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TL Mafia LXI - Page 8

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BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:43 GMT
#4644
Also it is scummy as hell for yamato to try to get the jk to publically claim and risking getting shot.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:45 GMT
#4645
On May 05 2013 02:42 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:37 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:28 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:22 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:20 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
That makes no sense, there was like 0% chance you'd get hit. wtf JK


keep in mind we are assuming the jk is town and not a second mafia one.


Two scum JK's don't make sense though, because then where did the second hit go on the day Vivax died?
I just won't believe scum doublestacks Vivax on N1, especially when they have two roleblockers to block people that they suspect are blue.


honestly second hit could have been fired at ace and he never claimed it. I wouldnt as third party. It would also explain his constant roleblocking. as town following thread sentiment i would have rb'd people i thought were going to get shot, not someone who i thought was third party every night.

In that case, all town has is 2 cops, a paranoid cop and two masoners against a scumteam with at least 2 JK's, a vigilante and a framer. Roleswise that seems pretty damn scum favoured. Just based on balance alone I'd say it's more likely both town and scum have one each.

My original thought was that if scum shot Ace, they'd simply claim to have a guilty check on Ace (3rd party shows up as scum) and get the free towncred as well as make sure scum doesn't get lynched that day. Could've worked on both days that scum got lynched. However, I forgot that they could think that they shot a veteran too, so it would be a risk.

Thirdly, I don't think they would perma jail Ace if they found out he was third party. Scum was in a bad position. Letting Ace free for one night would make town focus on him again and divert attention away from scumhunting.


would it make him focus on town though? he was raping the scum team. I agree that the jk could be town but i dont see why a townie would rb last night of all people. when you have confirmed town you could protect.

i do find it likely that mafia could have shot him n1 though. i think doublestack on vivax just so unlikely.

Because town was far ahead. It'd be likely that Ace would target obvious townies because as 3rd party you don't want one party to get massively ahead. It'd serve his wincon better to aim for town. As town jk you know 100% certain that blocking Ace stops a kill that's probably aimed at town. I don't know why you wouldn't instantly go for that.


primarily because off one nights worth of deaths its still really shaky to believe it was sk/sp shot instead of mafia vig or town vig at that point. It comes down to lack of info. id want ace unblocked at least once to confirm the read as poisoner.

and ace would obviously shoot at town at night while aiming for mafia during day to avoid the noose.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:47 GMT
#4647
On May 05 2013 02:45 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:43 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Also it is scummy as hell for yamato to try to get the jk to publically claim and risking getting shot.

I have something I want to point out about that but I want to see if Yamato points it out first.


fair enough
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:52 GMT
#4650
On May 05 2013 02:48 yamato77 wrote:
It literally gives us 2 confirmed town, the JK, and the guy he didn't protect night 1.

You're delusional if you think that's scummy.


and we lose the jk who is as far as we know the only person able to deflect mafia kp.

so we trade someone who can extend the game for a few days if it goes badly for one guy who will get shot the following night.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:55 GMT
#4653
On May 05 2013 02:53 yamato77 wrote:
And you are scummy, because you never did push any lynch.

I find it funny that you want to reject logic that might confirm you as town with the JK business.


how is me not wanting the jk to get shot bad logic? You think i am scum. say jk comes out and i get confirmed as town? i get shot right after he does. if it looks like the person he knows is town by your logic ever looks like they are going to get lynched then claiming isn't a bad idea but doing it during a night phase is dumb as fuck.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 17:58 GMT
#4657
On May 05 2013 02:56 yamato77 wrote:
Who knows, JK might be someone else we're looking at.

Why the fuck are you arguing against confirming 2 town this late in the game?


Again if he is almost lynched then he can claim.

Also against confirming? This game is about finding mafia no? Yes clearing town is helpful as fuck, but If Palmar and I are on the right track with our thinking then what does it matter? Currently we arent lynching either myself or palmar so why dont you do what he and i are doing and assume for the moment both he and i are town.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 18:02 GMT
#4660
On May 05 2013 03:00 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 02:58 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 02:56 yamato77 wrote:
Who knows, JK might be someone else we're looking at.

Why the fuck are you arguing against confirming 2 town this late in the game?


Again if he is almost lynched then he can claim.

Also against confirming? This game is about finding mafia no? Yes clearing town is helpful as fuck, but If Palmar and I are on the right track with our thinking then what does it matter? Currently we arent lynching either myself or palmar so why dont you do what he and i are doing and assume for the moment both he and i are town.

Because I lynch mafia, and you are very likely to be mafia.

Either way, I'd rather lynch hopeless today, but the BC/Palmar situation could be resolved in reality, and not some pretend fantasy world so long as the JK claims and clears one of you.


and whats your solution if the town jk protected palmar and I get confirmed as town?

Lynch him? because I am not as sure of him anymore. There doesn't have to be a mafia in the two of us, we just assumed there did.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 18:12 GMT
#4664
On May 05 2013 03:09 TheRavensName wrote:
I dunno, I think one of the lurkers has to be scum at this point. What happened to Sharrant and Giggles? They look way worse then anyone else to me right now for just how little they are actually doing, followed by stutters and Hopeless.


sharrant played a huge role in the clarity lynch didn't he? If i am remembering correctly it would be ballsy as hell to bus your vig costing you two kp in one day
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 18:18 GMT
#4666
On May 05 2013 03:13 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2013 03:12 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 05 2013 03:09 TheRavensName wrote:
I dunno, I think one of the lurkers has to be scum at this point. What happened to Sharrant and Giggles? They look way worse then anyone else to me right now for just how little they are actually doing, followed by stutters and Hopeless.


sharrant played a huge role in the clarity lynch didn't he? If i am remembering correctly it would be ballsy as hell to bus your vig costing you two kp in one day

When would he have started bussing though? If clarity was already afk for quite some time it could be worth it.


looking at his filter he would have been bussing shiapi and clarity and if hopeless is mafia he was pushing suspicion onto him very early day 1 as well.

seems very unlikely as a mafia to do.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 18:18 GMT
#4667
note he would have been one of the first pushing both confirmed mafia we have lynched.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 19:02 GMT
#4671
On May 05 2013 03:57 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Presuming Hopeless will flip scum, I feel that clears Yamato entirely, as far as he's still on the table. Since we're leaving BC and Palmar until we're one mislynch away, and removing people I'm confident are town, we have Stutters, TRN and Bill Murray left.


of that list, bm and stutters have done the least i think.

who all has TRN masoned recently?
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 04 2013 19:13 GMT
#4678
Hey bm, what are your opinions on last two scum then.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 05 2013 21:21 GMT
#4777
On May 06 2013 06:06 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2013 04:23 Sharrant wrote:
On May 06 2013 03:50 Palmar wrote:
Also, now that it's very possible I'm insane it's a much better idea to lynch me in a few days than now. Either scum takea the free mislynch then, and thus risks me being insane, or thwy shoot me and solve the problem for you


I kind of hate this, because I'm now waffling about lynching you today. I do think you need to die unless we lynch scum the next two nights, and I'm sure you can understand that you're going to have to be lynched regardless of your alignment.

The idea of leaving you alive into the night phase is a very tempting one. If nothing else, let's chat about what's left in this game so that whenever you flip we've got some more information to go on.

What do you think about Artanis asking the jailer to claim?


I don't think it tells us much about Artanis's alignment at all. I stand by my earlier assessment that he's town.

I am certain we need to lynch into these 4 people, based on my analysis during the night, with the added dimension that I think you must be town because you would have shot me if you realized I could be insane.

Giggles
BC
Yamato
Hopless

I am inclined to lynch BC, based on what I wrote earlier about his effort and attitude towards the discussion I brought up during the night. I think we now 100% know what his reads are (Hopeless/Yamato) since he stated them pretty clearly, so if he flips town, we have all the information we need from him.

I don't think he'll flip town though.


go for it if you want. I will flip town and then you will have to worry about town wanting to lynch you. My firm belief is yamato and hopeless are the last two. I could be wrong, but given the current players left (myself included) i can make a case against every one of us as to why we could be scum. If town thinks its best to off me first then lynch into my reads, so be it.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 05 2013 21:31 GMT
#4780
yamato because he is more likely to talk out of the gallows with more big voices dying
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 06 2013 21:12 GMT
#4931
On May 07 2013 03:29 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2013 03:28 WaveofShadow wrote:
On May 07 2013 03:25 TheRavensName wrote:
On May 07 2013 03:21 WaveofShadow wrote:
On May 07 2013 03:18 TheRavensName wrote:
Something opped into my head while I was filter diving artnanis:

Question, why are BC and Palmar even being talked about as suspects still? if they were both RBed night 1 they should both be town. Unless, were assuming ace got hit night 1 or they double stacked Vivax. Consiering no one was really hard pushing Ace in a way that would suggest he had survived a shot, i find this to be unlikely.. No way Mafia defensive jailed before vigis could shoot. So they must hve blocked one and shot the other, which would mean they would both be town.

Those scenarios are quite likely, TRN, as well the fact that mafia may not have had 2 (non-vigi)KP at any point during the game, especially since we don't have town vig.

..... Scum started at 5 which means they could shoot twice night 1.

i think a Veteran would have told them not to double stack vivax, and instead shoot him once and shoot someone else, then just shoot him again if they had to. And I don't think a newer player would have noticed the crumb as anything else other then self martyring after a failed lynch they pushed.

Where does the OP talk about scum KP formula?

Ah found it, ok you're right.
Doublestacking is more common than you'd think though.


doublestacking vivax tho? its more likely town jk protected the vet mafia shot or they shot ace and ace went "luls fuck that not claiming"

I am kinda in agreement with trn atm for myself and palmar.

still see hopeless as possibly scum, sadly for yamato i still think hes scum as nothing either has done this game day has really changed that.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 06 2013 21:23 GMT
#4932
On May 07 2013 05:38 Hopeless1der wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2013 02:08 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 07 2013 02:07 yamato77 wrote:
On May 07 2013 02:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 07 2013 02:00 yamato77 wrote:
On May 07 2013 01:57 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On May 07 2013 01:55 yamato77 wrote:
Idk dude, it seems like your plan is designed to keep Palmar alive rather than actually figure out his true alignment.

He claims to have an information role.
I wish for him to live another day to acquire said information.
...this is scummy how?

Because the information it supposedly gains us is only useful if he's town, and it's not even necessarily that useful in the first place.

Yes, and there's no downside to letting him live for a day more to have a practically confirmed BC in case he IS town. When Palmar flips and he flips green BC is in a whole lotta shit. If we confirm he's insane and not paranoid and he flips cop then we might not actually end up killing BC, saving us a potential mislynch.
On May 07 2013 02:01 yamato77 wrote:
On May 07 2013 01:58 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Also if I'm scum with Palmar why the hell would I want you off the table when Hopeless flips town?

So you look good when everyone else decides to lynch me?

Fair point, but I won't let you get lynched.

I'll have to mull it over.

I guess I'm fine with killing off Hopeless today, but something feels off about the lynch. I don't like how everyone has now invented desire to lynch Hopeless.

It might just be that Hopeless has given up and given permission to the other scum to bus him. He did sound fairly defeatist earlier.

I'm more convinced at this point I'm a greater benefit to town dead than alive. There's too much bullshit reasoning right now. Once people realize they need to rethink their stance on a lot of things, I'd hope it clears up a lot of things. With Palmar/BC set to potentially resolve itself (pending JK assistance and NK information) the town is going to need to play an effectively town-favored vanilla game.
By my count its likely to be
11 town v 2 scum
or
10 town v 2 scum v 1 3rd Party
Once we mislynch (its practically inevitable at this point...) we'll be playing a normal mini.



@Yamato's read post, there's this excerpt:
Show nested quote +
BC is town because either you or him is confirmed town, because of what I've talked about his game, and right now I'm working under that assumption.

I'm hoping thats based on his supposed roleblocker read/breadcrumbs or something to that effect because otherwise I'd lynch Yamato for this read.


@Jailkeeper, I suggest claiming at the deadline for the daypost with your targets in the event that you are killed during this coming Night. I am of the opinion that the information is more valuable than your life at this point. Confirming one of BC/Palmar and shedding some light on how accurate yamato's reads are could potentially end the game. Also DO NOT block Palmar since he needs to use his check, duh.


P.S. my vote remains on BC. See Artanis' case and Palmar's comments on the night ping-pong discussions.


I dont like how he just assumes palmar or I must be scum. I can honestly say if i was scum or palmar was based on current flips i would have bussed those 3 so fucking hard for town cred, and i think palmar would have as well, or he would have completely afk derped / stayed off radars as much as possible. I have spent hours writing my own team mates posts before / making inactive ones die in a way i look good and palmar is pretty devious as well. Factor in our back and forth talking of reads I am more inclined on thinking we are both town at the moment.

However you see the posts like you just quoted are reasons I have wanted to lynch yamato all game -_-

Also, didn't he shit on me earlier in the game for posting reads then he did the same style of reads with very little info attached?
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 06 2013 23:30 GMT
#4939
Palmar and i agree on something? Thank god
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 06 2013 23:32 GMT
#4943
On May 07 2013 08:32 Palmar wrote:
Maybe it's bias, but honestly, yamato is using exactly the same shitty logic I tend to use when I'm scum.


dude this means you, me, ace, ve, have all read him as scum. Unless he is the single worst player in the world hes gotta be scum -_-
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 06 2013 23:33 GMT
#4944
Also hopeless are you purposely active lurking and not posting?
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
May 06 2013 23:38 GMT
#4948
On May 07 2013 08:34 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2013 08:32 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On May 07 2013 08:32 Palmar wrote:
Maybe it's bias, but honestly, yamato is using exactly the same shitty logic I tend to use when I'm scum.


dude this means you, me, ace, ve, have all read him as scum. Unless he is the single worst player in the world hes gotta be scum -_-

2/4 of those people aren't town.

Good company you keep.

Whatever, if you guys actually get close to lynching me, I will out the JK and hammer myself. This game has officially gone full retard.


given that you have been calling me mafia all game and auto 180ed i find it hard to believe you. Also if you out the jk and he is town like we all expect you would be actively breaking the rule of play to win.

#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
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