EPTOn November 04 2020 16:53 Biff The Understudy wrote:
This really is utterly depressing.
This really is utterly depressing.
Faith in humanity is diminishing
2020 US Election - Page 72
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Excludos
Norway8281 Posts
Faith in humanity is diminishing | ||
FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
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Shingi11
290 Posts
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NovaTheFeared
United States7232 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:55 NovaTheFeared wrote: I can't figure out the gap between the NYT projection and the betting odds in Georgia. what are the betting odds for that? Trump favored? | ||
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Toadesstern
Germany16350 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:51 KwarK wrote: Yeah, I'm not declaring victory based on that, I'm just saying that the path to victory is visible. The good thing about WI is that the by far biggest non reported area is Milwaukee at only 41% reported so far while Biden is ahead by 53k. If you assume that the remaining 59% in milwaukee vote the same that means Biden will pick up another 130k votes more than Trump in that one county alone. Obviously no way to tell what kind of votes were counted first (mail or in person) so impossible to tell if the remaining 59% will behave similarly to the first 41%. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:56 Toadesstern wrote: The good thing about WI is that the by far biggest non reported area is Milwaukee at only 41% reported so far while Biden is ahead by 53k. If you assume that the remaining 59% in milwaukee vote the same that means Biden will pick up 130k votes more than Trump in that one county alone. Obviously no way to tell what kind of votes were counted first (mail or in person) so impossible to tell if the remaining 59% will behave similarly to the first 41%. Your math is wrong. If 50% is reported and Biden is winning a county by 10k, you don't gain another 20k, you gain 10k because the expected is 20k margin. So Biden is EXPECTED to win the whole county by 130k, but the REMAINING vote left in his favor is +80k actually. | ||
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
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TheLordofAwesome
Korea (South)2656 Posts
2020 really is the gift that keeps on giving. | ||
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Toadesstern
Germany16350 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:57 FlaShFTW wrote: Your math is wrong. If 50% is reported and Biden is winning a county by 10k, you don't gain another 20k, you gain 10k because the expected is 20k margin. So Biden is EXPECTED to win the whole county by 130k, but the REMAINING vote left in his favor is +80k actually. oh right, forgot to take out the votes already in... so 80k? | ||
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Deleted User 173346
16169 Posts
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Deleted User 173346
16169 Posts
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Cricketer12
United States14003 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:58 IyMoon wrote: CNN Reporting that 1.4 million mail in votes are left in PA. Now I am not 100% sure thats all the votes left, but if it is Trump probably takes PA If this is true, Biden needs to win over 70/30 of the remaining vote. | ||
The_Templar
your Country52798 Posts
On November 04 2020 17:01 FlaShFTW wrote: If this is true, Biden needs to win over 70/30 of the remaining vote. I'm listening to ABC and they said Biden was winning mail-in ballots 78-22. | ||
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KwarK
United States44392 Posts
On November 04 2020 17:01 FlaShFTW wrote: If this is true, Biden needs to win over 70/30 of the remaining vote. To win PA, but he only needs to go 1/3 if he can get Georgia. | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 04 2020 16:58 TheLordofAwesome wrote: So apparently Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin need up to a week before they'll be finished counting votes. 2020 really is the gift that keeps on giving. Every other state can reliably count the votes in an effective window of time. It really boggles the mind how awful these states are. There should be no universe where it takes a week to count the votes. It's going to be really close in AZ, GA, PA, and WI (also think NV will be quite close too, but more Biden favored). | ||
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Diavlo
Belgium2915 Posts
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 04 2020 17:01 FlaShFTW wrote: If this is true, Biden needs to win over 70/30 of the remaining vote. I read a different tweet that there are 2.2 M PA mail ins still to be counted so I have NO FUCKING CLUE whats going on | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10570 Posts
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