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TL Mafia XLIII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 03:43 GMT
#15
Aw, PMs.

/in
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 05:15 GMT
#17
Hope youngminii gets Day Vig again in this game.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 19:27 GMT
#81
Excited to play in a Kurumi game,
With a troll host it won't play out the same.
So I've decided that I shall only post in rhyme,
A monstrous feat that will surely eat my time.

Role is received and I'm ready to roll,
Taking tips from Kurumi the master troll.
Let's kick some ass and make that scum squirm,
Locked and ready, Curu is here to /confirm!



wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 19:41 GMT
#87
A great idea to reduce the inbox spam,
Real time chat and no TL PM logjam,
charles.suo on Skype is where I'll be at,
Come add me so we can easily chat.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 21:59 GMT
#123
Getting the confirmed Townie is key. I agree with sandroba's plan, but I think Day Vig should shoot a bit later in the day than 24 hours unless everyone agrees not to lurk.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 22:14 GMT
#126
BLU Soldier
You don't care unless area is maggot free. You will blast them maggots when the sun is blazing hot!
Day Vigi with two shots. Type ##Rocket Player in the thread to use Your ability.

Kurumi/Palmar, when this guy shoots, does it get announced in thread regardless if the hit player dies or not?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 22:45 GMT
#137
Well then we forced Mafia to use both their KP on one person. Win-win. Dead double stacked confirmed Town is better than confirming no one at all and letting Mafia kill two people at night.

There's really nothing to lose unless the confirmed player herpaderps spectacularly. We're getting him to shoot whoever we want to lynch anyways so that player is dead regardless.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 23:22 GMT
#144
On August 02 2011 08:16 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
if you read my posts i provided reasons

1. we dont know if there are more than 1 doctor which is kinda important
2. mafia can stack hits to kill the vig
3. vig could shoot doctor ruining everything
4. vig will probably hit town its rare you get a mafia on day 1 much less a successful day 1 vig

here ar emore reasons i havent provided yet
5. mafia can use this to keep town focused on the blue network/suspicious of other peoples claims and put attention on the vig and off of post analysis which is what wins games for town

what do you consider a real reason it would be nice if instead of unconditional instant support for someone elses plan which is mildly suspicious you read my posts and if my reasons aren't good enough at least say why instead of just saying "youre scum" lol

"we've already found 2 scum" its day 1 dont be ridiculous


1. Why is that important? And how does that have any effect on the plan?
2. Well good, they stack hits and kill less people then. There's no net loss from confirming a Townie.
3. Vig is shooting who we were going to lynch anyways, so if that person was a Doctor then they were dead either way.
4. See point 3.
5. This forces Mafia to fake their claims, and every role in the OP is easily confirmable, giving more chances to find scum slipping.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 23:29 GMT
#150
The Day Vig essentially gives us 2 lynches. I still don't understand why you keep saying that the Day Vig will shoot a Townie, just pretend it's a lynch. It's not like we're random shooting.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 23:51 GMT
#161
Huh? I don't understand your post. The confirmed Townie tells the player who he is going to shoot or protect, he doesn't tell all Medics what every Medic is doing.

Since we know how much KP Mafia has I very much doubt any of them are going to be able to claim Vig.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 01 2011 23:51 GMT
#162
Aw damn I completely forgot I was supposed to rhyme. Oh well.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 00:00 GMT
#167
On August 02 2011 08:54 redFF wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 08:51 Curu wrote:
Huh? I don't understand your post. The confirmed Townie tells the player who he is going to shoot or protect, he doesn't tell all Medics what every Medic is doing.

Since we know how much KP Mafia has I very much doubt any of them are going to be able to claim Vig.

So you want one townie conducting every single vig hit/medic protect/hatter bomb?

k here's an example.

Mafia-I will be protecting player x
Confirmed townie-no someone else is protecting him.

now mafia know's to not hit player x.


I would be more open to this plan day 2 or 3. But all i see is 2 townies getting lynched and losing a dayvig and that person most likely dying the next night.


No, it goes like this:

Mafia-I will be protecting player x
Confirmed townie-stfu I choose who you protect, you'll be protecting player y
Mafia-Okay...
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 00:22 GMT
#179
On August 02 2011 09:20 chaos13 wrote:
DrH has the right idea here. Yes, confirmed townies are excellent. However, mafia can easily fake claim a role like medic or vig, and then we would need to waste our DT checks in order to confirm those claims. Not only that, but we have no idea who the day vig actually is. If it's in the hands of a weaker player, that could lead to complete and utter disaster. Having one player coordinate all the actions of the blues is never a good thing. There is far too much room for error in such a situation, especially since mafia are able to PM and influence the game as well. Ultimately, however, it is up to the individuals with the roles to decide what to do. Discussion about this is very good, but I would rather not waste all day with it. Just something to keep in mind if we're still arguing about it in 24 hours.



Vigis, because there are probably a lot of you in here: Do not shoot unless it is at confirmed scum. If you feel you must shoot anyway, take out lurkers and liars. This sort of common sense is all too often ignored, and results in dead town. Even take DT claims with a grain of salt. If analysis points to a player being town when a claimed check has shown red, proceed with caution. It could be a miller or a scum's fake claim in order to waste a vig shot, especially if the claimed DT player has been under suspicion.


Fake claiming Medic acts like real Medic, because then Mafia can never hit the person they are told to protect without risking outing the fake claimer.

Fake claiming Vig is terrible when we know Mafia KP, they can be caught ezpz.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 20:18 GMT
#284
On August 02 2011 11:07 Munk-E wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 10:25 Sevryn wrote:
On August 02 2011 09:08 ghrur wrote:
On August 02 2011 09:00 Curu wrote:
On August 02 2011 08:54 redFF wrote:
On August 02 2011 08:51 Curu wrote:
Huh? I don't understand your post. The confirmed Townie tells the player who he is going to shoot or protect, he doesn't tell all Medics what every Medic is doing.

Since we know how much KP Mafia has I very much doubt any of them are going to be able to claim Vig.

So you want one townie conducting every single vig hit/medic protect/hatter bomb?

k here's an example.

Mafia-I will be protecting player x
Confirmed townie-no someone else is protecting him.

now mafia know's to not hit player x.


I would be more open to this plan day 2 or 3. But all i see is 2 townies getting lynched and losing a dayvig and that person most likely dying the next night.


No, it goes like this:

Mafia-I will be protecting player x
Confirmed townie-stfu I choose who you protect, you'll be protecting player y
Mafia-Okay...


Yup, and if Mafia shoots player Y, and player Y dies, then clearly the medic isn't a medic but is mafia. :/ So if mafia tries to be medic, it effectively hurts them.

But mafia knows that player x probably isn't protected....

But player x is protected in this case, and they wouldn't shoot player Y! They'd shoot player Z because shooting Y would give away the role and if x was the obvious one to protect, they'd assume he was protected.

That being said I highly doubt there are 2 medics anyways so if this situation does arise, I would be VERY suspicious of both of them.


As for the plan, I'm quite worried about it. We would have a confirmed townie, which could be nice IF he could manage to efficiently manage the entire game. It seems a bit risky if they're not very good, they might screw it up and reveal roles. Also, the medic would be tied to defending this one person the entire time no matter what. If someone shows they are DT or vigi, then the mafia will just shoot both if we haven't killed 2 by then. In the mean time, the mafia could just kill him outright, or pick 2 people they KNOW won't be protected, and it's entirely up to them. If they do kill him, then we have (likely) 2 dead townies, and be back to square 1! No confirmed townie, just a dead guy, and the guy he killed.I kind of think that people are hoping he does hit a Mafia, but I really don't see the logic in this plan. It's more likely he'll hit someone important on our team than a mafia.

In the end, i suppose it's entirely up to the dayvigi if the plan goes through, but it just seems highly illogical to me.


Just pointing out this post.

Hi Munk-E, got a post that isn't just rehashing what everyone else said in the thread?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 20:24 GMT
#288
On August 03 2011 03:23 Varpulis wrote:
and I'm usually focused on proving my activity, not calling people scum. I haven't taken a stance because I don't have a really strong feeling about anybody yet.



Hi Varpulis, wtf?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 21:27 GMT
#305
Sigh are you fucking serious?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 21:29 GMT
#307
This is how you tell Mig is scum: if he hasn't found a scum by the end of Day 2.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 02 2011 23:58 GMT
#338
Here's a daunting task for you redFF.

Do a full meta analysis of Kenpachi.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 01:41 GMT
#349
Ok so this thread is inactive as fuck,
IRC is inactive as fuck,
Kenpachi is in this game.

This shit has to stop. Everyone read all of Varpulis's and Lucidity's posts and take a stance on their lynch.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 12:21 GMT
#371
On August 03 2011 19:47 Barundar wrote:
I'm suspicious of curu because of this question and answer:

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 07:23 Kurumi wrote:
On August 02 2011 07:14 Curu wrote:
BLU Soldier
You don't care unless area is maggot free. You will blast them maggots when the sun is blazing hot!
Day Vigi with two shots. Type ##Rocket Player in the thread to use Your ability.

Kurumi/Palmar, when this guy shoots, does it get announced in thread regardless if the hit player dies or not?

There is no notification.


The purpose of the question is to figure out if mafia can fake a vigi+veteran combo, be considered confirmed town, and proceed to abuse the suggested plan. It's good thinking and doesn't say anything of his alignment as such. The problem is he asks the question, and then keeps it's significance to himself. As I see it a townie who got the idea would proceed to warn the town about it, not keep it to himself.


I asked this because when we were discussing the plan in Skype someone mentioned we should get a Vig and Vet to both claim so we can confirm without anyone dying. I pointed out the flaw that Mafia could fake both, then asked Kurumi that question to confirm to them it would be a bad idea. Mig/Syllo can confirm this for me.

If I were Mafia I would just be tunneling a mislynch to death right now and no one would think I was doing anything wrong. I was sure supersoft and BC were scum in the two previous games and I was wrong both times.

My first instinct was entirely to tunnel DrH to oblivion; he says Mig is the scummiest player in the thread, goes on to vote Syllo instead, says Syllo is scummy for arguing on Mig's side, yet somehow calls redFF the most Pro Town player in the thread (lol?) and that he listens to OriginalName.

As of now I don't like Varpulis (mostly because of the "I post to appear active not scumhunt"), JeeJee (lurker style and hasn't posted anything new), Munk-E, and somewhat youngminii.

Why Munk-E? His first post was a completely useless wall of text repeating what everyone else said in the thread. Seeming to contribute without contributing anything. I called him out for it, and he got on IRC and just parroted DrH and youngminii in saying Mig was scummy. Then he posts a post-by-post wall of text on Varpulis instead, which basically said what everyone else had already said too.

youngminii because he tunneled RoL for flimsy reasons in AA as scum and did nothing else, this game he's tunneling Mig for flimsy reasons. RoL and Mig are both players that scum would obviously fear, and a day 1 Mig lynch/Vig shot makes no sense because if he hasn't found scum by Day 2 that's a huge scumtell. His meta and trackrecord (nailing all scum in WaW2, AA, and one in PTP) are great for Town and terrible for scum.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 12:30 GMT
#373
That's why I said somewhat youngminii.

Another note on Varpulis, he posted an analysis on redFF that used pretty much the exact same words and reasoning as something I brainstormed on Skype, so if he flips red then certainly someone in my Skype circle is also red.

There's the chance that we just saw the exact same thing but I don't think it that likely since a lot of what I was saying came from IRC and I don't think he was even in there at the time (but I don't remember exactly).
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 16:44 GMT
#387
Varpulis is currently on pace to be modkilled.

Consider letting him die because of that and finding someone else to hit with the lynch, we have a few hours.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 16:58 GMT
#391
Unless he comes here in a bit, Varp is dead anyways. We're wasting our lynch here if we keep it on him when he gets modkilled (or it might go to the person with the next highest votes getting lynched) so we should at least plan something around the possibility he gets modkilled.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 16:59 GMT
#393
lol you realize you're probably going to die if Varp gets modkilled? You're the one with the next most votes.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 17:17 GMT
#396
That's a terrible defense, basically you want Lucidity to die because you want to save yourself.

Do you actually think he's scummy? Why not tell us who you think is most scummy?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 19:21 GMT
#403
Hey Munk-E, do one on JeeJee now!
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 23:19 GMT
#450
Ok as I mentioned someone in my circle is Mafia because Varpulis used the EXACT same argument against redFF that I did.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 23:21 GMT
#453
To confirm Mig, it's me/Syllogism/Sandroba/Mig/BC, though I suppose Sandroba is Kenpachi now.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 03 2011 23:25 GMT
#457
On August 04 2011 08:22 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
who was it that varp parroted curu, you mentioned that we need to know who we vig tonight


He parroted me. I said the case against redFF, and Varpulis posted the exact same wording a bit later.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 00:21 GMT
#468
I'd prefer the Vig on JeeJee/Munk-E and the DT on BC. Medic on Mig.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 00:45 GMT
#473
Who do you think is a better scumhunter, Mig or ON?

That's your reason.

(No offense ON <3)
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 01:28 GMT
#484
Yes, Sevyrn looks bad. His Town play from SNMMV and AA were a bit different, in both games he wasn't afraid to throw his vote on his analysis and stand behind it. In this one he only FoS's Drazerk (which I haven't seen him do before) and then puts his vote on when the Varpulis wagon started rolling.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 01:32 GMT
#488
He also wasn't afraid to change his vote in the other games either to where the bandwagon picked up (changed his opinion fairly easily with a little prodding actually), but he didn't even touch Varpulis in this game.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 01:33 GMT
#489
On August 04 2011 10:32 OriginalName wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2011 09:45 Curu wrote:
Who do you think is a better scumhunter, Mig or ON?

That's your reason.

(No offense ON <3)


Meh, Migs just proven himself reliable, im only starting to finally get in my element when it comes to town play.


Well to be fair I've never played with you besides you getting killed by yongminii 6 hours into the game, but Mig's track record in WaW2/AA is fresh on my mind.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 04:47 GMT
#511
JeeJee in World at War 2 (scum:
On July 07 2011 01:51 JeeJee wrote:
Oh lawd.


JeeJee in this game:
On August 04 2011 06:38 JeeJee wrote:
oh lawd.


HMMMM.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 04 2011 22:02 GMT
#547
So uhhh

It looks like someone got healed. Or Trotske got double stacked (lol nope).
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:19 GMT
#584
When on my scumteam JeeJee told me over and over and over again.

"Don't respond to any pressure votes or anyone accusing you. Don't say anything unless other people start to as well."

This fits in with what Varpulis and JeeJee were doing.

The most damning evidence though:

JeeJee in World at War 2 (scum):
On July 07 2011 01:51 JeeJee wrote:
Oh lawd.


JeeJee in this game:
On August 04 2011 06:38 JeeJee wrote:
oh lawd.

wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:22 GMT
#586
I highly doubt scum TAA is dumb enough to claim Vig as he'd be caught for it immediately.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:25 GMT
#588
Makes sense how?

He did it because he wanted to pressure JeeJee into posting a defense probably. Or to see who would object.

Claiming Vig unprovoked is stupid and there's no reason Mafia would do it.

No it's not helpful as Town but it's even more unhelpful as Mafia.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:30 GMT
#591
So what's the reason scum would do it? So that they can get caught immediately like you "caught" TAA?

It's absurdly stupid for scum to do it.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:33 GMT
#593
Oh by the way, if JeeJee flips Godfather youngminii is our third scum:

On August 05 2011 10:21 youngminii wrote:

If you are the DT and you checked JeeJee who turned out green, claim to Mig right away who should then post this in the thread, whereupon we lynch TAA/BC.


Name 1 reason as scum TAA would want to fakeclaim Vig completely unprovoked. Vig is one of the most easily self confirmable roles in a setup where KP is known, only an idiot would fakeclaim that.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:37 GMT
#598
18 out of 21 Players are alive.
15 out 17 Town aligned players are left.
3 out of 4 Mafia team are left.
Mafia KP is #/2 rounded up.
Mafia KP now is 2.

Where Mafia KP is down. Durr.

Anything above 2 KP = oh look he was right he's a Vig. Vig is easily self confirmable. TAA fakeclaiming Vig as scum is beyond stupid.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:37 GMT
#599
EBWOP: known, not down.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 01:45 GMT
#606
On August 05 2011 10:40 youngminii wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 05 2011 10:39 redFF wrote:
On August 05 2011 07:33 redFF wrote:
Here's what i think of taa.
i think taa is just cocky shitty town. he thinks he played well in arkham so now thinks he is BOSSMODE and is trying to do some retarded shit because he thinks he is the greatest mafia player in the world. Town read imo. LaL isn't good when its fairly clear its just some newbie who thinks he is hot shit.

This is what TAA is, not scum.

But TAA isn't a newbie. You are worse than TAA, sorry to say. He is a relative newcomer but based on what I've seen, he's actually a very decent player.

The newbie argument does not apply to TAA.


You yourself agreed TAA is not a stupid new player, name one valid reason he would fakeclaim Vig as scum.


On August 05 2011 10:42 OriginalName wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 05 2011 10:31 youngminii wrote:
On August 05 2011 10:28 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On August 05 2011 10:21 youngminii wrote:
To clarify:

TAA and BC spent Day 1 trying to focus fire on JeeJee.
TAA either lied or something went horribly wrong in the night actions.
BC is now trying to focus fire on JeeJee as he was one of the people being looked at yesterday.

Here is what's likely:

If TAA flips red, JeeJee should be green. BC is more likely red than green.
If JeeJee flips green, BC and TAA are both motherfucking red.
If BC flips red, JeeJee should be green. TAA is more likely red than green.

In other words, kill TAA/BC.

If you are the DT and you checked JeeJee who turned out green, claim to Mig right away who should then post this in the thread, whereupon we lynch TAA/BC.


I love that by "trying to focus fire on jeejee day 1" was actually very late into the day. Misconstrued evidence.

You also neglect to mention

If BC is green it is more than likely Jeejee is red and taa is likely green
Or if TAA is green it is more than likely jeejee is red and BC is more than likely green
Or if JeeJee flips red, TAA and BC are more than likely green.


I love that you purposely miss scenarios that are actually relevant to the argument you are trying to make.

Killing JeeJee would almost fully clear or damn two players where as killing myself or TAA doesnt fully reveal the alignment of the other two players.

Very late into the day is still during the day. Stop throwing around words to make my argument appear weaker. It still happened and you guys still tried to protect Varp.

You are absolutely aware that lynching for information comes AFTER lynching for scum. You and TAA are very likely scum in my eyes, why should I go after the information route? You are scum and you are purposely trying to weaken my argument.


TAA is likely just an idiot townie, we had a long dissucssion on it. I highly reccommend you read both IRC logs i posted.

Lucidity is my biggest scumread at the moment:

Primarily because

-Scum didnt try to really divert the wagon to him despite him having some votes in the middle of the day.
-His reactions on IRC while could be being misrepresented say quite alot on the subject.
-Keeps casting doubt on Mig despite his supposed role and all his actions during D1 (Which were quite Pro-town)

I need to go over his posts one more time but it will probably be tommorrow when I have a clearer head, i sometimes find the need to step away from a game for a sec so when i come back i can reevaluate and maybe catch things i didnt find the day before etc.


The Lucidity case is based on JeeJee flipping red IMO, since if he wasn't actually Mafia trying to save Varpulis then it's a null tell.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 02:24 GMT
#609
On August 05 2011 10:59 redFF wrote:
Show nested quote +
The Lucidity case is based on JeeJee flipping red IMO, since if he wasn't actually Mafia trying to save Varpulis then it's a null tell.

Can we actually stop saying this. Nobody is scum/town because any other person flipped scum/town. All that leads to is wifom.


?

Analyzing interactions and reactions to lynches is one of the best way to unearth Mafia.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 10:19 GMT
#612
On August 05 2011 10:21 youngminii wrote:
If you are the DT and you checked JeeJee who turned out green, claim to Mig right away who should then post this in the thread, whereupon we lynch TAA/BC.


lol the more I read this the more WTF I go. How could you possibly know what JeeJee's check would return?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 16:23 GMT
#626
On August 05 2011 21:37 Lucidity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 05 2011 10:37 Curu wrote:
18 out of 21 Players are alive.
15 out 17 Town aligned players are left.
3 out of 4 Mafia team are left.
Mafia KP is #/2 rounded up.
Mafia KP now is 2.

Where Mafia KP is down. Durr.

Anything above 2 KP = oh look he was right he's a Vig. Vig is easily self confirmable. TAA fakeclaiming Vig as scum is beyond stupid.

This is quite obviously wrong. It doesn't prove that he's a Vig at all. It proves that there is A Vig out there. Does it have to be TAA because he claimed? No.

I don't understand why you'd make that post though. Are you trying to push the case that it's a terrible move as scum? So that it looks unlikely that TAA is scum? The logic is too obviously wrong to be a mistake o_o

Do Vets and targets who were med protected get notified when they are hit?

Do players get notified if they are Role Blocked? Even if they are scouts?


LOL are you serious? If he claims a shot that he didn't fire, either the real Vig behind the shot shoots him next or he gets counterclaimed.

Vig is one of the easiest roles to confirm. He breadcrumbs who he's going to kill, that person dies. If there's more than 2 kills the night, the person he breadcrumbed dies, and no one counterclaims him, then he's a real Vig.

Yes my point is TAA fakeclaiming Vig as scum is too stupid to be believed.

I love how your post coming back doesn't even mention JeeJee at all, just tries to cast doubt on Mig, BC, and me. Yet you aren't actually pushing anything either.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 16:32 GMT
#628
On August 05 2011 19:56 TheAwesomeAll wrote:
if jeejee returned red i would be even more interested tbh


If JeeJee returned Godfather or Townie then I would consider youngminii the best lynch for the next cycle. If he was just simple red, it looks a little less bad on YM.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 16:32 GMT
#629
On August 06 2011 01:31 Lucidity wrote:
That's simply not true. He "breadcrumbs" that he's going to kill X. X dies. Mafia killed X -.-


Then there's only 2 KP in the night and he's not confirmed Vig.

Herp.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 16:32 GMT
#630
Mafia can't magically produce a 3rd KP to confirm one of their players as Vig.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 16:57 GMT
#632
They'd have to figure out the breadcrumb then, admittedly easier because TAA stupidly claimed Vig before he had even shot anyone. And if they keep doing it every night then we're basically directing a Mafia KP onto scummy players in return for inability to confirm a Vig. Vig could also say he was shooting someone then shoot someone else and claim the kill after.

I don't see why TAA would freely claim Vig if he was scum when no one pressured or asked him to.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 17:03 GMT
#634
Granted I don't see why he'd do it as Town either besides cocky hero syndrome, but it makes even less sense as Mafia.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 05 2011 19:55 GMT
#650
By all being Mafia.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 02:22 GMT
#680
Don't forget youngminii too .
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 02:39 GMT
#683
Green is the super secret 4th race with the impossible win con.

(Palmar)
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 03:45 GMT
#693
What

JeeJee has done NOTHING to look like Town.

youngminii himself even said JeeJee is suspicious. Then he's all like yo DT's check JeeJee, you'll get a green result.

Yeah no. Only thing JeeJee has going for him right now is that TAA wasn't RBed when he claimed he was going to shoot him.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 21:02 GMT
#713
Huh

That sucks
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 21:07 GMT
#716
Huh

That rocks.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 21:08 GMT
#717
Also bye youngminii, nice knowing you.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 21:25 GMT
#733
youngminii

You hear those footsteps? We comin' for you.

We comin' like thunnnnnnnnnnnnder.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 23:48 GMT
#748
He scumslipped hardddddddddd in basically proclaiming JeeJee was the Godfather.

He went after Mig day 1 for dumb reasons. Scum youngminii went after RoL day 1 for dumb reasons. As scum he likes to tunnel who he thinks is most dangerous.

He's also gone from very active to never on IRC or active in the thread anymore since his scum slip was caught.

I'm more certain on youngminii than Munk-E since I think a case for Lucidity might still be possible between him and Munk-E.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 06 2011 23:56 GMT
#750
You stole my case against Lucidity .
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 02:11 GMT
#756
Don't shoot me tonight Mafia I implore you.

You should double stack Mig.

OH WAIT YOU ONLY HAVE 1 KP LOLOLOLOLOOLOLOL

Why is this game so dead.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 03:36 GMT
#762
Sorry to break it to you youngminii but I don't think we have a Vig.

No quick death, it's the gallows for you!
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 06:58 GMT
#764
Why Munk-E before youngminii?

I see Munk-E as less of a sure thing since Lucidity is a good shot as well, whereas youngminii is 99.99999% scum.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 15:37 GMT
#772
On August 07 2011 23:28 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2011 15:58 Curu wrote:
Why Munk-E before youngminii?

I see Munk-E as less of a sure thing since Lucidity is a good shot as well, whereas youngminii is 99.99999% scum.


Munk-E is way scummier than YM at this point. If JeeJee had flipped green then I would have been more suspicious of YM, but it turns out that his 100% conviction that JJ was green was completely incorrect, which means that the likelihood that he is a mistaken townie goes up.
Notice how Munk-E became way more active after I accused him of being scum? We've got ourselves a mafia right there.
I'm leaning town on lucid, and I have been since the beginning of the game. However, docH has something when he picked up on why the bandwagon wasn't redirected there. That's the only part about it that doesn't make sense.


lol, JeeJee returns Townie to DT checks (he was Godfather). It's the worst possible flip for youngminii and pretty much confirmed him as Mafia.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 17:10 GMT
#778
In that vein can we also end night when all night actions are submitted?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 18:46 GMT
#785
ROFL

Mig with the genius plan.

Ok youngminii and Munk-E are the last two Mafia, gg. Who dies first today?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 18:51 GMT
#794
Munk-E or youngminii today.

btw

I suspected Munk-E before it was cool.

/TAA
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 19:55 GMT
#811
Well now there's 6 Vets.

Has to be a stupid fakeclaiming Townie somewhere in there...
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 19:58 GMT
#813
No girls allowed.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 20:05 GMT
#817
Everyone vote yes to majority lynches go.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 07 2011 20:39 GMT
#829
Double yes.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 16:00 GMT
#869
On August 08 2011 21:17 chaos13 wrote:
YM for the same reasons that everyone else has stated multiple times.

Curu because he is flying way under the radar, and getting by without actually contributing much (anything) in the way of analysis and scumhunting. If you do a filter on his posts and read through them all you'll see what I mean.


I've been mostly discussing everything on Skype with Mig.

You're calling someone else for not contributing? Seriously? Why don't you go filter your own posts?

Mig suspects me because a few hours before the Varp lynch I asked him how he feels about switching to JeeJee instead. Obviously this made me look terrible after Varp flipped, but not as bad now that JeeJee has flipped too.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 17:06 GMT
#873
So youngminii, why were you super active in thread and IRC, unafraid to push your reads and convictions, but then once Varp/JeeJee died and your super scumslip got pointed out why have you completely disappeared off the face of the Earth?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 17:12 GMT
#874
Also as Mig pointed out to me youngminii was fiercely pushing a lynch all liars policy (has he ever been known to be firmly behind a policy lynch before...) while JeeJee was getting hanged.

He wanted a policy lynch (already very unusual for him) when there was a practically guaranteed scum in our sights.

He didn't contribute a single thing on JeeJee besides fiercely defending him (and his defense was: DT check him he'll return Town -> JeeJee Godfather). Even from the start of night 1 he was asking DTs to check JeeJee and Vigs to leave him alone.

I don't see a better scum candidate than youngminii at this point.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 17:26 GMT
#878
So what's your analysis Lucid? Kill all of the Vets 1 by 1 even though they all look decently Town?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 18:53 GMT
#890
Uhhh

Well redFF told me he suspected syllogism (who I don't think is scummy right now). Dunno if he told anyone else.

And he suspected ghrur?

The two things I can think of that set him apart from any other target.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 18:57 GMT
#891
Oh and let's actually discuss things for a bit and not quickhammer youngminii.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 19:42 GMT
#899
Lucidity hasn't done anything this game btw except try to create doubt in Town and make people suspect each other. No scumhunting, no contributions, nada.

Him or youngminii, I'd like to see either hang.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 21:52 GMT
#905
Translation:

youngminii the Mafia Kangaroo has been lynched.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 21:55 GMT
#908
youngminii was actually a Vanilla Townie.................
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 22:28 GMT
#914
Alright let's settle on the turbolynch.

And begin discussion.

chaos13/Lucidity/Sevyrn seem to be the hot topics for today. Of the Vet list, BC is my suspect.

I'd also be a bit wary of Drazerk since his entire scum game in PTP was to be useless and active lurk while voting/bussing to gain Town cred.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 22:29 GMT
#915
By settle on the turbolynch I mean don't turbolynch.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 08 2011 22:30 GMT
#916
I'll post my in depth thoughts when I get home, laptop at 9% battery remaining.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 03:01 GMT
#922
Was anyone roleblocked tonight?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 04:20 GMT
#926
Well Town, let's get off fucking IRC where everyone just talks about FF6 and cooking and dead RedFF is the MOST ACTIVE PERSON. I mean when a person who can't say anything about the game is the most active in the IRC it's clearly useless.

This game is not won. Don't go into IDGAF mode. This thread needs life.

I want to point out chaos:

On August 02 2011 09:20 chaos13 wrote:
DrH has the right idea here. Yes, confirmed townies are excellent. However, mafia can easily fake claim a role like medic or vig, and then we would need to waste our DT checks in order to confirm those claims. Not only that, but we have no idea who the day vig actually is. If it's in the hands of a weaker player, that could lead to complete and utter disaster. Having one player coordinate all the actions of the blues is never a good thing. There is far too much room for error in such a situation, especially since mafia are able to PM and influence the game as well. Ultimately, however, it is up to the individuals with the roles to decide what to do. Discussion about this is very good, but I would rather not waste all day with it. Just something to keep in mind if we're still arguing about it in 24 hours.



Vigis, because there are probably a lot of you in here: Do not shoot unless it is at confirmed scum. If you feel you must shoot anyway, take out lurkers and liars. This sort of common sense is all too often ignored, and results in dead town. Even take DT claims with a grain of salt. If analysis points to a player being town when a claimed check has shown red, proceed with caution. It could be a miller or a scum's fake claim in order to waste a vig shot, especially if the claimed DT player has been under suspicion.


First post jumping in extremely late on the sandroba plan issue. Feels like he just waited until sides had developed, then chose one and jumped on it. He contributed no original ideas or arguments on it, merely following what was already said in the thread. His first post was completely full of bland generic advice, in fact this entire post is the picture of appearing to contribute without actually contributing anything at all.

He was pretty wishy washy on the Varpulis/Drazerk issue; he agrees that Varpulis looks worse:

On August 03 2011 11:37 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2011 11:32 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
At the moment I am not feeling either Varp lynch or the lucidity lynch. Factor in both at the moment are being more active than most players in the game, I would be more inclined to at least let them live another cycle. I however don't like when players come in to hop on bandwagons or attempt to start them then vanish. It irks me completely. As such, until Drazerk comes back into the thread to at least play / explain his inactivity I suggest we move our lynch to him.

I would rather lynch someone appearing scummy / useless than someone who is being linked as scummy and is active. Their activity will help clear / damn them whereas inactivity doesn't give us dick all to work with.


I support this statement, with a slight exception. I don't like the way Varpulis is looking so far, and I would be okay with voting/lynching him. Drazerk is interesting though, and I'll consider placing my vote on him instead of Varp. Lurking is extremely scummy, especially after attempting to instigate a bandwagon on someone. I don't like the Lucidity wagon at all. Something about it just feels off to me, and I feel that Lucid has been playing pro-town, sharing thoughts and developing logical reads.


In a post that is also really wishy washy and not really taking either side. He does say he finds Varpulis worse. However, when a bit of traction began picking up on the Drazerk wagon (ON and Sevyrn agree against Drazerk), this happens:

On August 03 2011 21:11 chaos13 wrote:
My vote today will be going on Drazerk.

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 08:41 Drazerk wrote:
##Vote RedFF

Opposing sand's plan with no real reasons while defending himself like a mad man in IRC when he has no real reason to defend himself yet.


This is the post in which he initially accused redFF. Note the complete lack of actual evidence. It was until his suspect actually encouraged him to post the irc log that he did so, and that arrived almost 20 minutes after this quoted post. Then, as you all know, he completely disappeared while posting actively elsewhere on the site.

Let's lynch ourselves a scum day 1.

##Vote: Drazerk


No new evidence had been brought up, nothing else concrete, just a few people starting to lean towards Drazerk. I feel like this indicated to him it was safe to put his vote down now so, despite thinking Varpulis was worse, he goes ahead and votes Drazerk.

Once JeeJee was under fire he posted no opinion on him despite that being the hot topic and instead came up with a big wall of text about Munk-E.

Let's start up discussion people.

##Vote chaos13
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 04:24 GMT
#927
On August 09 2011 13:09 OriginalName wrote:
Lucidity:

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 08:29 Lucidity wrote:
On August 02 2011 08:16 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
if you read my posts i provided reasons

1. we dont know if there are more than 1 doctor which is kinda important
2. mafia can stack hits to kill the vig
3. vig could shoot doctor ruining everything
4. vig will probably hit town its rare you get a mafia on day 1 much less a successful day 1 vig

here ar emore reasons i havent provided yet
5. mafia can use this to keep town focused on the blue network/suspicious of other peoples claims and put attention on the vig and off of post analysis which is what wins games for town

what do you consider a real reason it would be nice if instead of unconditional instant support for someone elses plan which is mildly suspicious you read my posts and if my reasons aren't good enough at least say why instead of just saying "youre scum" lol

"we've already found 2 scum" its day 1 dont be ridiculous

1. Medics are basically the only problem I see at the moment. I don't think that qualifies as a reason to instantly discard the plan.

2. Having Mafia stack hits reduces their KP, which isn't a bad thing. We'll still have no overlaps on Night 1 from blues.

3. What?

4. That's the case on Day 2 as well.

On August 02 2011 07:42 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On August 02 2011 07:26 Mig wrote:
No just tell the vigs who to hit, medics who to protect, dts who to check. All he has to do is make sure nobody is overlapping or shooting each other. As long as the day vig doesn't reveal anything else mafia isn't going to gain very much information from it.

if this happens which i hope it doesnt i really hope you're not suggesting he openly tells the blues what to do in irc/thread

Another terrible attempt to stop the plan. Why would he be suggesting that?



Backs mafia plan, when reasonable evidence is posed against it trys to keep it moving by antagonizing DrH.

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 19:35 Lucidity wrote:
Haha, I guess I was still in the Asylum mindset with mass blue everywhere - somehow thought that all 7 blue roles listed would be in the game. ~4 blues make sense and we're very unlikely to have 2 medics in that, so a plan to coordinate them this early isn't actually that great.

I think the only time that we should be claiming is if Mafia only have 1 KP left or if a Day Vig hits a Vet, leaving us with 2 confirmed townies. One of them will survive the night and be able to pass on info~

redFF, forever RED?


As soon as he realizes its not going through posts a lame excuse to his change of heart. Keeps on pushing Red after a somewhat decent analysis is posted on him. (Red was Town btw).


Show nested quote +
On August 03 2011 06:38 Lucidity wrote:
You're still misunderstanding that post. I was simply telling the people who were whining to stop it and do what they consider to be useful. I wasn't telling THE WHOLE TOWN to do it. And I certainly wasn't referring to myself. I think the discussion needed to happen so that we could see all the holes in the plan. It also provided a platform to start scumhunting and it even provided a great scum candidate in Varp.

If you want to continue the discussion about how your reasoning was bad I'd be happy to do it in PM. I feel it's useless spam in the thread.


TRYS TO STYM IN THREAD DISSCUSSION.
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2011 03:02 Lucidity wrote:
I've got stuff to do and places to be. So:
+ Show Spoiler +

19:37.21 ( taa ) i think
19:37.27 ( taa ) chaos is the 4th scum
19:37.45 ( taa ) like
19:37.54 ( taa ) he tries to divert the votes to munk e
19:41.05 ( ON|AFK ) taa
19:41.07 ( ON|AFK ) wait till
19:41.10 ( ON|AFK ) jeejee flips
19:41.12 ( ON|AFK ) to speculate
19:41.14 ( ON|AFK ) on scum number
19:41.15 ( ON|AFK ) lol
19:41.17 ( taa ) ok
19:42.53 ( Lucidity ) I don't think any scum is under the illusion that the vote can jump to someone else
19:42.53 ( taa ) Wishy-washy doesn't even begin to explain this. He just won't make up his mind! While I'm not sure this indicates him 100% as being scum, it is VERY suspicious. Unfortunately however, I don't think it's possible to brand him as scum from JUST this. but he's certainly quite possibly scum.
19:43.00 ( Lucidity ) they're probably all on the bandwagon already
19:43.12 ( taa ) read that quote
19:43.13 ( taa ) lol
19:43.26 ( Lucidity ) Munk-E is mad scum
19:43.27 ( taa ) but he's certainly quite possibly scum.
19:43.33 ( Lucidity ) I was going to post chaos' analysis actually
19:43.43 ( Lucidity ) if JeeJee filps medic
19:43.49 ( alanismorisette ) yeah
19:43.51 ( Lucidity ) i think BC is scum
19:43.57 ( alanismorisette ) u guys are too set on lynching jeejee
19:44.05 ( alanismorisette ) Lucidity: if u think that why is ur vote on jeejee
19:44.11 ( Lucidity ) my vote is nowhere
19:44.14 ( Lucidity ) I haven't been here today
19:44.26 ( Lucidity ) I was just busy reading now
19:44.27 ( alanismorisette ) oh its not
19:44.29 ( alanismorisette ) k
19:45.01 ( Lucidity ) Munk-E was the much better candidate at the start of the day imo
19:45.07 ( Lucidity ) but JeeJee kind of dug his own grave
19:45.14 ( Lucidity ) culminating with his selfvote
19:45.23 ( Lucidity ) double you tea eff mate
19:46.00 ( Lucidity ) Why did Mig reveal the names of all the claimed medics?
19:46.06 ( Lucidity ) JeeJee was going to be lynched anyway
19:46.08 ( Lucidity ) there was no reason to
19:46.16 ( alanismorisette ) i guess he wants full disclosure
19:46.20 ( alanismorisette ) to town
19:46.22 ( alanismorisette ) ?
19:46.24 ( Lucidity ) But with the names out in the open, when the medics staart dying
19:46.32 ( alanismorisette ) Kurumi:
19:46.32 ( Lucidity ) he can say he wasn't the only one with access to the names


Voted JeeJee. If he's really medic he fucked up big time. Also BC should be looked at if he does. Will post more during Night 2 if that happens.

Munk-E is scummy scum scum. Basically I agree with the general vibe of chaos' post.


Sheeping.

Show nested quote +
On August 05 2011 22:35 Lucidity wrote:
On August 05 2011 10:42 OriginalName wrote:
On August 05 2011 10:31 youngminii wrote:
On August 05 2011 10:28 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
On August 05 2011 10:21 youngminii wrote:
To clarify:

TAA and BC spent Day 1 trying to focus fire on JeeJee.
TAA either lied or something went horribly wrong in the night actions.
BC is now trying to focus fire on JeeJee as he was one of the people being looked at yesterday.

Here is what's likely:

If TAA flips red, JeeJee should be green. BC is more likely red than green.
If JeeJee flips green, BC and TAA are both motherfucking red.
If BC flips red, JeeJee should be green. TAA is more likely red than green.

In other words, kill TAA/BC.

If you are the DT and you checked JeeJee who turned out green, claim to Mig right away who should then post this in the thread, whereupon we lynch TAA/BC.


I love that by "trying to focus fire on jeejee day 1" was actually very late into the day. Misconstrued evidence.

You also neglect to mention

If BC is green it is more than likely Jeejee is red and taa is likely green
Or if TAA is green it is more than likely jeejee is red and BC is more than likely green
Or if JeeJee flips red, TAA and BC are more than likely green.


I love that you purposely miss scenarios that are actually relevant to the argument you are trying to make.

Killing JeeJee would almost fully clear or damn two players where as killing myself or TAA doesnt fully reveal the alignment of the other two players.

Very late into the day is still during the day. Stop throwing around words to make my argument appear weaker. It still happened and you guys still tried to protect Varp.

You are absolutely aware that lynching for information comes AFTER lynching for scum. You and TAA are very likely scum in my eyes, why should I go after the information route? You are scum and you are purposely trying to weaken my argument.


TAA is likely just an idiot townie, we had a long dissucssion on it. I highly reccommend you read both IRC logs i posted.

Lucidity is my biggest scumread at the moment:

Primarily because

-Scum didnt try to really divert the wagon to him despite him having some votes in the middle of the day.
-His reactions on IRC while could be being misrepresented say quite alot on the subject.
-Keeps casting doubt on Mig despite his supposed role and all his actions during D1 (Which were quite Pro-town)

I need to go over his posts one more time but it will probably be tommorrow when I have a clearer head, i sometimes find the need to step away from a game for a sec so when i come back i can reevaluate and maybe catch things i didnt find the day before etc.


+ Show Spoiler +
[17:48] <BloodyC0bbler> i suddenly like
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> your day 1 finger pointing
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> at lucidity
[17:49] <redFF1> :O
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=249971&currentpage=8#156
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=249971&currentpage=29#569
[17:49] <redFF1> yeah
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> keep in mind mig
[17:49] <redFF1> i dont like him
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> isnt 100%
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> but
[17:49] <redFF1> yeah
[17:49] <redFF1> those 2 posts
[17:49] <redFF1> contradict
[17:49] <Lucidity> Mig is not a confirmed townie
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> are very
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> hes not
[17:50] <BloodyC0bbler> but seriously dude
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> Mig is very close to confirmed
[17:50] <BloodyC0bbler> who the fuck
[17:50] == Lucidity [~nnscript@Lucidity.users.quakenet.org] has quit [Quit: ( www.nnscript.com :: NoNameScript 4.22 :: www.esnation.com )]
[17:50] <BloodyC0bbler> shoots trotske
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> oh lol
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> Lucid
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> fucking leaves
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> after he knows hes wrong
[17:50] <BloodyC0bbler> rofl
[17:50] <Drazerk> lol
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> and grasping
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> wow
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> thats so sad
[17:50] <BloodyC0bbler> "oh shit i got caught"
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> I didnt like him before
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> But im almost sure now
[17:50] <Original|Laptop> Hes trying to cast doubt on Mig
[17:50] <Kenpachi_> loool
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=249971&user=86738
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> add in that
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> he liked idea of day 2 confirmed
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> townie
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> -_-


On August 05 2011 18:14 Barundar wrote:
Mig is pretty clear town, he was already by night time for leading the varp lynch, and the missing kp in the day post just adds to that. I don't see a reason not to claim to him.


I'm not sure why no one can see this, but Mig is not confirmed town. The only way to confirm your role is to shoot someone in the Day or to die. Mig hasn't done either. Yes he looks very pro town. No he isn't confirmed.

I didn't ragequit IRC as is being suggested. This happened at approx 1am my time. I was tired and busy shutting down programs. I read the thread, I read a few lines on IRC. I replied and I quit. I didn't stay around, because I had plans of putting my head on my pillow, not arguing about Mig.

I think my position has produced some interesting results at least. This is my first game with BC, but everyone always suggests that he is a Veteran and an amazing player. The way he reacted to my position suggests otherwise:

[17:48] <BloodyC0bbler> i suddenly like
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> your day 1 finger pointing
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> at lucidity
[17:49] <redFF1> :O
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=249971&currentpage=8#156
[17:49] <BloodyC0bbler> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=249971&currentpage=29#569

Here he contrasts me being pro-confirming to a confirmed townie and being against it when it's Mig. This is a terrible comparison, because Mig isn't a confirmed townie. He's trying to show me contradicting myself by misrepresenting the situation. Essentially scum painting.

[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=249971&user=86738
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> add in that
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> he liked idea of day 2 confirmed
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> townie
[17:51] <BloodyC0bbler> -_-

Again, he's implying that I'm contradicting myself. I wasn't. A Day 2 confirmed townie is great. Mig isn't one of those.

Why would such a great player make such silly mistakes?

Now, I've had a slight uneasiness with Mig ever since he PMd me early on Day 1.

+ Show Spoiler +

Original Message From Mig:
Hey,

I really like your observations and I agree with most of what you had said.

Varp starts off with attempting to appear super pro town but shortly after he falls into making bland vague statements without taking any stands.

Varp and chaos both attacked trotske and both had very poor reasoning behind their attacks. Along with that I think there were logic errors in both of their arguments against sand's plan. Definitely very suspicious of both of them, although chaos' post defending himself against syllo made him seem a bit more townie to me.

Drh really not sure yet. I am not familiar enough with his meta. BC has said that Drh is fearless as scum and very willing to push mafia objectives openly. Where as when he is town he is a lot less sure of himself. So right now I would lean slightly scum but I really want to see him call some people out and see him do some scum hunting before I feel strongly one way or the other about him.

Besides them I have been in contact with bc/sandro/curu/syllo I feel like at least one of them is very likely scum just from a balance perspective. Right now I would lean curu being scum because he hasn't been nearly as aggressive as he was in AA as town. However that is just an early suspicion.

Show nested quote +
Original Message From Lucidity:
Hi there

redFF is the scummiest at the moment. He's essentially doing what he did in Arkham's Asylum. Takes a position with no real reasoning (the majority of the reasons he gave are terrible) and is overly defensive. He seems to "joke around" to look like a careless townie.

I don't really have an opinion on chaos yet. I didn't really like his comment on the fake medic. The same thing with info gained from a dead townie. By Day 3 there is always info from every death, unless the player perma lurked. Need more info to get a read on him.

Both redFF and Vaprulis made posts referencing the Engineer, which isn't present in the game. Their first posts also contained the same generic town advice regarding Town KP. Found that interesting. Might be a link there.

Varp is initially concerned about a potential mass amount of blues and KP, but soon after mentions that we're not likely to have many blues at all. His latest FoS feels forced. As if he feels obligated to throw around suspicion and chose a random post to do so.

What are your thoughts on them? And drH?

Original Message From Mig:
Hello!

I hope you are not mafia again lucidity!

Who do you think is scummy so far? What do you think about chaos/varp/redff?


As you can see I made a very basic reply. He replied with, "I really like your observations!". To me that's not how a townie would react. It's almost as if he's trying to make me like him by complimenting a bland analysis, agreeing with what I had to say. This is something that scum does. They want you to like them. They want you to trust them. When two townies interact in PMs they are both suspicious of the other one. They don't try to have the other like them, because he could be scum. Obviously this doesn't make Mig scum, but it didn't sit well with me and I was wary of him ever since this exchange.

In AA we had a similar scenario where Palmar effectively lynched scum on his own on Day 2. Many people hailed him as a confirmed townie and advocated a mass claim to him. Palmar turned out to be an anti-town role.

Mig appears very pro-town at the moment, but he is not confirmed town. I don't like mass claiming to non-confirmed town.

I have to ask though, why are people so keen to mass claim to him? If he is town, then we gain the benefit of an organised night. If Kenpachi's RB claim was real, then we also more than 4 Blue's most likely, which makes night organisation more useful. If Mig is red though, we lose every blue in the game? It's a gamble when we don't need to take one. I don't like it.



TAA's claim is confusing. It's bad as either town or scum. While there are occasions where it is acceptable to lie as Town (RoL in AA for example. His plan was good and had the chance to work), this wasn't one of them. There was absolutely no pro-town outcome on the cards. Then again, I can't see the pro-scum outcome either? Other than possible confusion? But that's quite risky for minimal reward. It's fucked. If we don't find a real scum candidate (i.e. one who actually acted pro-red) we should turn to LAL. It has the added benefit of discouraging townies from lying in the future too.


I point back to D2. Uses past games as reasons and he slips through again.

Show nested quote +
2) I only changed my view only because popular opinion changed


HOLY SHIT SHEEP MORE.

Show nested quote +
Why am I not being grouped with the Vets?


Fakeclaim moar.

I find Lucid Scummy.


Mafia plan? That thing was mostly the brainchild of Mig and sandroba. Lucidity is scummy yes but the timing of his Vet claim is so weird as scum.

The motivation I thought of and discussed with Mig was if youngminii was Mafia. Lucidity could then claim Vet in the hopes that we lynch through the Vet circle and forget about youngminii. But that's clearly not the case.

What do you think about chaos?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 04:39 GMT
#929
Yes I'm aware that a fraction of the time something does get done in there but when throughout the past 8 or so hours it's been people talking about FF6 and ghrur asking BC for cooking tips.

IRC is more or less the thread in realtime anyways, let's be more active here without all the spam and offtopic crap. Any discussion there also gives a free pass to anyone not in IRC, making lurkers even more dangerous.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 17:30 GMT
#952
Ugh look people, we have 3 mislynches available until lylo. The game is in no way won.

TAA, Sevyrn, Barundar, Kenpachi, chaos if you can't put forth the effort to even post something of worth every few hours please ask to be replaced out.

Losing this game after half the scum team gone by night 2 would be the most embarrassing ordeal on TL, worse than the SNMMV debacle.

It's been like 18 hours and I'm still the only vote that's been cast.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 17:43 GMT
#953
Drazerk too

-_-

If we enter lylo with 3 of those Town is fucked beyond all measure.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 19:18 GMT
#962
Do not quickhammer chaos please. Give him time to come into the thread and for everyone to weigh in.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 09 2011 23:19 GMT
#993
Just some things from Skype:

Through his convos with him, Mig got an extreme Town vibe

syllo firmly believed at the start of the game that there would be no Medics this game - JeeJee still claimed Medic

syllo had a great opportunity to frame me were he Mafia: Mig had thought me suspicious, told syllo that were he to die Night 1 he should take a long look at me for being scum. syllo knew Mig was a Vet at this point but he still didn't die

syllo was the only person who knew Mig was a Vet before night 1, Mig got hit without a roleblock

syllo fully knew about the all Vet fake Doc plan, Mafia still fired their KP into it

What I don't like about him is the extremely uninterested, defeatist attitude he's had lately since Mig died. I don't know why he's like that, but he was pretty enthusiastic, involved, and effective for the other games I've seen him in (all Town).

I still want to hear what chaos has to say. It's amazing that someone who everyone agrees is scummy is suddenly off the hook because syllogism is lurking.

wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 03:08 GMT
#996
syllo doesn't make sense as a lynch to me because the case is just stupid. It's built entirely on lurker behavior and WIFOM. Do you guys honestly think syllo would waste 2 KP trying to confirm himself to Mig, having Mig tell people he thought syllo was 99% Town, then killing him? If his strategy was to buy cred then skate to lylo he most certainly would have left Mig alive till then as well.

I'm more convinced on chaos now. His reasoning for voting syllo is even more nonsensical, and it's clear he's just doing it in an attempt to save himself.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 04:27 GMT
#998
syllo though you really need to come in and play to the potential I know you can. Don't make me look bad for sticking my neck out for you like this.

chaos's defense was terrible, mostly for these two points:

On August 10 2011 10:47 chaos13 wrote:
Something felt off about lynching draz over varp. It was a gut feeling that proved right, and I'm not sure how that makes me scummy

Those are the only points I can recall being brought up against me. If you guys have more questions I have the next hour or so to be active.



As for my vote today, I'm leaning syllo. BC brought up some decent points, and I find it interesting that contrary to every single other lynch we have had over the past few days, we actually have someone defending him - Curu




First point, he's trying to say "something felt off about lynching draz over varp" as trying to convince us he voted for Varpulis. Blatant contradiction; here's his day 1 vote:

On August 03 2011 21:11 chaos13 wrote:
My vote today will be going on Drazerk.

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2011 08:41 Drazerk wrote:
##Vote RedFF

Opposing sand's plan with no real reasons while defending himself like a mad man in IRC when he has no real reason to defend himself yet.


This is the post in which he initially accused redFF. Note the complete lack of actual evidence. It was until his suspect actually encouraged him to post the irc log that he did so, and that arrived almost 20 minutes after this quoted post. Then, as you all know, he completely disappeared while posting actively elsewhere on the site.

Let's lynch ourselves a scum day 1.

##Vote: Drazerk


On August 03 2011 21:14 chaos13 wrote:
Today I feel better voting for Draz


The fact that he suggested syllogism, who I would have considered the most strongly Town (just through actions though, he really does need to post more), shows that he hasn't put any thought or effort into scumhunting. No new contributions, no other alternate candidates he actually thinks are scum, just a bandwagon onto the guy with the next most votes supporting an almost purely WIFOM case presented by BC. He did not come to the conclusion syllo was scum or have any scum reads of his own, he was just trying to attach onto the wagon that would save himself.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 14:17 GMT
#1018
BC:

Three attempts to deflect the wagon off Varpulis day 1. First on Drazerk, then on Kenpachi, finally on JeeJee.

From ON's IRC log:

[23:21] <BloodyC0bbler> -_- mig was making me kinda fishy with his pushing
[23:21] <BloodyC0bbler> of the damn
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> majority lynch
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> i hate majority
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> so hard
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> i just dont like
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> when hosts
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> push
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> majority
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> it gave scum huge
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> and i mean
[23:22] <BloodyC0bbler> huge bonus

He knows majority lynch is awful for Town but said not.a.peep against it. He didn't try to argue it at all, he didn't try to dissuade anyone, he didn't try to save us all from our own cockiness. I invite you all to take a look at PTP2 where BC argued for 20 pages about not using a more or less confirmed DT's check because he thought that it was better for Town to rely on analysis. This is a much bigger issue than that but he made 0 effort to try to stop it.

BC claims Vet. He's also the most experienced and one of the more reputed players in this game. Yet his play does not fit with that; he's been behind the scenes, silent, mostly just watching. Highly central figure with Vet power...I'd expect him to be a lot more active and visible, contributing significantly and visibly to Town. This also gave him an excuse for why he was not shot when he should be a high priority Mafia target.

At the beginning of the game, syllogism, sandroba, BC, Mig, and I discussed the power roles in this game. Together, we came to the conclusion that there were no Medics. I don't know if any of you formed the same opinion, but as a group we were almost certain there were no Medics. Almost everyone was calling for the Medic on Mig or ON. Mig shouldn't have been a hit since Mafia would almost have to believe the Medic would be there, yet he still was.

Mig actually used this as a "test" for me because he found me scummy when I asked him in Skype how he'd feel about switching from Varpulis to JeeJee (looked like last minute scum saving, but both flipped red so it's moot). He knew that I was one of the only players in the game that was almost sure there were no Medics so he thought if he took a hit that would point at me. Same point here applies to BC.

On August 04 2011 15:01 BloodyC0bbler wrote:

med should protect kenpachi (never thought i'd say this) / drh / mig / curu



Not a huge tell but in case there was a Medic, suggesting Kenpachi and me as protects when we were both awful protects at the time.

Finally this awful wagon against syllogism. I'm beyond impressed he actually managed to convince almost half the Town syllogism was scum based on lurker behavior and WIFOM, when it was pretty clear syllo had almost bulletproof Town cred. It came at a time when chaos was the sure wagon and almost worked to get syllo lynched instead. Yes he proposed 1-1 but consider we had 3 mislynches; syllo flipping Town would be one mislynch, then he would likely convince us to hit DrH, 2 gone if Town, then finally himself. That brings us to mylo already just for clearing the Vets. Maybe he could have even convinced us to hit Lucidity before him, which would have left us in lylo.

The random shots I don't see as a sign of an inexperienced Mafia team (anyone with common sense could see better shots) but more methodical. They could explain why the experienced players weren't being shot (BC himself included) and could be used to introduce misleading trails. BC was the one who knew of the Sevyrn-Trotske connection, he also first pointed out the TAA-Trotske connection.

The one redeeming factor I see is that JeeJee had a Medic claim when BC was one of the group that was sure there were no Medics, but there's so much WIFOM there I wouldn't give much weight to it. If BC's plan was to bus JeeJee from the start, which seems to fit with JeeJee's general "I don't want to play I got Mafia 3 times in a row I just want to play as Town," it could make more sense. BC also pushed heavily in Skype that only one of him and JeeJee could possibly be scum, which also lends credit to the bus theory. Still, mostly WIFOM here.


wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 14:49 GMT
#1020
If BC is last scum Drazerk gets MVP for.....

doing nothing.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 17:26 GMT
#1022
Hey Sevyrn who do you think we should lynch now?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 19:08 GMT
#1026
Sevyrn have you been reading the thread and actually forming conclusions? You say BC is suspicious, then actually go with BC's case and say syllo is too?
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 19:41 GMT
#1028
Why syllo before the other Vets? Lucidity and DrH fall into the Vet category as well.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 10 2011 19:54 GMT
#1033
GL TOWN

I will be here in spirit to watch the inactivity.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 11 2011 22:24 GMT
#1073
*resurrect Curu*
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 11 2011 23:26 GMT
#1075
Says the guy with 5 posts in the thread. Nice try.

##Vote Gmarshal
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 12 2011 14:55 GMT
#1097
So he got hammered right?

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL

Just gonna leave this here.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 12 2011 16:18 GMT
#1106
Kenpachi if you had made any effort whatsoever at being somewhat active and pushing the lynch all Vets idea you had a solid chance at winning >.>
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 12 2011 18:37 GMT
#1118
What

Majority lynch is more beneficial to Mafia than Town.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 12 2011 19:05 GMT
#1122
Sorry for blitz lynching you Munk-E. The all Vets thing threw everyone off .
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 12 2011 19:52 GMT
#1127
On August 13 2011 04:28 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2011 03:33 redFF wrote:
Also i dont think a host should ever let town majority lynch unless its specifically stated in the rules at the beginning of the game, it gives town an unfair advantage.


Yea, changing rules in the middle of the game is usually a big No No. Majority lynch has pros and cons for both sides, but if you want the game to be fair overall it should be used. Players getting lynched with "most vote wins" and it's a 4 person lynch in a 20 player game is just terrible, especially for Town. Majority Lynch makes sure everyone has to discuss, and some people are going to have to hop on wagons and/or consolidate their positions to get a lynch off.

Of course an indecisive Town and blaming people that hammer are devastating when using Majority Lynch since Mafia can just keep escaping lynches.


I actually like majority lynches a lot more but I feel like the time limit has to be extended by a lot for it to work. Everyone has to have time to properly analyze the thread, take a stance, and make their decision. In a 48 hour deadline decisions end up getting rushed to get a lynch off.

I think majority lynches are fantastic when the day deadlines are like 1 week. But a lot of people already get antsy and can't stay active with 48 hour deadlines, so in this case I think deadline lynches are a bit more balanced.
wat
Curu
Profile Joined March 2010
Canada2817 Posts
August 12 2011 20:55 GMT
#1138
On August 13 2011 05:51 Kenpachi wrote:
The majority lynch is what killed me though. i thought it would be beneficial but i lost because of it


How? You had ample time to defend yourself. But all you posted was this:

On August 12 2011 02:59 Kenpachi wrote:
whatever

wat
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