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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 10058

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
March 14 2018 01:37 GMT
#201141
You're dodging. No sanctions. Documented attempts to lift sanctions on day one. No critical words for Putin for interfering. No critical words for the attack on the U.S. military by Russian troops. Alfa Bank and Trump Tower. Meetings to try and set up a business in Moscow AFTER declaring he has no business in Russia. Trump junior stating that a lot of their money comes from Russia. Fawning over Putin at every turn. An-hour long meeting with Putin at the G20 with no chaperone. Leaking of intel to Russians in the oval office. The documented efforts of Russia to "okay" any pick for SoS. Tillerson being chosen as SoS. Tillerson being fired less than 24 hours after being critical of Russia.

And dozens of other things.

I think you're going to be very surprised when Mueller shows his hand. This is not conspiracy theory bullshit anymore.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Mercy13
Profile Joined January 2011
United States718 Posts
March 14 2018 01:40 GMT
#201142
The media has been reporting for months that Trump wanted to fire Tillerson. The decision is likely because they personally loath each other, rather than because Tillerson said something critical about Russia lately.

Did everyone forget that Tillerson was alleged to have called Trump "a fucking moron" a bit ago?
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13921 Posts
March 14 2018 01:42 GMT
#201143
On March 14 2018 10:15 micronesia wrote:
That's a bit misleading due to the fact that the remaining votes are expected to tilt significantly more red than the votes already counted. However, that brings us to the discussion a few months ago about whether or not these real-time election analyses tools are ridiculous.

They're pretty worthless because their value requires a ton more information that never gets passed on in real time. You'd need to relate the results from the last election in comparison and that never fits in a headline.

I'm fairly certain that the area was a 20 point red advantage in the last election or at least near that number. That its a huge swing is noteworthy but the polls still had it in the margin of error leading up to today with the edge among good polls to be lamb leaning.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
hunts
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2113 Posts
March 14 2018 01:43 GMT
#201144
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?
twitch.tv/huntstv 7x legend streamer
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
March 14 2018 01:44 GMT
#201145
On March 14 2018 10:43 hunts wrote:
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?

Because his aren't mainstream.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 01:45:49
March 14 2018 01:45 GMT
#201146
Yet he didn't fire him when that happened. He waited until he spoke up against Russia. There was reporting tonight that the delay was because Trump was waiting for the go-ahead FROM RUSSIA to fire Tillerson.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
KlaCkoN
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
Sweden1661 Posts
March 14 2018 01:45 GMT
#201147
The CIA: Proudly interfering in foreign democratic elections since 1948.
Part of me can't help but to feel so much schadenfreude over Americans freaking the eff out over the chickens finally coming home to roost.
Of course then I remember that a more powerful and assertive Russia under the current regime means only bad things for my personal safety and the safety of those I care about, and then I get sad.
"Voice or no voice the people can always be brought to the bidding of their leaders ... All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger."
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13921 Posts
March 14 2018 01:46 GMT
#201148
On March 14 2018 10:44 WolfintheSheep wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2018 10:43 hunts wrote:
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?

Because his aren't mainstream.

Whats the difference between mainstream conspiracy theories and non mainstream conspiracy theories? I know hes a 9/11 truther and belives the CIA runs the drug cartels but those seem pretty mainstream for conspiracy people.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 01:52:24
March 14 2018 01:48 GMT
#201149
prob nothing but weird county reporting going on

"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23214 Posts
March 14 2018 01:50 GMT
#201150
On March 14 2018 10:37 Ayaz2810 wrote:
You're dodging. No sanctions. Documented attempts to lift sanctions on day one. No critical words for Putin for interfering. No critical words for the attack on the U.S. military by Russian troops. Alfa Bank and Trump Tower. Meetings to try and set up a business in Moscow AFTER declaring he has no business in Russia. Trump junior stating that a lot of their money comes from Russia. Fawning over Putin at every turn. An-hour long meeting with Putin at the G20 with no chaperone. Leaking of intel to Russians in the oval office. The documented efforts of Russia to "okay" any pick for SoS. Tillerson being chosen as SoS. Tillerson being fired less than 24 hours after being critical of Russia.

And dozens of other things.

I think you're going to be very surprised when Mueller shows his hand. This is not conspiracy theory bullshit anymore.


I'm not dodging, I'm pointing out that you guys tend to just dismiss anything that doesn't fit your narrative like the several things Trump has done and is still doing that aren't in Russia's interest. Nothing you've said can't be explained by Trump and co. selfishly and stupidly serving themselves, and in no way requires some mastermind in the Kremlin.

In my opinion, remarkable incompetence and brazen greed does a much better job of explaining it than thinking Trump is a remote controlled Russian road runner and Mueller/Democrats are the Coyote.

What do you think is going to happen when "Mueller shows his hand"? It's definitely a conspiracy theory, whether it's bullshit or not is something I'm presuming will be determined for you by whatever Trump is or isn't convicted of. Unless the courts are going to be doing the bidding of the Russians by then too of course.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
March 14 2018 01:50 GMT
#201151
On March 14 2018 10:46 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2018 10:44 WolfintheSheep wrote:
On March 14 2018 10:43 hunts wrote:
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?

Because his aren't mainstream.

Whats the difference between mainstream conspiracy theories and non mainstream conspiracy theories? I know hes a 9/11 truther and belives the CIA runs the drug cartels but those seem pretty mainstream for conspiracy people.


If that's true, then GH and I have something in common re: 9/11. Kind of shocked to be honest.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
March 14 2018 01:50 GMT
#201152
On March 14 2018 10:46 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2018 10:44 WolfintheSheep wrote:
On March 14 2018 10:43 hunts wrote:
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?

Because his aren't mainstream.

Whats the difference between mainstream conspiracy theories and non mainstream conspiracy theories? I know hes a 9/11 truther and belives the CIA runs the drug cartels but those seem pretty mainstream for conspiracy people.

It's not about the conspiracy, it's about seeing through the lies that the sheeple are being fed and being smarter than them.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 01:54:13
March 14 2018 01:53 GMT
#201153
On March 14 2018 10:50 WolfintheSheep wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2018 10:46 Sermokala wrote:
On March 14 2018 10:44 WolfintheSheep wrote:
On March 14 2018 10:43 hunts wrote:
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?

Because his aren't mainstream.

Whats the difference between mainstream conspiracy theories and non mainstream conspiracy theories? I know hes a 9/11 truther and belives the CIA runs the drug cartels but those seem pretty mainstream for conspiracy people.

It's not about the conspiracy, it's about seeing through the lies that the sheeple are being fed and being smarter than them.


You literally sound like my dad haha. He refuses to watch the news anymore, and doesn't follow national politics at all. He is of the opinion that anyone who thinks Trump is in bed with Russia are just "sheeple" (he actually said that word). It's remarkable how so many people can deny and yet do so little research on the subject. It's like contending that the sky isn't blue without ever looking out the damn window.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23214 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 02:14:53
March 14 2018 01:58 GMT
#201154
On March 14 2018 10:46 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2018 10:44 WolfintheSheep wrote:
On March 14 2018 10:43 hunts wrote:
GH how can you possibly accuse someone else of believing in conspiracy theories without your face turning bright red with shame?

Because his aren't mainstream.

Whats the difference between mainstream conspiracy theories and non mainstream conspiracy theories? I know hes a 9/11 truther and belives the CIA runs the drug cartels but those seem pretty mainstream for conspiracy people.


I can't talk about why the first accusation is preposterous but I'm happy to have any of the people who have said this and I already asked or anyone who still thinks this is true to actually ask (in PM) and see if they know what they think they know about my position and how sure they are of theirs. To date, no one has. Every single person immediately backed off when confronted with what my actual contention is.

As to the second one it was mostly a joke, but you're right that most people are pretty familiar with the roles the CIA, DEA, and ATF play in the drug trade, and if they want to claim it's "fighting drug consumption/distribution" they have to own the catastrophic failure it has been (and explain away the creators of the drug war saying it was to suppress political opposition and deprive people their constitutional rights) if they think that's better than admitting it's a racket.

As for hunts, lol. If it were true I'd imagine I'd do it much the same way you're able to post the way you do.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6213 Posts
March 14 2018 02:37 GMT
#201155
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

98% reporting, Lamb in the lead by .4%

Pretty massive swing towards Democrats.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24676 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 02:44:09
March 14 2018 02:43 GMT
#201156
I wonder what the results would have been if Trump didn't go there to speak and remind everyone that he has the mind of a child. If I recall correctly, WAPO put together a list of like the 66 most ridiculous things Trump said in the speech, and when I read through it at least half of them were not overreactions.

The result would probably be the same at this point.

edit: oh it was CNN with 64 of the most outrageous lies of the speech
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Womwomwom
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
5930 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 02:50:14
March 14 2018 02:48 GMT
#201157
Monmouth concluded that it actually boosts Republican turnout. They argued that a big reason why Doug Jones won was because Trump campaigned in area too soon so the enthusiasm boost wore off.

People who watch those rallies are either not voting for Trump or are the sort of people who get are excited that the US is going to land on Mars, never mind the huge logistical and political problems that sort of thing brings to the table.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4748 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 03:11:39
March 14 2018 03:11 GMT
#201158
I am very curious to see how these special elections translate to general elections. The generic ballot is still within reason for Republicans but very obviously Democrats want to vote more than Republicans. Combine that with what should be otherwise good conditions (good economy, no wars) we'll have a clash of unpopular president vs. good economy.

I hope these special elections are the odd sign out. The GOP has the money, but can they actually hold out?
"It is therefore only at the birth of a society that one can be completely logical in the laws. When you see a people enjoying this advantage, do not hasten to conclude that it is wise; think rather that it is young." -Alexis de Tocqueville
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 14 2018 03:13 GMT
#201159
The economy is unchanged from 2016 and people were less than thrilled with it then. I don't see why they are going to change their minds.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23214 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-14 03:22:42
March 14 2018 03:19 GMT
#201160
On March 14 2018 12:11 Introvert wrote:
I am very curious to see how these special elections translate to general elections. The generic ballot is still within reason for Republicans but very obviously Democrats want to vote more than Republicans. Combine that with what should be otherwise good conditions (good economy, no wars) we'll have a clash of unpopular president vs. good economy.

I hope these special elections are the odd sign out. The GOP has the money, but can they actually hold out?


I wouldn't read too much into turn out in these special elections. What's often not emphasized in the reporting on these races is why they are special elections and not incumbent elections.

I think 3 out of the last 4 had the previous Republican (the one being replaced) either retire or kill themselves out of shame and public embarrassment. Hardly the type of thing that motivates Republicans to come out for a special election. This one has it's own flare making it especially inconsequential in comparison to the attention it will get if the Dem wins being that their district won't exist next election.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
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