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On December 29 2010 05:03 annul wrote: then im wrong, and so are all the people who see what i see.
also means his defense to my attack was pretty horrible More like you choose to pretend my responses aren't their and perpetuate a dumb argument.
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All right, then who do we divert the lynch onto?
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On December 29 2010 05:11 LunarDestiny wrote: I don't have any reason that LSB is being mafia as of now. I'll post more if I find any after I reread some posts. LSB said he can prove his innocence on day3, but this is also an excuse I seen many mafia who are being lynch used. Can you post a link for me?
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Oh Pandain you forgot this PM chain + Show Spoiler +Don't worry. I'll forward this PM chain before I get lynched . I'm not telling anyone my role. If you want, just Vig me at the start of night two if you don't like my plan.
I need to claim early because I was clearly going to get lynched. Look at who is voting for me.
annul- Obvously won't switch TheMango- Inactive Mr.Zergling- Inactive orgolove- Inactive DoctorHelvetica- Mad because I prodded him Meapak_Ziphh- Summy Soulfire- Inactive Brocket- Mad because I didn't listen to him in Pokemafia Barundar- Dunno
----------------------------------------- Original Message From Pandain: why can't you tell me if you won't die anyway? I'm posting an analysis on you. I need to know now.
answer second question too mmkay? ----------------------------------------- Original Message From LSB: I can't tell you how I'm going to prove that I am blue.
Also, tell the Medics to Protect DocH. If I can tell his role, mafia can certainly tell.
----------------------------------------- Original Message From Pandain: how can you prove your blue medics will protect you if you tell me now
also why did you claim so early? there were still like 15 hours left Someone has been fishing hard for my role
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I read most of pandain's posts.
Why do I talk about inactives? There's more to the game than just me and Annul. When most of the town is doing nothing but making one or two posts saying "I agree" this is a big problem If you do not deal with inactives now, the town will lose
Why Claim Early? Well I addressed this in PM already. Read the post above
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On December 29 2010 05:23 LunarDestiny wrote:Show nested quote +On December 29 2010 05:13 LSB wrote:On December 29 2010 05:11 LunarDestiny wrote: I don't have any reason that LSB is being mafia as of now. I'll post more if I find any after I reread some posts. LSB said he can prove his innocence on day3, but this is also an excuse I seen many mafia who are being lynch used. Can you post a link for me? I remember I seen them before Where? No mafia has stated that they can prove without a doubt that they are blue.
but can you disprove by showing games where an active mafia is lynched on day1 and they did not say they can prove their innocence. Harry Potter Mafia Yours truely
In addition, find a game where a mafia being lynched and they claim vanilla townie. Hesmyrr BC Lots of people here
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On December 29 2010 05:42 annul wrote:Show nested quote +On December 29 2010 05:31 LSB wrote:but can you disprove by showing games where an active mafia is lynched on day1 and they did not say they can prove their innocence. Harry Potter Mafia Yours truely rofl it was a busof course you arent going to claim blue because you are being bussed! your goal was death. So do you think I'm mafia? It doesn't sound like it.
Kenpachi/Coagulation (Almost, but we switched)- Deconduo's Don't lose your village game Masq- Haunted Mafia Bill Murray- Penalty Mafia
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On December 29 2010 05:45 deconduo wrote: I'm quite happy to lynch annul if LSB turns up blue. It will discourage people from tunnelling in future games. All I will say is that I have a 100% correct rate when I tunnel.
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EBWOP By tunnel, I mean lynching tunneling.
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I'm not lieing.
I can prove my alignment without a doubt at the start of night 2.
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On December 29 2010 06:45 Pandain wrote: Even better, LSB should say what his plan is to be 100% confirmed at the start of day 2, since it's not like mafia are going to kill him during the day. So then we can even lynch him if he never really had a plan.
Everyone should unvote LSB. Night 2, start of night 2.
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Actually, good point, I can tell the plan at the start of day 2 if needed.
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On December 29 2010 06:48 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: night 2 would not change from day 2 btw. No more actions can be done between those times, unless you mean AFTER night 2. At which point you COULD be a vigi, but if you really mean the start of night 2 you can't possibly be a vigilante, and you could also prove the same thing during the Day phase while we still have the option to lynch you! I can tell you about it at the start of day two. However, the amount of people I can reveal it to has to be pretty small. I can only provide proof at the start of night two.
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On December 29 2010 06:56 TheMango wrote: I think LSB is lying about being vigilante. Makes no sense from a townie perspective. How would we even know at the start of night two? If he kills someone as vigilante that we choose, he could just as easily be mafia killing someone, no? Someone correct me if I'm wrong... I have not roleclaimed. And there is multiple ways to confirm a role.
I will say that I'm not the hatter though.
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On December 29 2010 07:15 LunarDestiny wrote: I was about to change my vote from LSB because I don't find good evidence against him.
But wtf Pandain. i am 99% sure he's mafia, but there's really no harm in waiting just one night just to be 100% sure.
Wana lynch Pandain?
He fished pretty hardcore.
+ Show Spoiler +Don't worry. I'll forward this PM chain before I get lynched . I'm not telling anyone my role. If you want, just Vig me at the start of night two if you don't like my plan.
I need to claim early because I was clearly going to get lynched. Look at who is voting for me.
annul- Obvously won't switch TheMango- Inactive Mr.Zergling- Inactive orgolove- Inactive DoctorHelvetica- Mad because I prodded him Meapak_Ziphh- Summy Soulfire- Inactive Brocket- Mad because I didn't listen to him in Pokemafia Barundar- Dunno
----------------------------------------- Original Message From Pandain: why can't you tell me if you won't die anyway? I'm posting an analysis on you. I need to know now.
answer second question too mmkay? ----------------------------------------- Original Message From LSB: I can't tell you how I'm going to prove that I am blue.
Also, tell the Medics to Protect DocH. If I can tell his role, mafia can certainly tell.
----------------------------------------- Original Message From Pandain: how can you prove your blue medics will protect you if you tell me now
also why did you claim so early? there were still like 15 hours left
Btw. Annul sounds like Pandain back in Deconduo's Don't Lose Your Village Game. At that time, we had a good play. The best play for the town would be to lynch Coagulation, and then move on depending on Coagulation's role. Pandain then kept on insisting that we go for the '100%' confirmed scum, Gabriel. Turns out that Pandain was just mafia, and he was trying to divert the lynch.
Likewise in this game, it clearly is in the towns favor to let me live. Yet Annul is for some reason keeps on insisting that I'm "100% confirmed scum" and keeps on trying to kill me even though it clearly is a bad idea.
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On December 29 2010 07:31 Insanious wrote: It is in the towns interest to keep LSB alive... right now I can't decide between voting for:
Annul - He keeps pushing, and he needs to stop. If he is going to be like this all game, he is going to hurt the town a lot. Might even be mafia trying to kill an active Blue
seraph - RoL's analysis
Now I can throw one more in here:
Brocket - As town he was SUPER SUPER active, most active poster in Pokemafia. In this game, he has 1 post and 1 vote, not talking at all. Exact opposite... very fishy.
Good point about Brocket I don't consider this an actual post
On December 28 2010 20:41 Brocket wrote: LSB made a huge mistake in pokemafia but he turned out to be a townie. So he's playing a bad townie again or he's mafia. No regrets flipping LSB here.
So Zero Posts, and 1 vote?
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On December 29 2010 07:39 annul wrote: you do not seem to understand math
if there is a "99%" chance he is mafia, the only thing you can gain is 1% certainty by waiting.
in exchange for this 1% certainty, assume we attack someone on RNG basis. we give up 80% certainty today and, in exchange for ONE PERCENT chance to save a blue, we take a ~33% chance of randoming a "different" blue. an actual blue. Look at your reasoning for I'm mafia. It literally is "I feel that he is mafia".
You have a 6/30 chance of feeling correctly. IE RNG. That's 20% btw, a lot lower than 99%
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On December 29 2010 07:39 annul wrote: you do not seem to understand math
if there is a "99%" chance he is mafia, the only thing you can gain is 1% certainty by waiting.
in exchange for this 1% certainty, assume we attack someone on RNG basis. we give up 80% certainty today and, in exchange for ONE PERCENT chance to save a blue, we take a ~33% chance of randoming a "different" blue. an actual blue.
On November 18 2010 10:45 Pandain wrote:Agreed LSB, and again, that just proves furthormore what shoudl be obvious by now, Glasse is frickin lying. For example, I've shown that really the only two-three cases are either 1.Me and Coag are mafia(again, you did bring up he voted me pretty darn quick.) 2.Glasse is mafia alone or even 3.Glasse and Coag are mafia(coag protected glasse, glasse MCED him.) Lynching Glasse is the safest choice in all of those, especially when you start to use your noggin  .
Sounds familiar?
Someone telling us to ignore all the cases because they are so so sure that someone is red.
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On December 29 2010 07:43 annul wrote: i do not play this game RNG. if this game was entirely RNG then what is the point of playing at all, of analysis, etc?
i do not have a 6/30 chance of feeling correctly. my "feelings" are not RNG-based. All right then. How are your "feelings" 100% pointing to mafia? Have you compared my current play to my previous play? Have you considered if I actually was mafia, how I would act?
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On December 29 2010 08:47 bumatlarge wrote:I am curious as to how people are shifting votes around together very smoothly. Im sure RoL gave a relatively similar arguement on seraph and it pittered out. Now insanious points brocket very reasonably and 5 people shift their votes? Im actually itching to see what LSB would pop now... Sorry if you are a vig buddy  Because Brocket posted only once, and people realize if we don't deal with inactives, the town will lose.
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