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On November 06 2020 10:34 farvacola wrote:Here's the body of a campaign email I just received from Eric Trump (lol) Show nested quote +Votes are still coming in from TRUMP COUNTRY, and the Democrats know that the only way they can win this Election is to undermine the system.
We’ve seen it from Day ONE:
We’ve found ballots in drainage ditches
They’re not letting our poll watchers inside
There are videos of them passing out collateral material in polling sites all over Philadelphia
It is my belief that they will try to MANIPULATE THIS ELECTION, which is why I’m reaching out to you today.
We need to hold the line, and to do that, we need the resources to FIGHT BACK. My father wants YOU to contribute to our Official Election Defense Fund so that we can protect the integrity of our Election and win FOUR MORE YEARS.
When it comes to such a CRITICAL fight, every minute matters. That’s why if you step up in the NEXT HOUR, your contribution will make 1000% more of an impact.
Please contribute ANY AMOUNT IMMEDIATELY to the Official Election Defense Fund and to increase your impact by 1000%. >> No one who belongs to the intended audience knows what collateral means, what the hell lol
Did they hire one of those TV-sales network dudes to run this? 'But wait, there's more! If you donate within 15 minutes we'll send you a certified bag of saliva caught during Don Jr's angry rant. Free of Charge! '
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Think I might just got on an 80 mile run. If Trump loses, I am really worried about Portland.
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On November 06 2020 10:38 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 10:36 GreenHorizons wrote:On November 06 2020 10:34 farvacola wrote:Here's the body of a campaign email I just received from Eric Trump (lol) Votes are still coming in from TRUMP COUNTRY, and the Democrats know that the only way they can win this Election is to undermine the system.
We’ve seen it from Day ONE:
We’ve found ballots in drainage ditches
They’re not letting our poll watchers inside
There are videos of them passing out collateral material in polling sites all over Philadelphia
It is my belief that they will try to MANIPULATE THIS ELECTION, which is why I’m reaching out to you today.
We need to hold the line, and to do that, we need the resources to FIGHT BACK. My father wants YOU to contribute to our Official Election Defense Fund so that we can protect the integrity of our Election and win FOUR MORE YEARS.
When it comes to such a CRITICAL fight, every minute matters. That’s why if you step up in the NEXT HOUR, your contribution will make 1000% more of an impact.
Please contribute ANY AMOUNT IMMEDIATELY to the Official Election Defense Fund and to increase your impact by 1000%. >> No one who belongs to the intended audience knows what collateral means, what the hell lol It's bizarre to me they are still looking for cash instead of just calling for protests. You're not going to get enough money to change anything, but you could totally scare the Democrats into believing if they don't concede it's civil war time. That email isn't aimed to keep Trump in power. It's about making those sweet, sweet dollars. Which makes sense, since that's been the family's primary goal for the past...ever.
The Trumps are the worst con artists ever and should locked up.
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United States10402 Posts
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I have a feeling this is going to HURT  My poor Biden angus
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On November 06 2020 10:57 StarStruck wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 10:38 TheTenthDoc wrote:On November 06 2020 10:36 GreenHorizons wrote:On November 06 2020 10:34 farvacola wrote:Here's the body of a campaign email I just received from Eric Trump (lol) Votes are still coming in from TRUMP COUNTRY, and the Democrats know that the only way they can win this Election is to undermine the system.
We’ve seen it from Day ONE:
We’ve found ballots in drainage ditches
They’re not letting our poll watchers inside
There are videos of them passing out collateral material in polling sites all over Philadelphia
It is my belief that they will try to MANIPULATE THIS ELECTION, which is why I’m reaching out to you today.
We need to hold the line, and to do that, we need the resources to FIGHT BACK. My father wants YOU to contribute to our Official Election Defense Fund so that we can protect the integrity of our Election and win FOUR MORE YEARS.
When it comes to such a CRITICAL fight, every minute matters. That’s why if you step up in the NEXT HOUR, your contribution will make 1000% more of an impact.
Please contribute ANY AMOUNT IMMEDIATELY to the Official Election Defense Fund and to increase your impact by 1000%. >> No one who belongs to the intended audience knows what collateral means, what the hell lol It's bizarre to me they are still looking for cash instead of just calling for protests. You're not going to get enough money to change anything, but you could totally scare the Democrats into believing if they don't concede it's civil war time. That email isn't aimed to keep Trump in power. It's about making those sweet, sweet dollars. Which makes sense, since that's been the family's primary goal for the past...ever. The Trumps are the worst con artists ever and should locked up.
It's crazy how much better they could do if they had the skills of, say, Joseph Smith or L. Ron Hubbard.
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On November 06 2020 11:00 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 10:57 StarStruck wrote:On November 06 2020 10:38 TheTenthDoc wrote:On November 06 2020 10:36 GreenHorizons wrote:On November 06 2020 10:34 farvacola wrote:Here's the body of a campaign email I just received from Eric Trump (lol) Votes are still coming in from TRUMP COUNTRY, and the Democrats know that the only way they can win this Election is to undermine the system.
We’ve seen it from Day ONE:
We’ve found ballots in drainage ditches
They’re not letting our poll watchers inside
There are videos of them passing out collateral material in polling sites all over Philadelphia
It is my belief that they will try to MANIPULATE THIS ELECTION, which is why I’m reaching out to you today.
We need to hold the line, and to do that, we need the resources to FIGHT BACK. My father wants YOU to contribute to our Official Election Defense Fund so that we can protect the integrity of our Election and win FOUR MORE YEARS.
When it comes to such a CRITICAL fight, every minute matters. That’s why if you step up in the NEXT HOUR, your contribution will make 1000% more of an impact.
Please contribute ANY AMOUNT IMMEDIATELY to the Official Election Defense Fund and to increase your impact by 1000%. >> No one who belongs to the intended audience knows what collateral means, what the hell lol It's bizarre to me they are still looking for cash instead of just calling for protests. You're not going to get enough money to change anything, but you could totally scare the Democrats into believing if they don't concede it's civil war time. That email isn't aimed to keep Trump in power. It's about making those sweet, sweet dollars. Which makes sense, since that's been the family's primary goal for the past...ever. The Trumps are the worst con artists ever and should locked up. It's crazy how much better they could do if they had the skills of, say, Joseph Smith or L. Ron Hubbard.
Or Marshall Applewhite
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On November 06 2020 10:50 Lmui wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 10:47 brian wrote:
only a 3k vote lead left for trump in georgia? is that right? that is wild. Thinking about it, now that it's this close, gotta add the exact values: Trump is up 3,486 right now on Biden. Nailbiter there.
has been like that for the last 90-100 minutes on NYT.
But yeah, 3.5k Trump lead and about 5.5k - 6k votes left in Clayton (heavy blue lean), maybe a couple hundred in Taylor county (red lean, but with it being mai-in it might be even, either way this will be peanuts).
So Biden needs to get 3.5k more than Trump out of those last 6k votes.
Technically speaking, if I understood ABC news correctly they have not counted military + overseas votes yet, which there are roughly 19k of. Military vote is suspected to be slightly to decent R lean while overseas vote would be Dem lean?
This is is insanly close no matter which way it goes. Wouldn't be surprised if it's less than 1k or 500 votes difference before you look at those military + oversea votes
what's left in GA:
![[image loading]](https://i.imgur.com/FEL7fPj.png)
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Northern Ireland26799 Posts
On November 06 2020 10:45 Wegandi wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 10:40 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 10:31 Wegandi wrote:On November 06 2020 10:24 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 10:05 Wegandi wrote:
Whatever I reiterate my point that democrats wailing about GOP not compromising are themselves not willing to compromise. The political tension in this country is high and people are drifting apart. This isnt some unique thing to the GOP. Shit rings hollow just like Graham re: ACB and Merrick Garland. Why would you compromise with the GOP and what on, what are you getting out of that arrangement? The President can’t even tucking concede an election like a man. After 4 years of well, we know what. If your strategy is rampant obstructionism and we’re at this point we are today, either rebuild the shambles of a party to a point where mutual compromise is not just pragmatic, but in the interests of the populace at large. Or don’t and continue down the current path and we’ll see where that goes. Inb4 the Dems are partisan too, well no shit. Cory Booker and Rand Paul re: criminal justice? Maybe you get dems OK with tax cuts and lower tax rates for some environmental thing or w/e? But thats the thing neither side will ever allow a budge on any position. Id happily sign off on axing oil subsidies to lower marginal income rates of all brackets by 25%. Booker and Paul are not exactly in line with the GOP on those issues. I’d consider them as borderline independents in the inverse sense Bernie is an Independent who is in the Democrat camp. The GOP rank and file and associated media propagandists? Even in your hypothetical it’s a trade for something that should (IMO) obviously be done vs the Dems kneecapping their ability to fund their wider programs, why would they go for it? The ideal is in hypothetical land Rand Paul and Cory Booker slide across the aisle on this one issue which they’re clearly in alignment on, and go back to doing battle on fiscal policy. And the alternative in some other issue. You have to give to get. Ok so youre not willing to compromise on tax cuts. What about regulations? What are you willing to compromise with? The point of compromise is neither side is entirely happy. You willing to expand gun rights? Which is why the narrative that GOP are obstructionists and will never compromise, etc. is so stupid. Neither side is. Its purity or youre thrown to the wolves. The discord and disunity in the country is to be blamed on everyone not just the GOP.
Tax cuts for universal health care?
I wasn’t quibbling with the idea of compromise, merely your example as a rather uneven trade was all.
Sure everyone is to blame, just not everyone is equally to blame.
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Maricopa just came out, Trump with a net gain of 10,576
Biden +31700
Trump +42276
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United States10402 Posts
1% more from Clayton county in Georgia reported. Lead down to 2.5k. oh. my. god.
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On November 06 2020 10:50 Lmui wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 10:47 brian wrote:
only a 3k vote lead left for trump in georgia? is that right? that is wild. Thinking about it, now that it's this close, gotta add the exact values: Trump is up 3,486 right now on Biden. Nailbiter there.
Over 8,000 coronavirus deaths in Georgia too. They could have made a significant difference.
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43/57 for Biden from Maricopa. AZ going to go down the wire as expected (well, expected by everyone but Fox and AP). Personally I still lean towards Biden, but would have to do a full breakdown of what's left. I think it will be a larger margin than GA but not by much.
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On November 06 2020 11:04 TheTenthDoc wrote:
43/57 for Biden from Maricopa. AZ going to go down the wire as expected (well, expected by everyone but Fox and AP).
That sounds like it's under the line that Trump needed.
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United States10402 Posts
Arizona dump:
Biden +32k
Trump +44k
Trump gained 57.8%, not sure if this is above or below the line, but basically it's gonna turn into another Georgia race. Expect this to reach recount territory.
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On November 06 2020 11:06 FlaShFTW wrote:
Arizona dump:
Biden +32k
Trump +44k
Trump gained 57.8%, not sure if this is above or below the line, but basically it's gonna turn into another Georgia race. Expect this to reach recount territory.
It most likely won't be a recount.
Arizona only allows a recount if the final tally is within .10%, and they don't allow requests for a recount.
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Nate Silver saying the last Maricopa vote drop was "somewhat good news for Biden". I think the final Arizona vote will be something like 10k-20k in favour of Biden. Probably in Georgia too.
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Has anyone here ever counted votes in a contested US election or been an observer?
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Prediction markets have creeped up to 93.3% chances for a Biden win. Pretty sure this is a combination of GA and PA more than anything else.
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United States10402 Posts
On November 06 2020 11:08 Stratos_speAr wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 11:06 FlaShFTW wrote:
Arizona dump:
Biden +32k
Trump +44k
Trump gained 57.8%, not sure if this is above or below the line, but basically it's gonna turn into another Georgia race. Expect this to reach recount territory. It most likely won't be a recount. Arizona only allows a recount if the final tally is within .01%, and they don't allow requests for a recount.
Ah ok interesting. Then no recount regardless.
https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html
If this guy's info is right, then Biden is on pace to flip Georgia.
(Also peep the 1337 gain kekw)
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EPT
