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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. |
On March 07 2017 00:28 warding wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2017 23:52 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2017 23:47 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:On March 06 2017 15:19 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 11:17 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:15 pmh wrote: How long will this go on about Hillary lol,still the first stage of grief. Until "how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." Madame electable. On March 06 2017 12:37 Tachion wrote:On March 06 2017 12:25 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:54 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:48 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:26 LegalLord wrote: [quote] Might as well have since she promoted Trump's candidacy to give her an easy opponent. In the words of our current Secretary of Energy, "oops."
Also he was really damn charming in the primary. If you watched him you would see why he won. And he lost all that charm after the primary? Somehow, yes. So he looked like a strong candidate against Republicans but not against Clinton? People focus a lot on how Hillary lost the general, but equally important is how he he actually won the primary. To quote The New YorkerIf Republican voters hadn’t been so disillusioned by their usual leaders, Trump would have remained a fringe candidate. Instead, aided by some prominent right-wing media figures, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, and Sean Hannity, the New York businessman was able to present himself as the heir to the Tea Party revolution, which many activists felt had been quashed or betrayed. He was also able to tap into many Republicans’ anger, some of it tinged with racism, about President Obama and his policies; into broader fears of terrorism and economic decline; and into a general disgust with professional politicians, some of which was brought about by the G.O.P.’s own obstructionism.
Contented countries don’t produce politicians like Trump. For many years now, a majority of Americans have told pollsters that they believe the nation is on the wrong track. A decade and a half marked by foreign wars, terrorist threats, recession, slow growth, political gridlock, culture wars, and (for many voters) declining incomes have further undermined faith in the political system, creating space for insurgent candidates like Trump and Bernie Sanders.
Of course, if you are going to run as a populist outsider, you need a message that fires up voters. It was here that Trump’s instinctive grasp of the darker reaches of the Republican psyche came to the fore. Having spent years listening to talk radio, he knew that the issue of illegal immigration divided the grassroots of the Party from its leadership in Washington. In promising to deport millions of undocumented workers and build a wall across the southern border, he established his conservative bone fides and differentiated himself from the other candidates.
In responding to fears of terrorism, Trump made a similar calculation. When he called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States and a registry system for Muslims who already live here, he must have known that the media and most of his Republican rivals would react with outrage. But Trump perhaps sensed that his illiberal proposals would prove popular with ordinary G.O.P. voters, and he turned out to be right, especially after the gun massacre in San Bernardino, California, in December.
Finally, Trump ignored some Republican economic orthodoxy, which, for decades, had been promulgated by free-market economists, rich donors, and corporate-funded think tanks. On Social Security, long a target of conservative reformers, he came out against cuts in benefits or a rise in the retirement age. On taxes, he took a standard Republican line, releasing a reform plan that would bestow huge gains on wealthy households, but he hasn’t talked about it very much. Instead, he has promised to rebuild the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—such as roads, airports, schools, and hospitals—saying that much of what we have got is “Third World.” His pledge to rebuild isn’t very credible—he doesn’t say where the money would come from—but it aligns him more closely with Democrats than with many Republicans.
Trump’s biggest heresy was to abandon free trade. Claiming that NAFTA and other trade agreements have cost countless jobs, he threatened to impose hefty tariffs on countries such as China, which export a lot of cheap goods to the United States. In his speech last night, Trump made clear that he will try to use this line of attack against Hillary Clinton. “She doesn’t understand trade,” he said, adding that NAFTA, which her husband signed, was “perhaps the single worst trade deal in history.” But it isn’t just previous Democratic and Republican Administrations that Trump has challenged. He has also criticized American corporations for shifting jobs to foreign countries, and has threatened to punish them. “We’re going to bring back our jobs, and we are going to save our jobs,” he said at Trump Tower. If U.S. companies insist on moving them overseas, he went on, “there will be consequences, and there will be very serious consequences.”
As with his tax and spending promises, Trump’s tough talk on trade and offshoring doesn’t withstand close inspection. (How would he bring the jobs back?) It does, however, give him something to say to Republican voters who have seen factories close down, jobs lost, and wages stagnate. And it further distinguishes him from other Republican politicians.
And that, in the end, is Trump’s greatest strength. Despite having demonstrated political cunning in the course of dispatching his sixteen rivals, he has managed to convince many Republican voters that he isn’t a politician at all.
"how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." "how did this idiot win a primary" - fears of terrorism/distrust of institutions, economic insecurity (populism), illegal immigration and the porous southern border, packed primary field defraying the conservative vote, desire for a more confrontational response to media slander ... among others. And the article besides minor gripes hits the major theme rather well. Disillusionment with leaders. Run the same moderate face with conservative running mate and all the conservative platform that who knows if it will be fought for (Bush McCain Romney). How's that small government pledge working out for everybody? Basically in a functioning political discourse and cultural backdrop, somebody like Trump would be deservedly impossible. Who needs the blowhard, seriously? Or like Decius & Co's formulation flight 93 election, only in a corrupt republic, in corrupt times, could a Trump rise ... puzzling that those most horrified by Trump are the least willing to consider the possibility that the republic is dying. On March 06 2017 14:05 LuckyFool wrote:On March 06 2017 14:03 Nevuk wrote:On March 06 2017 13:49 Slaughter wrote: If it were Clinton in the same situation those numbers would be flipped. Not that Clinton would be though, because you know she would be an actual president and not a reality tv star. No, the GOP numbers would basically be entirely "Don't know/not sure" because they view the media as an extension of Clinton, so it wouldn't be a valid question to them. You are forgetting Fox News. The numbers would be almost identically flipped imo but I don't like the poll because "the media" is too broad. Or a question centered on 'how truthful do you find MSNBC/ABC/CNN/NYT/WaPo' 'how truthful do you find Trump.' Because making a comparison between a serial liar and narrative-driven establishments obscures their shared weakness. Here is a third answer to "how did this idiot won that election": because you supported (and I assume voted for) him? The blame might be shared with the DNC, the establishment, everything you want, it goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown. I insist because the main focus should really be, in which moral and intellectual disarray is part of America that we enthusiastically chose that? It's a deeper and more interesting question than both Clinton's lack of charisma or the wave of populist resentment towards the elites. To your second point, it's equally stupid to put MSNBC and the NYT in the same question. It's like asking people how they find restaurants in New York and include both Mc Donald and Chef's Table in the question as if we talked about the same thing. Listen, if you want to talk blame, consider why someone voted for Trump as being important to the actual vote for Trump. "It goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown." It is absolutely "intellectual disarray," as you put it, to debate the decision to vote without asking questions about the choice. And you are the reason this topic will continue surfacing. You're essentially saying the only reaction should be shock (we enthusiastically chose that? Must be vague moral and intellectual issues). No joke. People should start by considering why evangelicals and Christian conservatives flocked to someone like Trump. I'll consider a few possibilities: - Because, by definition, evangelicals have a predisposition to believe in almost anything; - They lack the appropriate rational mechanisms to solving cognitive dissonance through careful reasoning; - Unlike most Europeans, they lack the collective memory of what an authoritarian looks like and are unable to discern the fascist in Donald Trump; - They lack the understanding of basic economics and thus believe in Trump's economic promises despite them going against what everyone they've previously voted has defended. Sorry, this might be my most offensive post yet, but what's happening in the US boggles my mind. You missed one of the more rational arguments, being that Trump was much more likely to nominate somebody they liked to the Supreme Court. (Which isn't so much them endorsing Trump as just a fact about how US politics works.)
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On March 07 2017 00:30 eviltomahawk wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2017 00:07 Doodsmack wrote:On March 06 2017 21:55 ShoCkeyy wrote:http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-39175962
FBI director James Comey has rejected Donald Trump's claim that his predecessor, Barack Obama, ordered a wiretap of his phone before he was elected US president, US media say. Mr Comey reportedly asked the US justice department (DOJ) to publicly reject Saturday's allegation, according to the New York Times and NBC. He is said to have asked for this because the allegation falsely insinuated that the FBI broke the law. The DOJ has not commented. Don't know if this one specifically has been posted. With Comey's confirmation, IMO this might be Trump's low point so far. Just making up a lie that no one even believes - he has done that a lot, but this one has higher stakes than all the others. I don't think he made it up entirely. It came from Breitbart, and he believed it so much that he made his administration spend the weekend substantiating and rationalizing it. It's a huge mess, and maybe he'll now hold back a bit more on kneejerk tweeting his thoughts on every outrageous article that he reads, but he probably won't. You mean like that thing that happened last friday in Sweden? This wasn't the first time It won't be the last.
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KellyAnne Conway says new EO on immigration, six countries instead of seven, Iraq off list. CNN
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Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked
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On March 07 2017 00:28 warding wrote:Show nested quote +On March 06 2017 23:52 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2017 23:47 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:On March 06 2017 15:19 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 11:17 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:15 pmh wrote: How long will this go on about Hillary lol,still the first stage of grief. Until "how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." Madame electable. On March 06 2017 12:37 Tachion wrote:On March 06 2017 12:25 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:54 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:48 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:26 LegalLord wrote: [quote] Might as well have since she promoted Trump's candidacy to give her an easy opponent. In the words of our current Secretary of Energy, "oops."
Also he was really damn charming in the primary. If you watched him you would see why he won. And he lost all that charm after the primary? Somehow, yes. So he looked like a strong candidate against Republicans but not against Clinton? People focus a lot on how Hillary lost the general, but equally important is how he he actually won the primary. To quote The New YorkerIf Republican voters hadn’t been so disillusioned by their usual leaders, Trump would have remained a fringe candidate. Instead, aided by some prominent right-wing media figures, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, and Sean Hannity, the New York businessman was able to present himself as the heir to the Tea Party revolution, which many activists felt had been quashed or betrayed. He was also able to tap into many Republicans’ anger, some of it tinged with racism, about President Obama and his policies; into broader fears of terrorism and economic decline; and into a general disgust with professional politicians, some of which was brought about by the G.O.P.’s own obstructionism.
Contented countries don’t produce politicians like Trump. For many years now, a majority of Americans have told pollsters that they believe the nation is on the wrong track. A decade and a half marked by foreign wars, terrorist threats, recession, slow growth, political gridlock, culture wars, and (for many voters) declining incomes have further undermined faith in the political system, creating space for insurgent candidates like Trump and Bernie Sanders.
Of course, if you are going to run as a populist outsider, you need a message that fires up voters. It was here that Trump’s instinctive grasp of the darker reaches of the Republican psyche came to the fore. Having spent years listening to talk radio, he knew that the issue of illegal immigration divided the grassroots of the Party from its leadership in Washington. In promising to deport millions of undocumented workers and build a wall across the southern border, he established his conservative bone fides and differentiated himself from the other candidates.
In responding to fears of terrorism, Trump made a similar calculation. When he called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States and a registry system for Muslims who already live here, he must have known that the media and most of his Republican rivals would react with outrage. But Trump perhaps sensed that his illiberal proposals would prove popular with ordinary G.O.P. voters, and he turned out to be right, especially after the gun massacre in San Bernardino, California, in December.
Finally, Trump ignored some Republican economic orthodoxy, which, for decades, had been promulgated by free-market economists, rich donors, and corporate-funded think tanks. On Social Security, long a target of conservative reformers, he came out against cuts in benefits or a rise in the retirement age. On taxes, he took a standard Republican line, releasing a reform plan that would bestow huge gains on wealthy households, but he hasn’t talked about it very much. Instead, he has promised to rebuild the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—such as roads, airports, schools, and hospitals—saying that much of what we have got is “Third World.” His pledge to rebuild isn’t very credible—he doesn’t say where the money would come from—but it aligns him more closely with Democrats than with many Republicans.
Trump’s biggest heresy was to abandon free trade. Claiming that NAFTA and other trade agreements have cost countless jobs, he threatened to impose hefty tariffs on countries such as China, which export a lot of cheap goods to the United States. In his speech last night, Trump made clear that he will try to use this line of attack against Hillary Clinton. “She doesn’t understand trade,” he said, adding that NAFTA, which her husband signed, was “perhaps the single worst trade deal in history.” But it isn’t just previous Democratic and Republican Administrations that Trump has challenged. He has also criticized American corporations for shifting jobs to foreign countries, and has threatened to punish them. “We’re going to bring back our jobs, and we are going to save our jobs,” he said at Trump Tower. If U.S. companies insist on moving them overseas, he went on, “there will be consequences, and there will be very serious consequences.”
As with his tax and spending promises, Trump’s tough talk on trade and offshoring doesn’t withstand close inspection. (How would he bring the jobs back?) It does, however, give him something to say to Republican voters who have seen factories close down, jobs lost, and wages stagnate. And it further distinguishes him from other Republican politicians.
And that, in the end, is Trump’s greatest strength. Despite having demonstrated political cunning in the course of dispatching his sixteen rivals, he has managed to convince many Republican voters that he isn’t a politician at all.
"how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." "how did this idiot win a primary" - fears of terrorism/distrust of institutions, economic insecurity (populism), illegal immigration and the porous southern border, packed primary field defraying the conservative vote, desire for a more confrontational response to media slander ... among others. And the article besides minor gripes hits the major theme rather well. Disillusionment with leaders. Run the same moderate face with conservative running mate and all the conservative platform that who knows if it will be fought for (Bush McCain Romney). How's that small government pledge working out for everybody? Basically in a functioning political discourse and cultural backdrop, somebody like Trump would be deservedly impossible. Who needs the blowhard, seriously? Or like Decius & Co's formulation flight 93 election, only in a corrupt republic, in corrupt times, could a Trump rise ... puzzling that those most horrified by Trump are the least willing to consider the possibility that the republic is dying. On March 06 2017 14:05 LuckyFool wrote:On March 06 2017 14:03 Nevuk wrote:On March 06 2017 13:49 Slaughter wrote: If it were Clinton in the same situation those numbers would be flipped. Not that Clinton would be though, because you know she would be an actual president and not a reality tv star. No, the GOP numbers would basically be entirely "Don't know/not sure" because they view the media as an extension of Clinton, so it wouldn't be a valid question to them. You are forgetting Fox News. The numbers would be almost identically flipped imo but I don't like the poll because "the media" is too broad. Or a question centered on 'how truthful do you find MSNBC/ABC/CNN/NYT/WaPo' 'how truthful do you find Trump.' Because making a comparison between a serial liar and narrative-driven establishments obscures their shared weakness. Here is a third answer to "how did this idiot won that election": because you supported (and I assume voted for) him? The blame might be shared with the DNC, the establishment, everything you want, it goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown. I insist because the main focus should really be, in which moral and intellectual disarray is part of America that we enthusiastically chose that? It's a deeper and more interesting question than both Clinton's lack of charisma or the wave of populist resentment towards the elites. To your second point, it's equally stupid to put MSNBC and the NYT in the same question. It's like asking people how they find restaurants in New York and include both Mc Donald and Chef's Table in the question as if we talked about the same thing. Listen, if you want to talk blame, consider why someone voted for Trump as being important to the actual vote for Trump. "It goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown." It is absolutely "intellectual disarray," as you put it, to debate the decision to vote without asking questions about the choice. And you are the reason this topic will continue surfacing. You're essentially saying the only reaction should be shock (we enthusiastically chose that? Must be vague moral and intellectual issues). No joke. People should start by considering why evangelicals and Christian conservatives flocked to someone like Trump. I'll consider a few possibilities: - Because, by definition, evangelicals have a predisposition to believe in almost anything; - They lack the appropriate rational mechanisms to solving cognitive dissonance through careful reasoning; - Unlike most Europeans, they lack the collective memory of what an authoritarian looks like and are unable to discern the fascist in Donald Trump; - They lack the understanding of basic economics and thus believe in Trump's economic promises despite them going against what everyone they've previously voted has defended. Sorry, this might be my most offensive post yet, but what's happening in the US boggles my mind. If you really think it, I suppose. If you're not just venting frustrations at religion because Trump got elected. But open derision of the faithful is also a theme on the political landscape and a cultural reason you got Trump (American analogues of you of course). Which is fine in a way; if you don't want somebody in your political coalition, it doesn't really matter if you make your contempt clear. But make no mistake, calling them gullible, irrational, blind, and economically illiterate will not make them more likely to consider the bullet point list of everything wrong with Trump.
Like demographic destiny, the subtle messaging is, "We don't need you, we're just waiting until your political power is absolutely negligible." Like a roadblock in the divine march of "progress."
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On March 07 2017 00:40 LightSpectra wrote: Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked
Are you stupid?
User was warned for this post
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I'd like to think I'm not, but the possibility's always looming.
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On March 07 2017 00:40 LightSpectra wrote: Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked
There have been some exceedingly hawkish individuals in some very ideal positions for escalating conflict with North Korea and finally wrapping that whole thing up. We never really come close. I think there are some specific, unworkable reasons why NK is allowed to continue as it has. It is strange though, because NK only seems to progress more and more. Eventually NK will actually be totally capable of striking the US with a nuke. What then? Do we suddenly start giving into all their demands? Its a weird situation.
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On March 07 2017 00:40 LightSpectra wrote: Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked Trump and Kim Jong Un may be crazy, but neither would risk the huge shitstorm that would result from the eruption of an armed conflict, even if Trump is more provocative.
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On March 07 2017 00:42 Danglars wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2017 00:28 warding wrote:On March 06 2017 23:52 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2017 23:47 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:On March 06 2017 15:19 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 11:17 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:15 pmh wrote: How long will this go on about Hillary lol,still the first stage of grief. Until "how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." Madame electable. On March 06 2017 12:37 Tachion wrote:On March 06 2017 12:25 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:54 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:48 WolfintheSheep wrote: [quote] And he lost all that charm after the primary? Somehow, yes. So he looked like a strong candidate against Republicans but not against Clinton? People focus a lot on how Hillary lost the general, but equally important is how he he actually won the primary. To quote The New YorkerIf Republican voters hadn’t been so disillusioned by their usual leaders, Trump would have remained a fringe candidate. Instead, aided by some prominent right-wing media figures, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, and Sean Hannity, the New York businessman was able to present himself as the heir to the Tea Party revolution, which many activists felt had been quashed or betrayed. He was also able to tap into many Republicans’ anger, some of it tinged with racism, about President Obama and his policies; into broader fears of terrorism and economic decline; and into a general disgust with professional politicians, some of which was brought about by the G.O.P.’s own obstructionism.
Contented countries don’t produce politicians like Trump. For many years now, a majority of Americans have told pollsters that they believe the nation is on the wrong track. A decade and a half marked by foreign wars, terrorist threats, recession, slow growth, political gridlock, culture wars, and (for many voters) declining incomes have further undermined faith in the political system, creating space for insurgent candidates like Trump and Bernie Sanders.
Of course, if you are going to run as a populist outsider, you need a message that fires up voters. It was here that Trump’s instinctive grasp of the darker reaches of the Republican psyche came to the fore. Having spent years listening to talk radio, he knew that the issue of illegal immigration divided the grassroots of the Party from its leadership in Washington. In promising to deport millions of undocumented workers and build a wall across the southern border, he established his conservative bone fides and differentiated himself from the other candidates.
In responding to fears of terrorism, Trump made a similar calculation. When he called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States and a registry system for Muslims who already live here, he must have known that the media and most of his Republican rivals would react with outrage. But Trump perhaps sensed that his illiberal proposals would prove popular with ordinary G.O.P. voters, and he turned out to be right, especially after the gun massacre in San Bernardino, California, in December.
Finally, Trump ignored some Republican economic orthodoxy, which, for decades, had been promulgated by free-market economists, rich donors, and corporate-funded think tanks. On Social Security, long a target of conservative reformers, he came out against cuts in benefits or a rise in the retirement age. On taxes, he took a standard Republican line, releasing a reform plan that would bestow huge gains on wealthy households, but he hasn’t talked about it very much. Instead, he has promised to rebuild the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—such as roads, airports, schools, and hospitals—saying that much of what we have got is “Third World.” His pledge to rebuild isn’t very credible—he doesn’t say where the money would come from—but it aligns him more closely with Democrats than with many Republicans.
Trump’s biggest heresy was to abandon free trade. Claiming that NAFTA and other trade agreements have cost countless jobs, he threatened to impose hefty tariffs on countries such as China, which export a lot of cheap goods to the United States. In his speech last night, Trump made clear that he will try to use this line of attack against Hillary Clinton. “She doesn’t understand trade,” he said, adding that NAFTA, which her husband signed, was “perhaps the single worst trade deal in history.” But it isn’t just previous Democratic and Republican Administrations that Trump has challenged. He has also criticized American corporations for shifting jobs to foreign countries, and has threatened to punish them. “We’re going to bring back our jobs, and we are going to save our jobs,” he said at Trump Tower. If U.S. companies insist on moving them overseas, he went on, “there will be consequences, and there will be very serious consequences.”
As with his tax and spending promises, Trump’s tough talk on trade and offshoring doesn’t withstand close inspection. (How would he bring the jobs back?) It does, however, give him something to say to Republican voters who have seen factories close down, jobs lost, and wages stagnate. And it further distinguishes him from other Republican politicians.
And that, in the end, is Trump’s greatest strength. Despite having demonstrated political cunning in the course of dispatching his sixteen rivals, he has managed to convince many Republican voters that he isn’t a politician at all.
"how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." "how did this idiot win a primary" - fears of terrorism/distrust of institutions, economic insecurity (populism), illegal immigration and the porous southern border, packed primary field defraying the conservative vote, desire for a more confrontational response to media slander ... among others. And the article besides minor gripes hits the major theme rather well. Disillusionment with leaders. Run the same moderate face with conservative running mate and all the conservative platform that who knows if it will be fought for (Bush McCain Romney). How's that small government pledge working out for everybody? Basically in a functioning political discourse and cultural backdrop, somebody like Trump would be deservedly impossible. Who needs the blowhard, seriously? Or like Decius & Co's formulation flight 93 election, only in a corrupt republic, in corrupt times, could a Trump rise ... puzzling that those most horrified by Trump are the least willing to consider the possibility that the republic is dying. On March 06 2017 14:05 LuckyFool wrote:On March 06 2017 14:03 Nevuk wrote:On March 06 2017 13:49 Slaughter wrote: If it were Clinton in the same situation those numbers would be flipped. Not that Clinton would be though, because you know she would be an actual president and not a reality tv star. No, the GOP numbers would basically be entirely "Don't know/not sure" because they view the media as an extension of Clinton, so it wouldn't be a valid question to them. You are forgetting Fox News. The numbers would be almost identically flipped imo but I don't like the poll because "the media" is too broad. Or a question centered on 'how truthful do you find MSNBC/ABC/CNN/NYT/WaPo' 'how truthful do you find Trump.' Because making a comparison between a serial liar and narrative-driven establishments obscures their shared weakness. Here is a third answer to "how did this idiot won that election": because you supported (and I assume voted for) him? The blame might be shared with the DNC, the establishment, everything you want, it goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown. I insist because the main focus should really be, in which moral and intellectual disarray is part of America that we enthusiastically chose that? It's a deeper and more interesting question than both Clinton's lack of charisma or the wave of populist resentment towards the elites. To your second point, it's equally stupid to put MSNBC and the NYT in the same question. It's like asking people how they find restaurants in New York and include both Mc Donald and Chef's Table in the question as if we talked about the same thing. Listen, if you want to talk blame, consider why someone voted for Trump as being important to the actual vote for Trump. "It goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown." It is absolutely "intellectual disarray," as you put it, to debate the decision to vote without asking questions about the choice. And you are the reason this topic will continue surfacing. You're essentially saying the only reaction should be shock (we enthusiastically chose that? Must be vague moral and intellectual issues). No joke. People should start by considering why evangelicals and Christian conservatives flocked to someone like Trump. I'll consider a few possibilities: - Because, by definition, evangelicals have a predisposition to believe in almost anything; - They lack the appropriate rational mechanisms to solving cognitive dissonance through careful reasoning; - Unlike most Europeans, they lack the collective memory of what an authoritarian looks like and are unable to discern the fascist in Donald Trump; - They lack the understanding of basic economics and thus believe in Trump's economic promises despite them going against what everyone they've previously voted has defended. Sorry, this might be my most offensive post yet, but what's happening in the US boggles my mind. If you really think it, I suppose. If you're not just venting frustrations at religion because Trump got elected. But open derision of the faithful is also a theme on the political landscape and a cultural reason you got Trump (American analogues of you of course). Which is fine in a way; if you don't want somebody in your political coalition, it doesn't really matter if you make your contempt clear. But make no mistake, calling them gullible, irrational, blind, and economically illiterate will not make them more likely to consider the bullet point list of everything wrong with Trump. Like demographic destiny, the subtle messaging is, "We don't need you, we're just waiting until your political power is absolutely negligible." Like a roadblock in the divine march of "progress." I'm not out to get their vote. This isn't election season. I'm considering possibilities on an internet forum.
As to the effectiveness of derision, that was actually a powerful force in discrediting religious dogma in Europe. You see it in the work of comedians across the continent (I'm reminded of a great John Cleese debate on TV after the release of The Life of Brian*), Might work in the US too - maybe not on the older generations, but hopefully on the younger ones.
* + Show Spoiler +
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I don't think the Kim dynasty are crazy -- they've been in power for quite awhile, probably not a fluke. I think they act crazy in order to scare the world's internationalist population and that it's for the most part sabre-rattling.
But, I doubt Trump understands that nuance there, and he's probably looking for a good war to show off. And, as said above, NK's inching closer and closer to threatening the USA. These escalations are not sustainable in the long run.
So here's my wagers: 1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos - 50% 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil - negligible chance 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked - 1% 4. North Korea gets nuked - 5%
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Norway28563 Posts
On March 07 2017 00:32 Aquanim wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2017 00:28 warding wrote:On March 06 2017 23:52 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2017 23:47 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:On March 06 2017 15:19 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 11:17 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:15 pmh wrote: How long will this go on about Hillary lol,still the first stage of grief. Until "how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." Madame electable. On March 06 2017 12:37 Tachion wrote:On March 06 2017 12:25 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:54 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:48 WolfintheSheep wrote: [quote] And he lost all that charm after the primary? Somehow, yes. So he looked like a strong candidate against Republicans but not against Clinton? People focus a lot on how Hillary lost the general, but equally important is how he he actually won the primary. To quote The New YorkerIf Republican voters hadn’t been so disillusioned by their usual leaders, Trump would have remained a fringe candidate. Instead, aided by some prominent right-wing media figures, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, and Sean Hannity, the New York businessman was able to present himself as the heir to the Tea Party revolution, which many activists felt had been quashed or betrayed. He was also able to tap into many Republicans’ anger, some of it tinged with racism, about President Obama and his policies; into broader fears of terrorism and economic decline; and into a general disgust with professional politicians, some of which was brought about by the G.O.P.’s own obstructionism.
Contented countries don’t produce politicians like Trump. For many years now, a majority of Americans have told pollsters that they believe the nation is on the wrong track. A decade and a half marked by foreign wars, terrorist threats, recession, slow growth, political gridlock, culture wars, and (for many voters) declining incomes have further undermined faith in the political system, creating space for insurgent candidates like Trump and Bernie Sanders.
Of course, if you are going to run as a populist outsider, you need a message that fires up voters. It was here that Trump’s instinctive grasp of the darker reaches of the Republican psyche came to the fore. Having spent years listening to talk radio, he knew that the issue of illegal immigration divided the grassroots of the Party from its leadership in Washington. In promising to deport millions of undocumented workers and build a wall across the southern border, he established his conservative bone fides and differentiated himself from the other candidates.
In responding to fears of terrorism, Trump made a similar calculation. When he called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States and a registry system for Muslims who already live here, he must have known that the media and most of his Republican rivals would react with outrage. But Trump perhaps sensed that his illiberal proposals would prove popular with ordinary G.O.P. voters, and he turned out to be right, especially after the gun massacre in San Bernardino, California, in December.
Finally, Trump ignored some Republican economic orthodoxy, which, for decades, had been promulgated by free-market economists, rich donors, and corporate-funded think tanks. On Social Security, long a target of conservative reformers, he came out against cuts in benefits or a rise in the retirement age. On taxes, he took a standard Republican line, releasing a reform plan that would bestow huge gains on wealthy households, but he hasn’t talked about it very much. Instead, he has promised to rebuild the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—such as roads, airports, schools, and hospitals—saying that much of what we have got is “Third World.” His pledge to rebuild isn’t very credible—he doesn’t say where the money would come from—but it aligns him more closely with Democrats than with many Republicans.
Trump’s biggest heresy was to abandon free trade. Claiming that NAFTA and other trade agreements have cost countless jobs, he threatened to impose hefty tariffs on countries such as China, which export a lot of cheap goods to the United States. In his speech last night, Trump made clear that he will try to use this line of attack against Hillary Clinton. “She doesn’t understand trade,” he said, adding that NAFTA, which her husband signed, was “perhaps the single worst trade deal in history.” But it isn’t just previous Democratic and Republican Administrations that Trump has challenged. He has also criticized American corporations for shifting jobs to foreign countries, and has threatened to punish them. “We’re going to bring back our jobs, and we are going to save our jobs,” he said at Trump Tower. If U.S. companies insist on moving them overseas, he went on, “there will be consequences, and there will be very serious consequences.”
As with his tax and spending promises, Trump’s tough talk on trade and offshoring doesn’t withstand close inspection. (How would he bring the jobs back?) It does, however, give him something to say to Republican voters who have seen factories close down, jobs lost, and wages stagnate. And it further distinguishes him from other Republican politicians.
And that, in the end, is Trump’s greatest strength. Despite having demonstrated political cunning in the course of dispatching his sixteen rivals, he has managed to convince many Republican voters that he isn’t a politician at all.
"how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." "how did this idiot win a primary" - fears of terrorism/distrust of institutions, economic insecurity (populism), illegal immigration and the porous southern border, packed primary field defraying the conservative vote, desire for a more confrontational response to media slander ... among others. And the article besides minor gripes hits the major theme rather well. Disillusionment with leaders. Run the same moderate face with conservative running mate and all the conservative platform that who knows if it will be fought for (Bush McCain Romney). How's that small government pledge working out for everybody? Basically in a functioning political discourse and cultural backdrop, somebody like Trump would be deservedly impossible. Who needs the blowhard, seriously? Or like Decius & Co's formulation flight 93 election, only in a corrupt republic, in corrupt times, could a Trump rise ... puzzling that those most horrified by Trump are the least willing to consider the possibility that the republic is dying. On March 06 2017 14:05 LuckyFool wrote:On March 06 2017 14:03 Nevuk wrote:On March 06 2017 13:49 Slaughter wrote: If it were Clinton in the same situation those numbers would be flipped. Not that Clinton would be though, because you know she would be an actual president and not a reality tv star. No, the GOP numbers would basically be entirely "Don't know/not sure" because they view the media as an extension of Clinton, so it wouldn't be a valid question to them. You are forgetting Fox News. The numbers would be almost identically flipped imo but I don't like the poll because "the media" is too broad. Or a question centered on 'how truthful do you find MSNBC/ABC/CNN/NYT/WaPo' 'how truthful do you find Trump.' Because making a comparison between a serial liar and narrative-driven establishments obscures their shared weakness. Here is a third answer to "how did this idiot won that election": because you supported (and I assume voted for) him? The blame might be shared with the DNC, the establishment, everything you want, it goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown. I insist because the main focus should really be, in which moral and intellectual disarray is part of America that we enthusiastically chose that? It's a deeper and more interesting question than both Clinton's lack of charisma or the wave of populist resentment towards the elites. To your second point, it's equally stupid to put MSNBC and the NYT in the same question. It's like asking people how they find restaurants in New York and include both Mc Donald and Chef's Table in the question as if we talked about the same thing. Listen, if you want to talk blame, consider why someone voted for Trump as being important to the actual vote for Trump. "It goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown." It is absolutely "intellectual disarray," as you put it, to debate the decision to vote without asking questions about the choice. And you are the reason this topic will continue surfacing. You're essentially saying the only reaction should be shock (we enthusiastically chose that? Must be vague moral and intellectual issues). No joke. People should start by considering why evangelicals and Christian conservatives flocked to someone like Trump. I'll consider a few possibilities: - Because, by definition, evangelicals have a predisposition to believe in almost anything; - They lack the appropriate rational mechanisms to solving cognitive dissonance through careful reasoning; - Unlike most Europeans, they lack the collective memory of what an authoritarian looks like and are unable to discern the fascist in Donald Trump; - They lack the understanding of basic economics and thus believe in Trump's economic promises despite them going against what everyone they've previously voted has defended. Sorry, this might be my most offensive post yet, but what's happening in the US boggles my mind. You missed one of the more rational arguments, being that Trump was much more likely to nominate somebody they liked to the Supreme Court. (Which isn't so much them endorsing Trump as just a fact about how US politics works.)
The SCOTUS argument is completely rational. But there are fewer and fewer equally rational arguments left as time passes. 
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On March 07 2017 01:09 LightSpectra wrote: I don't think the Kim dynasty are crazy -- they've been in power for quite awhile, probably not a fluke. I think they act crazy in order to scare the world's internationalist population and that it's for the most part sabre-rattling.
But, I doubt Trump understands that nuance there, and he's probably looking for a good war to show off. And, as said above, NK's inching closer and closer to threatening the USA. These escalations are not sustainable in the long run.
So here's my wagers: 1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos - 50% 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil - negligible chance 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked - 1% 4. North Korea gets nuked - 5% Airstrikes are completely unprecedented and would likely provoke an armed response out of NK, and that would definitely lead to a ground war. Nobody in the region wants that. Thousands of South Koreans would die in the opening volleys, and the Chinese would hate to deal with the refugees pouring in from NK. I think even NK would realize how suicidal any real strike would be, so their threats would mainly be for aid and against sanctions. I think most of the powers in the region would prefer to maintain the status quo and hope for a peaceful or internal regime change at the most.
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I'm making no claims about what is a good or bad idea, just what I think is likely.
I'm really doubtful that Trump and Bannon have the emotional stability to rationally assess the situation.
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On March 07 2017 01:30 LightSpectra wrote: I'm making no claims about what is a good or bad idea, just what I think is likely.
I'm really doubtful that Trump and Bannon have the emotional stability to rationally assess the situation. I think it's extremely unlikely simply because it's one of the worst decisions they could make short of open war against China or Russia. I don't think they're even that irrational.
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On March 07 2017 01:05 Mohdoo wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2017 00:40 LightSpectra wrote: Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked There have been some exceedingly hawkish individuals in some very ideal positions for escalating conflict with North Korea and finally wrapping that whole thing up. We never really come close. I think there are some specific, unworkable reasons why NK is allowed to continue as it has. It is strange though, because NK only seems to progress more and more. Eventually NK will actually be totally capable of striking the US with a nuke. What then? Do we suddenly start giving into all their demands? Its a weird situation.
do you want a covering of the primary factors that have prevented a resolution of the NK situation in the past? i'm not sure from reading this how aware you are of them.
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On March 07 2017 00:40 LightSpectra wrote: Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked
sure how much do you want to bet?
tbh, #1 is 0% chance right off the bat because NK doesnt have silos. They launch the missiles with ramps.
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On March 07 2017 01:12 Liquid`Drone wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2017 00:32 Aquanim wrote:On March 07 2017 00:28 warding wrote:On March 06 2017 23:52 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2017 23:47 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:On March 06 2017 15:19 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 11:17 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:15 pmh wrote: How long will this go on about Hillary lol,still the first stage of grief. Until "how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." Madame electable. On March 06 2017 12:37 Tachion wrote:On March 06 2017 12:25 WolfintheSheep wrote:On March 06 2017 11:54 LegalLord wrote: [quote] Somehow, yes. So he looked like a strong candidate against Republicans but not against Clinton? People focus a lot on how Hillary lost the general, but equally important is how he he actually won the primary. To quote The New YorkerIf Republican voters hadn’t been so disillusioned by their usual leaders, Trump would have remained a fringe candidate. Instead, aided by some prominent right-wing media figures, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, and Sean Hannity, the New York businessman was able to present himself as the heir to the Tea Party revolution, which many activists felt had been quashed or betrayed. He was also able to tap into many Republicans’ anger, some of it tinged with racism, about President Obama and his policies; into broader fears of terrorism and economic decline; and into a general disgust with professional politicians, some of which was brought about by the G.O.P.’s own obstructionism.
Contented countries don’t produce politicians like Trump. For many years now, a majority of Americans have told pollsters that they believe the nation is on the wrong track. A decade and a half marked by foreign wars, terrorist threats, recession, slow growth, political gridlock, culture wars, and (for many voters) declining incomes have further undermined faith in the political system, creating space for insurgent candidates like Trump and Bernie Sanders.
Of course, if you are going to run as a populist outsider, you need a message that fires up voters. It was here that Trump’s instinctive grasp of the darker reaches of the Republican psyche came to the fore. Having spent years listening to talk radio, he knew that the issue of illegal immigration divided the grassroots of the Party from its leadership in Washington. In promising to deport millions of undocumented workers and build a wall across the southern border, he established his conservative bone fides and differentiated himself from the other candidates.
In responding to fears of terrorism, Trump made a similar calculation. When he called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States and a registry system for Muslims who already live here, he must have known that the media and most of his Republican rivals would react with outrage. But Trump perhaps sensed that his illiberal proposals would prove popular with ordinary G.O.P. voters, and he turned out to be right, especially after the gun massacre in San Bernardino, California, in December.
Finally, Trump ignored some Republican economic orthodoxy, which, for decades, had been promulgated by free-market economists, rich donors, and corporate-funded think tanks. On Social Security, long a target of conservative reformers, he came out against cuts in benefits or a rise in the retirement age. On taxes, he took a standard Republican line, releasing a reform plan that would bestow huge gains on wealthy households, but he hasn’t talked about it very much. Instead, he has promised to rebuild the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—such as roads, airports, schools, and hospitals—saying that much of what we have got is “Third World.” His pledge to rebuild isn’t very credible—he doesn’t say where the money would come from—but it aligns him more closely with Democrats than with many Republicans.
Trump’s biggest heresy was to abandon free trade. Claiming that NAFTA and other trade agreements have cost countless jobs, he threatened to impose hefty tariffs on countries such as China, which export a lot of cheap goods to the United States. In his speech last night, Trump made clear that he will try to use this line of attack against Hillary Clinton. “She doesn’t understand trade,” he said, adding that NAFTA, which her husband signed, was “perhaps the single worst trade deal in history.” But it isn’t just previous Democratic and Republican Administrations that Trump has challenged. He has also criticized American corporations for shifting jobs to foreign countries, and has threatened to punish them. “We’re going to bring back our jobs, and we are going to save our jobs,” he said at Trump Tower. If U.S. companies insist on moving them overseas, he went on, “there will be consequences, and there will be very serious consequences.”
As with his tax and spending promises, Trump’s tough talk on trade and offshoring doesn’t withstand close inspection. (How would he bring the jobs back?) It does, however, give him something to say to Republican voters who have seen factories close down, jobs lost, and wages stagnate. And it further distinguishes him from other Republican politicians.
And that, in the end, is Trump’s greatest strength. Despite having demonstrated political cunning in the course of dispatching his sixteen rivals, he has managed to convince many Republican voters that he isn’t a politician at all.
"how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." "how did this idiot win a primary" - fears of terrorism/distrust of institutions, economic insecurity (populism), illegal immigration and the porous southern border, packed primary field defraying the conservative vote, desire for a more confrontational response to media slander ... among others. And the article besides minor gripes hits the major theme rather well. Disillusionment with leaders. Run the same moderate face with conservative running mate and all the conservative platform that who knows if it will be fought for (Bush McCain Romney). How's that small government pledge working out for everybody? Basically in a functioning political discourse and cultural backdrop, somebody like Trump would be deservedly impossible. Who needs the blowhard, seriously? Or like Decius & Co's formulation flight 93 election, only in a corrupt republic, in corrupt times, could a Trump rise ... puzzling that those most horrified by Trump are the least willing to consider the possibility that the republic is dying. On March 06 2017 14:05 LuckyFool wrote:On March 06 2017 14:03 Nevuk wrote:On March 06 2017 13:49 Slaughter wrote: If it were Clinton in the same situation those numbers would be flipped. Not that Clinton would be though, because you know she would be an actual president and not a reality tv star. No, the GOP numbers would basically be entirely "Don't know/not sure" because they view the media as an extension of Clinton, so it wouldn't be a valid question to them. You are forgetting Fox News. The numbers would be almost identically flipped imo but I don't like the poll because "the media" is too broad. Or a question centered on 'how truthful do you find MSNBC/ABC/CNN/NYT/WaPo' 'how truthful do you find Trump.' Because making a comparison between a serial liar and narrative-driven establishments obscures their shared weakness. Here is a third answer to "how did this idiot won that election": because you supported (and I assume voted for) him? The blame might be shared with the DNC, the establishment, everything you want, it goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown. I insist because the main focus should really be, in which moral and intellectual disarray is part of America that we enthusiastically chose that? It's a deeper and more interesting question than both Clinton's lack of charisma or the wave of populist resentment towards the elites. To your second point, it's equally stupid to put MSNBC and the NYT in the same question. It's like asking people how they find restaurants in New York and include both Mc Donald and Chef's Table in the question as if we talked about the same thing. Listen, if you want to talk blame, consider why someone voted for Trump as being important to the actual vote for Trump. "It goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown." It is absolutely "intellectual disarray," as you put it, to debate the decision to vote without asking questions about the choice. And you are the reason this topic will continue surfacing. You're essentially saying the only reaction should be shock (we enthusiastically chose that? Must be vague moral and intellectual issues). No joke. People should start by considering why evangelicals and Christian conservatives flocked to someone like Trump. I'll consider a few possibilities: - Because, by definition, evangelicals have a predisposition to believe in almost anything; - They lack the appropriate rational mechanisms to solving cognitive dissonance through careful reasoning; - Unlike most Europeans, they lack the collective memory of what an authoritarian looks like and are unable to discern the fascist in Donald Trump; - They lack the understanding of basic economics and thus believe in Trump's economic promises despite them going against what everyone they've previously voted has defended. Sorry, this might be my most offensive post yet, but what's happening in the US boggles my mind. You missed one of the more rational arguments, being that Trump was much more likely to nominate somebody they liked to the Supreme Court. (Which isn't so much them endorsing Trump as just a fact about how US politics works.) The SCOTUS argument is completely rational. But there are fewer and fewer equally rational arguments left as time passes. 
I heard just last week an argument from a Trump voter. "Yea Trump is really bad, worse then I thought. Still better then Hiliary would have been". They seriously think this clown fiesta of an executive branch we have right now would have been worse under Clinton. Fox and the Congressional GOP have been feeding their people a steady stream of lies to defeat an inevitable Clinton run.
That is how ingrained all the bullshit smears from the GOP have become. It was a highly successful effort by them, the only miscalculation was the rise of Trump.
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On March 07 2017 00:40 LightSpectra wrote: Anybody want to place some wagers on the following (not mutually exclusive of course) possibilities for the next, eh, 3-6 months?
1. Airstrikes on North Korean missile silos 2. Ground invasion of North Korean soil 3. South Korea/Japan gets nuked 4. North Korea gets nuked
1. unlikely, probably just more cyber-warfare. 2. not going to happen 3. not going to happen 4. not going to happen
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On March 07 2017 01:48 Slaughter wrote:Show nested quote +On March 07 2017 01:12 Liquid`Drone wrote:On March 07 2017 00:32 Aquanim wrote:On March 07 2017 00:28 warding wrote:On March 06 2017 23:52 xDaunt wrote:On March 06 2017 23:47 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 17:21 Biff The Understudy wrote:On March 06 2017 15:19 Danglars wrote:On March 06 2017 11:17 LegalLord wrote:On March 06 2017 11:15 pmh wrote: How long will this go on about Hillary lol,still the first stage of grief. Until "how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." Madame electable. On March 06 2017 12:37 Tachion wrote:On March 06 2017 12:25 WolfintheSheep wrote: [quote] So he looked like a strong candidate against Republicans but not against Clinton? People focus a lot on how Hillary lost the general, but equally important is how he he actually won the primary. To quote The New YorkerIf Republican voters hadn’t been so disillusioned by their usual leaders, Trump would have remained a fringe candidate. Instead, aided by some prominent right-wing media figures, such as Rush Limbaugh, Ann Coulter, and Sean Hannity, the New York businessman was able to present himself as the heir to the Tea Party revolution, which many activists felt had been quashed or betrayed. He was also able to tap into many Republicans’ anger, some of it tinged with racism, about President Obama and his policies; into broader fears of terrorism and economic decline; and into a general disgust with professional politicians, some of which was brought about by the G.O.P.’s own obstructionism.
Contented countries don’t produce politicians like Trump. For many years now, a majority of Americans have told pollsters that they believe the nation is on the wrong track. A decade and a half marked by foreign wars, terrorist threats, recession, slow growth, political gridlock, culture wars, and (for many voters) declining incomes have further undermined faith in the political system, creating space for insurgent candidates like Trump and Bernie Sanders.
Of course, if you are going to run as a populist outsider, you need a message that fires up voters. It was here that Trump’s instinctive grasp of the darker reaches of the Republican psyche came to the fore. Having spent years listening to talk radio, he knew that the issue of illegal immigration divided the grassroots of the Party from its leadership in Washington. In promising to deport millions of undocumented workers and build a wall across the southern border, he established his conservative bone fides and differentiated himself from the other candidates.
In responding to fears of terrorism, Trump made a similar calculation. When he called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States and a registry system for Muslims who already live here, he must have known that the media and most of his Republican rivals would react with outrage. But Trump perhaps sensed that his illiberal proposals would prove popular with ordinary G.O.P. voters, and he turned out to be right, especially after the gun massacre in San Bernardino, California, in December.
Finally, Trump ignored some Republican economic orthodoxy, which, for decades, had been promulgated by free-market economists, rich donors, and corporate-funded think tanks. On Social Security, long a target of conservative reformers, he came out against cuts in benefits or a rise in the retirement age. On taxes, he took a standard Republican line, releasing a reform plan that would bestow huge gains on wealthy households, but he hasn’t talked about it very much. Instead, he has promised to rebuild the nation’s crumbling infrastructure—such as roads, airports, schools, and hospitals—saying that much of what we have got is “Third World.” His pledge to rebuild isn’t very credible—he doesn’t say where the money would come from—but it aligns him more closely with Democrats than with many Republicans.
Trump’s biggest heresy was to abandon free trade. Claiming that NAFTA and other trade agreements have cost countless jobs, he threatened to impose hefty tariffs on countries such as China, which export a lot of cheap goods to the United States. In his speech last night, Trump made clear that he will try to use this line of attack against Hillary Clinton. “She doesn’t understand trade,” he said, adding that NAFTA, which her husband signed, was “perhaps the single worst trade deal in history.” But it isn’t just previous Democratic and Republican Administrations that Trump has challenged. He has also criticized American corporations for shifting jobs to foreign countries, and has threatened to punish them. “We’re going to bring back our jobs, and we are going to save our jobs,” he said at Trump Tower. If U.S. companies insist on moving them overseas, he went on, “there will be consequences, and there will be very serious consequences.”
As with his tax and spending promises, Trump’s tough talk on trade and offshoring doesn’t withstand close inspection. (How would he bring the jobs back?) It does, however, give him something to say to Republican voters who have seen factories close down, jobs lost, and wages stagnate. And it further distinguishes him from other Republican politicians.
And that, in the end, is Trump’s greatest strength. Despite having demonstrated political cunning in the course of dispatching his sixteen rivals, he has managed to convince many Republican voters that he isn’t a politician at all.
"how did we elect an idiot like this" has an internalized answer of "because his opponent was Hillary Clinton." "how did this idiot win a primary" - fears of terrorism/distrust of institutions, economic insecurity (populism), illegal immigration and the porous southern border, packed primary field defraying the conservative vote, desire for a more confrontational response to media slander ... among others. And the article besides minor gripes hits the major theme rather well. Disillusionment with leaders. Run the same moderate face with conservative running mate and all the conservative platform that who knows if it will be fought for (Bush McCain Romney). How's that small government pledge working out for everybody? Basically in a functioning political discourse and cultural backdrop, somebody like Trump would be deservedly impossible. Who needs the blowhard, seriously? Or like Decius & Co's formulation flight 93 election, only in a corrupt republic, in corrupt times, could a Trump rise ... puzzling that those most horrified by Trump are the least willing to consider the possibility that the republic is dying. On March 06 2017 14:05 LuckyFool wrote:On March 06 2017 14:03 Nevuk wrote: [quote] No, the GOP numbers would basically be entirely "Don't know/not sure" because they view the media as an extension of Clinton, so it wouldn't be a valid question to them. You are forgetting Fox News. The numbers would be almost identically flipped imo but I don't like the poll because "the media" is too broad. Or a question centered on 'how truthful do you find MSNBC/ABC/CNN/NYT/WaPo' 'how truthful do you find Trump.' Because making a comparison between a serial liar and narrative-driven establishments obscures their shared weakness. Here is a third answer to "how did this idiot won that election": because you supported (and I assume voted for) him? The blame might be shared with the DNC, the establishment, everything you want, it goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown. I insist because the main focus should really be, in which moral and intellectual disarray is part of America that we enthusiastically chose that? It's a deeper and more interesting question than both Clinton's lack of charisma or the wave of populist resentment towards the elites. To your second point, it's equally stupid to put MSNBC and the NYT in the same question. It's like asking people how they find restaurants in New York and include both Mc Donald and Chef's Table in the question as if we talked about the same thing. Listen, if you want to talk blame, consider why someone voted for Trump as being important to the actual vote for Trump. "It goes primarily to the people who actively supported a total clown." It is absolutely "intellectual disarray," as you put it, to debate the decision to vote without asking questions about the choice. And you are the reason this topic will continue surfacing. You're essentially saying the only reaction should be shock (we enthusiastically chose that? Must be vague moral and intellectual issues). No joke. People should start by considering why evangelicals and Christian conservatives flocked to someone like Trump. I'll consider a few possibilities: - Because, by definition, evangelicals have a predisposition to believe in almost anything; - They lack the appropriate rational mechanisms to solving cognitive dissonance through careful reasoning; - Unlike most Europeans, they lack the collective memory of what an authoritarian looks like and are unable to discern the fascist in Donald Trump; - They lack the understanding of basic economics and thus believe in Trump's economic promises despite them going against what everyone they've previously voted has defended. Sorry, this might be my most offensive post yet, but what's happening in the US boggles my mind. You missed one of the more rational arguments, being that Trump was much more likely to nominate somebody they liked to the Supreme Court. (Which isn't so much them endorsing Trump as just a fact about how US politics works.) The SCOTUS argument is completely rational. But there are fewer and fewer equally rational arguments left as time passes.  I heard just last week an argument from a Trump voter. "Yea Trump is really bad, worse then I thought. Still better then Hiliary would have been". They seriously think this clown fiesta of an executive branch we have right now would have been worse under Clinton. Fox and the Congressional GOP have been feeding their people a steady stream of lies to defeat an inevitable Clinton run. That is how ingrained all the bullshit smears from the GOP have become. It was a highly successful effort by them, the only miscalculation was the rise of Trump. Did you go on to ask him/her why? If it's just perceptions ...
"Trump is really bad, worse than I thought. Hillary would have been much better." They seriously think that corrupt entitled woman would have been doing better, given this executive branch's makeup? CNN and the Democratic Party have been feeding their people a steady stream of lies to defeat an inevitable Republican run.
That is how ingrained all this bullshit smears from the DNC and media have become. It was a highly unsuccessful effort from them, the only misconception was how voters would react.
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