EPT2020 US Election - Page 79
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DarkPlasmaBall
United States45937 Posts
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Biff The Understudy
France8082 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:13 Excludos wrote: Considering all the election fraud the democrats are doing, they're sure doing an awful job at it Sir, logic is not allowed here, it has been clearly stated. We will have to ask you to leave. | ||
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Neneu
Norway492 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:12 Biff The Understudy wrote: I think people don't understand what polls are, that's the problem. They are NOT a crystal ball. Lets not forget that people also have a big problem with understanding the differences between likelyhoods/simulations and polls. | ||
FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
There is a world where Biden has now stolen Michigan back. | ||
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Laurens
Belgium4557 Posts
At 70% votes counted, Biden was ~200k votes ahead. We're now at 84% votes counted and the lead has shrunk to ~93k votes. ABC News refuses to call it yet but Politico and various other news outlets have. | ||
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:17 Laurens wrote: Still puzzling to me that Arizona has been called. At 70% votes counted, Biden was ~200k votes ahead. We're now at 84% votes counted and the lead has shrunk to ~93k votes. ABC News refuses to call it yet but Politico and various other news outlets have. It is really really weird. But AZ staying blue is SUPER important to biden. If that flips his path is a lot more narrow | ||
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Biff The Understudy
France8082 Posts
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dbRic1203
Germany2655 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:17 Laurens wrote: Still puzzling to me that Arizona has been called. At 70% votes counted, Biden was ~200k votes ahead. We're now at 84% votes counted and the lead has shrunk to ~93k votes. ABC News refuses to call it yet but Politico and various other news outlets have. btw is ABC the most central news channel with a stream? I feel like they at least try to get representatives from both parties in. | ||
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Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9847 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:08 Biff The Understudy wrote: That's the one thing that puzzles me. And there is no way it's a rejection vote of Biden, since last time it was Hillary who is wayyyy more controversial and unpopular. It's genuinely people who think that yeah, the guy is legit and does a good job. It's mind boggling. It could be a rejection of democrats though. | ||
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Acrofales
Spain18292 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:05 FlaShFTW wrote: Decision Desk just updated Michigan and has Biden only down 70k with 80-94% https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1323929039367741440?s=20 How do they not even know whether they have counted 80% of the vote or 94% of the vote? | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
nevada looking scary now | ||
KwarK
United States43990 Posts
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
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Luolis
Finland7170 Posts
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Biff The Understudy
France8082 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:23 Jockmcplop wrote: It could be a rejection of democrats though. They haven't been in office for four years. I get that Trump 16 was a rejection of the dems, but it's hard to blame them for much of what happened recently. | ||
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Acrofales
Spain18292 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:08 eviltomahawk wrote: And the real losers are the pollsters. I drank too much of the blue koolaid by following the optimistic 538 numbers. No clue if it's the pollsters or the media reporting on it, but I work in data science, and when there is even the slightest chance people will misinterpret my conclusions, I always always always make damn sure the most prominent thing I explain is the error bars and what that means. That said, this is the second time in as many presidential elections that everybody reporting on polls has been wildly overestimating the democrats' position. I think they *really* need to rethink their methodologies, or if the methodology is sound, how they present their results. | ||
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Acrofales
Spain18292 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:26 Wegandi wrote: Lockdowns super unpopular in NV with its reliance on tourism. If Trump wins NV that's huge. Trump totally mishandles the COVID crisis. Democrats take the blame. HOW DOES THIS MAKE SENSE? | ||
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Laurens
Belgium4557 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:28 Acrofales wrote: Trump totally mishandles the COVID crisis. Democrats take the blame. HOW DOES THIS MAKE SENSE? Because Nevada has a Democratic governor? And he decided on the lockdowns? | ||
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sharkie
Austria18636 Posts
On November 04 2020 19:28 Acrofales wrote: Trump totally mishandles the COVID crisis. Democrats take the blame. HOW DOES THIS MAKE SENSE? Pandemics help the ruling parties. On November 04 2020 19:30 Laurens wrote: Because Nevada has a Democratic governor? And he decided on the lockdowns? ooh | ||
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