
Because i was at LAN-party with shitty internet and about 24h/weekend drunk like a fish.


AKA XXX was MIA?



What I find funniest(funny peculiar) about these games is how the same or similar observations get re-interpreted entirely depending on the current posters current beliefs. Although the example is of rayn, I ripped the name out as its only an example.
While I know I was scum, and I did get caught, some part of the 'scumminess' of my play... wasn't.

I at least never found anyone scummy because "they weren't around when they should have been" or other bullshit. I also never used those quoted things as a defence. In the first one i specifically said (after that) thet "at least i can't make anything out of it, because people were not around". And the second one was a honest answer to WoS and is not alignment indicative in any way.

It's not "when people are around" but rathet "what they do when they are".
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 14:26 GMT
#1790
On April 11 2013 23:17 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 23:11 raynpelikoneet wrote:
The evidence against Oats was overwhelming and i think marv would have noticed it too. Palmar did a great job on D3 requesting a re-look on WoS/scib wagons and what happened at that time.

I think scum made some mistakes, not that they did play bad. I found it very fishy that Axle did not vote for WoS earlier when there was same amount of evidence against him than when he did vote. Tunkeg's approach to N2 basically gave him out. Oats played pretty well, had he done something productive on D3 and not waited for people to show up (why would you want to wait as the lynch candidates were in thread?) it would have been harder to catch him.


Pretty much yeah. By the time I died at the end of N1 I had everyone as town to some extent, excluding Ace/Tunkeg. So obviously when Ace flips town I would need to reassess.

There are certain players who I found it practically impossible to be mafia: iamp/DP/sciberbia/WoS

Which leads me to having to look harder at: rayn/prplhz/Oats, so yeah. Kinda inevitable.

You nailed Oats pretty nicely day 3 there rayn.

I do stuff when i have to. I also thought Ace was scum on D2 because i felt like he was trying to derail the discussion with prplhz into something that'll never reach a conclusion (arguing about different thing) and was waiting for him to come back and explain himself. Then he got hammered. D3 i knew i have to do stuff and N2 was to keep Palmar alive and either get a mafia check on him or semi-clear him.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 14:31 GMT
#1791
On April 11 2013 23:22 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 23:16 GMarshal wrote:

Anyway, blaming the "balance" of rnged rolls seems like a waste of time, its better to focus on lessons learned so that next time that a "weak" mafia team rolls out they know what to do. So, what could the mafia team have done better to establish thread presence? How could they have avoided the disastrous day 1 hammer (if at all)? What was the proper form of damage control post fact?


Well, that's the magic isn't it. If you can tell me how players who regularly have low thread impact can all of a sudden have high thread impact, I'm all ears.

Mafia will suddenly become a super ez game for everyone

It's pretty sad this is how it goes. For example in Red i was really angry for people that noone except marv was willing to comment on anything i said in thread. I don't like people being treated as "bad" or "good" when there is no reason to do so. All that matters is if they make sense or not, and what do you make of it. If someone just gets ignored town either loses a possibly valuable source of information or a possible mafia who could out himself if questioned.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 14:54 GMT
#1795
WoS i was serious when i said this:
On April 07 2013 03:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I'm starting to think WoS is actually town.. Cna we lynch sci?

I just didn't feel the need to provide the reasons at least when marv noticed the same thing.

Yeah, i'm all for 100% RNG'ing teams. At worst this results in a one-sided stomp but it is also a good learning experience for the "lesser" team.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 15:30 GMT
#1810
On April 12 2013 00:27 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 00:18 DarthPunk wrote:
On April 12 2013 00:10 marvellosity wrote:
On April 12 2013 00:07 DarthPunk wrote:
To be fair. Ace/marv/palmar all being town wasn't even a major reason that town won this game. Vets often play badly just like everyone else. So if we are talking about balancing 'vets' I really don't see the point.



Just as a general point, it's more the idea that ace/marv/palmar can organise/direct a mafia team well, and can exert significant thread influence for the benefit of mafia.


So could a whole bunch of non vets in this game. I still don't see the point.



You're missing the point, because the only point I'm making there is that these players have *proven* their ability to regularly do what I mentioned. Whereas players who aren't them haven't. *shrug*

So isn't the argument null in the first place because you can't know what other townies (this game) could/would have done as mafia? Only conclusion i can reach that this particular mafia team in this game couldn't push their agenda succesfully.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 15:36 GMT
#1815
I understand and i agree that's a decent assumption to make for you. Just remember it's all based on meat and what do you think of other players (like your Oats read this game, and remember what happened in Redwith your read on me when you saw the results of Newbie Mafia XXXIX).
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 15:52 GMT
#1827
DP have you ever been lynched in a game?
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 16:02 GMT
#1832
On April 12 2013 00:56 DarthPunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 00:52 raynpelikoneet wrote:
DP have you ever been lynched in a game?


Yeah. Twice. The first time was my first newbie. The second time it was marvs fault but Bugs yelled at him a lot and pm'd me apologising for letting me get lynched. So that made me feel better.

Yeah then your record is very impressive. What i mean is even if you got a record of 100-0 it doesn't really mean anything if you are lynched in 80% of the games. And then you are clearly doing something wrong.

After all this is a game where not only what you say matters, but who are the people analyzing what you are saying and do they believe you. If nobody believes you it doesn't matter how right you are and you are doing something wrong. :D
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 16:16 GMT
#1841
I've been lynched twice in the games i have played. Once in LYLO when a stupid townie voted me without reading the thread at all right at the start of the phase and scum insta-hammered me. Another time was when in Nomination setup i lynched myself on D2 to prove i'm town, gave town all the mafia and instructions how to proceed and in which order they should be lynched and why. When D3 started nobody looked back and mafia won flawlessly. I clearly did something wrong, didn't speak other townies language. That tought me a lot.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 16:39 GMT
#1850
In this RNG game, i have a hunch that Ace & WBG are town, marv probably mafia. Leaning mafia on Axle too due to his latest post.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 16:40 GMT
#1851
Somebody should host "Pick your how-does-the-host-form the-scumteam Mafia"--
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 16:45 GMT
#1853
On April 12 2013 01:43 AxleGreaser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 01:02 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On April 12 2013 00:56 DarthPunk wrote:
On April 12 2013 00:52 raynpelikoneet wrote:
DP have you ever been lynched in a game?


Yeah. Twice. The first time was my first newbie. The second time it was marvs fault but Bugs yelled at him a lot and pm'd me apologising for letting me get lynched. So that made me feel better.

Yeah then your record is very impressive. What i mean is even if you got a record of 100-0 it doesn't really mean anything if you are lynched in 80% of the games. And then you are clearly doing something wrong.

After all this is a game where not only what you say matters, but who are the people analyzing what you are saying and do they believe you. If nobody believes you it doesn't matter how right you are and you are doing something wrong. :D


A question: If there was player with a 100-0 win rate as town and scum.
Got lynched 100 times D1....
But somehow had the uncanny ability to get the scum to out themselves by mislynching him, and town to fall in WIFOM hole when they lynched him D1 as scum.

While probably not plausible, just as the 100-0 isn't. Wouldn't that be spectacular play?

Yeah it would but i assume that's impossible. There always has to be townies who agree to lynching you either way, so it would be hard to point out who of the voters on you are scum, especially if you get ALWAYS lynched on D1 (meta meta).
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 17:06 GMT
#1868
On April 12 2013 01:49 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 22:40 marvellosity wrote:
On April 11 2013 22:37 wherebugsgo wrote:
you don't know what I'm trying to say probably because you've come to a results-based conclusion.

You're incapable of seeing an alternate situation because you're basing your conclusion on the results of the game.


Surprising that, isn't it.

My belief is that a team I view as pretty one-sided would destroy the other team, the result supports my beliefs... yeah. Seems pretty reasonable to me.

This game IS the alternate situation, and this game shows how the alternate situation pans out.


But you're ignoring what actually happened. If myself or any other Townie hammers WoS on Day 1, or we let sciberbia get lynched Day 1 - both of which were close to happening this entire argument is meaningless. Looking at the end result without acknowledging how we got there and just declaring the entire scenario imbalanced is crazy .

Also saying 3 newbie scum vs a team with 3 "vets" is a bit dishonest - in this game myself, you and Palmar didn't even have as much impact as 3 or 4 other Townies. Imagine if we knew the teams were supposed to be balanced - after you flip green, then I get mislynched there is no reading of Oat's and Turnkeg's filters. Scibebria never makes his hypothesis post about the Axle wagon. No one even needs to bother re-reading the thread - lynch Palmar because of balance. That isn't Mafia play.

The WoS thing was quite interesting if someone actually hammered him. WoS was on L-2 when i asked marv "I think WoS is scum, should i vote for him now?". It was a silent message for everyone: "I find WoS suspicious, BUT FFS NOBODY DO NOT HAMMER YET!".

I think marv picked that up. I had no intention to hammer WoS and had no intention to actually lynch him at that point (although he was suspicious to me), i wanted to see if he does something stupid (as scum), or if scum does something stupid like hammer him (if WoS is town).
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 17:17 GMT
#1872
On April 12 2013 02:05 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 12 2013 00:18 DarthPunk wrote:
On April 12 2013 00:10 marvellosity wrote:
On April 12 2013 00:07 DarthPunk wrote:
To be fair. Ace/marv/palmar all being town wasn't even a major reason that town won this game. Vets often play badly just like everyone else. So if we are talking about balancing 'vets' I really don't see the point.



Just as a general point, it's more the idea that ace/marv/palmar can organise/direct a mafia team well, and can exert significant thread influence for the benefit of mafia.


So could a whole bunch of non vets in this game. I still don't see the point.

You know something I have noticed though is that 'town leaders' from newbie games really quiet down in the transition to normals, I think a lot of that has to do with all the vet nonsense and thus they are less likely to contribute or take charge as they have in newbies. I quite like the idea of different players taking charge, or at least having the chance to take charge of a scum team.

Having 'good scum players' in every scum team would become stagnant and deprives newer players that opportunity to grow and shine. Even if they don't succeed the opportunity is important.

Case in point. Look at oats in this game fucking take charge in the scum QT and improve DRASTICALLY from his last scum game. He rose to the occasion and even if he lost that still has a heap of value.

Furthermore, Who doesn't love a good comeback? or the tale of an underdog overcoming the odds and succeeding? I think there are a lot of intangibles to consider that are more important than some easy wins every now and then.


agree with the bolded 10000000%. It's the main reason I take a backseat in many of the games I play. Let someone else develop and have a chance to take control of the game asTown or Scum. Some of my early game posts were just about keeping focus and avoidong what I thought were obvious mislynches. You guys did the heavy lifting.

I think the main problem with this is that they are not allowed to take charge. :/
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 11 2013 23:24 GMT
#1908
idiots
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
November 18 2013 14:10 GMT
#1913
On April 11 2013 20:24 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 11 2013 20:18 Oatsmaster wrote:
On April 11 2013 20:10 DarthPunk wrote:
On April 11 2013 20:07 Oatsmaster wrote:
On April 11 2013 19:56 Dandel Ion wrote:
I already said I won't use LR again.

But the game was balanced as fuck, so whateveeeeeeer.


You mean Palmar/Ace/Marv/Sci town?
yeah. balanced.


I think this game proved how little stock to put in ideas like that. Marv was dancing to scums tune and you almost mislynched sciberbia.

Look how much foolishness and Ver did in Personality 2.

I am happy that Dandel Doesn't balance around vets. It's a retarded idea.


The point of this is that our team had very little thread influence(Not activity based, like skill based), like marv HAD to push wrong lynches for us to win. All of us cant spearhead a lynch, we need someone to take our ideas and kill dudes with it.
Which takes a lot of power out scum's hands again, which I didnt like.



yeah oats is completely right here. 3 mafia were dead by the middle of day 3. not even because the mafia themselves individually played badly or anything, but none of them have any thread impact to control things.

Despite mistakes from townies like me and Palmar (wos/sci early, ace/oats) it didn't even matter one bit because there were lots of other townies with good ideas.

This game shows precisely why teams need to be balanced, not the opposite, DP.

After Ego Mini mafia. Discussion closed. Now find scum supersoft and stop talking about shit.
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