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Hammer Mini Mafia - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 29 2012 21:26 GMT
#500
@MeatlessTaco Where are you at?
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 29 2012 22:45 GMT
#504
On January 30 2012 06:36 layabout wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2012 06:23 Paperscraps wrote:
On January 30 2012 00:09 layabout wrote:
He disappeared and nobody spoke out against his defence. Couldn't you say that this make it seem like he was a townie? It was not like we had caught him out and he was obvious scum that we lynched. There was limited discussion and it ended with him being lynched.
If you think that he was scum then it seems reasonable to assume that his teammates did not bus him (because that would have been stupid). Are you going to proceed under the assumption that there are 3 scum left or 4? Are you going to be open to both possibilities?


I'll play devil's advocate here, since you like that WIFOM.

Lets assume WBG was mafia for a minute. Why would mafia speak out in defense for him? It would only draw suspicion onto them. WBG didn't even defend himself. As risk.nuke mentioned above people do weird stuff when under the gun, which is great because this is when scum make mistakes. Any self-respecting townie would at least try to defend themselves, role claim, anything other than lurk! or at least I would hope a townie would.

On January 30 2012 00:09 layabout wrote:
If you think that he was scum then it seems reasonable to assume that his teammates did not bus him (because that would have been stupid).

Also bussing is valid tactic for mafia. That is a scummy thing to say. It is not reasonable to assume anything of the mafia's plan, when they have a QT to discuss something delicate like a bus, before hand.



In a no flip game town has to assume the worst until PRs can give us something concrete, thus we will of course keep an open mind that 4 mafia could still remain.

fuck off with the "you like wifom shit."

I was merely pointing out that his absence is not something that we can draw conclusions from. risk had said it as if it meant he was scum so i responded by saying that i could similarly draw the opposite conclusion.

also prplhz i wanted people to post that they were in agreement/not in agreement with the balancing act proposal,. I only explained my stance on the lynch because i was asked to. If you look at the words about both topics in my first post today:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 29 2012 20:50 layabout wrote:
First thing first: What an awful lynch.

Second thing second: The plan seems to revolve around lots of players having 3 votes who then decide who to give their votes to. The balancing relies upon people with lots of votes giving some of them to people with only 1 vote.
If people give it different numbers of votes then there will be a reduced number of players with 3 votes, and the number of players with 1 vote.

I think that we should all be trading the same number of votes. (this should make it easier to confirm players votes as it makes things simpler).

I think two votes is a risk but i think that it is acceptable. It keeps a larger number of vote in the game (which is good as it makes it harder for mafia to control the lynch). And mafia should not be able to hold on to all of their votes gained due to re-balancing.

this is just wrong:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2012 11:26 Paperscraps wrote:

-snipped-

On January 29 2012 09:52 LSB wrote:
Please give away two of your votes. This is for two reasons
1) Giving away two of your votes eliminates looses if you get nightkilled. Even if you don't think you are a high target, mafia could always bluesnipe.
2) People with 1 vote only are extreamly crucial during re-balancing. During Night 1, people with 1 vote are the ones who would receive votes from people with 3+ votes in order to ensure that the vote distribution stays roughly equal. So if you are left with only 1 vote Day 2, there is a high likelyhood that you would have 3+ votes Day 2.


How many votes people give away should be factored by two things:
1. More votes if you think your read is very pro-town and less votes if you think your read is town,but still have some reservations about the read. (This is more applicable to late game)
2. If you think you will die during the night, trading the most votes possible is best.

If you know you are town you should not be giving more than 1 vote away without a good reason because you do not know the alignment of the player that you are giving votes to. You should not be giving out more or less votes depending on the strength of your read.


this should be evident.

Are you actually suggesting that the mafia would have bussed wbg yesterday? How is is scummy to think that that would be so stupid we should not consider it?


I said it is not reasonable to assume anything of the mafia's plan. You have to take a step back and look at the big picture, see who is talking with who, examine voting patterns, look at peoples arguments for why they vote, look at justifications for the VP trade, sheeping, bandwagoning, etc... These things will find mafia, not WIFOM.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 29 2012 23:01 GMT
#506
On January 30 2012 06:52 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2012 06:23 Paperscraps wrote:
On January 30 2012 00:09 layabout wrote:
He disappeared and nobody spoke out against his defence. Couldn't you say that this make it seem like he was a townie? It was not like we had caught him out and he was obvious scum that we lynched. There was limited discussion and it ended with him being lynched.
If you think that he was scum then it seems reasonable to assume that his teammates did not bus him (because that would have been stupid). Are you going to proceed under the assumption that there are 3 scum left or 4? Are you going to be open to both possibilities?


I'll play devil's advocate here, since you like that WIFOM.

Lets assume WBG was mafia for a minute. Why would mafia speak out in defense for him? It would only draw suspicion onto them. WBG didn't even defend himself. As risk.nuke mentioned above people do weird stuff when under the gun, which is great because this is when scum make mistakes. Any self-respecting townie would at least try to defend themselves, role claim, anything other than lurk! or at least I would hope a townie would.

On January 30 2012 00:09 layabout wrote:
If you think that he was scum then it seems reasonable to assume that his teammates did not bus him (because that would have been stupid).

Also bussing is valid tactic for mafia. That is a scummy thing to say. It is not reasonable to assume anything of the mafia's plan, when they have a QT to discuss something delicate like a bus, before hand.



In a no flip game town has to assume the worst until PRs can give us something concrete, thus we will of course keep an open mind that 4 mafia could still remain.

This is an interesting argument. For the sake of the argument lets assume that WBG was mafia (and try to disprove it)

If WBG was mafia, mafia would attempt to defend him. Why? Because it is no flip and it is less risky defend players. In addition, there is less incentive to bus players because town will not be certain that the mafia you bused was actually mafia.
Therefore the No-flip sets up incentives for more straightforward-town scum play.

Now, to straight out say that there was no defense of WBG would ignore two things. Counterlynches.
At the end of the day there were three important lynches. And a valid tactic would be to try to attract attention to another lynch.
VisceraEyes- Lead by Palmar and Node
[UoN]Sentinal- Proposed by Me, supported by a few other people.

A few things, first of all the WBG counterlynch happened extreamly fast, he went from a few votes to magic majority in about 4 hours. By this time a few of the other lynches were abandoned, both me and Palmar switched to WBG.

The only person who put up a soft 'defence' of WBG was Node as Node was reluctant to lynch WBG. Currently I have a green read of Node.

From here I conclude that it is unlikely there was a mafia defense of WBG, even though there were very solid counterlynches. This could be explained because twoards the end it was less about persuasion, and more about trying to shove a lynch before the deadline. However a last minute push for one of the other two canidates is not impossible in that situation.

Because of this we should treat WBG as a green townie.


We could argue this back and forth all day, but that wouldn't be beneficial. I do agree to an extent that we should assume the worst for now(since it is no flip) that WBG could have been green.

On January 30 2012 07:52 layabout wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2012 07:45 Paperscraps wrote:
On January 30 2012 06:36 layabout wrote:
On January 30 2012 06:23 Paperscraps wrote:
On January 30 2012 00:09 layabout wrote:
He disappeared and nobody spoke out against his defence. Couldn't you say that this make it seem like he was a townie? It was not like we had caught him out and he was obvious scum that we lynched. There was limited discussion and it ended with him being lynched.
If you think that he was scum then it seems reasonable to assume that his teammates did not bus him (because that would have been stupid). Are you going to proceed under the assumption that there are 3 scum left or 4? Are you going to be open to both possibilities?


I'll play devil's advocate here, since you like that WIFOM.

Lets assume WBG was mafia for a minute. Why would mafia speak out in defense for him? It would only draw suspicion onto them. WBG didn't even defend himself. As risk.nuke mentioned above people do weird stuff when under the gun, which is great because this is when scum make mistakes. Any self-respecting townie would at least try to defend themselves, role claim, anything other than lurk! or at least I would hope a townie would.

On January 30 2012 00:09 layabout wrote:
If you think that he was scum then it seems reasonable to assume that his teammates did not bus him (because that would have been stupid).

Also bussing is valid tactic for mafia. That is a scummy thing to say. It is not reasonable to assume anything of the mafia's plan, when they have a QT to discuss something delicate like a bus, before hand.



In a no flip game town has to assume the worst until PRs can give us something concrete, thus we will of course keep an open mind that 4 mafia could still remain.

fuck off with the "you like wifom shit."

I was merely pointing out that his absence is not something that we can draw conclusions from. risk had said it as if it meant he was scum so i responded by saying that i could similarly draw the opposite conclusion.

also prplhz i wanted people to post that they were in agreement/not in agreement with the balancing act proposal,. I only explained my stance on the lynch because i was asked to. If you look at the words about both topics in my first post today:
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 29 2012 20:50 layabout wrote:
First thing first: What an awful lynch.

Second thing second: The plan seems to revolve around lots of players having 3 votes who then decide who to give their votes to. The balancing relies upon people with lots of votes giving some of them to people with only 1 vote.
If people give it different numbers of votes then there will be a reduced number of players with 3 votes, and the number of players with 1 vote.

I think that we should all be trading the same number of votes. (this should make it easier to confirm players votes as it makes things simpler).

I think two votes is a risk but i think that it is acceptable. It keeps a larger number of vote in the game (which is good as it makes it harder for mafia to control the lynch). And mafia should not be able to hold on to all of their votes gained due to re-balancing.

this is just wrong:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2012 11:26 Paperscraps wrote:

-snipped-

On January 29 2012 09:52 LSB wrote:
Please give away two of your votes. This is for two reasons
1) Giving away two of your votes eliminates looses if you get nightkilled. Even if you don't think you are a high target, mafia could always bluesnipe.
2) People with 1 vote only are extreamly crucial during re-balancing. During Night 1, people with 1 vote are the ones who would receive votes from people with 3+ votes in order to ensure that the vote distribution stays roughly equal. So if you are left with only 1 vote Day 2, there is a high likelyhood that you would have 3+ votes Day 2.


How many votes people give away should be factored by two things:
1. More votes if you think your read is very pro-town and less votes if you think your read is town,but still have some reservations about the read. (This is more applicable to late game)
2. If you think you will die during the night, trading the most votes possible is best.

If you know you are town you should not be giving more than 1 vote away without a good reason because you do not know the alignment of the player that you are giving votes to. You should not be giving out more or less votes depending on the strength of your read.


this should be evident.

Are you actually suggesting that the mafia would have bussed wbg yesterday? How is is scummy to think that that would be so stupid we should not consider it?


I said it is not reasonable to assume anything of the mafia's plan. You have to take a step back and look at the big picture, see who is talking with who, examine voting patterns, look at peoples arguments for why they vote, look at justifications for the VP trade, sheeping, bandwagoning, etc... These things will find mafia, not WIFOM.

can you read?


Nope.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 06:43 GMT
#533
I sent 1 vote to Prplhz.

I was thinking of giving vote(s) to Palmar and risk.nuke, but I figured they would be receiving a lot more votes from the rest of the town. I wanted the votes to be spread out more among the town. My third best read was Prplhz.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 07:49 GMT
#540
On January 30 2012 16:45 Dirkzor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 30 2012 16:40 prplhz wrote:
On January 30 2012 16:19 Dirkzor wrote:
I wanted to give palmar or LSB my vote - in that order. But figured that they would get a lot of votes anyway. Then i started to look for a less obvious townie.

I gave him 1 vote because i think he is town. I was just playing with him Purgatory (he was scum) where he played differently then what he does now.

Can you tell me how he's playing differently and how this makes him more town?


He is asking questions this game. He is writing statements. He have an opinion. While he is not the one with the most or longest posts his posts have had something to tell.

In Puragtory he did not do any of those things.


So your read on him is based completely around meta? I don't think that is a good idea tbh.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 10:08 GMT
#549
##Vote LSB


On January 28 2012 13:24 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2012 13:06 Paperscraps wrote:
On January 28 2012 12:37 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
That's just anti-mafia, at first I don't think we'd want anyone, townie or not, to have 7 VP, even if it means losing influence. Just less risky that way, it's more to examine voting patterns. Who knows, maybe you're right.


On January 28 2012 12:37 [UoN]Sentinel wrote:
Balance would leak to mafia though, they'd just kill off the people that are before them so they can pool their votes. I'd rather do perception so that townies can take advantage of VP.


1.First you are saying that no one should have more VP than others. You are saying that players with high VP should trade it away because having high VP is risky and not worth the information gained from justifications. (Implying balance is good)

2.Then you are saying that balance would lead to mafia to pool their votes. (Implying balance is bad)

In case 1 you doubt peoples perceptions. In case 2 you support peoples perceptions.

This is one of the worst example of logic I've ever read. If I was day vig I'd kill you for trying to make a case out of this.


Well looks like you will be the one to die this day.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 19:12 GMT
#601
##Unvote LSB

##Vote VisceraEyes

@VisceraEyes Why did you wait to CC against Palmar? If a vig doesn't claim shooting last night then that makes you look real bad.

You have flip-flopped on Palmar from town to scum with no real analysis.

You tried to lynch me with a horrible argument.

You don't want to lynch LSB because he has one of your votes? What kind of reason is that? LSB pushes his plans like they are the law, yet has inconsistencies. You support LSB.


Speculation
+ Show Spoiler +
Lets speculate Palmar is lying about his claim. Why would mafia try to kill Viscera? Even more odd is why would a "doctor" power role think that Viscera would be a target and save Viscera? I just can't find any sense in this.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 19:26 GMT
#610
##Unvote VisceraEyes

I agree with risk.nuke.

Palmar we need to slow down a bit here. I agree that either Viscera or Palmar needs to die, but hasty lynches are not good.

From Palmar's perspective Viscera is 100% scum and vice versa, but other townies can't be 100%. (even if the late cc is suspicious)

With that being said, I still believe Viscera is scum and Palmar is town, at this juncture. It is only good for town to talk about this more. See what others think about the lynch.

More analysis/opinions/discussion ----> more material to get reads on people.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 19:29 GMT
#612
Haha, just saw that Palmar has an FoS on risk.nuke. Interesting.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 19:31 GMT
#613
@Palmar How can more discussion time hurt the town? I agree with you that Viscera is scum, but why not utilize this time to get better reads on people who are lurking?

MeatlessTaco, Chaoser, Jackal and Node need to post more. I would like to see where they weigh in with all of this.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 19:40 GMT
#615
On January 31 2012 04:26 Paperscraps wrote:
##Unvote VisceraEyes

I agree with risk.nuke.

Palmar we need to slow down a bit here. I agree that either Viscera or Palmar needs to die, but hasty lynches are not good.

From Palmar's perspective Viscera is 100% scum and vice versa, but other townies can't be 100%. (even if the late cc is suspicious)

With that being said, I still believe Viscera is scum and Palmar is town, at this juncture. It is only good for town to talk about this more. See what others think about the lynch.

More analysis/opinions/discussion ----> more material to get reads on people.


EBWOP: I want to clarify that I agree with risk.nuke's notion of taking more time to discuss, not with his notion of doing a DT check tonight. That is stupid.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 19:48 GMT
#617
On January 31 2012 04:39 Dirkzor wrote:
I agree that either Palmar or VE have to die. Or both due to No flip.

I would vote VE now, but I don't want to hammer (my vote won't be the hammer i know) until everyone have had a chance to claim the hit on either one. If no one claims it could still be a scum nightvig. How likely do you find that mafia have a nightvig?

If no one claims the hit I think the jailer should claim. Because if no one claims the hit or the jail we would have lynch both to be sure.


Jailer should NOT claim.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 20:03 GMT
#622
On January 31 2012 04:56 layabout wrote:
You then tried to kill LSB who has done more to help town than any other individual.


Oh the irony! It is soo tasty.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 20:17 GMT
#628
On January 31 2012 05:13 layabout wrote:
Scumteam:
1) Palmar or ViceraEyes
2) jaybrundage
3) Meatless taco
4) sentinel
5) jackal58


4 from that, in any order.
Either Palmar or Vicera is scum due to claims. (them both being town and claiming hits with no NK and 1 scum KP is extremely unlikely)
None of these players has looked very town to me.


Riveting post. Would read again. /sarcasm
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 21:08 GMT
#645
On January 31 2012 06:00 prplhz wrote:
Can people please vote/hammer VisceraEyes? Look at wherebugsgo yesterday, he was killed in half an hour. Why is it taking so much longer today when VisceraEyes is way more scummier than wherebugsgo was? Plenty of people around.

Palmar is hit night1 as town just about every game. VisceraEyes has never been hit by scum night1. QED. I think the only people in this town who would shoot day1 as vigilante is Palmar and chaoser and they'd both claim immediately after and they've both had the chance.

VisceraEyes clearly dies today and we have at 36 hours until next lynch which is plenty so stop using that as an excuse. Vote him now so we can get on with the game.


Why are you in some big rush? I would like to hear Chaoser and Node chime in, then I will vote Viscera up myself.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 21:14 GMT
#650
On January 31 2012 06:09 LSB wrote:
A few things to note, Palmar has been doing a lot of fear-mongering throughout the day. He essentially has no reasoning besides "Vote along what I say or else I'm going to include you in my magical scum list". If fact the only reasons why he gave to lynch me is "LSB didn't give votes to me, and he gave votes to someone I don't like QQ".

That being said, VE has a late claim. And it's a pretty unbelievable claim. Oh well I guess it's something to keep on the back of my mind.
##Vote: VisceraEyes


You can't have it both ways. You can't be suspicious of Palmar, yet still vote up Viscera. You either believe one is mafia or the other.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 21:16 GMT
#653
Oh well that is the hammer.


Until night post.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 21:21 GMT
#655
ZBot is quick!

VisceraEyes (23): Palmar (4), prplhz (6), [UoN]Sentinel (2), Paperscraps (4), jaybrundage (2), -Paperscraps (4), MeatlessTaco (2), LSB (2), layabout (5)

This is actually.

VisceraEyes (26): Palmar (4), prplhz (6), [UoN]Sentinel (2), Paperscraps (4), jaybrundage (2), -Paperscraps (4), MeatlessTaco (2), LSB (2), layabout (5), Jackal58 (3)

For future reference
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 30 2012 22:21 GMT
#665
Well to get the night discussion going i have a few thoughts. Based on last night's actions palmar is likely to live again. Given that he is town, palmar will likely receive a lot of votes. Which is a concern for me. After day three palmar will have to give away a bunch of votes to someone else. Since nobody else is confirmed town yet, this presents a problem. Granted more information is sure to be revealed tomorrow, will another confirmed townie be revealed? Right now we need to decide if we want palmar to have enough votes to hammer by himself tomorrow or keep vp spread out a bit. Enabling one player to hammer is bad idea, now that i think of it. Essentially this nullifies any thoughts the rest of the town has and the town's influence as a whole, which is bad. No one person should be in control of the game, even the cowboy palmar.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
Paperscraps
Profile Joined March 2010
United States639 Posts
January 31 2012 00:10 GMT
#686
On January 31 2012 09:07 chaoser wrote:
Guys...seriously...why did Day end? I'm so confused.


This is exactly why I wanted to wait a bit before the lynch.

As soon as someone gets majority of the votes they get hammered.
"Because in the end, the only way we can measure the significance of our own lives is by valuing the lives of others.” - David Gale
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