Insane Mafia 2 - Page 15

On March 27 2011 15:42 kevconsim wrote:
im going to make a read.

On March 27 2011 15:42 kevconsim wrote:
I think Annul is/was town. Because he said gl town as he is dieng

On April 03 2011 17:27 Kavdragon wrote:
Looks like I'm not long for this world, so here's my last push.

Based off the information we now have from the black market, it is apparent that blacks are ahead. We need to know more about the items they now posses. Firstly, Cubedin, you guys had the RPG's, can you confirm that they are a KP? Is there anything special about them? Second, do we know how many vests there are? Regardless, it seems very unlikely that will be able to kill blacks with KP other than lynches.

On that note, our NUMBER ONE priority is to LYNCH BLACKS. Thankfully LSB gave us a beautiful gift: the double lynch that is the Arena. Now, as long as you guys concentrate on using the lynch for Blacks, and using your Night KP for reds, we can still pull out a town victory. Town came from behind with some solid analysis and good hunting in XXXVI, and we can do the same thing and win here. However, this will require effort on everyone's part.

Now, I've been thinking about blacks since Meapak died. I defended him because he was doing analysis, but he was on my black list also. Now that he's flipped red, I've had to re-evaluate how the black team is likely to play. Meapak and I were the two people doing analysis, and he flipped red, and I know that I'm green. I cannot accept the heuristic that I have been using for black any longer.

There's a crucial problem that I hadn't thought of: SK's are super pro-town because they HAVE to survive till the end, and they cannot be roleblocked. This means that they must avoid the lynch at all costs. This game is much different than that, because they have a team of players, who can influence and help. This makes them similar to a mafia team, with less members but with BPV's to make up for that. It seems to me, that this game will function more like a game with two mafia families in it.

So how do we figure out the mafia from the blacks if they are both acting like mafia? The first way that i can think of is analysis on the connections between known scum. I don't mean things as obvious as support/callingout, these things could be set up of course, I'm talking about the tone people take with others, do they FoS some people differently than others? Find unusual connections. The second way is back checking people to see if they were making decisions or revealing information that they shouldn't have. For instance, assuming that the blacks actually gave us the names of scum, we know that they knew that before hand. Was anyone overly suspicious of Amberlight and Orgolove? Did they have good reasoning as to why they were their number one suspects?

Assuming that bombs do NOT kill blacks, lynching ilovejohn seems like a bad idea at this point. Heh. Call me scum for opposing your plan, but i don't care I'm going to die in few hours and you'll see. As a townie, I will say that lynching ilovejohn is the wrong call right now. We need to lynch blacks, and if bombs can't do that, then we should have Coag shoot him or something. It's 4-3 right now, and if we kill many more scum, the balance will be upset badly. CubEdIn is dead on when he says we need to whittle them down evenly. The only way that we can realistically kill black is by lynch now, this means that they are practically guaranteed to survive for three more days, and every day we don't lynch one extends that.

I wish I had more time to do analysis, but since I've been cut short, I'll simply say that i suspect Tnkted is black, and I suspect that Lanaia is also black. Meapak did analysis and he was scum. This does not mean that analysis is scummy. Analysis is, and always will be the key to victory, and I hope you guys start using it more.

GL town, looks like you'll be needing it.

On April 03 2011 14:54 ilovejonn wrote:
Or we can...





Remember this?

Night was coming in and I fear that I would have died therefore I placed my bombs during that time. Coincidentally it was A.pril F.ools and I said "great post" in order for scum to not role block me and just night kill me. *I don't know why A.pril F.ools still auto changes since it's like April 3rd TL time*

Who am I and Why trust me:

My bombs can be ROLEBLOCKED and it will not go off. This is crucial. What this means is that in order to safely get my bombs off, getting lynched during the day is the best option. Since I'm a Day Hatter, I have to post in the thread about who to bomb, and if I really land one on a scum and they believe I'm hatter, they can just roleblock and night kill me.

Basically, I am willing to sacrifice myself to kill two other people. Who those 2 may be is probably up to you guys to decide, BUT we clearly have a bunch of FOS'd and scummy players lurking about. Orgolove and Beneather were my first 2 targets. However, Beneather is now a Bot and is in the Arena. I am willing to let the Arena players deal with him. If they don't clearly it will make them look scummy.

Here is my FOS list:

4. Kenpachi - Bomb target
6. Kavdragon - fos (black read)
11. orgolove - Bomb target
15. kevconsim - Bomb target
20. Amber[LighT] - FOS Bomb target
26. Lanaia - she's a girl FOS (this is jk don't atk me about this but if she's scum gg)
28. Beneather - Bomb target (now in Arena though)
30. Eiii - inactive FOS, Bomb target

The others are editted out so don't ask me where 1. and 2. etc are. Now I feel that I want to keep Bomb#1 on Orgolove. You guys don't need to ask me why, ask yourselves and read their posts, I'm not sacrificing myself and doing analysis for you. #2 is up for debate because clearly there are more than 1 scum. It comes down to whether you guys want to plant the bomb on a RED player or a BLACK player.

Amber has been lurking like crazy, Kenpachi plays like scum as always, kevconsim is playing like his first game where he doesn't know anything and doesn't post useful content at all.

Kavdragon is hard to say, he can be town/black but I haven't seen him done great analysis and lead the town like he did in that other mafia game where he was Mayor. My gut tells me he's black because even though he seems quite pro-town, his posts to me, seem like they are holding back a lot.

Then there's Eiii and Lanaia.

If it were my choice, it would be Bomb1: Orgolove, Bomb2: kevconsim/Kenpachi. As someone said before (forgot who), we don't want a guy who just posts 1-liners and doesn't contribute to go into late game. At least the others have understandable and coherent posts, but Kevconsim and Kenpachi sometimes types things that I don't even understand. Again the bomb targets are up for debate. On to the next part.

Vote me and be safe!
If we are going to make this work, EVERYONE needs to vote me. Of course if you're town-aligned you should vote for me, but what about scum you say? Well, since I outted myself for this whole bomb thing to happen, if there's someone that doesn't want to vote for me, BAM instant-FOS. This is a fool-proof plan but if even townies don't vote for me then I'm done.

Here is what I mean. I've placed the black market votings into consideration. There are 19 players left, 12 are green, 7 are scum (red/black). Clearly the scum won't want to vote for someone else other than me as it places them into a clear FOS spot. The best situation is clearly having 19 votes on me ensuring that the bombs go off. I do not believe that they have enough of their Krodon? currency to place 20 anonymous votes on me, and even if they do fine, you've just used all of those precious key voting powers on a single townie.

Conclusion
Remember what I said, if you're green vote for me. If you're not go ahead and vote someone else and see if you get lynched the next day or not. I dare you, scum. ò_ó

As time goes on and more people die during the night, I feel that my chances of getting myself lynched decreases. I felt like this was the best time to reveal all this now, and well, if you guys don't like this, then I'm fucked.

I'm going to place my bombs on my preferred targets for now in case anything IRL comes up like my Internet dying or something. We still have plenty of time however.

Bomb1: Orgolove
Bomb2: kevconsim

Also, if you thought of something that would ruin my plans, please tell me because I wrote this when I was really sleepy. I repeat, bomb targets ARE UP FOR DEBATE DEBATE DEBATE!