[9:28:41 PM] Toad: hey
[9:28:49 PM] Strongandbig: hey
[9:28:53 PM] Toad: why is it 21:28 in the us?
[9:28:57 PM] Strongandbig: im just reading the last 20 or 30 posts
[9:29:01 PM] Strongandbig: i'm in switzerland
[9:29:06 PM] Toad: oooh you're the guy
[9:29:07 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[9:29:10 PM] Toad: at cern?
[9:29:11 PM] Toad: awesome :D
[9:29:20 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[9:29:42 PM] Strongandbig: why does tali think that solstice will be a target
[9:29:43 PM] Strongandbig: he's like
[9:29:47 PM] Strongandbig: a super random guy who never posts
[9:29:48 PM] Toad: i have no idea
[9:29:51 PM] Strongandbig: even if his reads are correct
[9:29:57 PM] Strongandbig: it'd be like blue sniping grush
[9:29:58 PM] Strongandbig: useless
[9:30:17 PM] Toad: i'd rather put him as vig target than as protection target lol
[9:30:47 PM] Toad: same about talis although the effort he's putting in this game is making me feel unsure about it
[9:30:58 PM] Strongandbig: so the thing about talis is
[9:31:09 PM] Strongandbig: the grush shot would have been so ridiculously suboptimal of scum
[9:31:17 PM] Toad: yeah
[9:31:17 PM] Strongandbig: that i have trouble thinking they didn't double stack sloosh
[9:31:27 PM] Toad: no way did mafia shoot grush
[9:31:40 PM] Strongandbig: the only reason to do that instead of shooting sloosh and you or ve or wbg (whichever is / are town)
[9:31:47 PM] Strongandbig: is if they thought a medic might be on him
[9:31:51 PM] Strongandbig: which points towards tali being town
[9:31:52 PM] Strongandbig: imo
[9:32:02 PM] Strongandbig: i know wifom etc
[9:32:15 PM] Strongandbig: but who holds an NK so they can wifom maybe having medic directed
[9:32:24 PM] Toad: why does it point towards talis being town?
[9:32:27 PM] Toad: I'm not getting the connection there
[9:32:36 PM] Strongandbig: because imo if he hadn't been explaining why medics should be on sloosh
[9:32:42 PM] Strongandbig: scum wouldn't have made that conclusoin
[9:33:01 PM] Strongandbig: at least if i was scum and I knew that wbg/ve/toad etc were town i would have assumed the medic would have been on one of them
[9:33:04 PM] Toad: I told people to protect myself and sloOsh and leave out VE / WBG / eran, maybe even myself as well
[9:33:16 PM] Strongandbig: hmm okay
[9:33:20 PM] Strongandbig: i guess i didnt remember that
[9:33:28 PM] Strongandbig: anyway idk about tali; i thought he was scummy at first
[9:33:42 PM] Strongandbig: but his points on ve actually made sense to me
[9:33:48 PM] Strongandbig: that's when i started thinking maybe he was town
[9:33:52 PM] Toad: yeah i thought he was scummy as well early on but I'm getting really bad feelings when thinking about lynching him
[9:34:10 PM] Strongandbig: okay so here's the thing about bugs
[9:34:28 PM] Strongandbig: i feel like throwing that kind of tantrum as a lie would have been just as bad as lying about having irl issues that kept you from posting
[9:34:37 PM] Strongandbig: it's like, he actulaly even blamed his tantrum on irl issues
[9:34:49 PM] Strongandbig: and i dont think he would lie about irl issues just to win a game
[9:34:53 PM] Strongandbig: but other than that
[9:34:58 PM] Strongandbig: everything he did screams scum
[9:35:20 PM] Toad: well I never lie when talking about RL-stuff either, no matter if I'm town or mafia
[9:35:24 PM] Strongandbig: yeah i agree
[9:35:26 PM] Toad: but you can always make something up
[9:35:51 PM] Toad: like I had my LA-exam two days ago , was busy but could have posted way more
[9:35:58 PM] Strongandbig: okay so a different thing
about ve
[9:36:09 PM] Strongandbig: what in the heck in that pm chain would have made him think wbg was town
[9:36:23 PM] Strongandbig: like, think it strongly enough to come out in the thread and try to redirect the d1 lynch
[9:36:39 PM] Strongandbig: that just, i don't really buy it
[9:36:53 PM] Toad: so you consider VE to be more scummy than wbg?
[9:37:13 PM] Toad: I agree that VE looks weird and I don't really have him as town read but wbg just looks way worse
[9:37:25 PM] Strongandbig: wbg looks terrible
[9:37:30 PM] Strongandbig: but
[9:37:31 PM] Strongandbig: umm
[9:37:37 PM] Strongandbig: yeah so here's what it is
[9:37:45 PM] Strongandbig: i've always been pretty impressed with wbg as a player on both sides
[9:37:53 PM] Strongandbig: i think he's a pretty smart and perceptive person
[9:38:11 PM] Strongandbig: and if his strategy as scum was to lie about having problems irl, risk a modkill, and fake ragequit
[9:38:17 PM] Strongandbig: i would just be so disappointed in TL mafia
[9:38:23 PM] Strongandbig: so i want that to not be true
[9:38:41 PM] Toad: i don't think he knew about the not voting himself
[9:38:59 PM] Toad: so I don't really consider that part at all
[9:39:33 PM] Toad: I do think exaggerating RL-issues and rage-quitting could be a strategy as well
[9:39:43 PM] Toad: and it just feels awfully like storm mafia
[9:39:50 PM] Strongandbig: i didn't play storm mafia
[9:40:16 PM] Toad: I called him mafia d1 and d2 all time and somehow he managed to manipulate people for 3 days in a row to lynch who HE wanted to lynch if people posted a list
[9:40:41 PM] Strongandbig: oh right that was the game he was talking about in the mafia theory quote of his i posted d1
[9:40:46 PM] Toad: like we had a list with 4 people d2, 3 of them being mafia, bugs gets in there "yeah I'd be happy to lynch *townie*" and everyone is okay with it although WBG was on the list himself
[9:41:12 PM] Toad: it's just the same thing over again
[9:41:36 PM] Toad: I said I'd be happy to lynch prplhz or bugs d1, bugs says prplhz is 95% mafia and we do that
[9:41:57 PM] Toad: d2 somehow ended up being a eran lynch which was the most retarded thing I've ever seen
[9:42:14 PM] Toad: and now some guy said he wants to lynch me instead of bugs lol
[9:42:55 PM] Strongandbig: well to be fair you do keep excluding yourself from the "mason balance" list thing, remember how you said one of the vet masons had to be scum?
[9:42:58 PM] Toad: lol it was s0lstice who said that
[9:43:03 PM] Strongandbig: and you thought it was errandor or ve
[9:43:04 PM] Toad:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=352668¤tpage=57#1124[9:43:10 PM] Strongandbig: but you are also a vet mason
[9:43:22 PM] Strongandbig: i mean, that does remind me of what you did in mtg mafia right?
[9:43:31 PM] Toad: nah I never said a vet has to be mafia, did I ?
[9:43:40 PM] Strongandbig: oh right not a vet mason
[9:43:43 PM] Strongandbig: just a vet in general
[9:43:51 PM] Strongandbig: i was the one who thought mafia would have made a vet their mason
[9:43:59 PM] Strongandbig: wait was that tali or you
[9:44:01 PM] Strongandbig: shit 1 sec
[9:44:03 PM] Toad: yeah vet in general (goon or GF) + medium-player mason makes way more sense
[9:44:39 PM] Strongandbig: okay wait that was you yeah
[9:44:40 PM] Strongandbig: anyway
[9:44:51 PM] Toad: at least that's what I'd do if I were mafia because people WILL talk about "well if I were mafia I'd give the mason to a vet", so a low-skill guy being mason would be perfectly safe
[9:45:33 PM] Strongandbig: tbf you did that in mtg mafia, you were like "someone in this group must be scum" when you were in that group, and then we lynched everyone else in that group and then you were like "why would I say that if I was scum, then you would just kill me for being in that group"
[9:45:34 PM] Strongandbig: lol
[9:45:41 PM] Strongandbig: anyway that's a good poitn
[9:45:43 PM] Strongandbig: about strategy
[9:45:54 PM] Strongandbig: but i can still see VE wanting to be the mafia mason, for sure
[9:46:01 PM] Toad: actually I thought about mtg as well
[9:46:14 PM] Toad: and was scared people might consider that game and just policy lynch me ;D
[9:46:27 PM] Strongandbig: haha if we're policy lynching you are like way down the list
[9:46:32 PM] Strongandbig: 1. wbg
[9:46:36 PM] Strongandbig: 2. glasse
[9:46:45 PM] Strongandbig: 3. [like 4 other lurkers]
[9:46:53 PM] Strongandbig: 4. grush just for being grush
[9:46:56 PM] Strongandbig: 5. mrzentor
[9:46:59 PM] Toad: yeah I thought more of a d1 policy lynch
[9:47:00 PM] Strongandbig: 6. toad
[9:47:23 PM] Strongandbig: wait why a d1 policy lynch because of mtg mafia?
[9:47:35 PM] Toad: because noone was talking about me
![](/mirror/smilies/frown.gif)
[9:48:04 PM] Toad: considering the playerbase that means they got me as town (VE and wbg don't talk about townreads)
[9:48:33 PM] Toad: so as I was really manipulative and everyone considered me to be town in mtg I was afraid that some guy might just start some paranoia on me
[9:48:45 PM] Strongandbig: oh
[9:48:47 PM] Strongandbig: that's like
[9:48:51 PM] Strongandbig: incredibly convoluted
[9:49:05 PM] Toad: I guess
[9:49:39 PM] Toad: still it was really strange nobody brought it up
[9:49:54 PM] Toad: I thought it would be an easy way for mafia to discredit me
[9:50:02 PM] Toad: and you're the first one to mention it
[9:51:29 PM] Toad: I guess you stopping to type means you consider that scummy?
![](/mirror/smilies/puh2.gif)
[9:51:45 PM] Strongandbig: huh what
[9:51:48 PM] Strongandbig: oh no i was posting
[9:51:52 PM] Strongandbig: about wbg
[9:51:57 PM] Strongandbig: just the same stuff i tolx you
[9:52:05 PM] Toad: ah saw it
[9:52:08 PM] Toad: reading
[9:52:13 PM] Strongandbig: it's not really relevan
[9:52:18 PM] Strongandbig: just letting off some steam
[9:52:25 PM] Toad: oh that yeah
[9:52:26 PM] Strongandbig: i'm still pretty pissed about that day 1 fiasco
[9:52:40 PM] Strongandbig: especially how he kept calling me bad even though his play was the scummiest shit ever
[9:52:49 PM] Toad: yeah
[9:52:53 PM] Toad: he does that a lot
[9:53:33 PM] Toad: I just really don't think town wbg would stop playing like this and still be alive right now
[9:54:01 PM] Toad: if he really was town he'd either start playing or get himself killed on purpose because he has to know that we're going to lynch him
[9:54:19 PM] Strongandbig: also wtf is with no warning or modkill for hassy and biosc?
[9:54:27 PM] Strongandbig: i hate when hosts do that.
[9:54:28 PM] Toad: no idea
[9:54:36 PM] Toad: BC is really lazy
[9:54:38 PM] Strongandbig: like even if they are both town we'd be better off with them modkkilled imo
[9:54:44 PM] Toad: yeah lol
[9:54:54 PM] Toad: I SO want to see hassy flip
[9:55:03 PM] Toad: pretty much no matter of alignment
[9:55:08 PM] Strongandbig: like i thought there was no way he's town
[9:55:26 PM] Strongandbig: but i've got this heuristic that lurking scum usually doesn't let themselves get modkilled
[9:55:36 PM] Toad: yeah
[9:55:37 PM] Strongandbig: unless it's someone like mattchew who plays scum so much that he actually gets bored of it
[9:56:04 PM] Toad: I'm really not sure about all those medium players
[9:56:12 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[9:56:27 PM] Strongandbig: you mean medium activity or experience leve?
[9:56:33 PM] Toad: they al got some things that make them bad somehow but they all got some things that make them look good as well
[9:56:37 PM] Toad: both
[9:56:59 PM] Toad: but I was referring to experience
[9:57:21 PM] Toad: I've got a couple of strong reads but all those maju's, bke's and guys like that are so hard to read
[9:57:50 PM] Strongandbig: xsebts last post was pretty terrible
[9:57:55 PM] Strongandbig: wait maju is in this game?
[9:58:03 PM] Toad: according to my sheet yeah
[9:58:12 PM] Toad: don't know if he got replaced though
[9:58:21 PM] Toad: still got "ghost_403" instead of zentor as well^^
[9:58:46 PM] Strongandbig: yeah he got replaced
[9:58:49 PM] Strongandbig: solstice maybe?
[9:59:02 PM] Toad: has to be, he's not in my sheet
[9:59:18 PM] Toad: I've really got so few reads on those guys
[9:59:31 PM] Toad: I got glase down as slightly townish for some reaso I don't even remember
[9:59:33 PM] Strongandbig: glasse
[9:59:35 PM] Toad: lazer is probably town
[9:59:35 PM] Strongandbig: seriously
[9:59:39 PM] Strongandbig: you gotta be kidding me
[9:59:56 PM] Toad: yeah I've got him as green so far
[10:00:06 PM] Strongandbig: unless the reason is something like "no scum could actually be that scummy"
[10:00:24 PM] Strongandbig: like he just pops in immediately after every lynch to make a one liner and then ignore everyone asking him to make reads or whatever
[10:00:46 PM] Toad: yeah i know
[10:00:52 PM] Toad: but I actually liked his d1 play
[10:00:59 PM] Toad: it really looked townish to me
[10:01:22 PM] Toad: he was the guy who pointed out that WBG might be just fooling around when outing Eran and VE
[10:01:36 PM] Toad: and prplhz was really confused about that and I didn't mind that at all
[10:02:04 PM] Strongandbig:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=352668&user=86645¤tpage=2[10:02:10 PM] Strongandbig: think glasse is breadcrumbing vig?
[10:02:25 PM] Strongandbig: that would be terrible by BC, let scum pick their PRs but give town's to rando's
[10:02:58 PM] Toad: I'm not really watching for breadcrumbs, what post?
[10:03:07 PM] Strongandbig: oh just that
[10:03:12 PM] Strongandbig: he keeps talking about the vig
[10:03:19 PM] Strongandbig: while ignoring everything else going on in the thread
[10:03:24 PM] Toad: oh
[10:03:24 PM] Strongandbig: i guess not really a breadcrumb
[10:03:44 PM] Strongandbig: but the thing is that's about the only way I could figure him playing like that as town
[10:03:56 PM] Strongandbig: I mean this post
[10:03:57 PM] Toad: "maybe he was a vig who shot grush" is what you're saying?
[10:03:58 PM] Strongandbig: "
Not gonna lie, my plan is quite boring this game. I shall not do it again."
[10:04:02 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[10:04:38 PM] Toad: well there are no mafia vigs^^
[10:04:50 PM] Toad: if he really is a vig that's not on purpose, that's for sure
[10:04:54 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[10:05:03 PM] Strongandbig: okay so if we're looking into lurkers
[10:06:08 PM] Strongandbig: before when I read the whole thread at once i thought the scummiest ones were glasse, broodking, and biosc, and jinglehell
[10:06:34 PM] Toad: jinglehell is really bold
[10:06:40 PM] Strongandbig: jinglehell is a mason right/
[10:06:42 PM] Toad: I don't think he'd play like that as mafia
[10:06:49 PM] Strongandbig: but broodking always looks scummy
[10:06:52 PM] Strongandbig: i think
[10:06:57 PM] Strongandbig: and so does biosc
[10:07:00 PM] Strongandbig: they're just terrible
[10:07:04 PM] Strongandbig: like some of these lurkers are decent
[10:07:21 PM] Toad: I don't remember broodking being this bad
[10:07:22 PM] Strongandbig: synystyr, lazermonkey, hopeless
[10:07:24 PM] Strongandbig: they try
[10:07:30 PM] Toad: hier looks like a decent shot if I were a vigi right now
[10:07:37 PM] Strongandbig: but broodking and biosc? they've actually played a bunch
[10:07:42 PM] Strongandbig: and are just terrible and don't care
[10:08:32 PM] Toad: if I had to rank people (vets not included) from nice vig target #1 to not that good it'd be something like this
[10:08:44 PM] Toad: #1: hier
[10:08:50 PM] Toad: #2 zentor
[10:08:54 PM] Toad: #3 biosc
[10:08:59 PM] Toad: #4 maju
[10:09:10 PM] Toad: maybe bke #5?
[10:09:22 PM] Strongandbig: maju is out of game
[10:09:28 PM] Toad: they can't all be mafia though and it's incredible hard to differentiate between them
[10:09:28 PM] Strongandbig: replaced
[10:09:40 PM] Toad: yeah the solis guy
[10:09:44 PM] Toad: brb changing that
[10:10:00 PM] Strongandbig: could talismania be SK?
[10:10:03 PM] Strongandbig: is there an sk in this game?
[10:10:13 PM] Toad: I don't think there is lol
[10:10:21 PM] Strongandbig: like his play is so wildly swinging between making a lot of sense and making none
[10:10:51 PM] Toad: yes it is
[10:11:01 PM] Toad: I was so sure he's got to be mafia d1
[10:11:15 PM] Toad: n1-start of d2 I thought he's looking better
[10:11:18 PM] Toad: and now I'm back to mafia
[10:11:50 PM] Toad: but I've got hassy, zeph and wbg as mafia in my sheet as well. Including talis would make it alread 4
[10:12:17 PM] Strongandbig: why zeph?
[10:12:35 PM] Strongandbig: tbh the cases by him have been so random that I haven't paid too much attention
[10:12:40 PM] Toad: he's awfully focusing on the wrong things when quoting people
[10:12:56 PM] Toad: and always manages to someone to post really scummy
[10:13:24 PM] Toad: remember when he told everyone "guys, it's obvious this eran vs WBG vs VE fight has to be 3 townies fighting and there's no mafia in there"
[10:13:31 PM] Toad: what kind of townie would make such a post
[10:13:54 PM] Strongandbig: a townie who thinks they're a lot better than they actually are
[10:14:36 PM] Toad: if you think someone is better than what you see, shouldn't you want to lynch them?
[10:14:45 PM] Strongandbig: oh no i meant
[10:14:53 PM] Strongandbig: he thinks he's good
[10:14:54 PM] Strongandbig: not me
[10:14:55 PM] Toad: oh yeah
[10:14:59 PM] Toad: got it
[10:15:20 PM] Toad: if that's what he thinks he should have targeted someone else though
[10:15:29 PM] Toad: it's the same thing WBG does
[10:15:42 PM] Toad: he pops out a bunch of townreads out of nowhere telling people Eran and VE are both town
[10:15:54 PM] Toad: but completly ignores what that means to his scumreads
[10:16:17 PM] Toad: if wbg really thought eran and VE are town he should have been all over me or prplhz d1, but he wasn't. Same goes for zeph
[10:17:18 PM] Strongandbig: yeah so i guess here's where I am right now
[10:17:22 PM] Strongandbig: we can't not lynch wbg tomorrw
[10:17:29 PM] Strongandbig: like, several things
[10:17:33 PM] Strongandbig: his play is scummy as shit
[10:17:48 PM] Strongandbig: and he's shown no sign of trying to make up for it
[10:17:54 PM] Strongandbig: despite having like three days irl to cool off
[10:18:13 PM] Strongandbig: plus if he's not helping town then the potential downside of a scum wbg far outweighs the small upside
[10:18:19 PM] Toad: not to mention that he really plays like a mafia wants to play to look like he's doing when he actually posts something
[10:18:35 PM] Toad: when wbg is posting he's always talking about some townreads, nothing else
[10:18:40 PM] Strongandbig: it's just would he really play so badly as scum?
[10:18:46 PM] Toad: those are all things that are incredible easy to talk about as mafia
[10:19:02 PM] Toad: well he survived 2 days so far
[10:19:07 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[10:19:14 PM] Strongandbig: i don't think we can afford not to lynch him
[10:19:19 PM] Toad: agree
[10:19:22 PM] Strongandbig: but I also think VE looks like net scum
[10:19:31 PM] Strongandbig: and other than them
[10:19:46 PM] Toad: VE really depends on wether or not we've got more masons and if hassy is mafia
[10:19:59 PM] Strongandbig: broodkign and hassy
[10:20:00 PM] Strongandbig: i guess
[10:20:13 PM] Strongandbig: so that means for me it's wbg, ve, broodking, hassy
[10:20:15 PM] Toad: If hassy and WBG are both mafia I really doubt VE is mafia as well
[10:20:21 PM] Strongandbig: true
[10:20:34 PM] Strongandbig: well it's BC though
[10:20:40 PM] Strongandbig: i don't know him that well
[10:20:49 PM] Strongandbig: but he seeems like he might have skewed ideas on balance
[10:20:58 PM] Toad: yeah it's bc alright but what about the mason between VE and wbg?
[10:21:20 PM] Toad: wbg ragequitted and isn't playing anymore because of eran (or the other way around idk)
[10:21:21 PM] Strongandbig: yeah i don't think they're scum together
[10:21:25 PM] Toad: do you really think he would fake that?
[10:21:27 PM] Strongandbig: but i think one of them is for sure su
[10:21:29 PM] Strongandbig: scum
[10:21:33 PM] Toad: yes
[10:21:39 PM] Toad: and wbg just makes way more sense
[10:21:49 PM] Strongandbig: im not sure about that
[10:21:50 PM] Strongandbig: like
[10:21:55 PM] Strongandbig: there is a possible explanation for all his behavior
[10:22:01 PM] Toad: not to mention that I'd hate myself forever if I had to find out he is mafia and I ended up lynching VE
[10:22:04 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[10:22:07 PM] Strongandbig: that's where i agree
[10:22:12 PM] Strongandbig: if ve wins this because wbg shitted up the town
[10:22:13 PM] Strongandbig: then fine
[10:22:18 PM] Strongandbig: if wbg wins this while shitting up the town
[10:22:21 PM] Strongandbig: then fuck everything
[10:22:39 PM] Toad: yeah
[10:23:05 PM] Toad: but all those other mafias out there are still so hard to figure out
[10:23:20 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[10:23:25 PM] Strongandbig: its so hard to put pressure on them
[10:23:27 PM] Strongandbig: actually
[10:23:35 PM] Strongandbig: i wouldn't count out xsebt
[10:23:38 PM] Strongandbig: looking at his filter
[10:23:38 PM] Toad: even if wbg is mafia, mafia still has 2KP until they're reduced to 2 players 8(
[10:23:44 PM] Strongandbig: could be a shitty us
[10:23:47 PM] Strongandbig: bus
[10:23:49 PM] Strongandbig: by bugs
[10:23:55 PM] Strongandbig: or if bugs is town
[10:23:58 PM] Strongandbig: then he stumbled on a mafia
[10:24:03 PM] Strongandbig: but xsebts filter looks scum to me
[10:24:30 PM] Strongandbig: i'm gonna play some civ 4, i'll try and write up some stuff in an hour or so before i go to bed
[11:34:05 PM] Strongandbig: i guess we should post these pm logs before one of us gets nk'ed
[11:34:19 PM] Toad: thught about it as well
[11:34:30 PM] Toad: but I don't feel like staying up until 5 am
[11:34:32 PM] Toad: or 4 am
[11:34:37 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[11:34:40 PM] Strongandbig: me neither
[11:35:07 PM] Strongandbig: i think i'm kinda likely to get killed anyway, regardless of my reads i'm like the only person who posts a lot in the thread and yet isn't called scum
[11:35:12 PM] Toad: honestly I wouldn't mind taking the risk that at least one of us survives to post it
[11:35:26 PM] Toad: I think either you or I are going to die tonight
[11:35:30 PM] Strongandbig: yeah
[11:35:38 PM] Strongandbig: well is there any reason to not post it now?
[11:35:39 PM] Strongandbig: like
[11:35:41 PM] Toad: and if my townread on you is wrong this game is over anyways :D
[11:35:51 PM] Strongandbig: i think scum are going to kill us or not regardless of what's in the logs
[11:35:56 PM] Strongandbig: it's not like there's anything groundbreaking
[11:36:12 PM] Toad: yeah i don't see a problem with posting them
[11:36:20 PM] Strongandbig: kk i'ma do that then go to bed
[11:36:32 PM] Toad: especially as we disagreed about the lower-experience guys quite a lot lol