EPTThe Chess Thread - Page 45
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kwizach
3658 Posts
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Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
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KelsierSC
United Kingdom10443 Posts
On August 31 2014 08:54 Nyxisto wrote: Yeah, Caruana's play simply is amazing. I don't really understand Carlsen playing these offbeat openings, and also that he made so many mistakes during the ending against Topalov. Just doesn't seem to be his tournament. I wonder if the recent WC controversy is playing on his mind and affecting his play. He could be wanting to hide some of his opening preparation as well. | ||
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xM(Z
Romania5299 Posts
screw up?, because i doubt he changed federations ... | ||
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Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
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vndestiny
Singapore3455 Posts
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don_kyuhote
3007 Posts
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Sassback
United States718 Posts
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Orome
Switzerland11984 Posts
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mahrgell
Germany3943 Posts
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xM(Z
Romania5299 Posts
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don_kyuhote
3007 Posts
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calgar
United States1277 Posts
On September 03 2014 11:04 don_kyuhote wrote: He gains ~5 points per win right now and he's 2830.6 currently. Finishing 10/10 would put him about 2850, short of both Carlsen currently (2862.4) as well as his as his all-time high (2889.2).I don't know how FIDE ratings are calculated, but if Caruana finishes 10/10, anyone know if 1) he will surpass Carlsen as highest rated player and 2) he will break Carlsen's record for highest ever rating? | ||
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FiWiFaKi
Canada9859 Posts
On September 03 2014 11:04 don_kyuhote wrote: I don't know how FIDE ratings are calculated, but if Caruana finishes 10/10, anyone know if 1) he will surpass Carlsen as highest rated player and 2) he will break Carlsen's record for highest ever rating? Considering his 6 wins got him from 2801 to 2830, he will not get the record. However, at an ELO of 2830, winning a game against a 2790 ELO player, which I guess is roughly the average of the tournament, you will receive an ELO of +4.4. So if he wins everything, he could end at 2848~. Meanwhile, I believe Carlsen's ELO is currently 2862.4, as I saw it posted in chat when watching the tournament today. A 2860 player losing vs a 2790 ELO player loses -6, or -1 if he ties. So technically 3 losses and a tie would bring him down to 2843~, and below Caruana. TLDR: Mathematically possible, realistically speaking a 0.05-0.1% chance. | ||
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kwizach
3658 Posts
Nakamura losing to Carlsen yet again, happy for Magnus ,-) | ||
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xM(Z
Romania5299 Posts
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don_kyuhote
3007 Posts
So Caruana is at least guaranteed 2nd, right? Or is Caruana's tie break score good enough already for him to secure 1st even if both Carlsen and Caruana finishes with 7 points? | ||
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Orome
Switzerland11984 Posts
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Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
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kwizach
3658 Posts
On September 05 2014 05:01 Nyxisto wrote: Looks somewhat cramped now for Carlsen. I don't know why he's playing these strange openings. I don't really think he needs to hide preparation from Anand if that's why he's playing so differently right now. I don't see any other explanation. That's also the interpretation I read on europe-echecs.com (French website) - him experimenting with lines and not showing too much. But, well, it's anyone's guess. | ||
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