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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 948

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2609 Posts
August 04 2026 20:46 GMT
#18941
Not sure if they are just going to do something else, or keep this rolling, it has now been 40 days since Zelensky announced the 40 day blitz.

28 refinery strikes at 20 unique refineries

188.8million metric ton capacity at those sites with 71.4m confirmed shutdown.

29 warehouse/storage (wild berries and competition) at least 1675900 m2 damaged or 313 American football fields

205 shadow fleet vessels and 10 more ferries and various others hit.

Pretty strong 40 days. I don’t see any reason the pressure doesn’t stay or increase.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4654 Posts
August 04 2026 21:07 GMT
#18942
The only reason I could see, is that if they kind of stop for 2-3 month, they can resume hitting where it hurt during winter time, it would also release tension which has the double effect of making it impossible for Putin to call for mobilization, and also it feels even worse when these things starts again and nothing was done to prevent...

My bet is on continuation of this very effective strategy though. Calling for mobilization might be the moment when the duma destitute Putin and take back control and everybody starts acting like nothing happened.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2609 Posts
August 04 2026 21:24 GMT
#18943
I hope so, mobilization seems like all it will accomplish is a bunch more dead and scant few more kms under control for Russia.

There is discontent making it to the surface now. You can see regular citizens talking shit about the government which you didn’t see a couple of years ago, so there hope. But I think we are still a ways from total collapse, or even Putin removal.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12175 Posts
August 05 2026 15:58 GMT
#18944
On August 05 2026 06:07 0x64 wrote:
The only reason I could see, is that if they kind of stop for 2-3 month, they can resume hitting where it hurt during winter time, it would also release tension which has the double effect of making it impossible for Putin to call for mobilization, and also it feels even worse when these things starts again and nothing was done to prevent...

My bet is on continuation of this very effective strategy though. Calling for mobilization might be the moment when the duma destitute Putin and take back control and everybody starts acting like nothing happened.


Isn't it more likely they just tell him behind the scenes that pressure is ramping up and the war needs to end. Just need to phrase it in such a way as to not fall out of a window afterwards.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17862 Posts
August 09 2026 00:37 GMT
#18945
It seems that Ukraine is facing a new crisis now though. They ran out of patriot missiles because US has used them up in the strait and now Russian ballistic missiles are starting to hit Kiyv in larger numbers. They can still stop almost all of the hundreds of shahed drones being sent their way but they're really struggling with ballistics now.

I hope they can overcome this somehow...
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17862 Posts
August 10 2026 10:02 GMT
#18946
And now supposedly Musk is denying Ukraine the use of Starlink for strikes into Russia, trying to force them into a peace deal... It seems like they can't catch a break. I do wonder how this whole conflict would look like if Trump wouldn't cut off their aid and Musk wouldn't work with Putin.

Didn't stop them from hitting 3 refineries over the weekend.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8281 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-08-10 12:49:09
August 10 2026 12:48 GMT
#18947
On August 10 2026 19:02 Manit0u wrote:
And now supposedly Musk is denying Ukraine the use of Starlink for strikes into Russia, trying to force them into a peace deal... It seems like they can't catch a break. I do wonder how this whole conflict would look like if Trump wouldn't cut off their aid and Musk wouldn't work with Putin.

Didn't stop them from hitting 3 refineries over the weekend.


To my knowledge, Musk doesn't control Starlink over Ukraine. He gave that away to the DoD after receiving backlash in the early stages of the war.

This shows clearly that US interests lies in ensuring the war continues. When Ukraine was on the back foot, they shut off Starlink for Russia and things took a hard turn. Now Ukraine has been pushing Russia to the brink, and suddenly US is cutting Ukraine off. The defense industry is running US global policies
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7435 Posts
August 10 2026 13:06 GMT
#18948
On August 10 2026 21:48 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2026 19:02 Manit0u wrote:
And now supposedly Musk is denying Ukraine the use of Starlink for strikes into Russia, trying to force them into a peace deal... It seems like they can't catch a break. I do wonder how this whole conflict would look like if Trump wouldn't cut off their aid and Musk wouldn't work with Putin.

Didn't stop them from hitting 3 refineries over the weekend.


To my knowledge, Musk doesn't control Starlink over Ukraine. He gave that away to the DoD after receiving backlash in the early stages of the war.

This shows clearly that US interests lies in ensuring the war continues. When Ukraine was on the back foot, they shut off Starlink for Russia and things took a hard turn. Now Ukraine has been pushing Russia to the brink, and suddenly US is cutting Ukraine off. The defense industry is running US global policies


Orange man must have been phoning with Putler. Lets hope Selenskyj calls soon
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2609 Posts
August 10 2026 14:43 GMT
#18949
Can this be sourced? It’s not on any of the news I read and the war bloggers I follow haven’t mentioned it. Sounds like it might be wishful thinking from Russia.

MAGA is strangely swinging towards Ukraine. Apparently a lot of the far right voices are losing a lot of their impressions. And people are suggesting that with Russia hurting economically and Trump not really getting anything done for them that they are no longer boosting those accounts. For me, I just hope they are losing steam. But Laura loomer did a full 180 and is now super pro Ukraine so who knows.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17862 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-08-10 15:23:15
August 10 2026 15:19 GMT
#18950
On August 10 2026 23:43 Billyboy wrote:
Can this be sourced? It’s not on any of the news I read and the war bloggers I follow haven’t mentioned it. Sounds like it might be wishful thinking from Russia.

MAGA is strangely swinging towards Ukraine. Apparently a lot of the far right voices are losing a lot of their impressions. And people are suggesting that with Russia hurting economically and Trump not really getting anything done for them that they are no longer boosting those accounts. For me, I just hope they are losing steam. But Laura loomer did a full 180 and is now super pro Ukraine so who knows.


Found it here: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/08/08/8047893/
And they're quoting this as source: https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/08/ukraine-war-zelensky-trump/688203/

American billionaire and SpaceX owner Elon Musk is currently refusing to allow Ukraine to use Starlink satellite internet for strikes on Russian territory because he believes it is time Ukraine concluded a peace deal with Russia.


Maybe Trump admin realized they bit way more than they could chew in Iran so now they're back on Ukraine/Russia peace at any cost plan? Desperately trying to bring in some kind of "win" for Big Don.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12175 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-08-10 15:22:55
August 10 2026 15:21 GMT
#18951
On August 11 2026 00:19 Manit0u wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 10 2026 23:43 Billyboy wrote:
Can this be sourced? It’s not on any of the news I read and the war bloggers I follow haven’t mentioned it. Sounds like it might be wishful thinking from Russia.

MAGA is strangely swinging towards Ukraine. Apparently a lot of the far right voices are losing a lot of their impressions. And people are suggesting that with Russia hurting economically and Trump not really getting anything done for them that they are no longer boosting those accounts. For me, I just hope they are losing steam. But Laura loomer did a full 180 and is now super pro Ukraine so who knows.


Show nested quote +

American billionaire and SpaceX owner Elon Musk is currently refusing to allow Ukraine to use Starlink satellite internet for strikes on Russian territory because he believes it is time Ukraine concluded a peace deal with Russia.


Found it here: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/08/08/8047893/
And they're quoting this as source: https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/08/ukraine-war-zelensky-trump/688203/

Uncertain if those sources are enough to confirm it true. The Atlantic is generally rated as trustworthy but behind a paywall.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2609 Posts
August 10 2026 15:51 GMT
#18952
So this is saying that they won’t turn it on? If Ukraine has been doing all this damage without starlink in Russia that is hella impressive.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6324 Posts
August 10 2026 16:34 GMT
#18953
Starlink was never turned on in Russia. Initially it wasn't even turned on in Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2609 Posts
August 10 2026 17:33 GMT
#18954
Scary (good) what damage they could do with it then. They are already striking deep with impunity.
ETisME
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
12898 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-08-11 05:57:21
August 11 2026 05:55 GMT
#18955
Ukraine drones doesn't need starlink, it have more or less a pre-built route saved locally and also edge AI doing visual targeting once it's been jammed.
That's what the new Russian drones like Geran 4 and so on have as well, as well as mesh swarm drones to do self correction under jamming.
其疾如风,其徐如林,侵掠如火,不动如山,难知如阴,动如雷震。
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17862 Posts
August 11 2026 07:12 GMT
#18956
Somewhat unrelated but it's crazy what you can do with drones these days:

Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17862 Posts
August 14 2026 00:47 GMT
#18957
Ukrainians have liberated over 240 square km in the Zaporizhia region. It's not very well fortified and it's probably an attempt to draw some of the Russian forces away from Donbas to prevent critical build-up there.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
2609 Posts
August 14 2026 01:12 GMT
#18958
I was watching some clips of Russian war bloggers talking about it. And they were openly calling it a war now, which used to get people arrested. Some commentators think it is because Putin is losing some control. Others think it’s from the MOD to set up for the fall mobilization. Can’t say it’s all sunshine and you need a million more troops.

The bad part for Ukraine is they still have no answers for ballistics and July beat junes record for civilian casualties (most since March 2022), since Russia loves to target malls, residential buildings, church’s and so on.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17862 Posts
August 14 2026 01:46 GMT
#18959
Yeah, it'll definitely be tough autumn and winter for Ukraine. But on the other hand some military analysts are saying that if this new mobilization of few hundred thousand troops won't bring Russia much success their back will be pretty much broken and it'll be much easier for Ukraine from there on out.

Let's hope they can hold.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4654 Posts
August 14 2026 11:08 GMT
#18960
Well, the war ends at mobilization. If you think Russians that are already wondering wtf the war even was about in the first place, are going to let it flow just because some idiot blogger starts to call it a war. You already see that all the highly placed "son of" have publicly been caught "I'm not going to war my dad is this or that".
So one thing that people understand that they can march all together and end this madness, they just think now that it's not worth dying for. But once you have the feeling you'll die anyway, guess what happens.

Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
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