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World at War Mafia - Page 98

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haster27
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Taiwan809 Posts
April 06 2010 03:16 GMT
#1941
Oh wait. Nikon. God, why do I keep messing up these names?
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
April 06 2010 03:19 GMT
#1942
Just looking at the numbers, there are 6 or 7 townies left.
Abenson is town
opz is town
jeejee is town (fairly sure because of nuke steal)
I think that it is safe to consider myself town at this point, nikon probably wouldnt be dying if not for me
I think that fishball's role seems reasonable.
Add yourself to the list (I'm thinking haster/infun)

Uh oh, that is 6 townies. The town mafia ratio has to be 7:5. if it were 6:5 we would lose. I think 8:4 is unlikely considering how many there were originally.

is seems logical that because d3 saved LMNOP, is d3 is mafia then LMNOP is mafia. and if LMNOP is innocent, d3 can't be mafia. However, there isn't enough room on the townie list for both of them, only one if you dont believe fishball and haster/infun are town. Thus, LMNOP and d3 are both mafia. We also have nikon confirmed mafia.

This leaves Caller and nemy. One or both of them are mafia. If nemy is mafia, we are fine. But we should assume the worst and say he is town. If that is the case we need to either save him, OR kill a different member of the mafia today.

Also, because nikon claimed to have taken a hit last night, he had to have known that no one would counter claim him. Either the mafia have 2 kp and they stacked, or they had one extra KP for some reason, or he just assumed the SK would not reveal himself.

regarding the bus driver role, if caller is mafia, it could simply not exist, OR it could belong to town, and no one is claiming it because they would probably get lynched for claiming it.

Sorry this isnt very organized, but I'm typing my ideas out as i think of them.
So, Abenson opz jeejee fishball iaaan haster infun are town

Nikon d3 LMNOP caller and/or nemy are mafia.
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
April 06 2010 03:21 GMT
#1943
Or I guess I should say that I think infun and haster and fishball are most likely town out of caller nemy fishball haster and infun.
haster27
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Taiwan809 Posts
April 06 2010 03:34 GMT
#1944
My suggestion

Confirmed Townies
Abenson
~OpZ~

Likely Townies
JeeJee
Fishball

Undecided
d3_crescentia
haster27
Elemenope
iNfuNdiBuLuM
laaan
nemY

Mafia suspect
Nikon (lol)
Caller

We lynch Nikon for: concealing his abilities (wrong roleclaim) which clearly led to the disadvantage of the town. Fishball check one person from Undecided list to prevent potential Mafia from influencing his decisions, or at least try not to follow other's suggestions beside the ones coming from two confirmed Townie. Caller is also highly likely Mafia since Japan who saved him isn't stepping out, but let him also randomly check someone out of Undecided list as well just in case. Even if he is Mafia, we can use his night action claim as material to track down the Mafia later on. Also, laaan, I am sorry but I cannot place you in the Likely Townies list yet. You got out of suspect list because you cornered Nikon, and the fact that Nikon conveniently had counter-nuke abilities he could utilize makes me think you could have tried to stage all this.
Fishball
Profile Joined December 2005
Canada4788 Posts
April 06 2010 03:37 GMT
#1945
You're assuming that I don't get role blocked again.
Although it is possible that you can't be blocked two nights in a row, like in past games. Regardless I would be using my powers anyways.

Also, you're assuming that if I actually survive the Night
靈魂交響曲
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
April 06 2010 03:38 GMT
#1946
Okay, what do you think about what I said about both LMNOP being red if d3 is red, and d3 being green if LMNOP is green? If you can group two people together it is pretty big, considering the number of players left; 7:5 town to mafia max, 8:4 MAYBE (not)
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
April 06 2010 03:39 GMT
#1947
and also, if nemy is town, and dies, and we lynch nikon, there will be 4 mafia 6 town. there are potentially 2 night hits, if there are town loses.
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 06 2010 03:44 GMT
#1948
On April 06 2010 12:38 Iaaan wrote:
Okay, what do you think about what I said about both LMNOP being red if d3 is red, and d3 being green if LMNOP is green? If you can group two people together it is pretty big, considering the number of players left; 7:5 town to mafia max, 8:4 MAYBE (not)


The other possibility is that d3 is green and LMNOP is red. I don't think this is too far fetched, given how LMNOP was posting in the beginning he was being a big centerpiece of the town and has since become less active.

These are just quick thoughts. I need to go through the thread to check something.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
April 06 2010 03:54 GMT
#1949
We will learn as we lynch peoples roles/countries. If nikon flips japan, we know caller is mafia. Or maybe we'll learn something else, that is the most significant thing I've thought of.
Iaaan
Profile Joined June 2009
Canada578 Posts
April 06 2010 03:56 GMT
#1950
or if nemy flips mafia nikon is probably a third party, and vice verse. not sure how that would help tho
d3_crescentia
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States4054 Posts
April 06 2010 04:36 GMT
#1951
I got lost on a train and just got back. It is currently 6:16AM in Florence, and I need to take another train to Rome in less than an hour. So, let's run through this quickly:

##vote: Nikon

We vote to lynch Nikon to force him to tell us his real role. I believe he is either mafia/SK at this point, given his shoddy behavior so far, but it would be far more useful if he could actually disclose the powers of his role (i.e. if it can be used in the town's favor by redirection a suspicious nuke). For those of you that are worried about mafia hits on him if he turns out to be useable, the fact that he can draw hits away/make mafia think twice about firing nukes is enough. Of course, if he's actually SK/mafia, then he deserves to die, period.

Second, I've actually been watching Elemenope for a while now after Xelin stepped up and claimed for NK; at first I found it rather odd that Xelin would think that (and given his previous track record I wasn't surprised). But since that point, it seems that Elemenope seems to have been cruising on his previous good posting and not saying much of substance. Yeah, yeah, I know - pot kettle black, but there's definitely some sort of inconsistency in his posting style. I really disagree with Iaaan's if X is red then so is Y kind of thinking, as from past experience it just doesn't work very well. What we actually have to watch out for is who ISN'T accusing whom, and the patterns that lie there. For that matter, Caller hasn't said shit about shit, and even if he DOES turn out to be town it's a high possibility that all of his DT info will be useless if he's paranoid. Nemy is also a good target. I would be a reasonable target as well, though at this point if you don't believe I'm town I don't have much I can do to convince you =/

Third, we have ~3 nukes before we run into danger zone for ToD. I definitely expect to see some nukes coming out of the woodwork, but we have to remember the risk of retaliation nukes. I am hoping some of our remaining townies have anti-nukes to fire in the next few days.
once, not long ago, there was a moon here
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 06 2010 05:01 GMT
#1952
Nuking Synopsis


Day 1
1a. RoL fires nukes at Caller
1b. Japan shoots down RoL's nukes.

2. RoL is voted off the island. sorry, buddy
3. RoL fires nukes at JohnnySpazz as part of death-wish power

4. tree.hugger fires nukes to L
5. North Korea (Xelin) fires nukes at Elemenope

6. JSpazz fucks up his PM with Ace somehow (?) and explodes after failing to use his antinukes. Sounds like the USA to me!
7. L is saved from TH's nukes, however this is not clearly written in the day post and the country that fires the antinukes is left out. Upon further examination of the thread, Bill Murray, who is India, claims to have saved L.

8a. Versatile fires nukes at L.
8b. Bill Murray fires nukes at Versatile. Fake
8c. Versatile fires retaliation nukes at Bill Murray.

9. Sweden shoots down the nukes from North Korea headed towards Elemenope. d3_crescentia later claims to be Sweden.
10. L fires nukes at Caller. Fake, day extender

11a. L, Egypt, explodes (thanks, Versatile/tree.hugger).
11b. Bill Murray, India, explodes (thanks, Versatile).

12. OpZ fires nukes at tree.hugger. Tree.hugger, in a rare and spectacular showing of restraint and self control, does not retaliate.
13. Nikon fires nukes at Zona

14. tree.hugger explodes without as much as a murmur of protest. Goodnight, sweet prince.

15a. OpZ debates anti-nuking Zona, but it appears he can't/won't (Abenson has the anti-nukes?)
15b. Nikon claims that his nuke is fake
15c. The United Kingdom {Abenson} shoots down Nikon's nukes

Night 1
{{Finally}}

1. meeple killed
2. Amber killed

3. Ace almost modkills Xelin, but withholds.
4. JeeJee's nukes are stolen by Colombia, meaning he is very probably town. Is also roleblocked.
5. Fishball checks Caller, who visited meeple

6. Caller says he checked Nikon but got meeple who showed up as red and something weird happened that I still don't understand?


Day 2

1a. Xelin fires nukes at Zona
1b. Xelin claims his nuke is fake.

2. Zona, Iraq, explodes, in a rough approximation of the gulf war.
3. Xelin is voted off the island. but he actually turns into an alien cockraoch thing and flies away in his spaceship, plotting his return to Earth...

Night 2


1.Versatile, the Russki, is killed, da.

2. Fishballs is roleblocked
3. Abenson has his nukes stolen, but not really, since OpZ actually had them (lol).
4. Caller checks d3, alignment returned is red.

Day 3

1a. haster27 claims to be Portugal, vanilla
1b. OpZ claims Canada, mason
1c. Abenson claims U.K., mason
1d. Elemenope claims Vietnam, vanilla
1e. Infun claims China, paranoid gun owner
1f. d3_crescentia claims to be Sweden
1g. Fishball claims to be France, tracker
1h. Caller claims to be Israel, alignment cop
1i. Nemy claims to be Italy, w/ 2 nukes

2. Nikon claims to be a veteran and to have taken a hit. Offers to nuke iaaan to test his abilities.
3. Nikon fires nukes at iaaan, in order to confirm that his Day 1 nukes were in fact fake.

4. Abenson and OpZ fake nuke each other to extend the day.

5a. Nikons nuke is a fake after all.
5b. LMNOP: "What were you thinking when you nuked iaaan?" Nikon: "Nuke me to find out."

6. Nemy returns. Fires nukes at Nikon because he thinks the town wants him to. Actually, not many people were on so it's hard to say what anyone really wanted.
7. The nukes are reflected back to Nemy. I bet a lot of people missed this post:
On March 27 2010 08:26 Versatile wrote:
i wish someone had the power to redirect nukes.


Well Versatile, your wish has been granted. Rejoice!

8. Here we now are, standing at the edge of tomorrow.


LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 06 2010 05:03 GMT
#1953
On March 28 2010 07:05 XeliN wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2010 06:46 tree.hugger wrote:
the tooth fairy was a lie


Fuck You

On March 31 2010 05:05 Abenson wrote:
Wait, just to make sure.
I cannot post since I'm sleeping right?


These posts made me lol.

On March 30 2010 05:56 Zona wrote:
Hey guys, let's play spot a REAL contradiction. Here's an easy one to start off:

Show nested quote +
On March 24 2010 01:07 Nikon wrote:
Let's not nuke anyone just yet, shall we?

Show nested quote +
On March 24 2010 04:43 Nikon wrote:
Overall, I'd say that I agree with the "Lynch the nuker" plan. What's really interesting is: what if the mafia doesn't have nukes? Then what?

Show nested quote +
On March 24 2010 20:32 Nikon wrote:
No, we need an exact definite decision against nukes. Instantly lynching the person that launched them is a good one at this point of the game, since it doesn't leave room for him to retaliate to counter-nukes, should he have more than one. I know that you don't want to get lynched and there are votes for you, but flaunting your arsenal in the manner that you are, isn't going to help you. Even if you launch nuke(s) we can shoot them down, don't worry.

Show nested quote +
On March 28 2010 23:01 Nikon wrote:
I don't want to get nuked by you crazy sobs.

Show nested quote +
On March 28 2010 23:19 Nikon wrote:
Let's abide by the lynch a nuker plan then, starting with Xelin.

Very consistent so far! I wonder what's coming next?

Show nested quote +
On March 30 2010 01:49 Nikon wrote:
Oh yeah, before I forget...

##Nuke: Zona



This is a good post by Zona recapping some of Nikon's earlier posts.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
flamewheel
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
FREEAGLELAND26781 Posts
April 06 2010 05:08 GMT
#1954
On April 06 2010 11:39 Abenson wrote:
This mafia forum has been REALLY healthy for my post count :O
I've over 405 posts now
Here is my post breakdown:

5% : Posts on TL.net
94%: Spamming on Mafia Posting my thoughts on TL Mafia forums
1% : Posting something helpful for the town

2400 and going. Then again, most are from LRing.
But who cares about post count
Writerdamn, i was two days from retirement
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 06 2010 05:15 GMT
#1955
hey. stop trying to bury my helpful posts with spam
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Nikon
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Bulgaria5710 Posts
April 06 2010 08:14 GMT
#1956
On April 06 2010 11:46 haster27 wrote:
...Okay, time for calmness.

It is highly likely Nikon has reflect the nuke-back ability, and he is clearly Mafia for hiding this ability. Since we cannot remove him by nuke, this makes him a high possibility Mafia target. Also, does this move prove nemY as Town also since he is currently being targetted by highly likely Mafia nuke? At least, it is obvious we need to intercept it to keep Townie numbers high.

There are also another possibility; Mafia has someone with ability that can affect 'any' nukes in the air, and is using it to frame Nikon, but considering the situation I feel this is extremely unlikely.

Finally, what do we do with Caller - who is under fire due to Japan not roleclaiming - since nemY nuke turned out to be ineffective? Do we nuke him or keep him alive for the next day lynch?


What? Don't you think that it's better to conceal it on the chance that a mafia nukes me? If I claim it, it becomes quite useless in that regard, don't you think?
nemY
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States3119 Posts
April 06 2010 08:36 GMT
#1957
sup guys can i get a save?
nemY
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States3119 Posts
April 06 2010 08:51 GMT
#1958
6. Nemy returns. Fires nukes at Nikon because he thinks the town wants him to. Actually, not many people were on so it's hard to say what anyone really wanted.
7. The nukes are reflected back to Nemy. I bet a lot of people missed this post:


I guess in the big picture not a lot of people were "explicitly" for it, but the people who have contributed the most/maybe most helpful to the town were the ones CALLING for it.

On April 05 2010 07:43 ~OpZ~ wrote:
Or Iaaan I guess to extend the day...

but Nemy...Your job is to nuke Nikon. If not, you not you might as well claim mafia right now....


On April 05 2010 08:40 Iaaan wrote:
##nuke abenson

to extend the day because I don't really have any nukes ^.^

Just waiting for nemy to nuke nikon O:


On April 05 2010 10:03 JeeJee wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 05 2010 07:38 ~OpZ~ wrote:
On April 05 2010 04:51 JeeJee wrote:
On April 04 2010 16:47 nemY wrote:
On April 04 2010 13:41 JeeJee wrote:
fair enough
what's your take on his roleclaim? if you believe it why are you lynching a cop? if you don't, why not?


I don't believe he is a cop, because frankly anybody can say whatever they want here and not be verified, correct? Caller only shows up in times of dire situation for himself (ie: he's about to be lynched) and then he goes back to... whatever it is he's doing

when are you going to r/c jeejee?


i don't see the point tbh; if you haven't realized i'm town by now, well, i would advise you to follow the thread more closely in the future.

but i do love your post. "i don't believe his r/c because anyone can r/c whatever the fuck they want. btw when r u gonna r/c??" haha
maybe mafia should kill me and find out my role. if they want to take the risk

also, who's the next day extension-er? me countering opz's nuke a few min before it lands?


You have your regular nuke, and a retaliatory one. It's on you to nuke Abenson, and abenson to retaliate on me.


you have as many retaliatory nukes as u want i thought? so i figured i might as well retal vs u otherwise that one will be wasted
but since iaaan tossed out a fake nuke, doesn't really matter
still waiting on nemy to toss a nuke nikon's way


On April 06 2010 09:00 Elemenope wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 06 2010 01:16 ~OpZ~ wrote:
LMNOP hasn't said shit


I don't really havea nything new to say other than thanks for the anti-nuke d3? I still have my suspicions of Caller, nikon, d3, nemy due to previous reasons listed.

Nemy launched his nuke against Nikon which is what we wanted him to do to prove nikon's veteran status which is what this whole thing hinges around.

Unless you have any specific questions, I'm not sure what else to contribute until this nuke lands.

nemY
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States3119 Posts
April 06 2010 08:55 GMT
#1959
Welcome to WaW! This is a thematic Mafia game in which every player represents a country on the map. All Countries are divided into 2 factions: The Allies (pro-town) and The Conspiracy (Mafia).


I'm quoting this because I've seen a lot of talk about there being a third party in this mafia game. I highly doubt? there actually is, but perhaps there are two mafia factions?
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
April 06 2010 09:52 GMT
#1960
First off. WHY DID EVERYONE VOTE NIKON?

We vote Caller

CALLER IS MAFIA.

Town wouldn't lie about claiming and JAPAN hasn't been claimed ='s Japan is mafia. Can we kill Caller and get this over with, THEN lynch Nikon?
(Ace really should have linked nuke land posts + Night/days to first page)
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
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