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This Town Ain't Big Enough Mafia - Page 15

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Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 06:14 GMT
#1737
What I mean with the second bit, is that I am not giving anybody on the Dieno vote town credit for voting. The vote was almost unanimous.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 06:15 GMT
#1738
On March 02 2013 15:13 thrawn2112 wrote:
hapa wanna duel?

Nice OMGUS you got there. Can we stick to the plan of killing Zare please?
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 12:36 GMT
#1791
On March 02 2013 20:25 Oatsmaster wrote:
Try to post it before the night phase. But its looking good.

Also where did Zare go?
Why so many people disappearing.

The same points were brought up by Adam... like 48 hours ago. Why didn't you read them then? Yamato's response is not very adequate either (it explains his flip on Adam, but not on Keir). However, far more telling is that he

Anyway, @Adam, I am scum for wanting Keirathi dead for a terrible opening and hard defending Dieno. If I were scum, there is no way this makes sense:

My D1 choice to bus was the experienced Keirathi, rather than the complete newbie Dieno. Why would I not do that the other way round if I had to choose one (which you seem to think I did, because 2 busses was too much).

Anyway, if being wrong D1 is a scumtell, it's looking pretty terrible for Marv:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17881123
Hard defending Keirathi's play and only a slight scumtell on Dieno.

I was wrong about Dieno. I was probably also wrong about Thrawn. Am I scum for having wrong D1 reads?

I am probably also wrong about Hapa, but I'm not really convinced yet. Hapa is a good town player who pushes his reads. This game he has thrown them out into the thread and done nothing with them. He is also good enough scum to throw people under a bus when it seems necessary. He does this N0 to dieno and D1 to Keir. If you think he was pushing the Keir lynch, how is this:
On February 27 2013 04:13 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 27 2013 04:10 Acrofales wrote:
Let me get this straight, Hapa: you think it's entirely possible Keir is town, but think killing him is the lesser of two evils? If you were a pardoner, would you consider stopping this lynch?


Yes and yes. None of my top scumreads are on the block right now.

Pushing the Keir lynch?

But Hapa nor Yamato are my strongest scumreads. Please take a look at Zare and tell me you don't think that is scum?
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 12:46 GMT
#1792
Blah, I forgot to finish the bit on Yamato. It was going to be short, but it's in a separate post now anyway, so I might as well flesh it out:

He didn't adequately explain his 180 on Adam, but what I find quite a bit worse is his behaviour around the D2 lynch. This is just before the duel:
On March 01 2013 04:58 yamato77 wrote:
<snip>
If you think Dieno is mafia, I want more detailed analysis from you on the subject. I played a part in lynching him in Parallel when he was fairly useless as town, and barely scumhunted at all. I see very little difference between his play that game and this game.
</snip>

On March 01 2013 05:26 yamato77 wrote:
Hm.

You may be right on Dieno

I reread his igrok filter from Parallel, and it seems he is far from useless there.

We shall see.

Accepting a case from his strongest scumread. Now I tend to play in a similar manner and accept all evidence as it comes to me, but this just felt way too easy.

Then, early in the duel he votes for Dieno and never comes back.



However, in many ways his play just doesn't feel like a scum mindset. It helps that many of the things he has been wrong on have been the same things I've been wrong on, so I can understand his reasoning. He's hovering around the top, but I am not completely convinced. Zare is still far more likely to be scum.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 13:15 GMT
#1794
The first and foremost reason I think Zare is probably scum is his post at the end of the D2 lynch:
On March 02 2013 07:00 zarepath wrote:
Hhonestly guys, I haven't had time today to keep up on the thread. I see a really easy Dieno lynch, and before the duel that would have been my inclination, but now I kind of want to double lynch just to be sure. Part of me says that we can't afford the potential double-mislynch, but even then we'd know exactly who to look at from there. And I'm pretty sure at least one of them is scum.

I have picked it apart already. I won't repeat myself.

However, I will repeat the earlier minor points I had:

1. The list post
+ Show Spoiler [post] +

On February 26 2013 06:07 zarepath wrote:
I'm going to be mostly AFK for the rest of the Night so here are some reads/suspicions for the moment.

Hapa
The very first thing he does is claim town, which I really dislike.
Proposes a policy.
Suggests that all Cora wants to do is call Sylencia a dick... stoking the flames
The 180 on iamp with not a lot of justification

In the end he makes a fairly good defense (last post in his filter). The iamp 180 does look awful, but I can see the reasoning behind it.

Oats
Super spastic. Tons of questions. The other game I've played with Oats, this is how he played Day 1 in order to get information/discussion flowing. I am pretty sure that is his tactic now. But if literally zero cases or reads come out of it, his behavior is going to look scummy in retrospect.

Keirathi
Somebody else who soft-claimed town immediately, a thing I hate. Supposedly caught up with the thread but hasn't made his presence known in any substantial way. He needs to have opinions or something.

Dienosore
I feel like he is the stuffed animal of this game of mafia. He is cute and friendly and makes sweet pictures and hard to hate, but when night strikes he turns into an Agent of Evil and creepily plots our demise. Okay, so not really. His picture is potentially helpful/useful, and I like his tone, but he has really gone out of his way to talk about how friendly he is, which strikes me a little bit of Stranger In An Unmarked Van syndrome. He opts to be the nice welcoming guy to Cora when everyone else is finding excuses to hate him, and it just makes my heart swell. Then in his defense of his defense of Cora, he mentions multiple times how friendly he is. Why is he so concerned with looking friendly? Town doesn't need to worry how they look, just what they accomplish. Note that he also went out of his way to express how he is NOT good at catching scum. Why would town advertise that? Don't they want their arguments to hold sway?

I want to see more of his conclusions from his mapping; undoubtedly several occur to him while he does the research.

Adam
What does Adam think about people not named Dienosore? Hard to tell.

Snarfs
Unless Snarfs has been mafia a million times in a row, his first line was a super annoying soft-town-claim that is not justified, in my opinion. Now that he's caught up I wonder what his other thoughts are.

Sylencia
I mentioned this earlier, but Sylencia looks the scummiest right now of all of the players. Others have contributed less/none, but the few things Sylencia has popped in to post fall easily under the Scum Motivated category. He has more work to do to stop looking scummy than anybody else. Just check his filter and the case makes itself.

iamperfection
His player list comment (assuming town will have the good players for some reason) sounds awful but when looked at, I can understand how it's simply just saying that there are so many good players we're bound to have at least one as town. His logic fails to account for the fact that mafia will also have good players, so it's not like town will now have it easy .

He calls someone town REALLY early in the game, which something you can usually only do with confidence when you are scum.

He calls Snarfs scummy also very early in the game, then tells other people to discuss it. I think this is kind of null, but worth bringing up because it was a unique read.

He goes out of his way to answer for corazon, tell him who is scum. I don't know that I can see scum acting this... forwardly. He is unforgiving in his opinions and doesn't really bend at all to town, and he just has this weird vibe. I get a sense of unique thoughts coming from this man. He gives a bunch of town reads, which is apparently something he just does.

This man is a Wild Card. I think I like him. (And I can also understand how someone would be certain that he's scum and then suddenly decide he's no longer scum.)


This post looks like it's contributing, but it isn't. Lets go through the list:
  • He makes some observations about Hapa without saying what he thinks about Hapa.
  • Oats might look like scum in the future.
  • Keirathi... blank?
  • Dienosore is cute.
  • Adam has not shared many opinions.
  • I wonder what Snarfs thinks?
  • Finally, Sylencia is scum. A read! It's amazing!
  • Iamp is town, but isn't too sure about this, because wild card crazy guy.

A list of all these people, yet only 1 conclusive read. What does this list do best? Make it look as if Zarepath is contributing to the game and scumhunting. However, he clearly isn't. This is not figuring things out, it's giving a vague commentary.

2. A really angry post about why thrawn should have been dueled.
+ Show Spoiler +
On February 26 2013 23:35 zarepath wrote:
I can't believe this happened. This seems far from the best duel we could have set up today. Thrawn switches his suspicions YET AGAIN:

Show nested quote +
On February 26 2013 09:30 thrawn2112 wrote:
some of my earlier reads are now the opposite of what they were

i'm pretty sure that iamp/yamato/oats are town

I think there is probably scum among hapa/acro and i think it's way more likely that acro is scum

there are a few low contribution players I don't like but chief among them is zarepath


And then he bounces from hapa/acro to FOR SURE wanting to duel... Keirathi? But not to the point of ACTUALLY dueling him... just to the point of asking what OTHER people think about him dueling him. And his case came down to Keirathi only having a case against Thrawn based on meta... but isn't that, like, every single person in the thread? Everyone is surprised at Thrawn's performance this game based on his meta. Why isn't Snarf's tenuous Thrawn case scummier than Keirathi's?

Show nested quote +
On February 26 2013 12:40 Snarfs wrote:
Much promised look at thrawn:

On February 25 2013 10:06 thrawn2112 wrote:
On February 25 2013 09:58 Acrofales wrote:
On February 25 2013 09:53 thrawn2112 wrote:
I don't think much policy related thought needs to go into dueling. The more arbitrary rules and policies we try to enforce, the more rules and policies scum have available to hide their actions behind. Let the game flow naturally as to counteract unnatural reads brought on by unnatural/arbitrary policies.


lol, clearly this town ain't big enough. that much is already apparent



Those first posts are a bitch to write, aren't they? Way to say nothing!

What do you think of yamato and cora?


I'm not willing to commit to a read on cora yet. Nothing he's posted so far is all that alignment indicative, coming from him. As for yamato... maybe slighty town? I disagree with the logic behind nearly all of what he's said so far but he's acting in a townish manner.

Iamp could be scum. All he's done is drop off a town read and comment on how useless the thread is.

a) I'm not sure how he got different feels from iamp and yamato early game. Both seemed quite abrasive and had an "i don't care what anyone thinks of me attitude". Once I warmed up to one of them being town, it was easy to warm up to the other being town - seems contradictory to find one's way of acting townish and the other mafia-esque.

b) I also see what people are saying about his random appearance trying to get hapa to duel someone when he was under pressure without any sort of explanation himself.

c) Also, his read on Acro and follow up feels like he thought that since he made this post: [link]
He feels like he should commit to a read on someone here: [link]
I don't think Acro is a worthy candidate. This line of thinking feels forced.

I'd definitely be fine with thrawn being one of the duelists.


So why Keirathi? Why all the bravado about volunteering to be a duelist? No townie should want to be a duelist unless they feel super confident in their read -- at which point, they just ##Duel, not ask "DAE think my latest/greatest soft read is scum???"

And in the end, he doesn't even have to do it. Thrawn made out like a BANDIT with this duel.

I know I should be talking about adam/kier right now, but HOLY COW so many people got out of this one super well, including all of the lurkers/low contributors. All Sylencia has to do is vote and justify it; he doesn't have to forward unique reads on anybody but the two people. We could have spent 24 hours testing low contributors and seeing who their reads are when it has to be out of 11 other people, instead of just out of a pool of 2. Our ability to gain information has been CRIPPLED by a premature duel. We CANNOT do this again tomorrow.

Marv was killed for his analysis, and his number one scum read was Thrawn.... and he's not even up for a duel? Even Thrawn himself seemed fatalistic about it (which isn't very townie IMO), and the fact he was "rescued" from this duel super early in the day is incredibly anti-town.



Look how angry Zarepath is. Thrawn escaped the duel. Sure, it pissed me off too, but I had thrawn as my top scumread. Zarepath did mention him earlier (in passing), but he got casually dropped in and does not appear in the list. Now he comes roaring back and was suddenly a strong scumread. Why? I'm not sure. But making a big angry case on someone who can't get lynched is a great way of looking useful while not being useful in any way at all.

3. The Adam-Keirathi dilemma
+ Show Spoiler +

On February 27 2013 12:03 zarepath wrote:
@Thrawn:

It's pretty clear why I didn't vote for Adam -- I explain it right at the end of my post. Because this format works off instant majority and not a time frame, there is no way to unvote out of a majority should something big come up that shakes everything up. I would rather wait for everyone to chime in before I place my actual vote, because if I contribute to an instant majority, I basically let half of town get out of this entire cycle without having to make a stake on anything.

So yes, my vote will be on Adam, but not yet.


This isn't Zare's first post about the matter. He does a long analysis of Adam and concludes he is scum. The analysis wasn't half-bad. The problem is this lack of commitment. There were 3 votes on Adam at the time. Why this fear of committing to your read? Well... because you may be forced to bussing your scumbuddy. Adam made his long post and the Adam wagon was losing momentum. So Zarepath made a long unnecessary case and jumped onto the Keirathi lynch.

4. Not reading the thread
+ Show Spoiler +
On February 28 2013 01:38 zarepath wrote:
Acro, you ARE INSANE. Why do you believe both to be scum??? One of them DUELED the other when somebody else was already WILLING to. Why in the world would scum duel each other day 1?

Double-lynching when one of the people dueled the other of his own volition is idiotic in this game. Anyone who is either not voting or is voting specifically for a double-lynch need to realize that they are relying completely on mafia being utterly retarded and not playing to their win condition in any way.



Nuff said.



All of this together speaks of a mindset where he really doesn't care who gets lynched. He makes wishy-washy reads posts (except on Syl, which he backpedaled on during the D2 lynch, and on Keir when it was clear he had to bus). He is not really reading the thread. There are no firm stances and he can easily move his viewpoint to lynch anybody who is the flavour of the day. This lack of conviction is what makes him scum. He appears to be contributing, but never pushes his reads, drops them inexplicably whenever he feels it's convenient and then picks them back up again later.

In closing: Zarepath is scum.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 13:18 GMT
#1795
EBWOP: Well... because you may later be forced into bussing your scumbuddy
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 16:22 GMT
#1816
On March 03 2013 00:59 Adam4167 wrote:
The yamato/acro interaction on D1 felt like a weak bus. He slams him calling him 'hilariously scummy' and 'scummiest thing in the thread' yet he never chases it up, ever.

So I'm scum because Yamato is flinging shit. That doesn't even make sense. Scum flings shit all the time. Almost always at townies.

As for my D1 reads. Do you remember me defending Sandroba to the death in CT? I did. I tried my damndest to push that lynch off Sandroba. My read was utterly wrong. I was trying to push that lynch off one scum and onto another. This game I wanted to kill Keirathi. Sure, I got a bit sidetracked by your stupidity and wanted to kill both of you, but I never wavered in wanting to lynch Keirathi.

So... I gave a townread on a scum. So did Marv (Keirathi). Are you trying to say that you hold me to a higher standard than Marv? D1 reads aren't strong reads. They are first impressions. I gave Dieno the benefit of the doubt. I've seen plenty of noob townies make posts equal or worse than that one.

I was nowhere near sure Marv or Dieno were town. I just didn't see any point in putting them up for discussion. Marv, because if he's not town, it'll show later in the game. Dieno, because giving Bill Murray-esque players some time is what you have to do. Add that to what I remembered from PU where he was mislynched for similar behaviour and he just really needed that time. It was totally worth it and I would do it again: treat players like this as town and they will repay you as town, or do absolutely nothing as scum. Dieno did nothing, so he got lynched.

If I had been scum I would have NAILED him to the stake for that post. See LVI for what I do with Bill Murray when I'm scum. I bus the crap out of him. I bussed him so hard that BM was yelling I was an asshole in the scumQT.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 16:24 GMT
#1817
Fine, I'll duel yamato and you can kill both of us. I trust Adam to ride this game out to victory anyway. Just lynch Zare after I'm dead.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 16:29 GMT
#1821
I won't be here at the duel deadline. I will be out getting drunk. So it'll be up to you people to keep Cora in check.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 19:19 GMT
#1828
On March 03 2013 04:14 yamato77 wrote:
Lol, have two townies duel and double lynch them

This is hilarious.

You guys kill my motivation to play.

Scumclaim? I see him channeling VE.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 23:43 GMT
#1845
I'm looking at Hapa now. My night of beers may not be happening, so I might hang out and wait for the post. In the meantime I'm here for questions and filtering Hapa.

Hapa, what is your stance on Sylencia?
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 02 2013 23:46 GMT
#1846
Oh Hapa: also an update on Cora please.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 00:21 GMT
#1849
Hapa, your stance on Syl has been far from clear. The last time you gave your opinion on Syl you wanted to double-lynch and were happily leaning scum on Syl. How can you say your read hasn't changed?
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 00:31 GMT
#1851
And yeah, I forgot about that post you made about Cora. Was focused on the terrible case on thrawn.

However, I have a hard time seeing Hapa as scum. He's not playing well, but if he's scum he's playing terribly. He has done the most illogical things that don't help a scum agenda at all. His radical stance change on Iamp seemed scummy at the time, but honestly I see no reason for a scum Hapa to suddenly throw the towel in the ring based on that post.

He calls Dieno's opening post a wishy washy newbie post, not scummy (although he nails Dieno to the cross for his follow-ups). Same benefit-of-the-doubt I wanted to give to Dieno.

He is hard on Keir's case and doesn't lay off due to Adam going all crazy harry.

His reads on N2 resonate strongly with my thoughts at the time.

Sure, every now and then he throws a completely inane curveball, like the thrawn case. But is there a scum motivation there? Why go after thrawn? Probably one of the hardest targets to go after. He could try to get suspicion on Oats, Yamato or myself... yet doesn't. It just doesn't add up.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 00:35 GMT
#1852
So yeah. I think the scum is Yamato+Zapa... with a stronger read on Zapa than on Yamato.

Beer is happening after all. I'm in Brazil and everything just gets delayed.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 04:37 GMT
#1877
I don't understand that kill. Why is Adam alive?
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 04:40 GMT
#1878
Normally I'd be asking that about myself. But this game my reads have been off and I've been catching a fair amount of flak. So unless it's because the rest of Adam's reads are wrong, I don't see why Adam is left alive.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 04:41 GMT
#1879
But I guess unless Adam has changed his scumgame something completely radical since the last time I played with him, there's no real point in questioning this yet.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 04:57 GMT
#1881
On March 03 2013 13:44 Adam4167 wrote:
Yeah fuck if I know why i'm alive.

You either orchestrated this night-kill to bring up this exact argument.

Or my read on you is wrong.


Something I'll have to ponder while we exterminate Yamato.



What does my alignment have to do with it being weird you're alive? Regardless of the scumteam (except if you're scum), this kill makes no sense. No offense to thrawn.

Guess I'll go over thrawn's filter and see if he had some read that diverged significantly from the mean. But that's a task for tomorrow. Good night everybody.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18107 Posts
March 03 2013 16:28 GMT
#1894
I see absolutely no reason to rush into hammering Yamato. I think the duel is very weird and am trying to figure out whether the way that happened makes him more likely town or scum.
On March 03 2013 18:39 yamato77 wrote:
People still want me dead?

I'm flattered you guys think I could do what I've done this game as mafia, but for real, I am town.

<snip>

I want to duel Hapa today. If I'm in a duel, I'm dueling him, or someone is dueling me. Let it happen.


The first part of this post somewhat corresponds to what has been going through my mind since people have been thinking I'm scum and particularly this thought process has been making me want to duel someone. So I can fully understand Yamato taking this stance from a town perspective. So the fact that he dueled is unsurprising. Also the fact that he decided it made more sense to pick his own opponent.

Sure, he jumped the gun, but if he's town, this makes sense: he wants to duel someone he thinks is scum, not be dueled by someone he might have a town read on. I cannot make sense of this move as a scummer.

Another thing I can't make much sense of is why he backed down on me if he's scum. He had me pretty much where he wanted me. Adam, Snarfs and Alderan were all on board the Acro=scum train. It was starting to go places. Why flip that read?




However, everything I said in my night post also holds. There's a reason I would rather have seen Zapa get dueled. The way the duel happened is making me reconsider Yamato. Hammering him quickly without considering this kind of stuff seems stupid.


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