2020 US Election - Page 175
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
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WombaT
Northern Ireland26799 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:46 Wegandi wrote: With the way things are going the minority party will have no standing at the national level. All the levers of action for the minority party to use are getting either eroded or abolished, so it does matter if whoever that party be has the competitive ability to pursue that position of power while representing their constituents (hence the well just be more like the other party to try and nudge into their advantage isn't persuasive; the parties can do that now if they wanted). Since admission of states is a political issue and not a moral one (you don't have to make DC a state - thats not the only solution for representation, but we never hear about any other alternatives from the parties who when making it a state would be the sole beneficiery), it gets a political answer. My point about the states (the # is irrelevant in this instance) is that youre pointing to individual votes leading into national popular votes to measure in your comparison of what "should be", but our institutions are republican and based on collections of people. Power devolved to the states, Senate based on the states, etc. You cannot dismiss how our power structures are set up. If you gave Dems auto 4 Senators right now you'd put the GOP into a near permanent minority status. Thats untenable politically. If you put yourself in their shoes what would be your reaction? Why is that a bad thing? If markets self-correct and resolve a whole slew of problems in all domains why would this not apply to the two political parties? | ||
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FragKrag
United States11563 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:46 Wegandi wrote: With the way things are going the minority party will have no standing at the national level. All the levers of action for the minority party to use are getting either eroded or abolished, so it does matter if whoever that party be has the competitive ability to pursue that position of power while representing their constituents (hence the well just be more like the other party to try and nudge into their advantage isn't persuasive; the parties can do that now if they wanted). Since admission of states is a political issue and not a moral one (you don't have to make DC a state - thats not the only solution for representation, but we never hear about any other alternatives from the parties who when making it a state would be the sole beneficiery), it gets a political answer. My point about the states (the # is irrelevant in this instance) is that youre pointing to individual votes leading into national popular votes to measure in your comparison of what "should be", but our institutions are republican and based on collections of people. Power devolved to the states, Senate based on the states, etc. You cannot dismiss how our power structures are set up. If you gave Dems auto 4 Senators right now you'd put the GOP into a near permanent minority status. Thats untenable politically. If you put yourself in their shoes what would be your reaction? Your arguments seem to imply some semblance of permanence in the disposition of political parties, and I think that is your main problem. The parties themselves are constantly under different societal pressures to change and adapt to differing situations. The Republican party and Democratic parties of today are very different from what they were even 15 years ago. You mistake the existence of these political parties for evidence of some kind of intrinsic 'essential nature' and their continued vitality and viability, which has not been the case in American history. | ||
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
I don't expect he will concede. | ||
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CorsairHero
Canada9491 Posts
hell yea | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
If you gave Dems auto 4 Senators right now you'd put the GOP into a near permanent minority status. Thats untenable politically. If you put yourself in their shoes what would be your reaction? idk... how about like... making your platform better and more likable to the voters? You ever consider that? You seem to be under this impression that voters will only ever vote for one party, when it has been shown time after time that independents are what dictate these swing state elections. Total number of states that have flipped hands since 2000: Wisconsin, Michigan, PA, ME-2, NE-2, Ohio, Iowa, Indiana, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada. That's a total of 13 states and 2 districts. Go back another 8 years for Bill Clinton's elections and that number increases, adding states like: Arizona, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Georgia, Montana. (9 more states) So in the last 30 years since Bill Clinton took office, we have almost half of the states that have changed hands in the past 30 years. This line of reasoning is so unbelievably absurd. | ||
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Zambrah
United States7393 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
Not sure where the NYT updated but the count is now down to 80k separating the two candidates. Scratch that, looks like it was Lehigh, that was lean Trump and now flipped to Lean Biden. Clinton won the county by 4.7 points, Biden now leads by 3 points with 86% reporting. Expect the ballots to continue to favor Biden. | ||
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pmh
1416 Posts
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KwarK
United States43990 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:38 JimmiC wrote: I mean you are right, but those are designed to look like penis's Holy shit competitive balance. For the last while I have thought Americans treat their politics way to much likes sports and support their "team" too much. BUT FOR FUCK SAKES POLITICS IS NOT SPORTS. The goal of democracy is to have free and fair representation for all people. If way more people want what the Dems are selling, then it is up to the Reps to change what they are selling to attract more people. How does a libertarian basically think the Reps need vote subsidies so they have a equal chance to win? This logic is fucked up on every level, it is against democracy but it is also against what your supposed core believes are. Your argument basically boils down to it is a bad idea because it bad for the Reps chances of winning the next election. WOW. Time to stop calling yourself a libertarian and start calling yourself a Republican, probably want a tattoo as well because all that seems to matter to you is that they win, not why, or if they should. Vote subsidies to prop up unpopular policies is the exact right way to describe what is being advocated for here. | ||
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WombaT
Northern Ireland26799 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324486342873669638?s=20 Cumberland finished voting, Biden made a big 7 point gain in that district compared to 2016, where Trump won by 18 points over Clinton. Trump final tally only up 11 points. That's been the story for PA. | ||
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KungKras
Sweden484 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:53 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: Trump to speak @ 630 ET. https://twitter.com/Kevinliptakcnn/status/1324483958759804928 I don't expect he will concede. How many hours from now is that? (for us Europeans) ![]() | ||
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{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:59 KungKras wrote: How many hours from now is that? (for us Europeans) ![]() 30 minutes. | ||
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KwarK
United States43990 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:59 KungKras wrote: How many hours from now is that? (for us Europeans) ![]() 0.5 | ||
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Nouar
France3270 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:46 Wegandi wrote: With the way things are going the minority party will have no standing at the national level. All the levers of action for the minority party to use are getting either eroded or abolished, so it does matter if whoever that party be has the competitive ability to pursue that position of power while representing their constituents (hence the well just be more like the other party to try and nudge into their advantage isn't persuasive; the parties can do that now if they wanted). Since admission of states is a political issue and not a moral one (you don't have to make DC a state - thats not the only solution for representation, but we never hear about any other alternatives from the parties who when making it a state would be the sole beneficiery), it gets a political answer. My point about the states (the # is irrelevant in this instance) is that youre pointing to individual votes leading into national popular votes to measure in your comparison of what "should be", but our institutions are republican and based on collections of people. Power devolved to the states, Senate based on the states, etc. You cannot dismiss how our power structures are set up. If you gave Dems auto 4 Senators right now you'd put the GOP into a near permanent minority status. Thats untenable politically. If you put yourself in their shoes what would be your reaction? So that minority party, even if they are becoming even more the minority with demographic change etc, should continue to hold forever the same level of power ? Don't you then believe that there might be some changes that could be made to... the constitution, since that constitution is old and doesn't necessarily reflect the country of today ? For example... allowing for a multi-party system and coalitions to form a government instead of winner-takes-all ? No, your take is to disenfranchise the majority (or to never grant rights to territories that have no say in the laws they are governed by, even worse) to keep the minority with a relevant amount of power. That's... convoluted. You are willing to live but not die by the constitution, if it doesn't grant the power you want from it. Though your own argument about Alaska and Hawaii was moot since they changed allegiances throughout the time. Who says PR (well, for DC ok...) would not either ? Things change, the country changes, the party change to reflect the electorate if they can't have power due to that shitty two party system. It's not an excuse to keep people out of it to try and freeze for eternity a current state of affairs because you're afraid of what come next. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10402 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:57 WombaT wrote: I’m massively impressed that Flash got his post count up from 1337 to nearly but not quite over 9000 in like 3 days I will count on you to make the DBZ meme for when my post count surpasses the holy 9000 number. Also I was always at like 8500 until I joined the political discussion thread. It's been bad for my productivity. | ||
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BigFan
TLADT24920 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:57 WombaT wrote: I’m massively impressed that Flash got his post count up from 1337 to nearly but not quite over 9000 in like 3 days He does tend to spam a lot, you see... :p | ||
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PhoenixVoid
Canada32747 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:55 Zambrah wrote: Better pray that Democrats rally their ground game for the special election, every Senate seat is going to be extremely precious. Two big questions in my mind regarding the special elections are. 1) How will the lack of Trump on the ballot affect the races? 2) Can Democrats assemble enough enthusiasm and converted moderates to vote for one or two Democratic senators? Democrats tend to struggle to turnout in these situations I've read, meaning both likely both go to the GOP. But the prospect of an additional two senators could be drastic in the make-up of the Senate, and Democrats can't afford to let this slip. They better get Abrams on the ground ASAP to start establishing more ground game in Georgia if they want a hope of winning even one. | ||
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Sent.
Poland9299 Posts
On November 06 2020 07:59 KungKras wrote: How many hours from now is that? (for us Europeans) ![]() There's a clock showing American, European and Korean time in the top right of the page you're looking at right now. | ||
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