EPTOn October 21 2012 06:54 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Romney's gonna win 40 states, it's gonna be the most hilarious night of my life.
Florida is gone.
The rest of the south is gone. Obama is going to lose North Carolina and Virginia both.
Romney's erased an 11-point deficit in Wisconsin in ~2 weeks, he's down by 1 there now. A 7-8 point deficit in Ohio is now a tie. He's leading in Pennsylvania. He's only a few points behind in Michigan. Iowa and Nevada are a tie. All of these states had Obama in the lead by 4-10 points less than a month ago.
Obama's last chance is the final debate and we saw last week that he isn't going to land a knockout punch on Romney in a debate.
The Obama campaign took out a $15 million loan from Bank of America this week, because they desperately need money to buy advertising in states they thought were safe, like Wisconsin and Michigan. Their fundraising can't keep up with their expenses (wow, what a shocker there).
The preference cascade started after the first debate and hasn't stopped, though it has slowed a little. Romney will win nationally by a margin similar to 2008 (6-7 points) and will have a lopsided electoral vote victory. There just isn't anything Obama can do, he's been trying like a desperate man to stop the shift to Romney for two weeks and it hasn't worked.
Unless Obama has pictures of Romney uppercutting a 10 year old or something, this election cake is baked. Romney is going to be the next president.
Romney's gonna win 40 states, it's gonna be the most hilarious night of my life.
Florida is gone.
The rest of the south is gone. Obama is going to lose North Carolina and Virginia both.
Romney's erased an 11-point deficit in Wisconsin in ~2 weeks, he's down by 1 there now. A 7-8 point deficit in Ohio is now a tie. He's leading in Pennsylvania. He's only a few points behind in Michigan. Iowa and Nevada are a tie. All of these states had Obama in the lead by 4-10 points less than a month ago.
Obama's last chance is the final debate and we saw last week that he isn't going to land a knockout punch on Romney in a debate.
The Obama campaign took out a $15 million loan from Bank of America this week, because they desperately need money to buy advertising in states they thought were safe, like Wisconsin and Michigan. Their fundraising can't keep up with their expenses (wow, what a shocker there).
The preference cascade started after the first debate and hasn't stopped, though it has slowed a little. Romney will win nationally by a margin similar to 2008 (6-7 points) and will have a lopsided electoral vote victory. There just isn't anything Obama can do, he's been trying like a desperate man to stop the shift to Romney for two weeks and it hasn't worked.
Unless Obama has pictures of Romney uppercutting a 10 year old or something, this election cake is baked. Romney is going to be the next president.
