EPTOn April 04 2011 03:27 Coagulation wrote:
well theres always the possibilty ILJ bombs two town today.
well theres always the possibilty ILJ bombs two town today.
That's why nobody gave you a bomb.
Insane Mafia 2 - Page 200
| Forum Index > TL Mafia |
|
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
That's why nobody gave you a bomb. | ||
|
Amber[LighT]
United States5078 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:27 Coagulation wrote: well theres always the possibilty ILJ bombs two town today. Or if they're black we have screwed ourselves with lynching a townie and getting no result other than a wasted lynch. | ||
|
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
| ||
|
tnkted
United States1359 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:31 Amber[LighT] wrote: Or if they're black we have screwed ourselves with lynching a townie and getting no result other than a wasted lynch. wrong! we'd have confirmed two blacks, which is good as well. And I think you're scum. Care to defend yourself? | ||
|
Mr. Wiggles
Canada5894 Posts
Then add to that the fact that we have several "confirmed" townies, so we increase the ratio even more, to something like 7/11 players are scum, once you remove the 5 or so of those town from it. Then, we also the two players, amber and orgo, that the black team said are scum in the black market. So, we have 7/11 players who are scum among the unconfirmed. Then we have two players black claimed are pure red. I don't think we'll hit two townies. At worst one, and a lurker at that. I my opinion, we're likely to hit two scum, especially if we put some thought into it. | ||
|
Mr. Wiggles
Canada5894 Posts
I also think one of the bombs should go on Amber. | ||
|
Lanaia
Canada1142 Posts
As for the second, i'm still unsure. | ||
|
Amber[LighT]
United States5078 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:32 Jackal58 wrote: We get the names of two blacks. Nervous? Do the math and see why thats a terrible idea... | ||
|
Amber[LighT]
United States5078 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:33 tnkted wrote: wrong! we'd have confirmed two blacks, which is good as well. And I think you're scum. Care to defend yourself? I've been on scum lists since Day 1. Why start defending myself now? It's pretty obvious that I'm a late-game scapegoat. Blacks and mafia wanted to just keep me around thinking I was going to be useless to the town. | ||
|
Lanaia
Canada1142 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:37 Amber[LighT] wrote: Do the math and see why thats a terrible idea... How the hell is it a bad idea? On April 04 2011 03:43 Amber[LighT] wrote: I've been on scum lists since Day 1. Why start defending myself now? It's pretty obvious that I'm a late-game scapegoat. Blacks and mafia wanted to just keep me around thinking I was going to be useless to the town. You have been useless as town. Why wouldn't they keep you around if this is all you're doing? | ||
|
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:37 Amber[LighT] wrote: Do the math and see why thats a terrible idea... I can't do new math. I keep getting Scum - Scum = Town squared dividing delicious pie. Care to fill me in? | ||
|
Eiii
United States2566 Posts
| ||
|
ilovejonn
Canada2548 Posts
Remember, there are 4 REDS and 3 BLACKS, we probably have more of a chance to hit reds than black. Refer to my FOS list for bomb targets. Clearly if we hit red, good for us, if they don't die we know they are most probably black and we can lynch them or throw them into the arena (provided arena people can be trusted). PUT YOUR VOTE ON ME IF YOU'RE GREEN. That way, anyone who wants to manipulate the vote or start a diff. bandwagon can be scrutinized. | ||
|
Lanaia
Canada1142 Posts
| ||
|
Eiii
United States2566 Posts
 Everyone should comb through all 170ish posts to see if they can find anything that could be useful! | ||
|
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
If all blacks are eliminated does red win regardless of towns numbers? If all reds are eliminated does black win regardless of towns numbers? Or does it simply become town vs the remaining scum team?[/green] | ||
|
Lanaia
Canada1142 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:57 ilovejonn wrote: Lmao, exactly. You ARE useless to town, they aren't just thinking it. Anyways, like you guys mentioned, if you're town you STILL want to vote for me. I did not know my bombs cannot kill blacks HOWEVER, lynching me during the day is probably still the best situation we can have. Once night comes there are too many night actions going about that will mess with our information gain. Remember, there are 4 REDS and 3 BLACKS, we probably have more of a chance to hit reds than black. Refer to my FOS list for bomb targets. Clearly if we hit red, good for us, if they don't die we know they are most probably black and we can lynch them or throw them into the arena (provided arena people can be trusted). PUT YOUR VOTE ON ME IF YOU'RE GREEN. That way, anyone who wants to manipulate the vote or start a diff. bandwagon can be scrutinized. I was on your FOS list, correct? Also, blacks may be able to just fucking annihilate the town tonight. However, there's a decent chance they'll hit mafia as well. | ||
|
tnkted
United States1359 Posts
Player List 1. 2. Jackal58 3. OriginalName 4. 5. deconduo 6. Kavdragon <--- BLACK 7. 8. 9. 10. Coagulation 11. orgolove 12. 13. 14. 15. kevconsim 16. Mr. Wiggles 17. CubEdIn 18. 19. ilovejonn 20. Amber[LighT] 21. 22. 23. 24. tnkted 25. 26. Lanaia 27. 29. Insanious 30. Eiii Bots: 1. LSB Banking 2. Beneather There are currently 16 players remaining. There are currently 8 Townies remaining. There are currently 1 Police remaining. There are currently 4 Mafia remaining. There are currently 3 Third party remaining. Current Mafia KP is 1 Current Third Party KP is 1 Current Police Force KP is 0 Current Town KP is 1 Alrighty. Lets do the math on this. There are 8 greens left. 7 of them are confirmed or semi-confirmed up on the board there. That means that only one on the list of deconduo Mr. Wiggles kevconsim is actually green. The other two are scum. I think Kev is probably scum (i didnt put him on the board because i'm getting him and ken confused right now and I didn't want to deal with it) but the question remains: who is scum, Decon or Wiggles? Whats really scary is the fact that there are 8 greens. Greens have a grand total of 2 kp at the moment: one gun, and one lynch. Red doesn't look that spooky with their 1 KP. However, black has 3 RPG's in addition to their 1 KP, giving them a grand total of 4 KP. So we're looking at 3 black with 3KP, immunte to night kills IE we can lynch one at a time. Meanwhile we've got 4 mafia with 1 kill, which can't hit the blacks and will therefore go directly to town. We can subtract that from the total, assuming mafia hits. So 7 town. Black has incentive to kill anyone at this point, because they just need to lower down the voting ratios so that they aren't outvoted every time. Black therefore will probably fire indiscriminately, bringing the combined 7 town/4 mafia (11) non-black lynching crowd down to 7, leaving us at 7 vs 3. Depending on how many reds/greens are in that 7 will determine who wins this game. If they get more reds than greens green will win. If they get more greens than reds, red will win. I don't think its possible for black to win at this point unless 2 reds, 4 townies, and zero black die tonight. Basically we need to protect our asses off tonight. Reds have to die instead if town wants to win this. | ||
|
Jackal58
United States4264 Posts
| ||
|
Lanaia
Canada1142 Posts
On April 04 2011 03:58 Eiii wrote: also I just realized I only read the first page of the quicktopic, I thought it was pretty useless Everyone should comb through all 170ish posts to see if they can find anything that could be useful! I personally find it difficult to match up names to writing styles, especially since it's so easily manipulated and switched around. | ||
| ||
