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On December 05 2012 15:53 syllogism wrote: However, 450 is a weird amount of damage to take. Did anyone else target me?
Well given that no one else has claimed damage so far, it suggests to me that there are two mafia left (or that 1 mafia - perhaps risk - has a 450 damage shot, but I find that unlikely).
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On December 05 2012 15:45 Adam4167 wrote:Show nested quote +On December 05 2012 15:37 Hapahauli wrote:On December 05 2012 15:35 Adam4167 wrote:On December 05 2012 12:15 Hapahauli wrote:On December 05 2012 12:10 Adam4167 wrote: Yeah I cant wrap my head around it, either way.
We either have a town Z-boson that wants to vig someone who is playing to their town meta, or a scum Z-boson in some lopsided bus attempt, where he calls s&b town but still wants him dead. I don't think he's calling SnB town - he's just saying that SnB is showing some parts of his town meta. That's a lot less severe than you're suggesting IMO, and I lean to Z-Bo town in this case. Scum saying that one of their scum-buddies is showing town traits and then wanting him dead makes even less sense. I missed this post earlier. With all the crap that was going on in the thread at the time (Toad v Keirathi), (Syllo v Sandro) ect, his number one scum read is someone 'showing parts of their town meta' and this warrants a vigi shot on them? I think that's insane. When I see someone showing parts of their town meta, I assume that person is most probably town and look somewhere else! Or you question them further to consolidate that town read. Its the logical thing to do - you've done it dozens of times in your mafia career (I assume). You do not make this person your number 1 scum suspect and want to blow their head off. Yeah but again, while it doesn't make much sense from a town perspective, it makes even less sense from a scum perspective. Like that's the most nonsensical way ever to bus a teammate. I find it more likely to be some kind of poorly executed bus attempt. I cannot see any way for it to be coming from a town-brain.
I went back and tried to read his quote, and I'm reading his comment as far less severe than you are. The relevant line:
Strong town read on marv? Really? If marv hadn't told be beforehand he wasn't gonna take this game seriously, I would have gone with scum read on marv. He spends a ton of time arguing with cave fellow for no reason at all, the guy is and has been a lost cause since he began posting. He's not nearly as active and as involved as his other games. He's not willing to run for party. I've reread his filter and there is nooooo way you can get a town read on marv that fast, with that kind of bad reasoning. Someone else had a town fast, with zero reasoning. Especially SNB, who's played with him a ton of times.
SnB's filter though seems pretty much like his town filter from last game, in terms of low activity and post coutn, but I haven't played with him much. Marv, do you have any meta read on him?
I think he's saying that SnB's activity and post-count line up with his town meta, and suggesting that his post-count/activity aren't alignment indicative. Then he is finding him scum for other reasons. It checks out to me as OK logic-wise.
I'll admit I'm not considering Z-Bo as much as I should, namely because I'm pretty convinced that risk is scum. However given Syllo's 450 damage claim, there's probably another mafia running about, and it could very well be Z-Bo/austin. Austin's recent "I'm thinking about lynching the 3rd party" post is kinda sketchy.
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On December 05 2012 16:58 syllogism wrote: It's also worth noting that none of the flipped mafia, sandroba aside, have had an ability that could in any way be interpreted as inflicting fire damage. Sandroba's fire based ability deals damage over 4 cycles, so fireproof coating would only prevent 100 damage (since it lasts for two cycles). That sure is an amazingly useless ability to have, Hapa.
Yeah =(
I mean for all we know the next 1 or 2 scum could have something fire-related, but sigh. I could also theoretically prevent myself from doing collateral damage or something if I get lucky =/
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@Acro
... The really dodgy ones, imho are:
Kita's damage to CJ that is not backed up by CJ's claim. CJ's betrayal where nobody claims he was hit by his own spell, or even claims to have targeted CJ. Hapa's flame protection. Zbo not claiming anything at all ever.
The other players have at least a plausible story in combination with the mechanics they claim.
I'm not sure why you call it "dodgy", since apparently I'm one of your stronger town reads. It's not like I'm fake-claiming or anything.
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Oh that's some interesting stuff on CJ. Might have to give him some thought.
Interested to hear full role-claims (names included) from Drazerk and Austin
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On December 06 2012 01:22 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On December 06 2012 01:11 Hapahauli wrote:@Acro... The really dodgy ones, imho are:
Kita's damage to CJ that is not backed up by CJ's claim. CJ's betrayal where nobody claims he was hit by his own spell, or even claims to have targeted CJ. Hapa's flame protection. Zbo not claiming anything at all ever.
The other players have at least a plausible story in combination with the mechanics they claim. I'm not sure why you call it "dodgy", since apparently I'm one of your stronger town reads. It's not like I'm fake-claiming or anything. I have not seen any fire damage. Sandroba's dot is possibly related to that but even that doesn't specify it's fire damage. It *might* be related to Lavos, but then the wording you have seems too obtuse: why would Greymist drop 1 hint to 1 person about this? In other words, your claim is just plain weird. That's why it's dodgy. I have you as town because I thought your defense was genuine the last time you got into trouble. I thought your tunneling GK was also genuine. However, both can be faked by good scum. So yes, the claim is dodgy. That doesn't automatically make you scum, it just means there's something that needs explaining.
Well it's something that really can't be explained until we flip scum(s). There's apparently an unaccounted for incremental damage (burn?) ability, so that might make my ability a little less useless.
On December 06 2012 01:23 Acrofales wrote: Oh, if we're trying to explain the unexplainable: what the hell was that countdown?
I still think it was kita related, though I doubt we'll know the specifics until post-game.
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On December 06 2012 01:26 syllogism wrote: By the way I attempted to rb+track VE on n2, so if I was, hypothetically, targeted by a flamethrower, that would explain why Kita took 50 damage since VE allegedly used his guessing game ability on kita.
Really... that's quite a stretch there.
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Syllo, can we take care of this "you being suspicious of me" thing right now? Because we have a situation where the last two flipped scum (SnB + VE) have both attempted to put heavy suspicion on me in their filters. Combined with the points I've made earlier (my actions regarding Toad in particular), how on earth do you not see that I'm town at this point?
None of the flipped scum have attempted to put significant suspicion on each other in the thread (save clear bussing attempts), and for some reason you think that this pattern was completely defied in my case.
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On December 05 2012 22:39 phagga wrote: I've calmed down. My temper sometimes gets the best of me when I feel attacked/manipulated, guess I went a bit overboard yesterday. Sorry for that.
I'll reevaluate some of my reads. Regarding risk, I've written yesterday that from his behaviour early game, i don't think he is scum. I am however worried by his heavy lurking for the last 5 days and his unwillingness to participate. I will look into this as well.
For the time being: ##Vote: Goodkarma
I realize you're angry at GK for his suspicion on you, but it's pretty clear that he's not scum at this point. Even if you don't like his filter, read through the filters of the flipped scum (SnB and VisceraEyes) and look at how much suspicion they put on GK. I find it very hard to imagine that they'd aggressively push a teammate in a situation where they took significant early-game losses.
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@ Syllo
On December 06 2012 01:47 Hapahauli wrote: Syllo, can we take care of this "you being suspicious of me" thing right now? Because we have a situation where the last two flipped scum (SnB + VE) have both attempted to put heavy suspicion on me in their filters. Combined with the points I've made earlier (my actions regarding Toad in particular), how on earth do you not see that I'm town at this point?
None of the flipped scum have attempted to put significant suspicion on each other in the thread (save clear bussing attempts), and for some reason you think that this pattern was completely defied in my case.
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On December 06 2012 02:40 syllogism wrote: How did hapa take 100 damage on n2 then? I guess it's possible he took 175, but how
Unflipped scum? Possible town shot as well, but no one claimed it yet.
But I'll keep spamming this until you answer it:
On December 06 2012 01:47 Hapahauli wrote: Syllo, can we take care of this "you being suspicious of me" thing right now? Because we have a situation where the last two flipped scum (SnB + VE) have both attempted to put heavy suspicion on me in their filters. Combined with the points I've made earlier (my actions regarding Toad in particular), how on earth do you not see that I'm town at this point?
None of the flipped scum have attempted to put significant suspicion on each other in the thread (save clear bussing attempts), and for some reason you think that this pattern was completely defied in my case.
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On December 06 2012 03:03 Acrofales wrote:If I say that, it is ridiculously easy to guess my rolename.
Is that a bad thing? I mean if you're fearful of another player killing you, certainly you claiming third party and being so overt about it would have ended with you dead already.
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On December 06 2012 03:09 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On December 06 2012 03:07 Hapahauli wrote:On December 06 2012 03:03 Acrofales wrote:On December 06 2012 03:00 Keirathi wrote: What was your secondary wincon? If I say that, it is ridiculously easy to guess my rolename. Is that a bad thing? I mean if you're fearful of another player killing you, certainly you claiming third party and being so overt about it would have ended with you dead already. Absolutely true. The fact that I took 0 damage for a few cycles despite claiming is making me less paranoid about there being someone wanting to kill me. However, if there are more SnB-like abilities out there, I prefer they hit other people than me. Call it a survivor mentality 
Are you Ozzie?
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On December 06 2012 03:18 Promethelax wrote:Show nested quote +On December 06 2012 03:16 Hapahauli wrote:On December 06 2012 03:09 Acrofales wrote:On December 06 2012 03:07 Hapahauli wrote:On December 06 2012 03:03 Acrofales wrote:On December 06 2012 03:00 Keirathi wrote: What was your secondary wincon? If I say that, it is ridiculously easy to guess my rolename. Is that a bad thing? I mean if you're fearful of another player killing you, certainly you claiming third party and being so overt about it would have ended with you dead already. Absolutely true. The fact that I took 0 damage for a few cycles despite claiming is making me less paranoid about there being someone wanting to kill me. However, if there are more SnB-like abilities out there, I prefer they hit other people than me. Call it a survivor mentality  Are you Ozzie? Magnus makes way more sense. His secondary would be to be included in a party or to outlast frog. Both of those make sense lore wise and have been accomplished.
Well all his spells backfiring doesn't make much sense with Magus lore-wise. In addition, I doubt his second win-con is to be included in a party, since he was resistant to the idea earlier and was only included in the randomly-generated one.
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I also hope that you'll eventually respond to my posts Syllo, as my sanity has taken quite a bit of damage addressing these things throughout the game:
On December 06 2012 01:47 Hapahauli wrote: Syllo, can we take care of this "you being suspicious of me" thing right now? Because we have a situation where the last two flipped scum (SnB + VE) have both attempted to put heavy suspicion on me in their filters. Combined with the points I've made earlier (my actions regarding Toad in particular), how on earth do you not see that I'm town at this point?
None of the flipped scum have attempted to put significant suspicion on each other in the thread (save clear bussing attempts), and for some reason you think that this pattern was completely defied in my case.
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On December 06 2012 03:23 Acrofales wrote: The point of my claim was so you guys could use the claimed abilities when trying to solve the game, not so you can indulge in pointless speculating about my name, which will get you nowhere as I won't confirm or deny anything.
Well in my mind, clearly no one is hunting you, so I have no idea why you aren't willing to claim. Hell we're curious dammit!
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Clearly you gave up on attempting to read my filter after Day 2. That explains a lot.
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On December 06 2012 06:02 syllogism wrote: I've to say it's a really stupid claim to make if he is mafia (don't blame him though, I would want this to end by this point as well), but still as a town aligned player you would absolutely love to "confirm" your actions by healing players instead of using a shield. None of his actions so far are actually confirmable and healing is strictly better than shielding.
It's a cry for help, maybe we should lynch him today.
Idunno. I'm pretty convinced that risk is scum, but if there's a second one lurking about, it's probably austin/Z-Bo. Austin going off on Acro is completely nonsensical at this point.
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@ Cave
Can you give us a list of your actions/effects so far night by night? It's all pretty confusing to parse through in your filter.
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Any flamethrower target requests?
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