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TL Mafia XXVIII - Page 24

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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youngminii
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Australia7514 Posts
July 18 2010 20:26 GMT
#461
Yeah I was a bit confused when you said YI.

You know what, I'm just gonna drop it. As tree hugger said I'm just wasting space and creating confusion.

@ Pandain: A death post is the one post you're allowed to make after you die where you reveal what you are.
lalala
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
July 18 2010 20:27 GMT
#462
The "not lynching 1st day" has been discussed to death in other games. It is 99% of the time a disadvantageous plan, even with a small number of people. In the overall scheme of things we need to get rid of someone by town decision, and we have alot of posts to base it on. We have an ok shot at hitting a mafia right here so I suggest we do it.

-Don't hit an EXTREMELY active person. They could be mafia, but they are putting themselves out there and will eventually be weeded out.
-Don't hit those in danger of modkills. If they do some last minute stunt, well massive FoS on them for it.

The above list looks ok, but I'm going to shy away from Darth, because I called him out another game for being way too helpful (weird, but he was red that game) and hes trying something different. I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt that he's just changing up his playstyle to avoid getting killed again, and I'm not implying that it seems scummy at all for him. Please reconsider as of this moment. Darth WOULD lift a finger to defend himself the same way no matter his role. I think he knows this so he's gonna try his luck. In fact I think hes blue, because I havent seen him play it, and it's a different style, so Im going to take some heat for him right now and ask that if you really are bent on voting for darth, vote for me instead Young seems green imo and Ketomai is still in DANGERZONE.

Hyperbola seems like a viable candidate from what I read, BUT SO DOES DIVINEK (DIEDIEDIE)
... ok I'll let him slide today

unvote
##Vote Hyperbola
Together but separate, like oatmeal
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
July 18 2010 20:37 GMT
#463
Difference between Day 1 Lynch/No Lynch is marginal. Numbers, since I am so good at them:
+ Show Spoiler +
Day 1 Lynch:
24-23-21
21-20-18
18-17-15
15-14-12
12-11-9
9-8-6

Day 1 No Lynch:
24-24-22
22-21-19
19-18-16
16-15-13
13-12-10
10-9-7
7-6-4

Looking only at vanilla KP (lynching, mafia hits) the difference is that we live for one day longer without a lynch. Considering all the tricks we have in this game (hatters, suicide bomber, medic) and all the uncertainty it brings, a Day 1 mislynch is a marginal cost to pay for the information we could get.
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
July 18 2010 20:38 GMT
#464
Vote Count:
6] Hyperbola (Misder, Divinek, Pandain, Zeks, SiNiquity, bumatlarge)
3] YoungMinii (XeliN, Amber[LighT, Roffles)
2] DarthThienAn (d3_crescentia, Pyrrhuloxia)
2] ketomai (citi.zen, lakrismamma)
2] Amber[LighT] (jayme, DarthThienAn),
1] citi.zen (rastaban)
1] BC (~opz~)
1] SiNiquity (Hyperbola)
1] Pandain (BC)
1] LaXerCannon (tree.hugger)
1] Infundibulum (youngminii)

5] abstain (LaXerCannon, tricode, SouthRawrea, Foolishness, Chaoser)

Not voting and in risk of modkill: 4] brownbear, Infundibulum, Subversion, ketomai


If you wish to replace into this game, PM me, and I will replace someone who I modkill.
I have class, so this will be the last vote count until I get back if I have time later.
the day ends in a little under 4 1/2 hours, at 9pm est/10kst
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 18 2010 20:49 GMT
#465
On July 19 2010 05:37 d3_crescentia wrote:
Difference between Day 1 Lynch/No Lynch is marginal. Numbers, since I am so good at them:
+ Show Spoiler +
Day 1 Lynch:
24-23-21
21-20-18
18-17-15
15-14-12
12-11-9
9-8-6

Day 1 No Lynch:
24-24-22
22-21-19
19-18-16
16-15-13
13-12-10
10-9-7
7-6-4

Looking only at vanilla KP (lynching, mafia hits) the difference is that we live for one day longer without a lynch. Considering all the tricks we have in this game (hatters, suicide bomber, medic) and all the uncertainty it brings, a Day 1 mislynch is a marginal cost to pay for the information we could get.


I think it's less about the days and more about the fact that we get tons of information from looking at vote lists
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
July 18 2010 20:51 GMT
#466
Do we know how many townies there are? 2, 3?
chaoser
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States5541 Posts
July 18 2010 20:53 GMT
#467
On July 19 2010 05:51 Pandain wrote:
Do we know how many townies there are? 2, 3?


There's 24 townies
Haven't you heard? I'm not an ex-progamer. I'm not a poker player. I'm not an admin of the site. I'm mother fucking Rekrul.
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
July 18 2010 21:00 GMT
#468
On July 19 2010 05:10 DarthThienAn wrote:
If you disagree with my plan, let me explain my train of thought. People are going to get modkilled. We want to get rid of mafia. Modkills are going to kill those people anyway, therefore we should lynch someone who would not be modkilled. There are plenty of people who are being unhelpful. I am an example of it - look through to find more people like me. I don't have time to find people like that, but again, d3 is an example. Misder might be an example iirc. Chaoser would be an example. Therefore, we lynch one of those kinds of people, and help the town out by not being worried about it later (is this person mafia lurking or just inactive?) etc etc.

Hey guess what - people can be as "helpful" as they want so long as they themselves aren't being targeted. Someone can run the whole active townie gig for an entire game and still be scum so long as they lead the rest of the town in the "right direction" by virtue of their calm-and-collected persona. Some scum will play more actively to maintain the appearance of a model citizen. You've done it; I've done it; everyone's done it (that is, if they've played as mafia more than once). "Laying low" is just a playstyle and not an indication of mafia.

But hey, if you wanna lynch me, let's get this ball rolling. The way I see it you stand to lose much more than I do.

The people we should be trying to pin down and confirm should be our most active, most valued posters. I know nothing about youngminii but that s/he did excellently in a previous game, and so we should keep an eye out. I find it interesting that BC's earlier list did NOT include infundibilum, and I'm wondering what THAT's about. I'm NOT suspicious of Foolishness because usually he would have checked in at this point with some abrasive comment or other.
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
July 18 2010 21:01 GMT
#469
On July 19 2010 05:49 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2010 05:37 d3_crescentia wrote:
Difference between Day 1 Lynch/No Lynch is marginal. Numbers, since I am so good at them:
+ Show Spoiler +
Day 1 Lynch:
24-23-21
21-20-18
18-17-15
15-14-12
12-11-9
9-8-6

Day 1 No Lynch:
24-24-22
22-21-19
19-18-16
16-15-13
13-12-10
10-9-7
7-6-4

Looking only at vanilla KP (lynching, mafia hits) the difference is that we live for one day longer without a lynch. Considering all the tricks we have in this game (hatters, suicide bomber, medic) and all the uncertainty it brings, a Day 1 mislynch is a marginal cost to pay for the information we could get.


I think it's less about the days and more about the fact that we get tons of information from looking at vote lists

Exactly my point, thank you.
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 18 2010 21:29 GMT
#470
Ahhhh shti!

I am back, sorry. Is it too late to avoid modkill?
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 18 2010 21:30 GMT
#471
###Vote: Hyperbola
SUNSFANNED
BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 18 2010 21:31 GMT
#472
Whew, looks like I got back in time. Sorry about that. Time to go read the thread.
SUNSFANNED
citi.zen
Profile Joined April 2009
2509 Posts
July 18 2010 22:12 GMT
#473
On July 19 2010 05:17 DarthThienAn wrote:
ebwop: did I say YellowInk? I think I meant youngminii. lol.

Anyway, later all. Probably be back after the vote. Hope you guys don't kill me.

Death Post:
+ Show Spoiler +
Townie

There are no death posts or coroners in this set-up. Roles are revealed by the mod.
Aut viam inveniam, aut faciam.
Protactinium
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada550 Posts
July 18 2010 22:15 GMT
#474
Hello all. I have PMed the moderator asking to replace somebody. Though he has acquiesced and granted the replacement (for the player Ketomai) he has yet to acknowledge this in the thread. Please grant me a while to read through the thread, though for now I will

##Vote: Abstain

as a placeholder.
And so, we find the Sublime.
Jayme
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
United States5866 Posts
July 18 2010 22:53 GMT
#475
The whole mini Hyperbola bandwagon was rather funny. He comes in and says a few lines and then 3 people just jump on him like a pack of wild dogs.

Initially this bandwagon looked rather harmless but now he's got 7 votes on him and unless a miracle happens it looks like he's being lynched.

That being said anybody who advocates no lynch as much as Youngminii has is crazy sketchy while at the same time ignoring why people have said it's a terrible thing to do. In the end it's rarely the blues that actually win you the game and it's a few good analytical townies that save the day. If a sudden bandwagon comes up and all of a sudden a detective gets killed you have yourself at the very least a strong suspect list.

SO yea

##Unvote
##Vote: Youngminii


Even if you're townie your discussion sidetracked us like crazy.
Python is garbage, number 1 advocate of getting rid of it.
youngminii
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Australia7514 Posts
July 18 2010 22:54 GMT
#476
I probably deserve that vote.
lalala
Hyperbola
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States2536 Posts
July 18 2010 23:08 GMT
#477
Guys, really?
Okay so I'm pretty much lynched because you people can't take a joke. So I'm leaving this as my legacy:

People I think are mafia or atleast seem fishy:

Brown Bear

On July 19 2010 06:29 BrownBear wrote:
Ahhhh shti!

I am back, sorry. Is it too late to avoid modkill?

On July 19 2010 06:30 BrownBear wrote:
###Vote: Hyperbola

On July 19 2010 06:31 BrownBear wrote:
Whew, looks like I got back in time. Sorry about that. Time to go read the thread.

Really dude? Jumping on a bandwagon before even reading the thread?

youngminii

On July 18 2010 21:01 youngminii wrote:
Actually, I'm not going to overlook it. Why would you place a vote on me 'just in case'? Especially after you heard BC say I was a strong player (which citi.zen evidently disagrees with)? You have these two guys criticising my post when it's not even serious, you jump on this bandwagon and then put a placeholder vote on me just in case?

Does this not strike you as scummy at all? Overly scummy but scummy nonetheless? In fact, I think this is the scummiest post I have seen all game (not that long). However, I don't think you're really that bad at this game and even a mediocre scum wouldn't do that kind of mistake. Will need confirmation on other more experienced TL mafia players on your meta.


You are entirely too defensive when a person puts a vote on you as a placeholder. Either you are scum or a very nervous blue.

You also endorse no lynching on the first day to appear to be "pro-life" and "for the town". I really don't see your reasoning behind this because a random shot in the dark of inactives or suspicious players can in fact nab a red. And if it doesn't you only lose a green because a blue would at least roleclaim or try to join up with trust circles to avoid getting lynched in this manner. (Divided blues that don't make connections are really hindering the town).

SiNiquity

I had absolutely no evidence against you before but now you are starting to stink of scum

at first you took my accusal of you as a joke and brushed it off, but when people started accusing me of being mafia you saw an opportunity and went into action to provide as much evidence as you could find against me by even looking into past games. Then you just completely shut your mouth and is now waiting for the situation to close to start talking again (afraid you'll say something to bring attention to you and me being the perfect scapegoat).

Also your previous posts were really try-hard in my opinion. You contributed absolutely nothing by typing up lengthy posts that just summarized what everyone said. Besides that you clarified and discussed some rules of the game and such. You want to make it seem like you are contributing and keep a neutral and non aggressive stance like a reporter so no one would suspect you.

This could just be your playstyle but it seems like a very cautious red one to me.

LaXerCannon

On July 18 2010 09:30 LaXerCannon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2010 09:04 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
If we randomly pick someone, we have a better chance of getting a blue then a red. Why don't we try voting for who we think is red? It's not like the game will automatically get easier for us as it goes on, since there aren't any clues. Also, at this point everyone's votes are spread out so we are nearly guaranteed an innocent lynch. Getting everyone to agree to vote for the random could be awfully tough.

IF we wanted to do the random thing, we could tie it in advance to something numerical in one or both of the playoff games tonight. Like number of factories made by WeMade players, or that number divided by two, or taking the number of letters in each winning player's ID and looping back to 1 if it goes over 30. It wouldn't be random, but we could independently agree on it, and none of us could influence it in advance. We don't know the distribution of red/blue/green in the list so it is almost as good as random unless the reds get us to agree on a bad number (like maybe they get us to agree on something times 2, which would never land on the first person on the list).


We can take this step further by listing inactives in reverse order and numbering them from 1-X, use a number we obtain from the second paragraph and count through the list, looping when needed.

I'm getting carried away here...

I think lynching an inactive player is the best course of action.

I also think we should get a list of players who are new to this mafia game so we know who they are. A new player who's scum can easily hide under that mask; I think it's best we can monitor them from the get go.

On July 18 2010 09:33 LaXerCannon wrote:
##Abstain in case I can't find it within myself to wake up early tomorrow to post (no other time >_>)

On July 18 2010 11:38 LaXerCannon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2010 10:40 youngminii wrote:
On July 18 2010 10:13 SiNiquity wrote:
On July 18 2010 09:59 youngminii wrote:
On July 18 2010 09:51 Bill Murray wrote:
EVERYONE abstaining? I guess it'd no lynch. Didn't expect that to happen!

Okay so everyone should abstain imo. If you have any objections to this idea, please raise it asap because we need everyone to switch their vote to abstaining. Even one vote = lynch and that will be very suspicious of the person who left their vote by 'accident'.

##Unvote Pyrr
##Vote Abstain

I'm not sure I like it. The inactives will get modkilled, no one gets lynched, the mafia kills 2 more people, and then we're back at square one, no?


On July 18 2010 10:16 Jayme wrote:
No-Lynch?

Oh hell no absolutely not.

I don't understand how a no-lynch is beneficial to the town if you're going to kill an inactive anyway. You learn absolutely nothing from it, you don't even have a CHANCE at hitting a red, and you're basically wasting a whole day on nothing.

No lynch is a terrible idea.

If we lynch someone on the first day without any good reason there's a solid chance (12/15) that we'll hit a townie. That's 80%. There's also a better chance of lynching a blue than there is of scum. A no lynch is a gift that we should utilize instead of RVS.


Bad idea, there's no incentive for town to post -> silent town = dead town

On July 18 2010 16:13 LaXerCannon wrote:
playoffs are done for today! my next post will be in....around 16-18 hours.

First LaxerCannon recommends lynching inactives but then goes ahead and abstains. Then he goes on again about how we should just line up inactives to lynch and doesn't change his vote. Then he vanishes. This is fishy for two reasons. First the obvious contradiction, and second, the effort to try and direct suspicion away from him. He keeps pushing the idea to lynch random inactive people while the town debates over a few suspects and really does nothing but push the town in the wrong direction: not analysing the game but killing off quiet people. Then he talks about playoffs and keeps endorcing random picking ideas. That is wayy too anti-town to be a blue. And if he's green he doesn't care about the game much.

-------------------------------------------------------
this is all I have now and hope I at least contributed to the game before I die

sorry about trying to have fun guys :/

j/k

~peace
####
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
July 18 2010 23:25 GMT
#478
Switching my Vote from abstain:

##Vote BloodyCobbler

Just based on bad vibes so far. I am busy irl the past few days, but I will be active permanently by the first night for the rest of the game. If the first night goes by and I haven't made an active contribution feel free to hold me accountable.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
July 18 2010 23:27 GMT
#479
On July 19 2010 08:08 Hyperbola wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Guys, really?
Okay so I'm pretty much lynched because you people can't take a joke. So I'm leaving this as my legacy:

People I think are mafia or atleast seem fishy:

Brown Bear

On July 19 2010 06:29 BrownBear wrote:
Ahhhh shti!

I am back, sorry. Is it too late to avoid modkill?

On July 19 2010 06:30 BrownBear wrote:
###Vote: Hyperbola

On July 19 2010 06:31 BrownBear wrote:
Whew, looks like I got back in time. Sorry about that. Time to go read the thread.

Really dude? Jumping on a bandwagon before even reading the thread?

youngminii

On July 18 2010 21:01 youngminii wrote:
Actually, I'm not going to overlook it. Why would you place a vote on me 'just in case'? Especially after you heard BC say I was a strong player (which citi.zen evidently disagrees with)? You have these two guys criticising my post when it's not even serious, you jump on this bandwagon and then put a placeholder vote on me just in case?

Does this not strike you as scummy at all? Overly scummy but scummy nonetheless? In fact, I think this is the scummiest post I have seen all game (not that long). However, I don't think you're really that bad at this game and even a mediocre scum wouldn't do that kind of mistake. Will need confirmation on other more experienced TL mafia players on your meta.


You are entirely too defensive when a person puts a vote on you as a placeholder. Either you are scum or a very nervous blue.

You also endorse no lynching on the first day to appear to be "pro-life" and "for the town". I really don't see your reasoning behind this because a random shot in the dark of inactives or suspicious players can in fact nab a red. And if it doesn't you only lose a green because a blue would at least roleclaim or try to join up with trust circles to avoid getting lynched in this manner. (Divided blues that don't make connections are really hindering the town).

SiNiquity

I had absolutely no evidence against you before but now you are starting to stink of scum

at first you took my accusal of you as a joke and brushed it off, but when people started accusing me of being mafia you saw an opportunity and went into action to provide as much evidence as you could find against me by even looking into past games. Then you just completely shut your mouth and is now waiting for the situation to close to start talking again (afraid you'll say something to bring attention to you and me being the perfect scapegoat).

Also your previous posts were really try-hard in my opinion. You contributed absolutely nothing by typing up lengthy posts that just summarized what everyone said. Besides that you clarified and discussed some rules of the game and such. You want to make it seem like you are contributing and keep a neutral and non aggressive stance like a reporter so no one would suspect you.

This could just be your playstyle but it seems like a very cautious red one to me.

LaXerCannon

On July 18 2010 09:30 LaXerCannon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2010 09:04 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
If we randomly pick someone, we have a better chance of getting a blue then a red. Why don't we try voting for who we think is red? It's not like the game will automatically get easier for us as it goes on, since there aren't any clues. Also, at this point everyone's votes are spread out so we are nearly guaranteed an innocent lynch. Getting everyone to agree to vote for the random could be awfully tough.

IF we wanted to do the random thing, we could tie it in advance to something numerical in one or both of the playoff games tonight. Like number of factories made by WeMade players, or that number divided by two, or taking the number of letters in each winning player's ID and looping back to 1 if it goes over 30. It wouldn't be random, but we could independently agree on it, and none of us could influence it in advance. We don't know the distribution of red/blue/green in the list so it is almost as good as random unless the reds get us to agree on a bad number (like maybe they get us to agree on something times 2, which would never land on the first person on the list).


We can take this step further by listing inactives in reverse order and numbering them from 1-X, use a number we obtain from the second paragraph and count through the list, looping when needed.

I'm getting carried away here...

I think lynching an inactive player is the best course of action.

I also think we should get a list of players who are new to this mafia game so we know who they are. A new player who's scum can easily hide under that mask; I think it's best we can monitor them from the get go.

On July 18 2010 09:33 LaXerCannon wrote:
##Abstain in case I can't find it within myself to wake up early tomorrow to post (no other time >_>)

On July 18 2010 11:38 LaXerCannon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2010 10:40 youngminii wrote:
On July 18 2010 10:13 SiNiquity wrote:
On July 18 2010 09:59 youngminii wrote:
On July 18 2010 09:51 Bill Murray wrote:
EVERYONE abstaining? I guess it'd no lynch. Didn't expect that to happen!

Okay so everyone should abstain imo. If you have any objections to this idea, please raise it asap because we need everyone to switch their vote to abstaining. Even one vote = lynch and that will be very suspicious of the person who left their vote by 'accident'.

##Unvote Pyrr
##Vote Abstain

I'm not sure I like it. The inactives will get modkilled, no one gets lynched, the mafia kills 2 more people, and then we're back at square one, no?


On July 18 2010 10:16 Jayme wrote:
No-Lynch?

Oh hell no absolutely not.

I don't understand how a no-lynch is beneficial to the town if you're going to kill an inactive anyway. You learn absolutely nothing from it, you don't even have a CHANCE at hitting a red, and you're basically wasting a whole day on nothing.

No lynch is a terrible idea.

If we lynch someone on the first day without any good reason there's a solid chance (12/15) that we'll hit a townie. That's 80%. There's also a better chance of lynching a blue than there is of scum. A no lynch is a gift that we should utilize instead of RVS.


Bad idea, there's no incentive for town to post -> silent town = dead town

On July 18 2010 16:13 LaXerCannon wrote:
playoffs are done for today! my next post will be in....around 16-18 hours.

First LaxerCannon recommends lynching inactives but then goes ahead and abstains. Then he goes on again about how we should just line up inactives to lynch and doesn't change his vote. Then he vanishes. This is fishy for two reasons. First the obvious contradiction, and second, the effort to try and direct suspicion away from him. He keeps pushing the idea to lynch random inactive people while the town debates over a few suspects and really does nothing but push the town in the wrong direction: not analysing the game but killing off quiet people. Then he talks about playoffs and keeps endorcing random picking ideas. That is wayy too anti-town to be a blue. And if he's green he doesn't care about the game much.

-------------------------------------------------------
this is all I have now and hope I at least contributed to the game before I die

sorry about trying to have fun guys :/

j/k

~peace



Wait I'm not one of them? Even though I've been rallying against you hardcore?

I feel so special n.n

But really, even though this list may be helpful later, I could add you to the list and make it the strongest case. It's just without a strong anti-lynch group, one of us has to be lynched. And unfortunately, jokes like yours can be taken too seriously to be left alone. Even if your not mafia, at least you're probably not a blue(based on your posts).

BrownBear
Profile Joined March 2010
United States6894 Posts
July 18 2010 23:36 GMT
#480
On July 19 2010 08:08 Hyperbola wrote:

Brown Bear

Show nested quote +
On July 19 2010 06:29 BrownBear wrote:
Ahhhh shti!

I am back, sorry. Is it too late to avoid modkill?

Show nested quote +
On July 19 2010 06:30 BrownBear wrote:
###Vote: Hyperbola

Show nested quote +
On July 19 2010 06:31 BrownBear wrote:
Whew, looks like I got back in time. Sorry about that. Time to go read the thread.

Really dude? Jumping on a bandwagon before even reading the thread?


My bad, didn't realize you could abstain. Should have done that, but at this point it's not like it really matters :/
SUNSFANNED
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