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General Discussion - Page 3588

Forum Index > Dota 2 General
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IRC chatter should remain in IRC - http://webchat.quakenet.org/?channels=tl.dota2

Posts that relate to topics with their own thread, such as in News, Tournaments or Strategy should go in those threads.
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
August 14 2013 19:06 GMT
#71741
Do you mean possible matchups or possible 5-man teams? The matchups number is much much higher for obvious reasons.

Either way, the number is indeed somewhat beyond belief. Also, teams occasionally run as few as 0 cores (TI3 grand finals game 1) to as many as 4 although it's possible you wouldn't qualify all those cores as "carries".
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
Unleashing
Profile Joined March 2011
Denmark14978 Posts
August 14 2013 19:10 GMT
#71742
On August 15 2013 04:03 Hertzy wrote:
I just started wondering how many unique lineups there can be. An upper limit I can come up with is the number of heroes, 102, over ten. The result is a bit over twenty one trillion.

Accounting for the facts that there are 49 carries and that a lineup will contain from one to (greedy) three carries, I pared it down.... to eighteen trillion and a bit.

Then you're forgetting that some heroes have multiple uses and a line-up with 3 heroes + windrunner and shadow demon might have run shadow demon as a mid and windrunner as a support or the other way around, which to me is a different line-up.
Obviously that's semantics though.
From the Ghastly Eyrie I can see to the ends of the world, and from this vantage point I declare with utter certainty that this one is in the bag!
Incze
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Romania2058 Posts
August 14 2013 19:10 GMT
#71743
You do have to account for the 10 bans and the 5 heroes of the other team, though, in which case the number is even lower, though mindbogglingly high
Religion: Buckethead
LuckoftheIrish
Profile Joined November 2011
United States4791 Posts
August 14 2013 19:14 GMT
#71744
Well, no it's not. We're talking about possible lineups, not likely lineups, and the same heroes won't be banned in every trial.
On Twitter @GosuGamers_LotI | Grubby has a huge head!
Hertzy
Profile Joined September 2011
Finland355 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 19:25:38
August 14 2013 19:17 GMT
#71745
I mean possible ten man matchups, disregarding bans, synergies or positions. I just used the official site's heropedia with the "carries" filter to get a count of carries (and possibly messed up counting them).

So, the octave code I used looks like

+ Show Spoiler [code] +

heroes=102;
carries=49;
noncarries=heroes-carries;

upper_limit=0;
for i=2:6
      upper_limit=upper_limit+(bincoeff(carries,i)*bincoeff(noncarries;10-i) ) ;
end;
My dotabuff: http://dotabuff.com/players/94774350
Unleashing
Profile Joined March 2011
Denmark14978 Posts
August 14 2013 19:28 GMT
#71746
But if you disregard positions then why care about the amount of carries?
From the Ghastly Eyrie I can see to the ends of the world, and from this vantage point I declare with utter certainty that this one is in the bag!
Yoshi-
Profile Joined October 2008
Germany10227 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 19:43:29
August 14 2013 19:30 GMT
#71747
102C10 is wrong, because this would imply that it doesn't matter which side picks which hero.

So if anything it should be 102C5 * 97C5 / 2. http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=((102 choose 5) * (97 choose 5)) / 2

Dunno if that is correct, I might not be able to do proper math atm.
Hertzy
Profile Joined September 2011
Finland355 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 19:36:43
August 14 2013 19:33 GMT
#71748
On August 15 2013 04:28 Unleashing wrote:
But if you disregard positions then why care about the amount of carries?



As you yourself said, it's a matter of semantics whether or not swapping the trilane and midlane carries is a new lineup. I'm leaning towards "no". Essentially, anything happening after picking the fifth hero is not factored in to the calculations.

My dotabuff: http://dotabuff.com/players/94774350
Yoshi-
Profile Joined October 2008
Germany10227 Posts
August 14 2013 19:35 GMT
#71749
On August 15 2013 04:33 Hertzy wrote:
As you yourself said, it's a matter of semantics whether or not swapping the trilane and midlane carries is a new lineup. I'm leaning towards "no". Essentially, anything happening after picking the fifth hero is not factored in to the calculations.


Are you responding to me?

102 choose 10, implies that the matchup ABCDE VS FGHIJ is the same as ABCDF VS EGHIJ, but obv those matchups are not the same.
Unleashing
Profile Joined March 2011
Denmark14978 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 19:46:25
August 14 2013 19:36 GMT
#71750
I still don't get why you are using the list of carries for anything.
There are carries that can support and supports that can carry without being listed as such in the heropedia. It's very possible to have a line-up with 5 heroes listed as 'carries' by valve or have a lineup with no heroes listed as a carry by valve..

Edit: Gyrocopter isn't even listed as a carry. Probably plenty more inaccuracies/flaws.
From the Ghastly Eyrie I can see to the ends of the world, and from this vantage point I declare with utter certainty that this one is in the bag!
Mafe
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany5966 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 19:42:14
August 14 2013 19:38 GMT
#71751
On August 15 2013 04:30 Yoshi- wrote:
102C10 is wrong, because this would imply that it doesn't matter which side picks which hero.

So if anything it should be 102C5 * 98C5 / 2. http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=((102 choose 5) * (98 choose 5)) / 2

Dunno if that is correct, I might not be able to do proper math atm.

If it's correct depends on what you want to calculate, but this is exactly the number for possible all possibly pickable lineups, withour any further restrictions (such as a limited number of carries); and also not counting matchups twice, as they could switch radiant and dire.
My web calculator say it's 2683908481910040, which I guess tells me I should better use wolframalpha in the future.
edit: or no; I think your calculation should be 102C5 * 97C5 /2 instead.
Yoshi-
Profile Joined October 2008
Germany10227 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 19:43:14
August 14 2013 19:42 GMT
#71752
On August 15 2013 04:38 Mafe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 15 2013 04:30 Yoshi- wrote:
102C10 is wrong, because this would imply that it doesn't matter which side picks which hero.

So if anything it should be 102C5 * 98C5 / 2. http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=((102 choose 5) * (98 choose 5)) / 2

Dunno if that is correct, I might not be able to do proper math atm.

If it's correct depends on what you want to calculate, but this is exactly the number for possible all possibly pickable lineups, withour any further restrictions (such as a limited number of carries); and also not counting matchups twice, as they could switch radiant and dire.
My web calculator say it's 2683908481910040, which I guess tells me I should better use wolframalpha in the future.


You get 2683908481910040 because you used 97C5, I used 98C5, which is wrong, your 97C5 is correct.(I had this right and then edited for we reason)
Hertzy
Profile Joined September 2011
Finland355 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-14 20:02:55
August 14 2013 19:46 GMT
#71753
On August 15 2013 04:35 Yoshi- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 15 2013 04:33 Hertzy wrote:
As you yourself said, it's a matter of semantics whether or not swapping the trilane and midlane carries is a new lineup. I'm leaning towards "no". Essentially, anything happening after picking the fifth hero is not factored in to the calculations.


Are you responding to me?

102 choose 10, implies that the matchup ABCDE VS FGHIJ is the same as ABCDF VS EGHIJ, but obv those matchups are not the same.

No, you managed to slip a post in while I was typing. Actually, I think you were right, other than using 98 instead of 97.

So now I'm going with
+ Show Spoiler [code] +
N=0;
for i=1:3;
      for j=1:3;
            N=N+(bincoeff(carries-i,j)*bincoeff(noncarries-5+i,5-j))*(bincoeff(carries,i)*bincoeff(noncarries,5-i))/2;
      end;
end;


Which is giving me 1.74*10^15 possible matchups.

EDIT: Good point about the switched lineups, you need to divide it by two
RE-EDIT: Fixed a copypaste error that was throwing the result off
My dotabuff: http://dotabuff.com/players/94774350
FairForever
Profile Joined February 2011
Canada2392 Posts
August 14 2013 19:47 GMT
#71754
On August 15 2013 04:30 Yoshi- wrote:
102C10 is wrong, because this would imply that it doesn't matter which side picks which hero.

So if anything it should be 102C5 * 97C5 / 2. http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=((102 choose 5) * (97 choose 5)) / 2

Dunno if that is correct, I might not be able to do proper math atm.


This is correct - under the assumption you don't care which side is Radiant and which is Dire. Could be twice this amount if the side matters as well (as in, a given match would be different if played as one side Rad one side Dire as opposed to vice versa).
Qbek
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Poland12923 Posts
August 14 2013 19:56 GMT
#71755
Either way it's all above 10 digits. if 0.1% of that is viable(and that's not that far i'd say) we still get several milion
This space left intentionally dank /)3(\ http://i.imgur.com/RmeEUcF.png
Incze
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Romania2058 Posts
August 14 2013 19:57 GMT
#71756
Since when has the GD thread become the Math thread?
I'm not complaining, combinatorics was among my favourites
Religion: Buckethead
Hertzy
Profile Joined September 2011
Finland355 Posts
August 14 2013 20:05 GMT
#71757
Well, I'm done with math for now. I found a copypaste snafu that had thrown the result off, but I'm content with calling it 1.74*10^15, i.e. about seventeen times the amount of cells in a human body.
My dotabuff: http://dotabuff.com/players/94774350
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10666 Posts
August 14 2013 20:07 GMT
#71758
Wtf is happening. Too early for school guys.
Skol
Yoshi-
Profile Joined October 2008
Germany10227 Posts
August 14 2013 20:08 GMT
#71759
On August 15 2013 05:07 Emnjay808 wrote:
Wtf is happening. Too early for school guys.

There is always time for math
Targe
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom14103 Posts
August 14 2013 20:10 GMT
#71760
On August 15 2013 04:57 Incze wrote:
Since when has the GD thread become the Math thread?
I'm not complaining, combinatorics was among my favourites

I always hated this stuff.
11/5/14 CATACLYSM | The South West's worst Falco main
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