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Nomination Mafia - Page 10

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Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 14:43 GMT
#846
hmm. to be frank
i havent made up my mind with you, im trying to read your town games to see why you said your a scummy-town.

I just wanted feedback on my points.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 14:50 GMT
#848
I still need to read the games to get a feel, but noted you're making a conscious shift.

Theory craft
With JX 3 things happened
(1) People called him scummy
(2) People defended him as lynch bait
(3) People did not comment.

If we were going to narrow down scum candidates by whether they did 1,2 or 3; which category do you think will have the highest chance of finding a scum?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 15:25 GMT
#852
jay.. im not sure how that addresses my question?

Yam.. my main reason is: I assume we will end up focusing on how the 3 nominees acted during Day1 - instead of looking at how JX ended up on the table. I dont want to lose sight of this.

Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 15:32 GMT
#855
Oats/Yam

Serious q: considering its just us guys here, Im not sure if its valuable sharing reads.

We just saying stuff and no one is giving feedback. perhaps best to just consolidate thoughts and not spam the thread?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 15:33 GMT
#856
On February 09 2013 00:31 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
I believe someone said they wanted to lynch a lurker D1. Candidates for that: JX / Palmar.

I wanted to lynch JX (and suggested it) over Palmar in that case, snarfs still being my vote / priority, but I'd consolidate on JX if we really wanted to lynch a lurker because I'd rather not risk losing a town Palmar this early.

Then somehow the JX wagon overtook my Snarfs wagon and all hell broke loose.

How did you miss VE as the Policy Lurker advocate?

+ pls give feedback on:
On February 08 2013 23:50 Mocsta wrote:
Theory craft
With JX 3 things happened
(1) People called him scummy
(2) People defended him as lynch bait
(3) People did not comment.

If we were going to narrow down scum candidates by whether they did 1,2 or 3; which category do you think will have the highest chance of finding a scum?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 15:42 GMT
#858
sl0sh didnt comment
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 15:49 GMT
#861
I wasnt asking to draw alignment.
im looking at ways to narrow down deep analysis
im still waiting for an answer
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 08 2013 15:57 GMT
#863
sigh, im not writing my intentions clearly.
fuck this.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 09 2013 02:40 GMT
#875
Lol.

Points u said to snarf apply to yourself cc.

Anyways. I thought dawn was over 30min ago?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 09 2013 02:45 GMT
#879
Interesting.

Common sl0osh
lead those discussions
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 09 2013 07:52 GMT
#910
On February 09 2013 16:21 phagga wrote:
(1)
While I was not 100% sold on Mocstas townieness yesterday, he is for sure the guy I would lynch last currently.

(2)
I have a small post put together with thoughts/questions on some other players before yesterday but did not post it because I did not want to influence nominations. I will not post it right now, as D2 is fresh and the current vote discussion is more important, but I will put it up later (latest beginning of D3).

(1)
If you're not "100% sold" on me: Do you have any questions you would like me to address?


(2)
I think it would be of great benefit if you can share that information *this* cycle.

From the discussions so far, people seem believe it is 3 townies for nomination.

Thus, we may as well use this cycle to discuss the happenings of the Day 1 lynch; maybe even pressure scum reads.

Please share your questions/reads.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 09 2013 08:15 GMT
#913
On February 09 2013 16:54 Oatsmaster wrote:
Mocsta, who do you want to lynch today?

I need to hear what sl0osh has to say before making a decision.

Due to:
On February 08 2013 15:19 slOosh wrote:
mmm .... for clarity's sake: I am sitting on my reads because I also have the unique advantage of a clean slate. If I give out a wrong town read, they can put one of themselves up and "gang up" on the 3rd townie. Thus with the flip I'd look bad and they can always draw attention away from themselves by pushing it onto me.

If you are concerned by my absence, just let me take front and center tomorrow, so that I can have a great showing and (re)convince you otherwise. I think we had a great D1, and I highly encourage everyone to reread it.


As an aside:
My main problem with sl0osh and what I need him to re-address is "Why did he think he would be up for nomination"
On February 09 2013 01:15 slOosh wrote:
The optimal scum play is to therefore make nominations in a way that can eliminate from this pool of people. For instance, say there were three more JX esque players - townies with much suspicion on them. Scum would be shooting themselves in the foot by putting these three up for nomination because even though it results in a mislynch, it aids town because it means someone who is 1) or 2) didn't get mislynched, which causes headaches for them late game.

I think it is arguable, sl0osh missing 3/4 of Day 1 does cast suspicion on him.
This is followed up by "dangling a carrot" of 'clean slate reads'. Something I was not a fan. (We all have reads, why say this?)
Using his logic of optimal scum play = 3 townies; it does not make sense for him to be included.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 09 2013 09:10 GMT
#923
sl0osh:
I have phagga as a scum read as well, mainly to do with the JX interactions. (haven't read your case yet)


With Palmar: I still want more on the below
On February 06 2013 23:29 Palmar wrote:
Btw I have a super day 2 plan to counter the mafia, just you wait.


I hope he wasn't referring to:
On February 09 2013 12:59 Palmar wrote:
None of us are mafia, just random lynch.

Can kill me if you want to.

Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 09 2013 09:54 GMT
#924
On February 09 2013 17:46 yamato77 wrote:
I suppose that makes sense. I happen to agree with your read on Phagga, so for now I suppose we just wait.

Though, if we're going by your criteria, I fully expect Palmar to die today, which is less than ideal in my mind, as I explained before. You would have been my pick over him but I guess if you're playing and he's not, I'd rather have you live.

##Unvote

Instead of reading this game last night, I was watching Palmars "read" video in Hero Mini. (1hr 40min takes a while)

I can understand wanting to keep him alive Day1 trolling or not. In particular with the Marv quote Oats found.

But as we all know, Palmar isnt a stupid guy and I would say is more than aware of Marvs quote and how to use/abuse it
P.S. watching that vid was nuts. In the first 5 - 10 pages of thread he nailed pretty much all the scum (other than marv/bugs the wrong way around)

My point is if he is town
On February 07 2013 23:05 Palmar wrote:
I can't be much around today.

Very quick reading makes me want to lynch cheescake, snarfs, prplhz

maybe phagga or yamato

So I'll leave my vote on prplhz

This list should not contain many town (if any at all). I mean, isnt this the reason town wants to gamble on him?

So yes we need Palmar to "flesh out" reads/tells on CC or snarfs or prplhz


If we agree with the reads (as scum) then we have 3 townies, and kill me for being the least useful (or RNG)
If we dont agree with the reads (i.e majority = town), then lynch Palmar.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 10 2013 01:04 GMT
#967
Djodref
You are the only person I noticed that has made ZERO posts since the nominations?

You are the only person I noticed that has made ZERO posts since Day2 dawn phase?

Please bring us up to speed with your top scum reads based on the Day1 lynch proceedings
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 10 2013 01:12 GMT
#968
Oats
*Palmar unveils RNG lynch plan*
On February 10 2013 02:43 VisceraEyes wrote:
Yes Palmar, what's the benefit of keeping information from scum until after they've acted?

On February 10 2013 02:44 Oatsmaster wrote:
Because he didnt know the nominations? Maybe?


On February 09 2013 18:54 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 07 2013 23:05 Palmar wrote:
I can't be much around today.

Very quick reading makes me want to lynch cheescake, snarfs, prplhz

maybe phagga or yamato

So I'll leave my vote on prplhz

This list should not contain many town (if any at all). I mean, isnt this the reason town wants to gamble on him?

So yes we need Palmar to "flesh out" reads/tells on CC or snarfs or prplhz


Palmar shared his RNG lynch "super plan"... http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=395690&currentpage=47#926
but what is your opinion on the below:
In the same big wall of text failed to address any of those previously listed reads: citing: he is not up to date with the thread.

Considering he responded to comments in Day 1 enough to recognise JX may not be scum; I find it difficult to apprehend why he can not share his reasonings for listing those people on Day 1 as scummy due to their Day 1 actions.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 10 2013 02:58 GMT
#970
palmar
So you are motivated enough to actively lurk and respond when mentioned.

But not motivated enough to provide your own highly regarded thoughts and reads?

If as a townie u keep saying "tis OK. Lynch me" why bother to respond in the first place?


Fact: I can't confirm/deny if your motivations are low.
What I do know is that this setup allows for a pro town townie to NEVER be lynched or killed. I still don't get why highly regarded players (such as yourself and others) have not stepped up. This nomination mechanic is better than bodyguards. Hence i find it is peculiar it is not being taken advantage of...
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 10 2013 03:48 GMT
#973
On February 10 2013 12:39 jaybrundage wrote:
I would also like everyones thoughts on lynching VE tmw


Are you preferring VE over phagga, (i.e is VE your best scum read)

or just raising interest in general?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 10 2013 04:48 GMT
#974
On February 10 2013 00:03 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
Mocsta
+ Show Spoiler [CC finding] +

From the start of the thread, the interaction between Oats/him made me lean more townie on Oats than him. Just searching through his filter I was like holy crap that many pages... He hasn't been on my scumdar at all lately. Recently, he asked me to go through his discussion with Jay. One thing I found weird:

On February 08 2013 13:29 Mocsta wrote:
I have had a re-read of Vers guide, and starting to look for specific things in play.

Jay, you are pinging the shit out of my scum-dar.
-snip-

On February 08 2013 14:52 Mocsta wrote:
Jay,
So if you dont see reasons for scum; how do you rate your town play this game as: pro-town, bad townie, or in the middle??

I still think we had different motives to consolidate. And I am still concerned you made a comment to consolidate and then fucked off. As I have said repeatedly,
where is your commitment to developing your read via pressure/analysis/alternative means?
Your play reads as if you dont care. All my questions regarding commitment you have dodged; why is that?

Jay
Do you have a top scum read? & why
Who is your top town read? & why

If you can answer these simple questions, that would go a way towards showing me you actually care.


On February 08 2013 23:02 Mocsta wrote:
CC

can you give thoughts on the convo between me/jay

do you see good townie, bad townie, or other?


Am I the only one that finds this weird? Calls him scum then keeps asking if he's a good town or bad town... Maybe he knows Jay is town? Who really cares what Jay thinks of his town play anyway, it doesn't help us find scum.

Perhaps, but a 9 page filter already... Mocsta (generally) seems rather pro-town at this stage. With a 9 page filter he's certainly not being apprehensive, but scum mocsta isn't afraid to do that. I'm a bit curious of him at this stage, rather leaning townie.

Mr.CC not sure if you wanted me to answer this, or just musings; but will treat it as a question.

I noticed peculiarities in Jay play. I called him out on it. I didn't want to jump to conclusions on Jay due to the JX lynch; i.e. the whole "bad townie" / "too scum to be scum" type play style.

If I ask people to look for scum tells in his play; I think it gives them (town AND scum) permission to be Confirmation Biased in the filter read. If you ask for bad townie, at least people are trying to create mental arguments for why it is town or scum play.
I think this leads to a better read in the end.


+ Show Spoiler [CC. phagga read] +

Phagga
He's really friggen paranoid. Take a look-see
On February 06 2013 18:55 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 06 2013 18:26 Mocsta wrote:
Fair enough, but are u implying that you thought his attitude was conducive to an open environment.

Oats has a (recent) tendency to post one liners asking to expound points already clarified. The outcome. Shit questions get shit answers.

Maybe u thought I over stepped the line in dissing him. But he was going out of his way to cherry pick sentences in a paragraph. For day1 i have been trying to promote discussion. I would contest he was actively killing the discussion. When did he promote an alternative?
If you want to judge me as null fine. But don't imply he is a saint in this but referencing only me.


I never wanted to imply those things. I see Oats behaviour as disruptive, and I see how he misinterpreted your posts. It is also fine that you call him out on this, it's just the way you did it on a few occasions that got my attention.

Show nested quote +
On February 06 2013 18:37 Mocsta wrote:
On February 06 2013 18:09 phagga wrote:
On February 06 2013 17:13 Mocsta wrote:
On February 06 2013 17:05 phagga wrote:
On February 06 2013 16:46 Oatsmaster wrote:
Fuck you VE, I WILL NEVER SUBMIT. I AM ALWAYS RIGHT AND ALL OF YOU ARE FOOLS.


Also,
Phagga, do you have any thoughts about,
VE lurker lynching
Mocsta+Me 'argument'


Short on time.

I agree with the lurker lynching early as we cannot differentiate between lurkers and scum later on and we have no mechanic to clear lurkers / confirm them town.

Will post more later.

I hope you do, thats essentially a re-cap of two pages of thread.


I just want to add something shorty in terms of lynching lurkers: D1 lynches are often crapshots, Kitaman analysed in anohter thread that town would be better off RNG the D1 lynch generally than trying to analyse and find scum. Combine this with the beformentioned fact that we have mechanics to differentiate lukers from scum or get rid of them, I therefore embrace a lynch on a lurker on who we cannot get an alignement read, should one be available.

Phagga.
Marv in Mafia LIX proved you can scum hunt day.
As I keep saying I thought the whole point of this game setup was to mitigate lurking. Why are we talking about lurking again, and there prioritization over scum reads?

If u want to counter and gibe the kitamen spiel again. Let's say your RNG plan found traction. Are you suggesting if you were the rolled lynch candidate that you would accept your fate without putting up a fight?


First, I never ever wanted to suggest we RNG the votes! That would kill of discussion and is absolutely unnecessary. I just wanted to say that statistically, random lynches on D1 would be more successful than what town normally is doing, hence lynching lurkers (who can be a liability for town later on) D1 is a viable option. Nevertheless, our goal has to be to find scum and lynch them, starting D1.

How the D1 lynch should go down IMO:

- If we have a clear scum suspect, let's lynch him
- If not, but there is a lurker who we can not get any alignement of, lynch him.


Finally, only because the setup SHOULD mitigate lurking does not mean there will be no lurkers.


I mentioned this earlier and it still bugs me. "Holy crap I didn't mean to come off scummy I never ever meant to suggest we RNG votes thats so anti-town I'm not anti-town guys seriously". Phagga comes off as suuuuuper paranoid, like he's got something to cover up. In addition, the bottom bolded part is more obvious than Mr. Obvious McObvious. Nice contribution to the thread!

He also comes off as paranoid here:
On February 08 2013 02:51 phagga wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 08 2013 02:40 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
On February 08 2013 02:34 phagga wrote:
At everyone voting Palmar so far, go have a look at Death note Mafia (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=363625). Palmar was trolly/lurkish D1 and was misslynched D1 with the exact same arguments as this game. I know He could be scum, but I feel that lynch is much more volatile than JX, of who I feel sure he will flip scum.


Seems like a shiton of meta reads going down this game, myself included in this one. I think we should start leaning towards analyzing in-game behavior more.

Phagga, you still irk me as being paranoid as all hell and now you're lurking like a boss. Since you decided to pop in here to defend Palmar, what say you to a Snarfs lynch? Set on JX?


Dude I wrote i am on the train, how about you read my posts? Yes, set on jx. My point was more about scum abusing palmars meta, his behaviour so far is just not alignement-indicative, and he is probably the only one that I would let get away with it.

Snarf I feel unsure about, have to read up fully on his case on VE. I currently think he might be right about VE, so I do not want to lynch him


I ask him if he'd like to lynch Snarfs with me, and completely is like "No wtf I said I'm lynching JX what are you even talking about"

Next is his sheepy reasons for voting JX

On February 07 2013 18:55 phagga wrote:
My vote goes to JieXian for coming into the thread and voting Mocsta for a bad reason, then completely disappearing again.

##Vote JieXian

Regarding Palmar: he is trolling hard, I dont know if all you got this:

Show nested quote +
On February 07 2013 01:41 phagga wrote:
Regarding Palmar, I dont like how he throws a vote without explanation and then in his next post he implies: "Guys, I got this really good plan for tomorrow so don't lynch me today even though I might be lurking, mkay?"

Sloosh, do you mean me talking about lurkers or about Mocsta/Oats?

Show nested quote +
On February 07 2013 02:19 Palmar wrote:
Guys, I got this really good plan for tomorrow so don't lynch me today even though I might be lurking, mkay?


Nevertheless, he is trolling D1 as either town or scum, and I know how good a player he can be, so I hesitate to lynch him for now.

prplhz dissappearance is worrying, might be timezone related. His filter is devoid of analysis. I hope to see some more from him in the next few hours.

I will read up on Djo and Snarfs at the next possibility and comment on them.


He literally gives a sentence to support it, and it's been said before. By myself and by some others. The rest of the thread he doesn't even question JX much, just keeps his vote content there while he talks about prphlz and pressures VE. He has this huge post about VE and his voting with red text and all, but never votes him... he's confident in the JX lynch somehow. It's confusing: is he avoiding talking of JX in order to distance himself from a green flip?

I see no scumhunting from him in regards to JX the entirety of day. Such little interaction with him. It's like he was more concerned about a next lynch so he can set up his scumread on VE after JX dies.

Also wtf is all this crap:
On February 07 2013 18:56 phagga wrote:
sniped by JX, but doesn't really change anything for my vote for now.

On February 07 2013 22:56 phagga wrote:
oh wow, I got sniped big time. Reading up.

On February 08 2013 06:40 phagga wrote:
Bah, sniped again. Still, it's not like this is a completely uncontested lynch.

Also, where the hell is sloosh?


Keeps 'getting sniped' lol. Not alignment indicative but it made me laugh.

The fact that he votes but never really talks to JX should be indicative enough that he didn't care about the lynch.

Leaning hard scumster on this dude. He's paranoid as hell, shitty reasons / contributions to lynching JX, and posting obvious things early game that do nothing to help town.

When I said to sl00sh that I had a scum read on phagga due to JX interactions, this was PRECISELY what I was talking about.

This read gives me a much townier read on you; if you were bussing phagga, I dont think scum would go into this much detail.

Fact: If I survive this nomination lynch, my vote is going instantly onto phagga.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
February 10 2013 05:33 GMT
#976
On February 10 2013 08:13 phagga wrote:

Show nested quote +
On February 07 2013 13:08 yamato77 wrote:
In fact, let me go down my list and tell you guys exactly what I think of the game so far. I know you all hate list posts but whatever, deal with it.

MAFIA
Palmar
JX
Snarfs


Two of his 3 scum reads have already turned out to be town, that's how much he figured out the game.

Only JX is confirmed.

Slip of the "scum-gue"

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