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Boardwalk Empire Mafia: Pick Your Power - Page 17

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 06:26 GMT
#3751
Looking at the order of the votes, I feel safe in thinking that RO isn't scum. Based on timing, Mocsta could be scum but honestly I don't see that considering how heavily he pushed Artanis. Shelvocke tends t vote close to scum which I think is far more likely to be from town.

Also, when you look at the the splayed out votes, you can see a trend. Scum tend to be early voters on the non-scum wagons that are forming and late on the scum wagons that have formed. That leaves Keirathi, Yamato and Vivax in the trend.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 06:32 GMT
#3752
Moc, I'll talk to you tomorrow. But you're dead wrong about me.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 06:37 GMT
#3755
One last point I'd like to make Moc. Go back and look at when I started to bus BH in The Game. I did it exactly when two or three players (a few with notable thread presence) noticed he was suspicious; what was my response, make a few weak ass points that I never terribly followed up on significantly. When the vote scramble game with the VE stuff did I revert to my "scum read" on BH or even seriously entertain or offer BH up as a lynch option for me? No, he was a side mention while I was on "totes 3P VE." I don't hard bus from the start.

I also ask you this... how many cases have scum made against scum at this point? Seriously? I don't remember any (although I'm not done with my readthrough). Honestly, I expect much better than this, but if you need to lynch me to realize that I'm right on Keirathi then please do so if you have to.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 06:40 GMT
#3756
Either way, before you try and get me mislynched go ahead and actually read the pages I suggested. You'll see what I was getting at I hope.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 06:47 GMT
#3759
Ok, then you go read caller's case on Keirathi and see how scum responded. It's around page 38 or so. Then read how scum responded to my case on VE. They kept activity up until the thread shifted to other topics. It's not a coincidence, it's a fact. GO READ. Stop being lazy. If Keir was town, why would they care if he's getting pressured?
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 06:58 GMT
#3763
page 40
It starts here and then once Austin starts grabbing onto the Keirathi as scum idea Artanis drops his case on me on page 43 and Bill Murray gets super active.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 15 2013 07:09 GMT
#3773
When you're posting as scum, it's not about post times at all. When town are going at each other, you let them be, you chime in, you stir the pot. What you don't do is completely try and change the direction of the thread. Instead of looking at post time, just look at their names. If they came up as scum say red, if they're town or alive say green. Then count and look. Read out to page 50 or so. Then ask yourself why they were so active then in steering away from Keirathi. Why did they drop the cases they did when they did? How you treat an active spammy town is different from how you treat an active town that's onto something. In the case of the latter, your goal is to bury it and "out-active" town. Deflect, redirect and bury. That's all those pages are. They're full of nothing but that.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 02:58 GMT
#3785
Wtb NK on me
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:15 GMT
#3794
Mocsta who did you check last night?
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:21 GMT
#3797
Ok so here's the list of current players
geript -- town
restraining order
shelvocke -- vanilla check
vivax
sinani206 -- green check
yamato77 -- early town read
mocsta -- early town read
Oatmaster

That leaves 3 people I'm willing to lynch. I'll look at RO tomorrow, but for right now Vivax + Oats are the two people who I think have the greatest odds of flipping scum. I'm assuming that right now it's 6-1 double mislynch + NK leaves at 3-1 and MYLO. No double lynch means 6-1, 4-1 then 2-1 if they don't have any extra kp. Double lynch is slightly bad but not god awful. In the least it shortens the time frame.

geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:26 GMT
#3798
On April 07 2013 07:58 Vivax wrote:
If he looks like a great potential mislynch it should be in your interest to try the hardest to figure out his alignment no? Defending him isn't exactly the way to go. You say he could also be lazy scum, are you trying to get him to play in a way to exclude or confirm that possibility?No, you're doing the opposite.

@Mocsta do you remember if it was Vivax or Kush who pointed out Yamato's attack on Hapa in DukeNukem in a similar way?
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:33 GMT
#3800
Meh, Vivax hasn't made a case yet that I saw in his filter. Soft defenses all over the place. I'm leaving a vote on him for sure.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:35 GMT
#3802
There's also a soft defense of Vivax from VE in responding to palmar.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:39 GMT
#3805
On April 08 2013 02:45 deconduo wrote:
Seeing as you are having trouble with this Vivax:

-I think X is scummy
-Y votes for X

You seem to think that means I should assume Y is town. This obviously completely wrong. There is nothing stopping Y being scum and X being town.

One of the major things I remember from the podcast about LX was that Vivax had a very odd argument about people who didn't agree with him were scum. It's an argument that he didn't use as Town in the Game from what I remember. But this summary which is pretty spot on IMO is a return to the "if people don't agree with you then they're likely scum" mentality that Vivax attacked deconduo for.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:40 GMT
#3806
Meh, I just want the game to be over one way or another honestly. Lynching scum is the easiest way to do that and my time in the next couple of days will be limited to say the least.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:49 GMT
#3809
On April 13 2013 02:55 Vivax wrote:
Scum always defend their scumbuddies yeah.

Just like OO.
Oh wait.

I find this an exceptionally odd quote. It's like he's very aware of when and how scum bussed. Then he looks for when OO bussed Artanis.

On April 15 2013 13:02 Vivax wrote:
Other incriminating stuff:

Yamato initially wanted to lynch these guys:
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 07 2013 15:13 yamato77 wrote:
Going to bed.

When I wake up tomorrow, I'm taking a look at this list of people:

VE
PALMAR
SINANI
MEAPAK
AUSTIN

One of them will get lynched.





OO deciding to bus artanis at this time:

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 08 2013 08:23 ObviousOne wrote:
British Empire Mini Mafia II [Town]:
Comfortable with 180 when confronted with new information
Openly questions his detractors
Sarcasm/teeth to his posts
Early game attention grabber with BS vote on Marv (wasn't even in the game) - not afraid of the spotlight
Direct/engaged mid-lategame
One of his post-game posts I believe he mentioned before in this game, that he was trying to change up his playstyle a bit:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 09 2013 09:26 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Well, just reading the thread and getting reads off that is easy, actually doing analysis on players and posting it and trying to convince others, using meta, etc. is something else and it's not something you bothered with. When I did do so and people barely/didn't respond to it and still happily voted for me, it doesn't particularly make the game very fun.


Fruity Mafia [Town]:
First major thing that stands out to me is how he formulated this post. He talked about 4 other players then said ObviousOne looked bad (I really did, bee tee dubs):
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17802815
He guilted me out of my scum read on Toad (Zessionar in that game):
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17811235
Full of questions / interactions / poking
Was a town power role and got very bold D2 but town confidence overall was high.
Otherwise rather similar to British

TL Mafia LI [Mafia]:
Talks about things mafia would/wouldn't do (his example was scum don't make big slips)
Points out a big scum slip (lol see above)
Posts in a reassuring tone (regarding his own reads)
Attacked inactivity and claims
Post-game confessions:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2012 14:32 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I'm surprised so many people thought I was scum, given that I would've done the same lurking as town given the size of the game. I would've posted more if I could but I simply got lost in all the traffic; def won't be playing another 30 player game. The only post that really tipped me off was the one ghost accurately called out, I don't think I would've made that as town but mafia IRC said it was a good idea. Given my early bus on VE after his claim I'd think after VE flipped I'd get a bit more credit too.


Characteristics I picked out from Haunted [2010]:
- Makes summaries {conglomerations of players posts} with blanket statements regarding alignment - I used to do this all the time especially in my earliest games
- Feigned/Real inactivity/unavailability - not necessarily a scum tell but a useful scum tool
- Offers to be "helpful" for a period of time - not taking the initiative and doing something useful himself
- Defensive stance - possibly a product of being under suspicion when being replaced in, but in this game was used to misdirect suspicion on lurkers to non-mafia faction

THIS GAME:
Dismissive in D0, not chasing shadows or anything really
Some concept of a plan presented, not really pushed
Not very inquisitive
Giant poop in the thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18226316
No real back-and-forth happening
Barely here

The OBVIOUS conclusion:

Scum

Spend way more time defending / deflecting than scum hunting, less interactive than his town games. By extension of this, he's missing that edge of sarcasm and incredulity in his voice that is present when he calls people out on their bullshit as town. He doesn't seem interested in getting people to re-factor their reads. Way too defensive to match his town meta in any way.

Added note: his filter is barely 2 pages and we've already been active for four real-time days if I am not fucking up my maths. Both scum game filters were short (less than 3 pages each) and showed him hiding by posting just enough to not be considered a lurker.


Suddenly Artanis is among yamato's scumreads:
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 08 2013 09:42 yamato77 wrote:
Let's lynch Artanis. The fact that the lynch has met resistance and people are arguing about other cases that are "scummier" is a good thing. I love information. OO's analysis of his meta is decent, and coupled with gonzaw's case, I could see Artanus as scum.

As for who to vig, it should obviously be sinani. If you read his filter, he posts opportunistically, and generally has little to say. One post in particular I called out as being especially horrible, the one where he gives his "thoughts" on the lynch candidates and is null on three out of four. I was scum with him in Red Team's Prize, and he's acting similar to that game, here his posting in the thread is quiet and not forceful. His "push" of BM as a vig shot is also terrible, because I actually have him down as likely town.

As for myself, since people seem to think I need to contribute more, meh. I gave the game the start I wanted and I have some decent town reads out of that, so as far as continuing a high level of activity, I don't feel that it's necessary. I'm doing my own scum hunting, and I make myself known throughout the day on where I'm at. If I drop off the face of the planet, feel free to shoot/lynch me, but I'm not going to be hyperactive in these games anymore.



Shortly after OO bussed, yamato adds Artanis to those he would lynch, without fighting for his own choices.


Not only that, there's reasonable soft defenses of multiple scum buddies.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:50 GMT
#3810
On April 08 2013 01:29 VisceraEyes wrote:
In what way is this post

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 23:35 Vivax wrote:
Anyone else finding S & B scummy?


any different from this post?

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 10:06 deconduo wrote:
Yeah, after reading his filter again

## Vote strongandbig


You accuse Vivax of trying to "bandwagon" SnB but you yourself opened your "content" by similarly voting SnB with no reasoning. You accuse Vivax of not reading the thread, but somehow you missed the fact that gonzaw was scheduled for an earth-shattering scum-destroying case at the end of his countdown?

Palmar I'm quite interested in why you think decon is town. That feels kinda like fucking bullshit from you.

##Unvote
##Vote deconduo

geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 03:52 GMT
#3811
fwiw It's on page 68 if you're interested in looking up context later.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 04:03 GMT
#3813
I'm not quite sure how we can just lynch 1 guy; if we can find a way, i think it's probably a decent idea. If there's scum + traitor, then it's Sinani and like yamato or shelvocke most likely. I can be scum but not traitor.
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
April 16 2013 04:05 GMT
#3815
I highly doubt there is a traitor honestly. Only 2 people could've picked it (Shelvocke/Yamato); I guess theoretically RO could've. I doubt that though. If anyone did, I'd expect it'd be Yamato. Even then I'd expect that he'd grab Reclusive Traitor as it's something more in his control and gives information if the scum guess fails.
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