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Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
November 12 2012 00:46 GMT
#1741
We have 1 scum left and 1 RB. We can be extremely cautious. No need to be so hasty.
☺
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 12 2012 00:51 GMT
#1742
no point in telling dp to jail someone specific because if whoever he jails isnt mafia, then mafia can just withhold the nk to trick us.. or dp could be scum. so if dp is town he should keep it a secret

i think people are playing irc mafia later tonight btw
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 01:10 GMT
#1743
Well. After arguing with him last night it was pretty obvious he was going to flip something. I was convinced it would be scum but I guess I was wrong. Good job guys! at this point a serial killer is pretty much the same as the final scum so we did well.

Thanks prom for stopping any last minute shenanigans. I'm going to dive through some filters and post before the day post my last will and testament. We got this though. So I am not worried now. We got more time to play with with this lynch and reduced the KP by 1/2.

<3
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 01:11 GMT
#1744
On November 12 2012 09:36 Release wrote:
If I'm scum, ask DP to JK me.
If there is a kill, I am not scum.

If there is no kill, we have another day to hash things out.
(Yes, the scum might withhold a KP.)


This is so fucking retarded. I don't know what to say. You are starting to sound like risk all of a sudden. I will jail how I please thank you very much.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 01:14 GMT
#1745
On November 12 2012 05:13 thrawn2112 wrote:
I also think dp is town, just from reading his filter without considering a fake claim. He may not like this reasoning, but my impression of town dp is a stubborn angry guy who likes his cases and likes yelling at people who disagree. And lol, that's what I've seen this game. What I saw from scum dp in LC was a toned down version of dp who was not that stubborn.

+ Show Spoiler +
sorry dp <3


I think you got it pretty right. I don't take offence. I can also see that you would think I am angry after being so hard on you in the obs qt's of your newbies. ^_^

I am pretty damn aggressive in mafia. But I am a nice guy IRL I promise.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 01:16 GMT
#1746
On November 12 2012 05:14 kushm4sta wrote:
yeah if you read his filter with an Australian accent in your mind it seems way more town. I think this is the key to reading dp.


LOL. I read all of you guys in an Australian accent. After I read this I tried doing it with an american accent. But I couldn't get the accent right. It ended up sounding really cheesy in my head.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 12 2012 01:21 GMT
#1747
dp, it all goes back to my first game where i rolled vig and didn't realize the importance of breadrumbing
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 01:24 GMT
#1748
On November 12 2012 09:30 mkfuba07 wrote:
I changed my mind. For some reason I didn't consider risk being sk. Since he was sk, it means kush isn't sk. And since kush isn't sk, I can completely throw out my case on you two. Was admittedly bad play to begin with.

Kush is guaranteed town, since him being scum relies on thrawn lying, which would mean 2 scum.
DP has his claim, and has played incredibly townish all game. If he's scum, he deserves to win XD
Prome can't be scum because there was a kill last night and he was jailed.
I can't be scum because I know my role and I am not scum
Thrawn could theoretically be scum, but my theory was based majorly around his interactions with sk kush. Again, admittedly bad play that I always said I'd never do (unflipped association theories), but almost everything seemed to fit so well, and I got carried away with it. I don't think I could point out a post in his filter that I find to be overtly scummy.
Aaaaand Release. Release is the only one left. Boom!

Theoretical if Release isn't scum
5-1
lynch Release (4-1)
If release isn't scum, scum kills someone (3-1)

After that we lynch thrawn because I'm town. In thrawn's case, we lynch me because he says he's town. Not sure what everyone else might be thinking. Either way, lynching Release feels like the best bet. Does anyone think that thrawn is scummier than Release?

Let me know if I missed anything. I think it's pretty solid.


Yeah. I have a problem with this post. You acknowledge that both you and thrawn may be fakeclaiming, But use my claim to somehow exonerate me?!?!? Fair enough if you have a town read on me but don't use my claim to view me as town use my filter and your brain.

Seems weird you would just leave me out of the three of us who have claimed.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 01:27 GMT
#1749
On November 12 2012 10:21 thrawn2112 wrote:
dp, it all goes back to my first game where i rolled vig and didn't realize the importance of breadrumbing


You know I didn't want to lynch you at the end though right? I ended up voting for Your Harry over you I believe. But yeah. It was my second game also and I was connection crazy and your vig claim threw me off super hard.. Ever since that game I have been super wary of lynching blues. So I guess I learnt something.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
mkfuba07
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1151 Posts
November 12 2012 01:53 GMT
#1750
It's not just your claim, it's how townie you've been all game. I said that...
I find your claim more reliable than either of ours. And I find both your's and mine more reliable than thrawn's. While I'm clearly biased by my own knowledge, I feel that anyone claiming to have jailed prome was unlikely to be lying about it. If the sk decided to kill prome, then any scum rb claiming to have jailed him would be outed instantly as a liar. It's a risk (heh) that as scum I don't think I would take, and I don't think you would either. There's also the fact that it would make more sense to breadcrumb roleblocker rather than jailer. You don't gain anything by lying about which fake role you have, so why not just give yourself the real role?
Thrawn's crumb was good, and that I've never denied. The only reason I feel like I'm still questioning it is because I think it's an easy claim for scum to make. They crumb 1-shot cop, call someone town, then get a free ride to endgame. At this point I don't think he's scummy, but if it comes down to him vs me, I know who it is.
Never trust a skinny innkeeper
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 02:23 GMT
#1751
On November 12 2012 10:53 mkfuba07 wrote:
It's not just your claim, it's how townie you've been all game. I said that...
I find your claim more reliable than either of ours. And I find both your's and mine more reliable than thrawn's. While I'm clearly biased by my own knowledge, I feel that anyone claiming to have jailed prome was unlikely to be lying about it. If the sk decided to kill prome, then any scum rb claiming to have jailed him would be outed instantly as a liar. It's a risk (heh) that as scum I don't think I would take, and I don't think you would either. There's also the fact that it would make more sense to breadcrumb roleblocker rather than jailer. You don't gain anything by lying about which fake role you have, so why not just give yourself the real role?
Thrawn's crumb was good, and that I've never denied. The only reason I feel like I'm still questioning it is because I think it's an easy claim for scum to make. They crumb 1-shot cop, call someone town, then get a free ride to endgame. At this point I don't think he's scummy, but if it comes down to him vs me, I know who it is.


The thing about trying to paint my claim as fake is how fucking retarded it would be. I would have bussed both my scum buddies immediately. Then claimed a role that would have damned me if my jail was killed by a sk. It would have been incredibly risky and stupid.

Scum would have claimed VT or maybe a one shot role. This is sort of speculation and I have been trying to avoid it. But honestly I would have to be an idiot to claim JK as scum.

I really don't think someone needs to be fake claiming. Release/kush were my SK reads. Kush is town 100% now that Risk flipped. so. I am taking a close look at release whom I thought was scum day one and has done little to make himself townie IMO.

Release is far scummier than anyone else in the game. That is why he should be looked at.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 12 2012 06:11 GMT
#1752
acro roleblocked risk, so acro's death came from mafia kp. prom was roleblocked, so he's not mafia. there is no way in all of fuck that I'm going to vote for prom. I really think darthpunk is town but I'll reevaluate that read between now and the deadline. kush can only be mafia if there are 2 godfathers and a goon in a setup with a million blue roleblockers. that leaves me with...

release
fuba

hmm...

darthpunk, why did you jail prom instead of acro n3?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 06:25 GMT
#1753
On November 12 2012 15:11 thrawn2112 wrote:
acro roleblocked risk, so acro's death came from mafia kp. prom was roleblocked, so he's not mafia. there is no way in all of fuck that I'm going to vote for prom. I really think darthpunk is town but I'll reevaluate that read between now and the deadline. kush can only be mafia if there are 2 godfathers and a goon in a setup with a million blue roleblockers. that leaves me with...

release
fuba

hmm...

darthpunk, why did you jail prom instead of acro n3?


He was my strongest town read. And when he was jailed night 2 KP was stopped. I rb'd Kush that night. After the draz flip he was 99% town. The 3 options that I had for the no kill night 2 were

Kush had KP and was roleblocked

Release had KP or was roleblocked

Prom was targeted by NK but was jailed.

So after kush is pretty much town I was certain that Prom was targeted for a kill that night and that release was the SK.

I did not think that scum would expect another jailer at that point so I thought I would protect the person whom was likely targeted the previous night. As I thought they would want to finish the job.

That is the basic reasoning behind it.




"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 06:34 GMT
#1754
Come to think of it. There is no other explanation for The missing KP night two other than release being scum and prom being jailed. SO MKFUBA can't be fakeclaiming or we would have had a kill night 2!

Mkfuba is confirmed town. And one of release/thrawn HAS to be the final scum.

Release is looking a thousand times worse than thrawn.

Release is the final scum.
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
November 12 2012 06:52 GMT
#1755
On November 08 2012 13:26 mkfuba07 wrote:
I'm back. My vote was up in the air in the beginning, because I was pondering over possibly voting kush. I'll stick with draz for now, since now that I've got confirmation bias out of my system, I can't confirm my theory until one of them flips.

##Vote drazak

@Release: I think it's likely that someone with a kp who was roleblocked would be more inclined to report it, because then there's a roleblocker out there who knows you haven't told the truth.

But on that note, the fact that you appear to have not thought of that makes me think you're town.

Edit: saw I was ninja'd. Wanted to comment anyway.


On November 08 2012 16:02 mkfuba07 wrote:
I considered it, but I feel that scum wouldn't even consider saying what he did. As scum, I feel it would be my first reaction: "Can I just not claim? No, I have to claim, or someone will know I'm lying." As such, I would never consider it proof of innocence. I feel that he's wrong, and scum would never think to fake being wrong in that way. Does that make sense?


Fuba was the only one to support the case for my comment + Show Spoiler +
On November 08 2012 13:10 Release wrote:
On a day on which no one dies, occam's razor says that those who have kill roles will not claim to be RBed. It would lead to that line of reasoning ,"no one dead, this guy RBed, this guy has killing role"

being townie. I thought it was null, prome instantly looked at it with scummy possibility but fuba defends me.

I don't see anything that my post actually shows except for my inability to play mafia well. It is not townie and i don't see why fuba should defend me like that.

@darthpunk What if Fuba is just the scum RB who claimed one-shot and isn't going to use his RB powers anymore?
☺
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
November 12 2012 06:56 GMT
#1756
@ anyone else, feel free to comment on what you think about that comment
☺
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 12 2012 07:19 GMT
#1757
release, what's your read on thrawn?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
November 12 2012 07:25 GMT
#1758
He's talking in third person.
He's not particularly in my interest as i have been looking through fuba's filter, but i'll try to make a statement about hrawn soon
☺
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10854 Posts
November 12 2012 07:28 GMT
#1759
On November 12 2012 15:52 Release wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 08 2012 13:26 mkfuba07 wrote:
I'm back. My vote was up in the air in the beginning, because I was pondering over possibly voting kush. I'll stick with draz for now, since now that I've got confirmation bias out of my system, I can't confirm my theory until one of them flips.

##Vote drazak

@Release: I think it's likely that someone with a kp who was roleblocked would be more inclined to report it, because then there's a roleblocker out there who knows you haven't told the truth.

But on that note, the fact that you appear to have not thought of that makes me think you're town.

Edit: saw I was ninja'd. Wanted to comment anyway.


Show nested quote +
On November 08 2012 16:02 mkfuba07 wrote:
I considered it, but I feel that scum wouldn't even consider saying what he did. As scum, I feel it would be my first reaction: "Can I just not claim? No, I have to claim, or someone will know I'm lying." As such, I would never consider it proof of innocence. I feel that he's wrong, and scum would never think to fake being wrong in that way. Does that make sense?


Fuba was the only one to support the case for my comment + Show Spoiler +
On November 08 2012 13:10 Release wrote:
On a day on which no one dies, occam's razor says that those who have kill roles will not claim to be RBed. It would lead to that line of reasoning ,"no one dead, this guy RBed, this guy has killing role"

being townie. I thought it was null, prome instantly looked at it with scummy possibility but fuba defends me.

I don't see anything that my post actually shows except for my inability to play mafia well. It is not townie and i don't see why fuba should defend me like that.

@darthpunk What if Fuba is just the scum RB who claimed one-shot and isn't going to use his RB powers anymore?


It is possible. But If you are town and FUBA is scum can you explain how the night actions on night 2 work out? And why there were no kills?
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
Release
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States4397 Posts
November 12 2012 08:01 GMT
#1760
On November 02 2012 13:41 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 02 2012 13:30 Muso wrote:
Again, honestly I thought the masons would come to the right conclusion.

Reasoning for my claim:

1. Masons are powerful, and frequently underestimated in their value. If I were scum I would perceive them as a serious threat, probably more so than a cop in this setup.

In this setup the likelihood of mafia hitting town every night is at least >95% (aka not hitting a SK). Let's pretend it's 100% and let's pretend that nobody gets saved by a Doc. The result is 1 town death every night. As a citizen or vanilla townie as it's called here, it's my job to throw myself in the way of the mafia and convince them to use their kill on me because it buys the town power roles time.


none of that has any relevance to fake claiming mason

Show nested quote +
On November 02 2012 13:30 Muso wrote:
2. The wealth of information and reads that are available from this train is enormous. I doubt anybody will disagree with the idea that we've gained a lot more information from today than we would have had we led a lynch on somebody based upon the minor scum hunting that occurred in the first half of today. Not to say that that stuff isn't valuable, just that this provides more definitive answers. Even if nobody is satisfied with my explanations and this does go through to a lynch, this point will remain true.

The true Mason reveal was regrettable and once again I do take the blame for that.


So if you're saying that you did this to get information and reads, you do realize that if you're actually town, then you're the only person atm who can make those reads? If you did this as town, you've put yourself in a position where it's almost impossible to avoid getting lynched.... how does that help us makes reads based on people's reactions towards you until after we've seen your flip? I accept that townies can intentionally look scummy to make reads.... but the manner in which you supposedly did it and your explanations for what it would actually accomplish just don't make any sense.

I want to see two things from you:

1) a clear a concise explanation of what exactly you were trying to accomplish by claiming mason
2) some reads

Such posts as these actually gets things done.
points for you
____________________________________________________
Asking for others' opinions
On November 01 2012 10:50 thrawn2112 wrote:
kush you think release is scum or town?

On November 01 2012 23:35 thrawn2112 wrote:
risk, say something about release

On November 09 2012 07:50 thrawn2112 wrote:
anyone else here that wants to lynch release?

kush you can always change your vote if it doesn't work out


On November 03 2012 04:46 thrawn2112 wrote:
@prom

I'd like to hear you talk some more about muso. You said that you didn't want him lynched today but that he was a good vig shot... what are your actual opinions about him being town/scum?



On November 05 2012 05:30 thrawn2112 wrote:
Release, why do you think prom is the sk? Give your specific reasons.


There's a lot more of this.
On the one hand it makes things clearer (but most posts do). However, what i read from this is someone who doesn't have too good a feel of how town feels at a given moment in time and is scummy.
points away from you. In general (at least until page 5 of your filter) you've been very strong at logic and whatnot so I feel that if you were town, you wouldn't ask as many general questions.

__________________________________________________
My guilt:
On November 07 2012 14:24 thrawn2112 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2012 14:17 Release wrote:
On November 07 2012 10:42 kushm4sta wrote:
@acro omg what if the mafia didn't kill anyone ON PURPOSE so that we couldn't get any more flavor information??

If i change my vote now, I will be "afraid to bus my scum buddy" or "too wish-washy"

so i'll make use of FOS: kush
You are not town.
Draz is scum.
Consider yourself lucky.


Do you actually want to change your vote? That's a perfect example of a post that makes me think you feel guilty.

and some other posts i don't want to find right now:

Yes it should make you feel that i feel guilty.
What I said is that my posts made me look guilty. I however, did not feel guilty. I felt annoyed.
I don't think it's too scummy not to care whether a scum or sk dies.

I honestly feel like this is another one of my "i am not good at mafia posts" and you seem to take a much less strong stance than fuba did my post.
points for you.
__________________________________________________
some defense
On November 09 2012 07:41 thrawn2112 wrote:
his inherent guilt all game

his story in d3 doesn't add up
- has 3 people that aren't drazak as top scumreads during N2
- because drazak doesn't show up for N2 deadline, releases makes drazak his top scumread
- votes for kush even though draz was his top read after I questioned a weird FOS he made against kush

wtf was that vigi claim. I NEED to see an explanation for why he did it. As everyone else demonstrated, it is not a "fake" crumb, it was done intentionally. but it was so well hidden, what town purpose could it server? me thinks it's a scum hiding fake claims

didn't vote for hopeless

innocent wabbit is a scum name
- lol

hopeless
- this post
- other than that no mention of release ever again in hopeless filter

- he was roleblocked and we have missing night kills

Why would i bring up the vigi claim in the first place?
other parts have been answered.

_______________________________________________
You seemed pretty focussed on a Risk/Kush/Me scum and SK.
But i think this is pretty null in terms of alignment.

SO overall, i feel that I can forgive your eliciting opinions from the town to gain a townie perspective (it is something townies want too, just something scum want more)
and you are probably not the last scum. (definitely less likely than Fuba)

☺
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