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Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine - Page 17

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Kreuger
Profile Joined October 2011
Sweden713 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-07 18:00:48
October 07 2023 17:58 GMT
#321
The casualities are crazy, 150 confirmed killed in Israel, and I expect them to climb alot the coming days, along with who knows how many that are kidnapped and dragged back into Gaza


Edit: seems 200 confirmed killed
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 07 2023 18:00 GMT
#322
I get the sinking feeling that a couple of months from now it will be revealed that Israel was warned about the buildup and potential attack on them by whoever, let's say the CIA/NSA, and brushed it off. There is just no way for any country to be attacked from four different directions by thousands of militia members, and hundreds of rockets without it being seen.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6213 Posts
October 07 2023 18:07 GMT
#323
I'm going to guess there will probably be in the low thousands dead on the Israeli side once all is said and done. They were caught completely unprepared. An absolute failure of intelligence and preparation.

There's probably also 100+ hostages brought back to the Gaza strip which is not where you'd ever want to be.

The response is going to be immense, Gaza strip is going to be flattened
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42626 Posts
October 07 2023 18:17 GMT
#324
There’s a reasonable chance that allowing an attack serves the current Israeli hardliners too.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Kreuger
Profile Joined October 2011
Sweden713 Posts
October 07 2023 18:19 GMT
#325
The people thinking this was "allowed" to happen are probably the same thinking GW Bush let 9/11 happen, idiots
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5546 Posts
October 07 2023 18:25 GMT
#326
On October 08 2023 03:17 KwarK wrote:
There’s a reasonable chance that allowing an attack serves the current Israeli hardliners too.

But not Netanyahu. His whole schtick was being a strongman ensuring security. When the dust settles, people will want accountability. I'm not sure the hardliners have enough power to engineer such a disaster under Netanyahu's nose.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18825 Posts
October 07 2023 18:42 GMT
#327
On October 08 2023 03:25 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2023 03:17 KwarK wrote:
There’s a reasonable chance that allowing an attack serves the current Israeli hardliners too.

But not Netanyahu. His whole schtick was being a strongman ensuring security. When the dust settles, people will want accountability. I'm not sure the hardliners have enough power to engineer such a disaster under Netanyahu's nose.

The closest thing to a silver lining here is that Bibi and his hardliners suffer on account of being asleep at the wheel despite being warhawks. His opponents will need to be very savvy to make that tack work, but it’s all I got as far as looking for hope in an awful situation.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-07 19:22:43
October 07 2023 19:19 GMT
#328
Guessing that Saudi-Israel treaty signing is no longer happening. Seeing how Saudi Arabia did not come out in support of Israel at the beginning of this.

Israel’s intelligence services have long been seen as some of the most capable in the world, with an array of human intelligence, eavesdropping and other technical means blanketing the West Bank and Gaza.

“It is almost inconceivable how they missed this,” said Polymeropoulous.

It was also unclear why U.S. intelligence agencies apparently did not see the attack coming as well as friendly Arab states such as Egypt, Jordan, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, he said. “I am stunned.”

But Colin Clarke, senior research fellow at The Soufan Center, a nonprofit that focuses on global security issues, said Israel had to bear the main responsibility for failing to anticipate Saturday’s attack.

“Israel has exquisite, world-class intelligence collection and analysis capabilities and would have a far better picture of what’s going on in its own backyard. This one falls squarely on the Israelis,” he said.

Clarke added it was an open question whether recent domestic political turmoil in Israel had possibly played a role in the apparent intelligence failure.

David Friedman, former U.S. ambassador to Israel in the Trump administration, said, “In the 40 or more years that I’ve been following Israel one way or another, I’ve never seen this happen. I’ve never seen the border breached in this manner. Usually, even one person from Gaza gets close to the border, they’re intercepted and neutralized long before they can do anything. This is just something I’ve never seen before. It’s of course a large intelligence failure.”

U.S. officials said early assessments are that the timing of the Hamas attack was related to signs that a deal normalizing relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel was close to being clinched. They also said that the 50-year anniversary of the 1973 Arab-Israeli war also may have been a factor.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6208 Posts
October 07 2023 19:28 GMT
#329
Saudi Arabia was never going to support Israel even if they did have normal relations.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42626 Posts
October 07 2023 19:44 GMT
#330
I don’t think it’s unreasonable to say that the individuals responsible for the attacks were motivated by a cynical desire for a continuation and escalation of the violence that their power and status is built on. They didn’t expect to defeat Israel, they expected Israel to respond as it is and that the donations etc. would keep coming in.

I also don’t think it’s unreasonable to assume that the Israeli hardliners who get to power on their violent rhetoric are also cynically exploiting the same violence and are not especially motivated to end it. People are people everywhere. There are assholes everywhere.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ZeroByte13
Profile Joined March 2022
765 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-07 19:51:42
October 07 2023 19:47 GMT
#331
I agree with KwarK here, both sides have people who benefit from current situation and a lot of people who'll suffer for these benefits.

Israel can probably flatten entire Gaza Strip if they want but unless they'll somehow move its entire Palestitian population to West bank, this will happen again and again.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12169 Posts
October 07 2023 19:57 GMT
#332
Always siding with the oppressed, sad that this is very doomed, would be how I feel currently
No will to live, no wish to die
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9190 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-07 20:18:04
October 07 2023 20:11 GMT
#333
This looks extremely suicidial. The only """rational""" Palestinian plan I can think of is to take a lot of hostages and attempt to copy the Chechen action in Beslan on a greater scale, hoping Israel will agree to their demands to save the hostages.
You're now breathing manually
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
October 07 2023 20:21 GMT
#334
The images of dead women being paraded on cars as trophies, and women children and grandmas abducted will sour relations for a long time. All of this is so fucked. It's different than a rocket hit. It's so personal.

Israel has called for Palestine citizens to leave Gaza because they will turn every place of Hamas into rubble. Which is insane given that the whole problem of Gaza people is that they are stuck there and have nowhere to go. They already took down some high rises with who knows how many people inside. Large columns of tanks on trailers reportedly being shipped south too so probably a land force move incoming as well.

Really worried how far this will escalate.

Neosteel Enthusiast
GoTuNk!
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Chile4591 Posts
October 07 2023 20:23 GMT
#335
On October 08 2023 03:19 Kreuger wrote:
The people thinking this was "allowed" to happen are probably the same thinking GW Bush let 9/11 happen, idiots


Sums it up
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5546 Posts
October 07 2023 20:23 GMT
#336
On October 08 2023 05:21 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
The images of dead women being paraded on cars as trophies, and women children and grandmas abducted will sour relations for a long time. All of this is so fucked. It's different than a rocket hit. It's so personal.

Israel has called for Palestine citizens to leave Gaza because they will turn every place of Hamas into rubble. Which is insane given that the whole problem of Gaza people is that they are stuck there and have nowhere to go. They already took down some high rises with who knows how many people inside. Large columns of tanks on trailers reportedly being shipped south too so probably a land force move incoming as well.

Really worried how far this will escalate.


The whole attack was extremely barbaric. They were entering houses and killing entire families, including children. They also attacked a rave party on the desert. Most people managed to flee into a nearby kibbutz. The terrorists started to set the houses on fire and execute people escaping them. Fucking animals.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42626 Posts
October 07 2023 21:22 GMT
#337
On October 08 2023 05:23 GoTuNk! wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2023 03:19 Kreuger wrote:
The people thinking this was "allowed" to happen are probably the same thinking GW Bush let 9/11 happen, idiots


Sums it up

It’s not really comparable. In 2001 there wasn’t a large political bloc whose power, wealth and influence depended on an invasion of Afghanistan. It’d be more like if the US government allowed, or dare I say it, manufactured an incident for Cuba or Vietnam.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1921 Posts
October 07 2023 21:22 GMT
#338
It's ridiculous that the only people winning from this tragedy are the ones that caused it. Hamas and the ultra right part of the government will win, Hamas despite being bombed back into oblivion again. And it gets harder and harder to find any support for the palestinean side, when those videos and pictures are going around the world. What a depressing day again.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12169 Posts
October 07 2023 21:37 GMT
#339
On October 08 2023 06:22 Broetchenholer wrote:
And it gets harder and harder to find any support for the palestinean side


I could be mistaken but I'd like to think that's not true. I don't think a ton of people will go back to supporting Apartheid because of some violence. The better comms strategy for them was always that they aren't occupiers, not that the occupied are subhumans who deserve it.
No will to live, no wish to die
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1921 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-07 21:53:40
October 07 2023 21:46 GMT
#340
Okay, hypothetical time. Let's say there are 2 different hypothetical scenarios, how today shapes the future:

1) Israel utterly crushes Hamas in Gaza, the people in Gaza breath more free for a second and understand that Hamas does not want them to be better off, it just wants to fight Israel and die trying. They revolt and create a peaceful civil governance, trying their very best to keep extremists in check, acting in as much good faith as possible towards Israel as possible, for lets say 20 years. All of that while still being caged in Gaza, cut off from the world.

2) After today, a whistleblower in the israeli goverment comes forward with detailed documentation how the current government first provoked more and more violence between both parties and then ignored warnings from the intelligence services how this attack was imminent, salivating on messenger about how useful a new attack on Israel would be for their careers. Israel is in shock and decides to change direction, kicking the far right out of the government and stopping all provocations towards the palestineans, trying their best to deescalate everything after the "war" has been ended. They manage to somewhat improve the life in Gaza and the Westbank and try to appease the other side to give more influence to the moderates. THey do that despite Hamas continueing to fight for their political relevance with terror.

Now, let's not judge how probable the two scenarios are, none of that will happen. But, what do you think, which scenario would have a bigger chance to bring actual peace to the country and create a situation where both sides can actually live somewhat freely besides each other?

On October 08 2023 06:37 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2023 06:22 Broetchenholer wrote:
And it gets harder and harder to find any support for the palestinean side


I could be mistaken but I'd like to think that's not true. I don't think a ton of people will go back to supporting Apartheid because of some violence. The better comms strategy for them was always that they aren't occupiers, not that the occupied are subhumans who deserve it.


I don't know. THere is a limit how much terror a person can excuse for "the right thing" or for "the other side is an Apartheid state".
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