US Politics Mega-thread - Page 390
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
sc2superfan101
3583 Posts
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aksfjh
United States4853 Posts
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sc2superfan101
3583 Posts
1) By appealing to ~20% of the electorate This is the theory that there are about 40% Republicans, 40% Democrats, and that the 20% of independents in the middle decide elections. Since this theory sounds good and at face value seems logical, it has been a common Republican tactic to focus on gaining independent approval in the general election. So what we get is a candidate who isn't really all that conservative moving to the right during the primary while running on the idea that "only I can appeal to the independents", and then abruptly moving to the center during the actual general campaign after they've secured the nomination. The major flaw here is that it disillusions conservatives, who then choose to stay home instead of voting. The other big flaw is that the candidate invariably looks wishy-washy, and comes off as being someone who just goes with the tide of public opinion. And the third flaw is that independents do not decide elections, as seen in the recent election where Romney won independents, but still lost. Perhaps most telling is that the Democrats never engage in this tactic. They stay left-of-center throughout most of the election, trusting on their base to see them through. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. 2) Republicans need to change their entire political ideology to attract Democrat support. It's pretty easy to see the big problem with this one. What is the point of even having a separate party if we are going to sacrifice all of our core principles and become a watered-down version of the opposition? Why would democrats suddenly switch over to a watered-down version of their own party? And what stops conservatives, who make up well over 20% of the electorate, from abandoning the party entirely? There can literally be no benefit to moving to the left on the major issues and beliefs of the Republican party. It's good that this idea has never achieved broad support from the party ranks because it is clearly just Democrat misinformation that is eaten up by people who don't know better. The people who espouse this theory are either 1) not looking at the big picture, or 2)intentionally dishonest. Can you name a single candidate that has ever won a general election by alienating their base? | ||
Sermokala
United States13738 Posts
On August 18 2013 00:42 Eregos wrote: It might not even matter much that the RNC banned CNN and NBC from hosting debates. State republican parties are separate from the national party, and could host their own debates. Although if the RNC stands firm and strips the delegates from anyone who attends them it would still matter. I heard this is a bit more of a gambit by the republicans to outsource the debates to a more state by state basis. by allowing the local party organization to negotiate the debates with affiliates instead of the national networks they'll secure more money for the local guys, allow them more sov to keep them happy and keep the national media bias from affecting things anymore. | ||
DoubleReed
United States4130 Posts
On August 18 2013 00:27 sc2superfan101 wrote: "...keep and bear their PRIVATE arms." "The PEOPLE are not to be disarmed..." "...keeping their OWN arms..." "I ask, Sir, what is the militia? It is the whole people. To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them." -George Mason -Co-author of the Second Amendment -during Virginia's Convention to Ratify the Constitution, 1788 They absolutely thought of it as an individual right to bear arms... as militias are made up of individuals. You have no basis whatsoever to stand on here. Maybe you could provide a single quote of them explicitly talking about the right to own guns as being collective (whatever that means)? Or a quote of them saying that militia's should be under the complete control of the federal government? (lol good luck with the second one.) Again, this is talking about the general idea of banning gun ownership, which would still violate the Miller vs. US interpretation of the 2nd Amendment. The ACLU would (possibly) fight against that idea. Again, they don't seem to care much about 2nd Amendment stuff so they might not devote resources to it. What this is not saying, however, is that people have an individual right to own a firearm. That firearms have to have completely unrestricted use, or that firearms can't be heavily regulated, or that firearm sales can't have a paper trail. It does not mean that felons, PTSD survivors, children, mentally unstable, or irresponsible people cannot be denied a firearm. It does not mean, for instance, that we can't restrict access to high-risk veterans who have an incredibly high suicide rate. It does not mean anything that would stop us from taking a pragmatic approach to gun ownership. Which is what the "individual right to own a firearm" generally means. None of the quotes you showed even came close to demonstrating that. And militias were not supposed to be under the complete control of the federal government. That was the whole damn point of militias, even if that idea is completely outdated. However, the federal government does explicitly have the power to regulate, control, and train militias. So I don't really understand that part. | ||
Velocirapture
United States983 Posts
On August 18 2013 01:14 sc2superfan101 wrote: This is the problem with modern political theory in the US. There are two ideas for how Republicans win elections: 1) By appealing to ~20% of the electorate This is the theory that there are about 40% Republicans, 40% Democrats, and that the 20% of independents in the middle decide elections. Since this theory sounds good and at face value seems logical, it has been a common Republican tactic to focus on gaining independent approval in the general election. So what we get is a candidate who isn't really all that conservative moving to the right during the primary while running on the idea that "only I can appeal to the independents", and then abruptly moving to the center during the actual general campaign after they've secured the nomination. The major flaw here is that it disillusions conservatives, who then choose to stay home instead of voting. The other big flaw is that the candidate invariably looks wishy-washy, and comes off as being someone who just goes with the tide of public opinion. And the third flaw is that independents do not decide elections, as seen in the recent election where Romney won independents, but still lost. Perhaps most telling is that the Democrats never engage in this tactic. They stay left-of-center throughout most of the election, trusting on their base to see them through. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. 2) Republicans need to change their entire political ideology to attract Democrat support. It's pretty easy to see the big problem with this one. What is the point of even having a separate party if we are going to sacrifice all of our core principles and become a watered-down version of the opposition? Why would democrats suddenly switch over to a watered-down version of their own party? And what stops conservatives, who make up well over 20% of the electorate, from abandoning the party entirely? There can literally be no benefit to moving to the left on the major issues and beliefs of the Republican party. It's good that this idea has never achieved broad support from the party ranks because it is clearly just Democrat misinformation that is eaten up by people who don't know better. The people who espouse this theory are either 1) not looking at the big picture, or 2)intentionally dishonest. Can you name a single candidate that has ever won a general election by alienating their base? I think point 2 has less to do with intentional misinformation and a lot to do with a strong sentiment on the Democrat side of things. It may just be my experience, but probably 90+% of the Democratic hardline voters I know are fiscally conservative and socially liberal. They genuinely believe in the American dream and want low taxes and high financial opportunity. The only reason they are not voting Republican is because they could not sleep at night knowing they voted in a pro-life, anti -equality, fence on the border candidate. Basically, if Republicans were less of a "lets pretend problems don't exist" party and more of a "lets solve social problems in a fiscally responsible way" party then they would take TONS of Democratic votes. Enough to make up for the conservatives who are equally passionate about those social issues? I don't know. | ||
sc2superfan101
3583 Posts
Genuinely believing in the American dream is an empty statement. It doesn't mean anything unless we define "American dream" and we outline how we are supposed to achieve it. High financial opportunity is the exact same. As for "low taxes", I have yet to see any evidence whatsoever that any prominent Democrat actually supports the lowering of taxes. | ||
Velocirapture
United States983 Posts
On August 18 2013 01:49 sc2superfan101 wrote: Yeah, I've heard the "social liberal/fiscal conservative" argument before, but to be honest, I see no evidence of it existing in any meaningful numbers. Otherwise the Libertarian party wouldn't be desperate to grab 5% of the vote, they would be an actual force in politics. Genuinely believing in the American dream is an empty statement. It doesn't mean anything unless we define "American dream" and we outline how we are supposed to achieve it. High financial opportunity is the exact same. As for "low taxes", I have yet to see any evidence whatsoever that any prominent Democrat actually supports the lowering of taxes. This is why the argument exists. Big-D Democrats solve social issues with raising taxes and their constituents are not happy about that but there is no alternative that still addresses the issues. Libertarians are the ultimate "pretend the problem doesn't exist" group by the way so I don't know why you even bring them up. Their version of socially liberal is to abolish all social programs, including marriage, for everybody. I think we all remember Ron Paul's, "that's what churches are for" answer. The alternative that would draw Democratic votes is a party which takes social issues as seriously as Democrats but has zero tolerance for inefficiency or bloat. In practical terms you can think of it like this. Take a democratic principle, like universal healthcare, then put all the Republican policy makers in a room and tell them to craft legislation however they like as long as it reaches the end goal. | ||
DoubleReed
United States4130 Posts
On August 18 2013 01:14 sc2superfan101 wrote: This is the problem with modern political theory in the US. There are two ideas for how Republicans win elections: 1) By appealing to ~20% of the electorate This is the theory that there are about 40% Republicans, 40% Democrats, and that the 20% of independents in the middle decide elections. Since this theory sounds good and at face value seems logical, it has been a common Republican tactic to focus on gaining independent approval in the general election. So what we get is a candidate who isn't really all that conservative moving to the right during the primary while running on the idea that "only I can appeal to the independents", and then abruptly moving to the center during the actual general campaign after they've secured the nomination. The major flaw here is that it disillusions conservatives, who then choose to stay home instead of voting. The other big flaw is that the candidate invariably looks wishy-washy, and comes off as being someone who just goes with the tide of public opinion. And the third flaw is that independents do not decide elections, as seen in the recent election where Romney won independents, but still lost. Perhaps most telling is that the Democrats never engage in this tactic. They stay left-of-center throughout most of the election, trusting on their base to see them through. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. 2) Republicans need to change their entire political ideology to attract Democrat support. It's pretty easy to see the big problem with this one. What is the point of even having a separate party if we are going to sacrifice all of our core principles and become a watered-down version of the opposition? Why would democrats suddenly switch over to a watered-down version of their own party? And what stops conservatives, who make up well over 20% of the electorate, from abandoning the party entirely? There can literally be no benefit to moving to the left on the major issues and beliefs of the Republican party. It's good that this idea has never achieved broad support from the party ranks because it is clearly just Democrat misinformation that is eaten up by people who don't know better. The people who espouse this theory are either 1) not looking at the big picture, or 2)intentionally dishonest. Can you name a single candidate that has ever won a general election by alienating their base? There are a number of flaws here. If you haven't, you may want to read this brief which talks about the various realities of the GOP. It's a republican thing, by the way. It's not biased. First, I don't agree that Romney wasn't conservative. I believe he was playing the part of the liberal only to appeal to Massachusetts, but in fact he has always been quite conservative. We can probably just agree to disagree on that point. Secondly, there has been a major growth of independents because republicans are no longer desiring to be a nominal republican. Many independents are now republican. So they actually have a growing need of independent support. Thirdly, Republicans have appealed to their base. Are you watching completely different politics that I am? Do you just consider any republican with a moderate position on any issue to be a RINO? Fourthly, the Republicans must and will move to left on many social issues, namely gay marriage. They can stay where they are on things like abortion, but gay rights has become a massive liability to the party. The younger Republicans simply don't go for it. This change is inevitable with the passage of time. And because party membership tends to be decently consistent over a person's life, I think it is you who is not looking at the big picture. And hell, I didn't even get into the patronizing, derisive attitude toward young voters. | ||
Sermokala
United States13738 Posts
On August 18 2013 01:49 sc2superfan101 wrote: Yeah, I've heard the "social liberal/fiscal conservative" argument before, but to be honest, I see no evidence of it existing in any meaningful numbers. Otherwise the Libertarian party wouldn't be desperate to grab 5% of the vote, they would be an actual force in politics. Genuinely believing in the American dream is an empty statement. It doesn't mean anything unless we define "American dream" and we outline how we are supposed to achieve it. High financial opportunity is the exact same. As for "low taxes", I have yet to see any evidence whatsoever that any prominent Democrat actually supports the lowering of taxes. libertarians don't really matter beacuse its a 2 party system derived by the way we do elections. if we had a smarter way of voteing where you'd pick a candidate and a party instead of just a party we'd be able to have a functioning democracy and a functioning government. unfortunately we can't even get to the basic euro level of elections having ID's so I doubt that any voteing reform will ever be allowed to happen. | ||
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
First, I don't agree that Romney wasn't conservative. I believe he was playing the part of the liberal only to appeal to Massachusetts, but in fact he has always been quite conservative. We can probably just agree to disagree on that point. Secondly, there has been a major growth of independents because republicans are no longer desiring to be a nominal republican. Many independents are now republican. So they actually have a growing need of independent support. Thirdly, Republicans have appealed to their base. Are you watching completely different politics that I am? Do you just consider any republican with a moderate position on any issue to be a RINO? Fourthly, the Republicans must and will move to left on many social issues, namely gay marriage. They can stay where they are on things like abortion, but gay rights has become a massive liability to the party. The younger Republicans simply don't go for it. This change is inevitable with the passage of time. And because party membership tends to be decently consistent over a person's life, I think it is you who is not looking at the big picture. And hell, I didn't even get into the patronizing, derisive attitude toward young voters. Agree to disagree on the first. He was a blue blooded Massachusetts liberal republican that engineered federal involvement in the health insurance regime over there. Secondly, the issue is whether you actively persuade independents of the superiority of your principled stands or just let others characterize your stands, particularly those in the mainstream media. Now the third point is way out of the ballpark. The RNC has actively campaigned against their conservative wing in primary races and with their speeches. In their view, Obamacare is not a pressing issue. They would rather talk a tough talk and use none of their House power to defund it. The rising debt is not enough of an issue to take a hard line on spending bills and the debt ceiling. I'm not overly worried that the tide will always swing against the traditional Republican social issues. Marriage is between a man and a woman, the rest you can call what you like and give right of contract and federal benefits. It has always been about validation, and I don't see it ending for other groups like NAMBLA and the free-love type. My state recently passed a law assigning bathrooms and sports teams to grade schoolers according to their expressed gender identity. There is no place for parents that object to their young children sharing bathrooms with someone biologically of the other sex. I'll continue to stand behind a party that stands against today's popular crusades, as we see the long term effects in the coming years. | ||
DoubleReed
United States4130 Posts
I'm not overly worried that the tide will always swing against the traditional Republican social issues. Marriage is between a man and a woman, the rest you can call what you like and give right of contract and federal benefits. It has always been about validation, and I don't see it ending for other groups like NAMBLA and the free-love type. My state recently passed a law assigning bathrooms and sports teams to grade schoolers according to their expressed gender identity. There is no place for parents that object to their young children sharing bathrooms with someone biologically of the other sex. I'll continue to stand behind a party that stands against today's popular crusades, as we see the long term effects in the coming years. I don't understand this paragraph. You do realize that their adamant refusal to let LGBT have such rights to contracts and federal benefits is costing your party votes. And the party continues to argue against them having such rights to contracts or federal benefits or rights to adoption or a million other things. I'm confused why you say it's about validation when those rights to contracts and legal benefits have significant effects on people's lives. And the "long term effects" are a dwindling republican base as their party dies off. Just because you'll stand behind the party doesn't mean other people will. | ||
JonnyBNoHo
United States6277 Posts
On August 18 2013 01:14 sc2superfan101 wrote: This is the problem with modern political theory in the US. There are two ideas for how Republicans win elections: 1) By appealing to ~20% of the electorate This is the theory that there are about 40% Republicans, 40% Democrats, and that the 20% of independents in the middle decide elections. Since this theory sounds good and at face value seems logical, it has been a common Republican tactic to focus on gaining independent approval in the general election. So what we get is a candidate who isn't really all that conservative moving to the right during the primary while running on the idea that "only I can appeal to the independents", and then abruptly moving to the center during the actual general campaign after they've secured the nomination. The major flaw here is that it disillusions conservatives, who then choose to stay home instead of voting. The other big flaw is that the candidate invariably looks wishy-washy, and comes off as being someone who just goes with the tide of public opinion. And the third flaw is that independents do not decide elections, as seen in the recent election where Romney won independents, but still lost. Perhaps most telling is that the Democrats never engage in this tactic. They stay left-of-center throughout most of the election, trusting on their base to see them through. What's good for the goose is good for the gander. 2) Republicans need to change their entire political ideology to attract Democrat support. It's pretty easy to see the big problem with this one. What is the point of even having a separate party if we are going to sacrifice all of our core principles and become a watered-down version of the opposition? Why would democrats suddenly switch over to a watered-down version of their own party? And what stops conservatives, who make up well over 20% of the electorate, from abandoning the party entirely? There can literally be no benefit to moving to the left on the major issues and beliefs of the Republican party. It's good that this idea has never achieved broad support from the party ranks because it is clearly just Democrat misinformation that is eaten up by people who don't know better. The people who espouse this theory are either 1) not looking at the big picture, or 2)intentionally dishonest. Can you name a single candidate that has ever won a general election by alienating their base? Democrats tend to appeal to the base during primaries and then move towards the center for the general election too. Edit: Obama’s move to center irks left Saturday, July 5, 2008 In the midst of his heated primary battle with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, Sen. Barack Obama fully embraced red-meat liberal issues that he said offered Americans “change you can believe in.” He had outpromised Mrs. Clinton on every hot-button issue and nailed down the nomination by appealing to the party’s liberal base. But his makeover in recent weeks has enraged many in that base who say his sudden abandonment of long-held liberal positions is a betrayal of his claim to be a new kind of politician. In the past week alone, Democratic advocacy groups say their Web sites have been lit up by angry complaints attacking Mr. Obama’s character and honesty, threatening to withhold their contributions, or worse, shift their allegiance to independent candidate Ralph Nader. ... Link | ||
kwizach
3658 Posts
On August 18 2013 02:28 Danglars wrote: I'm not overly worried that the tide will always swing against the traditional Republican social issues. Marriage is between a man and a woman, the rest you can call what you like and give right of contract and federal benefits. I agree that some issues might see a change of momentum - we've seen it be the case for the right and access to abortion. In the case of marriage, however, there is absolutely no way positions will swing back to the conservative side - everywhere the right to marry a person of the same sex is granted, it is there to stay, simply because even those initially opposed end up understanding it changes nothing for them. | ||
{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) vetoed legislation on Friday that would have banned .50-caliber rifles from the state, despite backing the same proposal just months ago. In April 2013, Christie recommended banning the sale of Barrett .50-caliber semi-automatic sniper rifles as part of a group of proposals to curb gun violence. On Friday, Christie said the ban wouldn't make the Garden State any more safe, according to Reuters. "Tellingly, the legislature points to no instance of this class of firearms being used by even a single criminal in New Jersey," he said. "The wide scope of this total ban, therefore, will not further public safety, but only interfere with lawful recreational pastimes." The Washington Post reports State Assembly Speaker Sheila Y. Oliver (D) called Christie’s veto “a failure in leadership" and a move meant to appease Republicans. Source | ||
farvacola
United States18818 Posts
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NovaTheFeared
United States7212 Posts
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Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On August 18 2013 03:09 DoubleReed wrote: I don't understand this paragraph. You do realize that their adamant refusal to let LGBT have such rights to contracts and federal benefits is costing your party votes. And the party continues to argue against them having such rights to contracts or federal benefits or rights to adoption or a million other things. I'm confused why you say it's about validation when those rights to contracts and legal benefits have significant effects on people's lives. And the "long term effects" are a dwindling republican base as their party dies off. Just because you'll stand behind the party doesn't mean other people will. They do not possess any power to reshape language, to foist it on others and the state, any more than any other group. It is indeed validation, and the groups like NAMBLA and the polyamorous crowd would like it as well. If you're having a homosexual relationship and want death benefits, hospital visitation, and spousal benefits, there isn't an argument. If you want equal rights, you have them. It is precisely that they want to call it something that it's not that is at issue here. Civil unions has not sustained heavy opposition in recent years as a legally recognized partnership with the benefits accorded by the state to married couples. It is an inconvenient truth that California popularly voted 52% in favor of defining marriage to be between a man and woman. Keep in mind, unelected justices said they had the power to force their definition of marriage on the rest. All this dying off talk is by no means set in stone. The direct problem for the Republican party today is making principled stands on issues and not worshiping at the altar of consensus. You have to persuade people that your convictions are the superior ones and look to rally support along those lines. It has lacked the willpower to translate those convictions into actions for some time now. That has alienated their base more than any excuse the left and their adherents in the RINO crowd has offered. It you can't oppose the policies of Obama on the principles of freedom of the individual, a limited government, and low taxation, then the American voter is left without a choice. The storm started brewing during the big-government administration of George W. Bush, and then with the primary process that gave McCain and Romney the Republican banner. It is the repeated caves to the left that will leave the Republican party without a base. It is the efforts to change out the politicians that believe in nothing and stand for nothing that might give the Republican party a chance to recapture momentum. | ||
DoubleReed
United States4130 Posts
They do not possess any power to reshape language, to foist it on others and the state, any more than any other group. It is indeed validation, and the groups like NAMBLA and the polyamorous crowd would like it as well. If you're having a homosexual relationship and want death benefits, hospital visitation, and spousal benefits, there isn't an argument. If you want equal rights, you have them. It is precisely that they want to call it something that it's not that is at issue here. Civil unions has not sustained heavy opposition in recent years as a legally recognized partnership with the benefits accorded by the state to married couples. Civil Unions never offered the full range of benefits that Marriage had. Yes, I want equal rights, and we don't have them. Don't tell me we have them when we don't. The idea that this is about language has always been bullshit. When it was civil unions, the conservatives were against civil unions, and quite forcefully so. Hell, Texas bars any "marriage-like union" just in case gays ever wanted to have something similar. Conservatives like yourself have opposed equality every step of the way, even now. This has never been, and still isn't, about language. You know the phrase "pleading the fifth"? You know how you don't have to incriminate yourself? Well that also applies for spouses. It doesn't apply to domestic partners, or unioned people or whatever. Marriage is a contract with the federal and state government. The word matters only because the law matters. Saying they have equal rights is not just dishonest, it's deliberately dishonest. But sure, make your principled stands. I have no problem with this. Let's see where it leads you. Go for it. | ||
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
I'm at least old enough to know the lies told that it would end with civil unions. Activists move one step at a time so the next is just a little more until the end resembles nothing like what you signed onto in the beginning. DOMA prevented the state-by-state strategy of subverting state law by getting married in one state, moving to another, and forcing the government to recognize that marriage (as well as end questions on tax returns for gay couples living in a state that didn't recognize the marriage). Civil unions were never given a chance to offer those rights because they were a stepping stone and the activists were looking to climb to the next step. Extending those rights would be an easy battle in most states. That wasn't the battle being fought. If you want to argue spousal privilege, we can do that. That's case law and not written into the fifth amendment (fifth amendment protects individuals). Seeing how well the gay marriage activists have organized around course cases, I don't think anybody's voice would stop a new effort to grant spouses in civil unions that privilege. It isn't about elected bodies these days. | ||
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