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Emergency Mini Mafia! - Page 6

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 17 2012 21:54 GMT
#986
I'm confirmed town because I've been acting in town's best interest since Day 1. If you're town (which I believe you are) then read up on filters, mine if you need it and the summary of notes I had on everyone here if you're too lazy to go through individual filters, which I hope you're not.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 18 2012 11:11 GMT
#988
Alright, I know now for 99% certain that ghost's claim is correct.
To believe he's town, we have to assume:
-He checked who he checked
-He got greedy during MYLO and decided not to claim despite having a red check
I don't like the second one, but it's a TON more believable then what we have to assume if he's scum.
If you're scum and you're forging a fakeclaim, ESPECIALLY on LYLO, you want to make it as believable as possible. Now, to assume he's scum, you have to believe that he thought "Okay, I'm going to claim Detective, and in my claim I'm going to say I found scum on MYLO but decided not to claim because I got greedy. That's sure to be believable and will give me tons of credit!" Call it WIFOM, but I find it INCREDIBLY unlikely that scum decided it was a good idea to claim to have checked a red during MYLO. The only way it makes sense to me is the scenario ghost described. His earlier checks wouldn't really make sense for scum to claim either since these were not the people he was talking about at the time. Instead, it makes sense when you look at the game history altogether, not his filter specifically. This to me means he either wrote exactly what happened in his mind OR he was preparing to fakeclaim from the start.
I don't find the latter very likely, but let's assume he's been preparing this fakeclaim all game. Would it include claiming he checked a red during MYLO? If so, why?

Unless anyone can give a proper explanation for that, I'm 99% certain that Navillus and Snarfs are the remaining two mafia. The only possible way this can be false is if MrZentor is GF, but given the roles revealeed I find that unlikely and I had a town read on him to begin with. I'm very sure now.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 18 2012 21:05 GMT
#991
Navillus, at least vote so you don't get modkilled. That'd be a pity.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 18 2012 22:09 GMT
#993
So they did have a Godfather.
Well, that's great news, means MrZentor's definitely town. For Zentor to be Mafia Ghost would have to be mafia too, and we know there's only one mafia left. I also explained why it's extremely unlikely that Ghost is mafia, and this lynch proves it.
I expect I'm still dying tonight though since Snarfs can't kill ghost as it'll confirm he's a detective. He can't kill Zentor because I'm definitely voting him. Means all he can do is shoot me and hope to be able to convince Zentor he's town.
Zentor, if I die, please Vote Snarfs.
If no one dies tomorrow and you're uncertain we can choose to no lynch until mafia decides to shoot someone.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 19 2012 00:26 GMT
#996
Zentor, if you have any doubts as to if we should lynch snarfs tomorrow, please express them in this night cycle so I can tell you why he must be lynched tomorrow.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 19 2012 17:41 GMT
#1000
On June 20 2012 02:41 Snarfs didn't write
Yes I am.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 19 2012 21:17 GMT
#1004
I'm guessing that means Snarfs gave up?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 19 2012 22:05 GMT
#1008
Thanks for hosting. Can you link the Quicktopics?
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 19 2012 22:26 GMT
#1022
Scum, why'd you never kill me? I was certain I was going to die the night Shraft died.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 19 2012 22:52 GMT
#1028
I think you played a good game Snarfs. Though some things did make me wonder, they were small enough that you could've defended yourself. If Ghost didn't claim in the end I would've had a tough time choosing between you and Ghost.
I'm pretty sure I would've gotten Navillus though once Palmar flipped and I read his filter again. The disconnect on his stance on Palmar was just too great.

Overall, Mafia played better and we got lucky that Palmar got modkilled and that ghost happened not to check Navillus. Too much game speculation wasn't good for town and was what (should've) killed us.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-06-19 22:59:12
June 19 2012 22:58 GMT
#1030
In a game where the last three people to claim got lynched, I figured Mafia is not going to fakeclaim at LYLO.
This read was confirmed when thinking about how Mafia would make such a fakeclaim.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12973 Posts
June 21 2012 19:50 GMT
#1051
Any more analysis coming up? Would be interested in it.
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