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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1988

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

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Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
22106 Posts
January 04 2020 09:20 GMT
#39741
Imo Iran is being provoked because Donny is looking for a scapegoat for something that was bound to happen anyway, and/or he's using a war to stop his impeachment.
They probably know it and won't do anything that gives him a real casus belli, so I'm expecting further escalation attempts down the road.

Truth is the first casualty in war.

And Donny is the biggest hypocrite his office has ever seen imo. He doesn't even try to hide it and does almost everything that he used to speak up against political opponents himself.
Isn't he supposed to be impeached since December or was that just show like the rest of it?
TaardadAiel
Profile Joined May 2017
Bulgaria750 Posts
January 04 2020 10:33 GMT
#39742
Apparently Soleimani was granted some sort of protection through the Obama Iran deal:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/11741235/Obamas-Iran-deal-has-just-granted-an-amnesty-to-the-worlds-leading-terrorist-mastermind.html?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&fbclid=IwAR02N5qPgr713_aPIb9Gt10vqNyLmM8BhzidQhUeh9uaiUB4FbXd0gNZdpo

I looked the document up and he's listed as SOLEYMANI, Ghasem.

So, assuming that is him, I figure he was on a blacklist, taken off by the Obama administration and now fair game as a terrorist mastermind as the US backed out of the agreement.

And no wonder he's been blacklisted. Hezbollah IS widely considereded a terrorist organisation.

Pity. We'll probably never have peace.
WriterReV hwaiting!
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22008 Posts
January 04 2020 10:35 GMT
#39743
On January 04 2020 10:29 Xxio wrote:
Does anyone know of a list of politicians pushing for war with Iran? My guess is mostly Republican and a fair number of Democrats. I like to think (maybe naively) the pro-war/anti-war divide is a more meaningful long-term distinction than party allegiance.
In regards to if people think America should get involved in wars, certainly. But I would guess problems closer to home, aka in America, are more to the front of concerns Americans worry about and knowing who is pro or anti war doesn't do much to help with wealth inequality or climate change.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
nojok
Profile Joined May 2011
France15845 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-04 10:43:11
January 04 2020 10:41 GMT
#39744
On January 04 2020 18:20 Vivax wrote:
Imo Iran is being provoked because Donny is looking for a scapegoat for something that was bound to happen anyway, and/or he's using a war to stop his impeachment.
They probably know it and won't do anything that gives him a real casus belli, so I'm expecting further escalation attempts down the road.

Truth is the first casualty in war.

And Donny is the biggest hypocrite his office has ever seen imo. He doesn't even try to hide it and does almost everything that he used to speak up against political opponents himself.
Isn't he supposed to be impeached since December or was that just show like the rest of it?

Well the deal was terminated when the US stopped doing their part and pushed heavily so other countries could not keep it alive. There were several experts of Middle East in a radio talk and they did not have a clue about the reasons for this. The only hypothesis they had was it was done for electoral reasons but they were very careful when talking about it and barely brushed the subject as it's a very heavy accusation and they clearly were very uncomfortable saying it. Anyway it's almost a guaranteed reelection for the governing body in the US when they start a war the year of elections. They estimated the bombings would happen in 2020 and it was right at the start of the crisis.

It's not like it would be the first time it happens in this decade alone (Sarkozy and Libya though for slightly different reasons).
"Back then teams that won were credited, now it's called throw. I think it's sad." - Kuroky - Flap Flap Wings!
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23516 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-04 15:30:10
January 04 2020 15:29 GMT
#39745
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Kyadytim
Profile Joined March 2009
United States886 Posts
January 04 2020 17:26 GMT
#39746
On January 04 2020 18:20 Vivax wrote:Isn't he supposed to be impeached since December or was that just show like the rest of it?

The really short summary of this is that Mitch McConnell won't commit the Senate to holding an actual trial and would instead prefer to let Trump off the hook with as quick a process as possible, so Nancy Pelosi isn't sending the articles of impeachment to the Senate. Until Pelosi sends the articles to the Senate, the impeachment trial in the Senate can't start.
ImFromPortugal
Profile Joined April 2010
Portugal1368 Posts
January 04 2020 17:52 GMT
#39747
Yes im
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23516 Posts
January 04 2020 18:01 GMT
#39748
On January 05 2020 02:26 Kyadytim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2020 18:20 Vivax wrote:Isn't he supposed to be impeached since December or was that just show like the rest of it?

The really short summary of this is that Mitch McConnell won't commit the Senate to holding an actual trial and would instead prefer to let Trump off the hook with as quick a process as possible, so Nancy Pelosi isn't sending the articles of impeachment to the Senate. Until Pelosi sends the articles to the Senate, the impeachment trial in the Senate can't start.



She bought herself a little time despite it setting up a bit of a precedent that a house leader can overrule the house and prevent an impeachment from proceeding by themselves. Potentially to the end of their term even if every other member of congress supported impeachment.

The funny part is that no one thinks there was ever going to be a real trial so by making that her requirement to proceed her only options are to either not send them (guess there was no reason to rush then) or concede and scramble to pretend that she won something that mattered toward the trial or elsewise politically.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22008 Posts
January 04 2020 18:08 GMT
#39749
On January 05 2020 03:01 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2020 02:26 Kyadytim wrote:
On January 04 2020 18:20 Vivax wrote:Isn't he supposed to be impeached since December or was that just show like the rest of it?

The really short summary of this is that Mitch McConnell won't commit the Senate to holding an actual trial and would instead prefer to let Trump off the hook with as quick a process as possible, so Nancy Pelosi isn't sending the articles of impeachment to the Senate. Until Pelosi sends the articles to the Senate, the impeachment trial in the Senate can't start.



She bought herself a little time despite it setting up a bit of a precedent that a house leader can overrule the house and prevent an impeachment from proceeding by themselves. Potentially to the end of their term even if every other member of congress supported impeachment.

The funny part is that no one thinks there was ever going to be a real trial so by making that her requirement to proceed her only options are to either not send them (guess there was no reason to rush then) or concede and scramble to pretend that she won something that mattered toward the trial or elsewise politically.
I think Mitch set that precedent long ago, for the rest I agree.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
January 04 2020 18:53 GMT
#39750
On January 05 2020 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.

https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1212100933477453824

A shame the US doesn't recognize any international institution that could hold them to account for anything.
NoiR
franzji
Profile Joined September 2013
United States583 Posts
January 04 2020 21:30 GMT
#39751
more details coming out

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iraq-security-soleimani-insight/inside-the-plot-by-irans-soleimani-to-attack-u-s-forces-in-iraq-idUSKBN1Z301Z
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-04 23:54:42
January 04 2020 23:49 GMT
#39752
On January 04 2020 06:05 Introvert wrote:
The group he officially led is a designated terrorist group, so no, I have no issue calling him a terrorist. And a look through his bio should convince you of the same. This guy was a spider with a massive web connecting all sorts of horrendous actions and terrible groups.

edit: and Iran's been using proxies and surrogates for a long time now to avoid responsibility. I applaud the administration for putting them on notice that that one side of that line is no longer safe.

I'm curious what your thoughts are on how this contextualizes the Trump Administration backing out on the Syrian Kurds earlier last year. The Iraqi Kurds have previously been an instrumental part of the US being able to exert its influence in that region, and if any sort of action against Iran was in the cards, doing anything to sour US-Kurdish relations would be counterproductive.

Regardless of whether you agree with the Trump Administration's overall foreign policy goals, this entire situation reeks of the administration flying by the seat of it's pants and not planning things out more than a week in advance. Choices made less than 6 months apart run completely against one another. People get caught up criticizing or justifying individual actions that the bigger picture of whether there's a coherent long-term geopolitical strategy underlying it gets lost in the weeds, when I think that's a much bigger and more relevant concern to discuss.
Moderator
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23516 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-05 00:20:24
January 05 2020 00:17 GMT
#39753
Pompeo says that Europeans aren't being as helpful as he'd like relating to the assassination of Soleimani

On January 05 2020 03:53 Nouar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2020 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.
https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1212100933477453824

A shame the US doesn't recognize any international institution that could hold them to account for anything.

Think he's talking about stuff like that Nouar, not very helpful at all. He says you guys just don't understand.
"The Brits, the French, the Germans all need to understand that what we did, what the Americans did, saved lives in Europe as well,"

"This was a good thing for the entire world, and we're urging everyone in the world to get behind what the United States is trying to do, to get the Islamic Republic of Iran to simply behave like a normal nation"

A little appreciation Europeans would be nice is all I'm saying. I'm being facetious but it's pretty much on you guys to check the US by way of siding against the US in more than symbolic UN votes. Just hand-wringing and berating the buffoons in charge won't be enough.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26224 Posts
January 05 2020 00:34 GMT
#39754
On January 05 2020 09:17 GreenHorizons wrote:
Pompeo says that Europeans aren't being as helpful as he'd like relating to the assassination of Soleimani
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1213500591646945286
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2020 03:53 Nouar wrote:
On January 05 2020 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.
https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1212100933477453824

A shame the US doesn't recognize any international institution that could hold them to account for anything.

Think he's talking about stuff like that Nouar, not very helpful at all. He says you guys just don't understand.
Show nested quote +
"The Brits, the French, the Germans all need to understand that what we did, what the Americans did, saved lives in Europe as well,"

"This was a good thing for the entire world, and we're urging everyone in the world to get behind what the United States is trying to do, to get the Islamic Republic of Iran to simply behave like a normal nation"

A little appreciation Europeans would be nice is all I'm saying. I'm being facetious but it's pretty much on you guys to check the US by way of siding against the US in more than symbolic UN votes. Just hand-wringing and berating the buffoons in charge won't be enough.

Fuck off Mike.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
January 05 2020 01:55 GMT
#39755
On January 05 2020 09:17 GreenHorizons wrote:
Pompeo says that Europeans aren't being as helpful as he'd like relating to the assassination of Soleimani
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1213500591646945286
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2020 03:53 Nouar wrote:
On January 05 2020 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.
https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1212100933477453824

A shame the US doesn't recognize any international institution that could hold them to account for anything.

Think he's talking about stuff like that Nouar, not very helpful at all. He says you guys just don't understand.
Show nested quote +
"The Brits, the French, the Germans all need to understand that what we did, what the Americans did, saved lives in Europe as well,"

"This was a good thing for the entire world, and we're urging everyone in the world to get behind what the United States is trying to do, to get the Islamic Republic of Iran to simply behave like a normal nation"

A little appreciation Europeans would be nice is all I'm saying. I'm being facetious but it's pretty much on you guys to check the US by way of siding against the US in more than symbolic UN votes. Just hand-wringing and berating the buffoons in charge won't be enough.

i dont think europeans wanted to be a part of it, just like some countries didn't want to be part of an intervention in iraq
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14060 Posts
January 05 2020 02:08 GMT
#39756
On January 05 2020 10:55 Erasme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2020 09:17 GreenHorizons wrote:
Pompeo says that Europeans aren't being as helpful as he'd like relating to the assassination of Soleimani
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1213500591646945286
On January 05 2020 03:53 Nouar wrote:
On January 05 2020 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.
https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1212100933477453824

A shame the US doesn't recognize any international institution that could hold them to account for anything.

Think he's talking about stuff like that Nouar, not very helpful at all. He says you guys just don't understand.
"The Brits, the French, the Germans all need to understand that what we did, what the Americans did, saved lives in Europe as well,"

"This was a good thing for the entire world, and we're urging everyone in the world to get behind what the United States is trying to do, to get the Islamic Republic of Iran to simply behave like a normal nation"

A little appreciation Europeans would be nice is all I'm saying. I'm being facetious but it's pretty much on you guys to check the US by way of siding against the US in more than symbolic UN votes. Just hand-wringing and berating the buffoons in charge won't be enough.

i dont think europeans wanted to be a part of it, just like some countries didn't want to be part of an intervention in iraq

If we hold our hands over our eyes that means we can tell people we didn't know it happened and couldn't have done anything about what happened.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26224 Posts
January 05 2020 02:44 GMT
#39757
On January 05 2020 09:17 GreenHorizons wrote:
Pompeo says that Europeans aren't being as helpful as he'd like relating to the assassination of Soleimani
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1213500591646945286
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2020 03:53 Nouar wrote:
On January 05 2020 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
Top UN reporter on torture says Chelsea Manning's imprisonment and the US's treatment of her violate international human rights obligations.
https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1212100933477453824

A shame the US doesn't recognize any international institution that could hold them to account for anything.

Think he's talking about stuff like that Nouar, not very helpful at all. He says you guys just don't understand.
Show nested quote +
"The Brits, the French, the Germans all need to understand that what we did, what the Americans did, saved lives in Europe as well,"

"This was a good thing for the entire world, and we're urging everyone in the world to get behind what the United States is trying to do, to get the Islamic Republic of Iran to simply behave like a normal nation"

A little appreciation Europeans would be nice is all I'm saying. I'm being facetious but it's pretty much on you guys to check the US by way of siding against the US in more than symbolic UN votes. Just hand-wringing and berating the buffoons in charge won't be enough.

But yes they don’t fucking do anything tangible other than handwringing.

The entire EU saying fuck off we don’t support this measure and we’ll actually do something tangible actually means something.

What the Europeans do doesn’t tend to be anywhere near as forceful, which is a real shame.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
January 05 2020 03:48 GMT
#39758
On January 04 2020 04:11 franzji wrote:
You guys forgot to mention that a war game is just a game. A real war with Iran will look nothing like what the little game from 20 years ago would look like.

My guess it it would be a lot of long distance missiles until Iran concedes, lmao


Just like Afghanistan right?
ShambhalaWar
Profile Joined August 2013
United States930 Posts
January 05 2020 05:03 GMT
#39759
On January 04 2020 07:09 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 04 2020 06:25 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
One way of responding to this from Irans side could be to not do anything aggressive at all and make a diplomatic push towards either a new deal where sanctions are dropped from the rest of the world or they keep working towards a nuclear deterent. Would isolate the US even further no matter what happens which is exactly what China and Russia want.

What will likely happen is Trump gets a deal slightly worse than the original Iran deal, Pat's himself on the back and then Fox news can talk about how Trump brought peace to the middle east


What deal could be made with the US that could ever be trusted after we ripped up the first deal for no reason?
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-01-05 06:22:34
January 05 2020 06:18 GMT
#39760
I guess we no longer have to imagine what the response will be, the escalation is already preplanned. If a single American is hurt 52 Iranian sites will be hit including cultural (??!!) ones. wtf

Neosteel Enthusiast
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