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General Discussion - Page 2542

Forum Index > Dota 2 General
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IRC chatter should remain in IRC - http://webchat.quakenet.org/?channels=tl.dota2

Posts that relate to topics with their own thread, such as in News, Tournaments or Strategy should go in those threads.
BeanerBurrito
Profile Joined December 2010
1010 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-04-06 22:07:57
April 06 2013 22:06 GMT
#50821
I'll take that back "No one" was a vast overstatement, but you are correct, I haven't seen asian teams play in quite awhile. And I'll even preface, not only asian teams have chosen am recently, but in general everyone hasn't as much.

Am has still been trending way down. according to: http://dota-academy.com/hero/19/

I meant more to talk about new heroes being chosen, and that it isn't just buffs or nerfs, but trends do just change regardless.
What they say: "I'm gonna play support!" What they mean: "I'm gonna feed all game!"
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-04-06 22:12:59
April 06 2013 22:10 GMT
#50822
Every dota-academy graph shows "trending down" at the beginning of the month due to lack of data for the month. His pick rate is more or less in line with his pick rate around TI2 (win % and metagame relevance are about the same for March 2013 and September 2012). The big hump in late 2011/early 2012 is because that was 6.72 AM with 1.35 BAT (and before other major carries/counter-picks were added to DotA 2 yet).
Moderator
Unleashing
Profile Joined March 2011
Denmark14978 Posts
April 06 2013 22:11 GMT
#50823
he's banned or picked in about 20~25% of the games.
That's a pretty good situational pick to me.
From the Ghastly Eyrie I can see to the ends of the world, and from this vantage point I declare with utter certainty that this one is in the bag!
BeanerBurrito
Profile Joined December 2010
1010 Posts
April 06 2013 22:12 GMT
#50824
On April 07 2013 07:10 TheYango wrote:
Every dota-academy graph shows "trending down" at the beginning of the month due to lack of data for the month. His pick rate is more or less in line with his pick rate around TI2.


http://metagamejournal.com/feb-2013-draft-trends/

According to that, even after ti2 and after his nerf he was picked less often, then more often, then less often, then more often.

I don't like the idea of quickly nerfing heroes that become the hate target of the month ala pl, because of how trends take time to change more than anything.
What they say: "I'm gonna play support!" What they mean: "I'm gonna feed all game!"
SKC
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil18828 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-04-06 22:15:31
April 06 2013 22:12 GMT
#50825
He is obviously down when compared to when he had 100% metagame relevance, but it was a completelly diferent game back then. You can't blame that just on trends changing.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-04-06 22:18:30
April 06 2013 22:15 GMT
#50826
If you've read what I said, I agree that PL doesn't need to be nerfed. But you're formulating really poor arguments using factually incorrect statements.

It's very likely that if Icefrog nerfs KotL (which is somewhat likely given KotL's extremely high pick/ban rate, and probably more justified), PL will sort himself out.
Moderator
Unleashing
Profile Joined March 2011
Denmark14978 Posts
April 06 2013 22:16 GMT
#50827
On April 07 2013 07:12 SKC wrote:
He is obviously down when compared to when he had 100% metagame relevance, but it was a completelly diferent game back then. You can't blame that just on trends changing.

And back then dota2 was lacking a lot of heroes.
From the Ghastly Eyrie I can see to the ends of the world, and from this vantage point I declare with utter certainty that this one is in the bag!
BeanerBurrito
Profile Joined December 2010
1010 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-04-06 22:22:06
April 06 2013 22:20 GMT
#50828
On April 07 2013 07:15 TheYango wrote:
If you've read what I said, I agree that PL doesn't need to be nerfed. But you're formulating really poor arguments using factually incorrect statements.

It's very likely that if Icefrog nerfs KotL (which is somewhat likely given KotL's extremely high pick/ban rate, and probably more justified), PL will sort himself out.


Fair, I went off gut feeling without checking as much, but nyx was still a good example of a hero not being picked even after he was just buffed, but taking time for people to "figure it out" so to speak.

http://metagamejournal.com/feb-2013-draft-trends/

Look how long after 6.75 it took before nyx began to see more action in general.
What they say: "I'm gonna play support!" What they mean: "I'm gonna feed all game!"
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
April 06 2013 22:24 GMT
#50829
He started seeing action pretty quickly in SEA/China, it's just that the DatDota's dataset is heavily skewed in terms of # of Western games vs. # of Eastern games so his high usage doesn't show until Western teams pick it up.
Moderator
duoform
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain5180 Posts
April 06 2013 22:24 GMT
#50830
Fuck this DotA2/steam issues. I'm playing good old WC3 DotA until Valve comes back from his "well deserved" vacations..
"I really like Marauders and Marines." - Flash
BeanerBurrito
Profile Joined December 2010
1010 Posts
April 06 2013 22:27 GMT
#50831
On April 07 2013 07:24 TheYango wrote:
He started seeing action pretty quickly in SEA/China, it's just that the DatDota's dataset is heavily skewed in terms of # of Western games vs. # of Eastern games so his high usage doesn't show until Western teams pick it up.


Which is what I'm talking about. The fact SEA or china started picking it much faster than western teams even when western teams had the exact same availability shows that a hero being good doesn't mean that it will instantly be popular. It takes time.
What they say: "I'm gonna play support!" What they mean: "I'm gonna feed all game!"
Sn0_Man
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
Tebellong44238 Posts
April 06 2013 22:31 GMT
#50832
On April 07 2013 07:24 duoform wrote:
Fuck this DotA2/steam issues. I'm playing good old WC3 DotA until Valve comes back from his "well deserved" vacations..


? I'm not having any.

HF in dota 1 though.
LiquidDota StaffSCIENTISTS BAFFLED | 3275929302
duoform
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain5180 Posts
April 06 2013 22:34 GMT
#50833
On April 07 2013 07:31 Sn0_Man wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 07:24 duoform wrote:
Fuck this DotA2/steam issues. I'm playing good old WC3 DotA until Valve comes back from his "well deserved" vacations..


? I'm not having any.

HF in dota 1 though.

"Timed out". Pretty much servers are sucking ass here..
"I really like Marauders and Marines." - Flash
Itsmedudeman
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States19229 Posts
April 06 2013 22:41 GMT
#50834
Phantom lancer has never had a month above 52% winrate and he's been going downhill recently. You can whine all you want about your pub games, but he is far and away from being the best carry. That would go to lone druid.
ch33psh33p
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
7650 Posts
April 06 2013 23:05 GMT
#50835
On April 07 2013 07:34 duoform wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2013 07:31 Sn0_Man wrote:
On April 07 2013 07:24 duoform wrote:
Fuck this DotA2/steam issues. I'm playing good old WC3 DotA until Valve comes back from his "well deserved" vacations..


? I'm not having any.

HF in dota 1 though.

"Timed out". Pretty much servers are sucking ass here..


Game spontaneously crashing, servers dcing all the time, abandons galore. A terrible week for Dota.
secret - never again
wairai
Profile Joined May 2012
Malaysia1000 Posts
April 06 2013 23:23 GMT
#50836
fuuuuu my acc steam had been phising and hijacked

already reported to steam support

oTL
Yungin' Leanin' with Pourple Drink
FinestHour
Profile Joined August 2010
United States18466 Posts
April 06 2013 23:26 GMT
#50837
sounds like dota 2 is dying better email the sponsors
thug life.                                                       MVP/ex-
igotmyown
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States4291 Posts
April 06 2013 23:51 GMT
#50838
On April 07 2013 07:06 BeanerBurrito wrote:
I'll take that back "No one" was a vast overstatement, but you are correct, I haven't seen asian teams play in quite awhile. And I'll even preface, not only asian teams have chosen am recently, but in general everyone hasn't as much.

Am has still been trending way down. according to: http://dota-academy.com/hero/19/

I meant more to talk about new heroes being chosen, and that it isn't just buffs or nerfs, but trends do just change regardless.

It depends what team is playing. DK is happy to pick AM, even with second pick, whereas other teams prioritize naix/druid or even gyro. I think chains is supposed to be a big AM picker?
asaed
Profile Joined September 2011
United States1412 Posts
April 07 2013 00:14 GMT
#50839
On April 07 2013 07:41 Itsmedudeman wrote:
Phantom lancer has never had a month above 52% winrate and he's been going downhill recently. You can whine all you want about your pub games, but he is far and away from being the best carry. That would go to lone druid.


Lifestealer?

And also, winrates really don't mean anything. Okay, that's not accurate. It means something, but not a great defining factor. That's part of the beauty of Dota: carry heroes in isolation can only be, to some small degree, compared to each other. The truth is, it's a LOT about synergy, game plan, and team line-ups.

For example, PL currently is played mostly as a split push hero + turtle to 60min and then win. But other carries like Lone Druid, Jugg, and even Naga can be played as a big mid-game, 30min gg win line-ups. It really depends.

Win rate is hard to use as a really great indicator of strength of a carry simply because it highly depends on the game-plan that is being employed. For example, there's an amazing stat about Jugg and how he is almost unbeaten when games end within 25min, but almost can't win a single game in games lasting more than 25 min. Stats like that help figure out what is behind the win-rates.
Galatians 2:20
w.s
Profile Joined October 2010
Sweden850 Posts
April 07 2013 00:22 GMT
#50840
Well winrates don't justify how good a hero is, for example: what if a bad team picks the hero against a good team and lose solely because of that? Alot of factors that are not up to the hero itself when it comes to winning or losing..
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